INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('8f480edf-e3fd-406b-9887-5b95a4714d83','64c6ce3d-82b5-40a5-88d6-bd88b2622d70','724f2776-0f89-4693-96ac-067e7121c40c','<p>通过明确问题（是什么）、深入分析原因（为什么）、制定解决方案（怎么办）、评估结果（有什么结果），构建系统性逻辑思维，助力高效决策与持续优化。</p>','2024-12-15 12:45:41.984','2024-12-16 00:00:00.029',NULL,'f','2024-12-16 00:00:00.028','2024-12-16 00:00:00.028',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('5c530219-7038-4e16-90b6-9c9affa584ae','5266840e-5b5c-44ae-9f83-dd6a31615e4a','3d9c1be4-dac8-482e-8867-e3ba75f3a884','<p>刨根问底 ： 5W2H是好的功具来了解事情的本质。</p>
<p>往往，我们会掉入一个陷阱，＂以为＂＂假设＂，懒惰去思考，草草了事的就下了结论，完全没有迍向思考，因此，忽略了问的本质。</p>','2024-12-15 12:47:54.238','2024-12-15 12:47:54.238',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-15 12:47:54.237',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('542eb886-7cc6-4637-901a-6b90d5bc7fba','5266840e-5b5c-44ae-9f83-dd6a31615e4a','7ae3c10f-1299-472c-a9d4-b368d392f445','<p>一些人在網上發表觀點時，總是會出現牛頭不對馬嘴的情<br>況，其實這是因為他們缺乏基本的邏輯思維。</p>
<p>一個人如果有基本的邏輯思維，就會有刨根問底的好奇心，遇到事情不滿足於表面的解釋，而是不斷地往下追溯，找到根本原因</p>','2024-12-15 13:06:51.529','2024-12-15 13:06:51.529',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-15 13:06:51.528',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('d6df1216-412c-477c-a17a-8c66b2aded85','5266840e-5b5c-44ae-9f83-dd6a31615e4a','4f2eb2b3-94b5-4ee7-8132-6fb6407ff96e','<p>Aha- 要有刨根问底精神之前，自己必须要有好奇心</p>
<p>Impact-发现自己好像缺乏好奇心。</p>
<p>Growth- 在日常生活中，对四围多一点好奇，多一点问5W1H</p>','2024-12-15 13:30:53.837','2024-12-15 13:30:53.837',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-15 13:30:53.836',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('eb7c260f-6ce5-4fdf-834c-7686680888d3','5266840e-5b5c-44ae-9f83-dd6a31615e4a','bdee759b-405c-461f-97a1-a39e711c7e8e','<p class="p1"><span class="s1">－個人如果有基本的邏輯思維，就會有刨根問底的好奇心。所以對於所見事物的表現，經常保持好奇心，追根究底是段練邏輯思維能力的好方法。</span></p>','2024-12-15 13:32:49.931','2024-12-15 13:32:49.931',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-15 13:32:49.93',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('3707650b-3141-446b-a5c1-5a2b53cc8597','5266840e-5b5c-44ae-9f83-dd6a31615e4a','0a652b55-937b-435d-bcb8-4d3fb846b83f','<p>有基本邏輯思維的人，就會有刨根問底的好奇心。</p>
<p>追根問底雖然会有收穫，不過也要有所選擇那些事件該追究，那些不該窮追。</p>
<p>可求知識，但別鉆牛角尖。</p>','2024-12-15 13:37:24.845','2024-12-15 13:37:24.845',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-15 13:37:24.843',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('07a8056a-1094-4a93-99fb-1d10d05d6be4','5266840e-5b5c-44ae-9f83-dd6a31615e4a','4d60a8e6-8829-45d3-add6-e61449282094','<p>What 看起来这样- 事情表象</p>
<p>Why 为什么这样- 找根本解</p>
<p>How 以前怎样- 追根溯源</p>
<p>What 还有什么这样- 举一反三</p>','2024-12-15 13:39:20.866','2024-12-15 13:39:20.866',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-15 13:39:20.865',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('b49e2d08-e325-462f-b9cc-c2ae7bdbafbf','5266840e-5b5c-44ae-9f83-dd6a31615e4a','6949d955-832d-47f1-870b-95a01be61ff8','<p>如果有基本的逻辑思维，就会有刨根问底的好奇心</p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">What 看起来这样 - 事情表象</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">Why 为什么这样 - 找跟本不解</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">How 以前怎样 - 追根溯源</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">What 还有什么这样 - 举一反三</span></p>
<p>人很容易掉入一个思维陷阱：事实其实有abcdefg，刚了解abc，发现可以用逻辑把abc串成一个说得通的&ldquo;故事&rdquo;，就以为自己掌握了全部/主要的真相。</p>','2024-12-15 13:20:05.925','2024-12-15 13:43:19.734',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-15 13:43:19.733',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('cc8c9e9e-c8fb-43fd-af41-f010f7d9ba18','5266840e-5b5c-44ae-9f83-dd6a31615e4a','47cda368-b147-4725-82b1-56340e248f14','<p>刨根问底的精神，遇到事情不满足于表面的解释，不断的往下追问，找到根本的原因。</p>','2024-12-15 13:49:12.219','2024-12-15 13:49:12.219',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-15 13:49:12.218',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('df9726f5-b2a6-42b6-a1c2-4b812c081db6','5266840e-5b5c-44ae-9f83-dd6a31615e4a','be5b7e97-d65c-43f6-ba7f-0ffd13533f1a','<p>基本的逻辑思维能让人有刨根问底的好奇心。从事情表象找根本的解释，追跟朔源，举一反三。</p>','2024-12-15 13:52:39.747','2024-12-15 13:52:39.747',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-15 13:52:39.747',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('dd81d3af-b98b-45c4-9001-9c3eb2615aa9','5266840e-5b5c-44ae-9f83-dd6a31615e4a','a79358bf-a0d8-49f2-be81-0ba66e697353','<p>14 Dec : 改变系统下是最见效的。</p>
<p>15 Dec : 刨根究底可以挖出很多没有想过的问题。</p>','2024-12-15 14:11:48.022','2024-12-15 14:11:48.022',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-15 14:11:48.021',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('123576c0-cf0b-43eb-a8d3-dcfc1317cecb','5266840e-5b5c-44ae-9f83-dd6a31615e4a','bc030323-5b78-4cf5-8c04-0ba4b93a64d1','<p class="p1"><span class="s1">Day 15 ：12月15 日&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 《底层逻辑》Part 2：思考问题的底层逻辑</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">逻辑思维与逻辑闭环（Page 092-099）</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s2">&nbsp;</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">🎯今日读后感悟：</span></p>
<p class="p2">&nbsp;</p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s2">核心重点总结：</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s2"> 1. 逻辑思维的重要性</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s2">缺乏逻辑思维会导致「牛头不对马嘴」的表达，无法理解事情的根本原因。</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s2"> 2. 刨根问底的好奇心</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s2">真正的逻辑思维会驱使人深入探究，追问「为什么」而不仅停留在表面现象。</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s2"> 3. 逻辑闭环模型</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s2"> &bull; WHAT：事情表象，看起来是怎样的？</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s2"> &bull; WHY：为什么是这样？找出原因。</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s2"> &bull; HOW：事情之前是怎样的？追根溯源。</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s2"> &bull; WHAT：还有什么其他可能？反思并举一反三。</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s2"> 4. 应用逻辑思维</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s2">日常生活中，应用这种刨根问底的思维方式，可以更全面地理解问题，找出根本解决方案</span><span class="s1">。</span></p>','2024-12-15 14:12:04.474','2024-12-15 14:12:04.474',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-15 14:12:04.473',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('542e1a89-f80b-427f-b05c-3f2b005fdda4','64c6ce3d-82b5-40a5-88d6-bd88b2622d70','dee0ab39-9eab-4b3d-bad7-a9f0422f8fb5','<p>要判断别人所说的话题真实性，需要客观明白事情有很多可能性，重复低调的去重复验正事情，要靠谱的证据及懂得运用推理去寻得答案。</p>','2024-12-15 13:25:16.126','2024-12-16 00:00:00.029',NULL,'f','2024-12-16 00:00:00.028','2024-12-16 00:00:00.028',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('5fc360ff-7827-4392-8763-030d5a2664e8','5266840e-5b5c-44ae-9f83-dd6a31615e4a','9f2de0b4-5451-41cb-bded-d537871923dd','<p>对生活中的一切事物都要抱着好奇心去探究，别只听到/看到表象就认为是这样了，结果只看到了表象。</p>
<ol>
<li>看起来这样：事情表象</li>
<li>为什么这样：找根本解</li>
<li>以前怎样：追根溯源</li>
<li>还有什么这样：举一反三</li>
</ol>
<p>&nbsp;</p>','2024-12-15 14:26:06.627','2024-12-15 14:26:06.627',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-15 14:26:06.626',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('ec8a15c1-b7ef-4e79-bf2c-b9fb8b60d886','5266840e-5b5c-44ae-9f83-dd6a31615e4a','6cef5362-7ff5-4fa0-8829-76df28438992','<p>想对事圽看得透彻，就须有打破沙锅问到底的精神，否则会被表象蒙骗。一般上人的问题是相信：</p>
<p>1.现有所说或所见的</p>
<p>2.多数人相信的</p>
<p>3.自古流传下来的</p>
<p>4.权威的。如前辈、权威人士、宗教、习俗、经典、名人等。</p>','2024-12-15 14:29:18.117','2024-12-15 14:29:18.117',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-15 14:29:18.116',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('15c77204-283d-4adb-991d-d59dccfe5e2e','5266840e-5b5c-44ae-9f83-dd6a31615e4a','3c16baf4-84df-4958-a74c-aa7b7d950e3a','<p>追根究底，设法找出事物的标准和由来，是一种认真的态度。</p>','2024-12-15 14:41:41.203','2024-12-15 14:41:41.203',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-15 14:41:41.202',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('fc715809-21cd-47f0-8544-3af8d2e3c0d6','5266840e-5b5c-44ae-9f83-dd6a31615e4a','a000f9e2-7648-49c9-8713-f245191f61d3','<p>刨根究底是挖掘逻辑思维的方法。</p>
<p>what - 事情表象</p>
<p>why - 找根本解</p>
<p>How - 追根溯源</p>
<p>what - 举一反三</p>','2024-12-15 14:55:28.07','2024-12-15 14:55:28.07',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-15 14:55:28.069',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('50209f7a-fd80-4c2b-af9f-a4de776918e3','5266840e-5b5c-44ae-9f83-dd6a31615e4a','3a0fa86c-5a82-45ea-aace-7b8e7654c3c4','<p>What 看起来这样 - 事情表象。&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; Why 为什么这样 - 找跟本不解。&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;How 以前怎样 - 追根溯源。&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;What 还有什么这样 - 举一反三</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>','2024-12-15 15:42:23.484','2024-12-15 15:42:23.484',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-15 15:42:23.483',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('89bcd102-ffd4-4b9b-9641-268757571d22','5266840e-5b5c-44ae-9f83-dd6a31615e4a','550d0df0-c244-418c-8fd4-915e9faffda1','<p>刨根到底 --》不接受世界的真言，力争到底，挑战每一句！</p>','2024-12-15 15:44:52.014','2024-12-15 15:44:52.014',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-15 15:44:52.013',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('ae7b34e1-5c8f-4ebf-b4c0-0c6ff34c9d7f','5266840e-5b5c-44ae-9f83-dd6a31615e4a','c5e069be-e34f-4a00-8866-8ee0e14fd6df','<p>逻辑思维是一种 刨根问底的游戏</p>
<p>都是从什么？为什么？怎么样？还有什么？来到底部的真相</p>','2024-12-15 15:52:52.741','2024-12-15 15:52:52.741',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-15 15:52:52.74',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('f13c010a-f772-48e0-a582-6bbf88ff146b','5266840e-5b5c-44ae-9f83-dd6a31615e4a','abafda80-d191-4990-802d-f631604815a6','<p>What：看起来这样。。。。。事情表象</p>
<p>Why 为什么这样。。。。找根本解</p>
<p>How 以前怎样。。。。。追根溯源</p>
<p>What还有什么这样。。。。举一反三</p>','2024-12-15 15:52:42.052','2024-12-15 15:53:20.84',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-15 15:53:20.839',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('37f5c18e-da08-4d2b-8ad8-4d4d5a0c0765','5266840e-5b5c-44ae-9f83-dd6a31615e4a','22eebfc2-f1bd-4144-ac9b-9b146d80a3ee','<p>Day 15 ：12月15 日 《底层逻辑》Part 2：思考问题的底层逻辑</p>
<p>逻辑思维与逻辑闭环（Page 092-099）</p>
<p>🎯今日读后感悟：</p>
<p>拥有刨根问底的精神去思考问题，建立逻辑思维。只是很多时候人普遍上不喜欢思考，消耗脑力，于是，我们很容易被骗。</p>','2024-12-15 15:54:14.866','2024-12-15 15:54:14.866',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-15 15:54:14.865',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('d96ccb65-4993-442a-9615-f30db0f00298','5266840e-5b5c-44ae-9f83-dd6a31615e4a','8ba62dba-0026-464f-a0d5-bd8c4d6c0430','<p>逻辑思维与逻辑闭环的核心要点</p>
<p>逻辑思维的重要性</p>
<p>刨根问底是逻辑思维的核心，通过追溯根本原因，避免浅尝辄止或误信表面现象。<br>缺乏逻辑思维会导致观点驴唇不对马嘴，而逻辑思维能帮助发现真相，提升个人思辨能力。</p>
<p>刨根问底的应用实例</p>
<p>赤道实验：<br>现象：赤道南北水流方向不同。<br>深入探究：地转偏向力影响小尺度物体（如脸盆水流）的假设经实验验证为不成立。真正影响水流方向的是环境因素（如外力影响）。<br>本质发现：旅游景点的&ldquo;赤道线&rdquo;仅具象征意义，不是真正的赤道。<br>&ldquo;米&rdquo;的定义：<br>由赤道到北极的地表长度推导出&ldquo;米&rdquo;作为度量单位，后来经历&ldquo;米原器&rdquo;&ldquo;光速&rdquo;定义的不断完善。<br>启示：概念和单位的形成有历史原因，不能片面理解。</p>
<p>逻辑思维的递进探索</p>
<p>从现象到本质：赤道实验启发关于地转偏向力和物理现象的真相。<br>从定义到历史：深入&ldquo;米&rdquo;和&ldquo;斤&rdquo;的定义，探究其演变和背后的逻辑依据。<br>逻辑链条：通过追问现象背后的因果关系，层层递进，形成闭环。</p>
<p>逻辑思维的训练方法</p>
<p>质疑表象：任何现象和习惯性认知都可能值得推敲，先问&ldquo;这是真的吗？&rdquo;<br>寻找因果：对每个答案追问&ldquo;为什么&rdquo;，直至找到系统性解释。<br>跨领域联想：将一个问题的逻辑关联扩展至其他领域，从中找到共通点。</p>
<p>逻辑思维的价值</p>
<p>提升认知能力：不满足于表面答案，透过现象看本质。<br>增强表达说服力：通过严谨的逻辑链条让观点更加有说服力。<br>发现潜在规律：从细节中找出广泛适用的真理和方法。</p>
<p>启发与总结</p>
<p>刨根问底是一种习惯，通过逻辑闭环的构建，可以锻炼思维的严谨性和深度。<br>打开好奇心，用逻辑去探索身边的事物和习以为常的概念，让世界变得更加有趣和可理解。</p>','2024-12-15 15:56:26.362','2024-12-15 15:56:26.362',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-15 15:56:26.361',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('547da250-59cb-4ec6-9eef-b64c854daff1','64c6ce3d-82b5-40a5-88d6-bd88b2622d70','53929692-27f3-426b-a4ce-9f2a98b8d064','<p>懂逻辑的人太少，很多人说话都不依照逻辑的。听了这些没逻辑的话就像吃了没营养的食物。</p>
<p>只是被男人骗过就认为天下男人都不可靠的。</p>','2024-12-15 22:34:32.63','2024-12-15 22:34:32.63',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-15 22:34:32.629',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('e776e17f-bf9d-49ae-9dcf-aa2678020c2e','64c6ce3d-82b5-40a5-88d6-bd88b2622d70','b2120258-4016-43f4-9c32-1f9c0e96bfaf','<p>四句话建立基本的逻辑素质：证有不证无，以偏不概全，证有靠举例，概全靠推理。</p>
<p>1）证有不证无-事物关系 並非 非黑即白 的关系，而是存在着博弈和多样性。比如：「天鹅都是黑的」，靠举例也不能证明没有黑天鹅，只能证明你没看过黑天鹅。</p>
<p>2）以偏不概全-个例 並非 全部。比如：「你认识几个人」的「偏」，来得出「读书没用」的「全」。</p>
<p>3）证有靠举例-证据证明存在。比如这个世界上是有既聪明又勤奋的人的，比如雷军、库克、刘德华。</p>
<p>4）概全靠推理-证明一般性结论，只能靠证明，靠推理。比如，所有商品是用来交换的，封建地租不是用来交换的，由此可以推论出，封建地租不是商品。</p>','2024-11-23 04:04:43.451','2024-12-16 00:00:00.029',NULL,'f','2024-12-16 00:00:00.028','2024-12-16 00:00:00.028',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('e9f5af24-d522-4acd-9aab-054b24231da7','64c6ce3d-82b5-40a5-88d6-bd88b2622d70','b1d2b7e9-339b-46d2-9f25-30c45ecce2d1','<p>这一篇我没有什么感想耶哈哈哈<br><br>但让我想起我以前念科学系的时候，<br>其实那时就有过这样的训练。<br><br>那时我不明白有什么好特别提的，<br>但直到对世界认识越来越多，<br>我越是发现这一切的重要。<br><br>如果大家都能有逻辑素养，<br>我相信很多事情会变得简单许多～</p>','2024-12-15 12:35:44.612','2024-12-16 00:00:00.029',NULL,'f','2024-12-16 00:00:00.028','2024-12-16 00:00:00.028',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('1de0817a-e316-44d2-9008-80c49c45b877','64c6ce3d-82b5-40a5-88d6-bd88b2622d70','fb681b37-b86f-49b7-8f27-422ffefb81b6','<p>建立基本逻辑素养：</p>
<ol>
<li>证有不证无--证明某件事情存在是可以做到的，但要证明某件事情绝对不存在非常困难。</li>
<li>以偏不概全--局部的情况不能代表整体，个别现象不等于普遍规律。</li>
<li><span style="font-family: var(--font-ubuntu);">证有靠举例--要证明某件事物存在，可以通过具体的实例来加以验证和证明。</span></li>
<li><span style="font-family: var(--font-ubuntu);">概全靠推理--要证明整体或普遍性结论，不能只靠举例，而需要借助逻辑推理和归纳演绎。</span>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</li>
</ol>','2024-12-15 12:21:10.951','2024-12-16 00:00:00.029',NULL,'f','2024-12-16 00:00:00.028','2024-12-16 00:00:00.028',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('4876a6a4-55e3-4695-a894-727199ed0b0f','6bf29380-f700-4309-a81d-0a823101d638','09891df5-07b0-40c9-8f3c-a23b63aa2cfd','<p>数字思维训练我们从不确定性中找到确定性。</p>
<p>创业要专注，不要做太多事。如果做太多事，你本来20%的成功率就剩下1%，成功机率就少。</p>
<p>学习概率论，不是为了解决算数题，而是为了理解思考方法。</p>','2024-12-15 22:42:40.487','2024-12-22 00:00:00.034',NULL,'f','2024-12-22 00:00:00.032','2024-12-22 00:00:00.032',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('9b1368f0-6616-439b-9d6e-becd0687009d','8df7dfc5-c545-40e5-bdbf-7be0547acb1b','85df4a9d-433c-4009-bf28-8921ba3c5b68','<p>用动态的眼光看问题</p>','2024-12-22 13:50:00.545','2024-12-23 00:00:00.012',NULL,'f','2024-12-23 00:00:00.011','2024-12-23 00:00:00.011',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('3e7fe92f-be9e-47ce-babe-7d10f70f67ac','98b10e67-4030-4de9-ad9d-f2f68d73f62c','2c1ef7cf-3624-43cb-8cf3-d40551cab829','<p>找到工作的乐趣，就有源源不断的热情和创造力。</p>','2024-12-30 15:10:39.075','2024-12-30 15:10:39.075',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-30 15:10:39.074',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('ad7874c7-06f5-4a8a-aa85-6177f134ed26','49d2fda4-f3e7-4301-a45a-b707db640f7d','f06cf8cd-e25f-4542-a8ff-f8571e91be74','<p>时间有年月日时，以每个单位来设立目标</p>','2025-01-01 15:02:18.27','2025-01-01 15:02:18.27',NULL,'f',NULL,'2025-01-01 15:02:18.269',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('40ba8c1b-65e8-4609-8a69-e53f658d42ae','5b96a98f-af1c-4f27-9752-740a595de64f','1131f00f-c162-442f-b3c0-e0ead4f636c3','<p>看事情本质和目标从而分析最合适的strategy.&nbsp;</p>','2025-01-02 14:47:29.027','2025-01-02 14:47:29.027',NULL,'f',NULL,'2025-01-02 14:47:29.026',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('ca824dce-790a-4d2a-b532-b699565eed34','64c6ce3d-82b5-40a5-88d6-bd88b2622d70','861e06a4-3e01-404d-a0c4-d2fa9f5bfa16','<p class="p1"><span class="s1">一是证有不证无</span></p>
<ul class="ul1">
<li class="li1"><span class="s1">证明一件事情有，很简单，举个例子就行。</span></li>
<li class="li1"><span class="s1">可是要证明&rdquo;全世界的生意人都是没良心的&rdquo;，靠举例是不行的。</span></li>
<li class="li1"><span class="s1">很多时候，事物之间的关系并非非黑即白的关系，而是存在着博弈和多样性。</span></li>
<li class="li1"><span class="s1">允许更多的可能性，才能得到更多的机会。</span></li>
</ul>
<p class="p2">&nbsp;</p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">二是以偏不概全</span></p>
<ul class="ul1">
<li class="li1"><span class="s1">个例不能代表全部</span></li>
<li class="li1"><span class="s1">有人说&rdquo;读书有什么用？那个Steve，一本书也没读，不也是千万富翁？怎么回答？&rdquo;他的财富撒了谎。终身学习才能大机率成功。我羡慕他，但是他的运气不一定会降临在我身上。&rdquo;</span></li>
</ul>
<p class="p2">&nbsp;</p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">三是证有靠举例</span></p>
<ul class="ul1">
<li class="li1"><span class="s1">只要有钢铁般的证据，就能证明一件事存在。</span></li>
<li class="li1"><span class="s1">比如，这世界上有即聪明又勤劳的人，比如Elon Musk。</span></li>
<li class="li1"><span class="s1">你认为有，就要举出例子，举不出就是假说。</span></li>
</ul>
<p class="p2">&nbsp;</p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">四是概全靠推理</span></p>
<ul class="ul1">
<li class="li1"><span class="s1">概全就是得出一般性结论，只能靠证明，靠推理。</span></li>
<li class="li1"><span class="s1">比如，所有商品都是用来交换的，封建地租不是用来交换的，由此可以推论出，封建地租不是商品。</span></li>
<li class="li1"><span class="s1">不要随便说&rdquo;这难道不是共识吗？所有人都怎么认为&rdquo;这么说，并不代表你的结论就是真理。</span></li>
</ul>','2024-12-16 00:20:20.954','2024-12-16 00:20:20.954',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-16 00:20:20.951',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('9e957870-55f5-4757-9124-90bdbfd68b35','64c6ce3d-82b5-40a5-88d6-bd88b2622d70','26458796-5d5f-468a-ac5f-69a3a6e55885','<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><strong style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">Day-</span></strong><strong style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB;">16</span></strong><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;"> </span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-ascii-font-family: Garamond; mso-hansi-font-family: Garamond; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">（</span><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB;">16</span><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">/12/2024</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-ascii-font-family: Garamond; mso-hansi-font-family: Garamond; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">）</span><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;"> - page </span><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB;">099-103</span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">【四句话建立基本的逻辑素养】</span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">基本的逻辑素养可以摡括为四句话：<strong style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;">证有不证无．以偏不概全．证有靠举例．概全靠推理</strong>。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-ascii-font-family: Garamond; mso-hansi-font-family: Garamond; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">简单举例证明事实容易，全盤肯定或否定难为。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-ascii-font-family: Garamond; mso-hansi-font-family: Garamond; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">因此，证有不证无；证有靠举例。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-ascii-font-family: Garamond; mso-hansi-font-family: Garamond; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">很多时候，事物之间的关系並非</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">「非黑即白」的关系，而是存在著博奕和多样性。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><strong style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">事物关系</span></strong><strong style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: Symbol; mso-ascii-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-hansi-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-char-type: symbol; mso-symbol-font-family: Symbol;"><span style="mso-char-type: symbol; mso-symbol-font-family: Symbol;">&sup1;</span></span></strong><strong style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">非黑即白</span></strong></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><strong style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-ascii-font-family: Garamond; mso-hansi-font-family: Garamond; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">个例</span></strong><strong style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: Symbol; mso-ascii-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-hansi-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-char-type: symbol; mso-symbol-font-family: Symbol;"><span style="mso-char-type: symbol; mso-symbol-font-family: Symbol;">&sup1;</span></span></strong><strong style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">全部</span></strong></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-ascii-font-family: Garamond; mso-hansi-font-family: Garamond; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">个例用以证</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">「有」，却</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-ascii-font-family: Garamond; mso-hansi-font-family: Garamond; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">不能以个例概全。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-ascii-font-family: Garamond; mso-hansi-font-family: Garamond; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">概全（一般性结论）靠证明外，尚得靠推理。</span></p>','2024-12-16 01:49:32.822','2024-12-16 01:49:32.822',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-16 01:49:32.82',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('2e3f538e-878f-4695-bad0-dd574d1fceb6','64c6ce3d-82b5-40a5-88d6-bd88b2622d70','c11fab34-c054-436b-a25e-f5fdf1c3976e','<p>有时候证有也是靠举例的：明天太阳会升起难道是靠推理？还是我们有很多太阳升起的例子？</p>','2024-12-16 02:06:58.128','2024-12-16 02:06:58.128',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-16 02:06:58.127',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('2813a864-8b8f-4a89-86d1-18da7a93541b','64c6ce3d-82b5-40a5-88d6-bd88b2622d70','d287598e-c515-495a-aaab-d93a50a8de1e','<p>证有不证无:允许更多的可能性，才能得到更多的机会。</p>
<p>以偏不概全:认识好几个人的偏，来得出读书没用的全</p>
<p>证有靠举例:有铁般的证据，就能证明一件事的存在。举不出例子就是假说。</p>
<p>概全靠推理:一般性结论，靠证明，靠推理。</p>
<p>:</p>','2024-12-16 02:20:41.11','2024-12-16 02:20:41.11',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-16 02:20:41.109',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('db72f176-d881-498e-819c-d46e8d6016db','64c6ce3d-82b5-40a5-88d6-bd88b2622d70','c9b39003-1a47-4eb9-a447-837aa6128a1b','<p>4句話建立基本邏輯素養：</p>
<p>1️⃣證有不證無 ：事與物之間關係不是都『非黑即白』的關係。允許更多可能性的存在，這樣才有更多機會。</p>
<p>2️⃣以偏不概全 ：正確的事情重複做，成功機率就會高。而且還可以複製其他公司一樣成功。</p>
<p>3️⃣證有靠舉例 ： 沒有假說，一切舉證。</p>
<p>4️⃣概全靠推理 ：概全都是一般性結論，必需用來證明，靠推理。</p>','2024-12-16 04:29:38.374','2024-12-16 04:29:38.374',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-16 04:29:38.373',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('b8a06b4c-e7d8-455e-9389-480ad15199fe','64c6ce3d-82b5-40a5-88d6-bd88b2622d70','c9b39003-1a47-4eb9-a447-837aa6128a1b','<p>4句話建立基本邏輯素養：</p>
<p>1️⃣證有不證無 ：事與物之間關係不是都『非黑即白』的關係。允許更多可能性的存在，這樣才有更多機會。</p>
<p>2️⃣以偏不概全 ：正確的事情重複做，成功機率就會高。而且還可以複製其他公司一樣成功。</p>
<p>3️⃣證有靠舉例 ： 沒有假說，一切舉證。</p>
<p>4️⃣概全靠推理 ：概全都是一般性結論，必需用來證明，靠推理。</p>','2024-12-16 04:29:38.374','2024-12-16 04:29:38.374',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-16 04:29:38.373',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('24b0c1b6-a99f-4514-8bcf-420f5a0d5049','64c6ce3d-82b5-40a5-88d6-bd88b2622d70','c9b39003-1a47-4eb9-a447-837aa6128a1b','<p>4句話建立基本邏輯素養：</p>
<p>1️⃣證有不證無 ：事與物之間關係不是都『非黑即白』的關係。允許更多可能性的存在，這樣才有更多機會。</p>
<p>2️⃣以偏不概全 ：正確的事情重複做，成功機率就會高。而且還可以複製其他公司一樣成功。</p>
<p>3️⃣證有靠舉例 ： 沒有假說，一切舉證。</p>
<p>4️⃣概全靠推理 ：概全都是一般性結論，必需用來證明，靠推理。</p>','2024-12-16 04:29:38.382','2024-12-16 04:29:38.382',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-16 04:29:38.381',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('80f50cde-ad1f-4410-82a5-0bba58c96a68','64c6ce3d-82b5-40a5-88d6-bd88b2622d70','4d60a8e6-8829-45d3-add6-e61449282094','<p>四句话建立基本的逻辑素养：</p>
<ol>
<li>证有不证无</li>
<li>以偏不概全</li>
<li>证有靠举例</li>
<li>概全靠推理</li>
</ol>','2024-12-16 07:44:11.023','2024-12-16 07:44:11.023',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-16 07:44:11.022',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('8f767741-5096-4a55-b106-bbdcc52adf8f','64c6ce3d-82b5-40a5-88d6-bd88b2622d70','0a652b55-937b-435d-bcb8-4d3fb846b83f','<p>4句話建立基本的邏輯素養：</p>
<p>證有不證無</p>
<p>靠舉例是不行的，要證明。</p>
<p>很多時候，事物之間的關係並非「非黑即</p>
<p>白」的關係，而是存在著博弈和多樣性。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>以偏不概全</p>
<p>屢戰屢敗、屢敗屢戰，正確的事情重複做，才能大機率成功。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>證有靠舉例</p>
<p>只要有鋼鐵般的證據，就能證明一件事存在。不能用假説強行説服另外一個人認可你的觀點。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>概全靠推理</p>
<p>所謂概全，就是得出一般結論，只能靠證明，靠推理。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>','2024-12-16 07:47:15.581','2024-12-16 07:47:15.581',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-16 07:47:15.58',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('502c4148-4511-4f02-a536-d4bfe42c939e','64c6ce3d-82b5-40a5-88d6-bd88b2622d70','1131f00f-c162-442f-b3c0-e0ead4f636c3','<p>四句话建立基本的逻辑素养：</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>1.&nbsp; 证有不证无</p>
<p>2. 以偏不概全</p>
<p>3. 证有靠举例</p>
<p>4.&nbsp; 概全靠推理</p>','2024-12-16 12:19:30.475','2024-12-16 12:19:30.475',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-16 12:19:30.474',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('4c35ff04-9808-438b-a9a1-e6f741b6d0a7','64c6ce3d-82b5-40a5-88d6-bd88b2622d70','3d9c1be4-dac8-482e-8867-e3ba75f3a884','<p>四句话：</p>
<p>证有不证无 vs 证有靠举例 ： &nbsp;不是非黑即白，不是一刀切，需要证据证明</p>
<p>以偏不概全 vs 概全靠推理 ：就算有 －个例子，也不代表事情的全部，需要靠进一步的推论。</p>','2024-12-16 10:17:50.88','2024-12-16 10:17:50.88',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-16 10:17:50.879',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('37ba2827-d3e1-4111-bb45-3dc356617cd3','64c6ce3d-82b5-40a5-88d6-bd88b2622d70','f19a0a29-719b-4ff0-9462-5c18dd598629','<p>我要补充一点，这个对我们如何分辨任何说法的真伪性有帮助，就是天文学家Carl Sagan说的：&ldquo;extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence&rdquo; 非同寻常的主张需要非同寻常的证据。<br><br></p>
<p>这样看来，遇到网上的一些说法，也不需要急着去相信或者不相信他们，就等他们举证吧！这是他们的责任。他说他家的偏方很有效，特别专克癌症。那就去申请美国FDA准证咯！FDA有一套完善的流程，可以让我们知道正药物的有效性，无论是正方偏方，中药还是西药。</p>','2024-12-16 11:54:51.172','2024-12-16 11:55:55.981',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-16 11:55:55.98',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('b84d2402-35c9-47cd-a211-1d708e691bed','64c6ce3d-82b5-40a5-88d6-bd88b2622d70','d7f9d646-34b1-4281-a990-12e3eb93d6ff','<p>建立逻辑素养的一个要素，就是举例。</p>
<p>不管是证有和概全，都需要举例和推理。</p>','2024-12-16 12:04:54.804','2024-12-16 12:04:54.804',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-16 12:04:54.803',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('43e94fb7-374f-45ce-9617-53248b5535e4','64c6ce3d-82b5-40a5-88d6-bd88b2622d70','47cda368-b147-4725-82b1-56340e248f14','<p>四句话建立基本的逻辑素养</p>
<ol>
<li>证有不证无</li>
<li>以偏不概全</li>
<li>证有靠举例</li>
<li>概全靠推理</li>
</ol>','2024-12-16 12:46:23.029','2024-12-16 12:46:23.029',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-16 12:46:23.028',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('19561ba1-71e3-4fef-af67-4853d2aeb03e','64c6ce3d-82b5-40a5-88d6-bd88b2622d70','93f7feca-2e7e-486e-bdb3-b3decc1e2f3d','<p>Day 16 ：12月16 日 &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;《底层逻辑》Part 2：思考问题的底层逻辑<br>四句话建立基本的逻辑素养（Page 099-103）<br>&nbsp;<br>🎯今日读后感悟：<br>&nbsp;</p>
<p>四句话可以幫助建立基本的逻辑素养:&nbsp;</p>
<p>(1)證有不證無</p>
<p>(2)以偏不概全。</p>
<p>(3)證有靠举例</p>
<p>⑷ 概全靠推理</p>','2024-12-16 12:59:15.316','2024-12-16 12:59:15.316',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-16 12:59:15.315',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('1157ad60-95a0-4645-af1f-dcdd6a4e531f','64c6ce3d-82b5-40a5-88d6-bd88b2622d70','6949d955-832d-47f1-870b-95a01be61ff8','<p>四句话建立基本的逻辑素养:</p>
<ol>
<li>证有不证无</li>
<li>以偏不概全</li>
<li>证有靠举例</li>
<li>概全靠推理</li>
</ol>','2024-12-16 13:09:53.217','2024-12-16 13:09:53.217',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-16 13:09:53.217',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('7cf60c16-f181-42fa-81dc-0b1b0917578f','64c6ce3d-82b5-40a5-88d6-bd88b2622d70','042e3658-0d45-45d8-92b1-3d973b328b46','<p>基本逻辑素养的四句话，</p>
<p>1）证有不证无：不是所有事情都有证明对比</p>
<p>2）以偏不概全：一个人这样，不代表全部都一样</p>
<p>3）证有靠举例：凡是要例子证明</p>
<p>4）概全靠推理：推理的思维来证明</p>','2024-12-16 13:29:03.85','2024-12-16 13:29:03.85',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-16 13:29:03.848',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('ad694a25-6a99-4b4a-b54f-ed2f638db944','64c6ce3d-82b5-40a5-88d6-bd88b2622d70','6cef5362-7ff5-4fa0-8829-76df28438992','<p>对事物的认清与判断，有几件事是得注意的：</p>
<p>1.是证有不证无</p>
<p>2.是以偏概全</p>
<p>3.是证有靠举例</p>
<p>4.是概全靠推理。</p>
<p>从这四事，提醒了我们在做任何判断前更谨慎。</p>','2024-12-16 13:29:19.617','2024-12-16 13:29:19.617',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-16 13:29:19.616',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('3dd6d4e0-17b6-4964-87c1-4dc1ce092176','64c6ce3d-82b5-40a5-88d6-bd88b2622d70','4f2eb2b3-94b5-4ee7-8132-6fb6407ff96e','<p>证明有比证明没有还要容易</p>','2024-12-16 14:11:46.848','2024-12-16 14:11:46.848',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-16 14:11:46.847',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('9c18df1a-fe53-4c68-89f1-30d41af859e3','b541814c-594b-4efa-bf5d-708f84c48cf3','4d60a8e6-8829-45d3-add6-e61449282094','<p>&middot; 始终保持不断打碎自己的开放心态</p>
<p>&middot; 离事实越远，离阴谋论就越近</p>','2024-12-16 08:18:00.339','2024-12-18 00:00:00.01',NULL,'f','2024-12-18 00:00:00.009','2024-12-18 00:00:00.009',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('40eede17-7cb2-4105-9796-8e1973abab3a','090384b3-c089-4ed0-aecf-abf0ed2c92a8','4d60a8e6-8829-45d3-add6-e61449282094','<ol>
<li>尽早存到足够的本金</li>
<li>努力做到稳健高收益</li>
<li>让时间证明它的力量</li>
</ol>
<p>&nbsp;</p>','2024-12-16 08:37:48.414','2024-12-18 00:00:00.01',NULL,'f','2024-12-18 00:00:00.009','2024-12-18 00:00:00.009',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('8bb8bb7e-c171-44ca-9ff5-bcf6e072bfa7','b5cfb88c-2f34-4054-839b-69128f550b29','0a652b55-937b-435d-bcb8-4d3fb846b83f','<p>複利效應</p>
<p>靠本金獲得財富自由</p>
<p>努力做到穩健高收益</p>
<p>让時間證明複利的力量</p>
<p>降低自身的貪念与欲望</p>','2024-12-19 03:11:20.491','2024-12-19 03:12:20.756',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-19 03:12:20.755',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('0dbbe284-6715-4e3c-b266-db41adb36e1d','b5cfb88c-2f34-4054-839b-69128f550b29','d7f9d646-34b1-4281-a990-12e3eb93d6ff','<p>财富自由，人人渴望。</p>
<p>第一桶金也是需要实打实换回来的。</p>
<p>复利也没有侥幸或走运这回事，降低期待，踏踏实实。</p>','2024-12-19 08:48:19.224','2024-12-19 08:48:19.224',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-19 08:48:19.223',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('185b3398-f602-4cdc-889e-94eebac08a4b','b5cfb88c-2f34-4054-839b-69128f550b29','b1d2b7e9-339b-46d2-9f25-30c45ecce2d1','<p>复利这个词在任何投资理财课都有在讲。<br><br>除了理解公式上有些错误的演算，<br><br>我个人认为最受益的是本章提到的 3 种财富自由的方程式。<br><br>因为确实，不同财务自由方程式，<br><br>有不同的复利方式去达到。<br><br>我很诚实说，我并不想最后的成就在于三生三世财务自由。<br><br>我认为，如果有下一代，<br><br>那他们会有他们该争取的生活，<br><br>而若要财富自由，<br><br>我更希望今生今世，甚至尽早。<br><br>本章也提到，<br><br>第一桶金式的财富自由。<br><br>这更是我向往的。<br><br>这章来的刚刚好，<br>因为，我正规划着明年的财务。<br>对与理财策略上，我有更明确的想法～</p>','2024-12-16 07:49:06.31','2024-12-19 00:00:00.027',NULL,'f','2024-12-19 00:00:00.026','2024-12-19 00:00:00.025',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('54b39082-524b-49bc-a0f8-4b8040f50e16','6bf29380-f700-4309-a81d-0a823101d638','1a28ed21-9fd6-4880-8fcc-727c43eb36b1','<p>数学机率计算在企业发展极为重要。每一项任务能成功完成都经历很多失败！但是要多少次数失败呢？还要坚持的恒心者才能真正做到！</p>','2024-12-16 10:09:46.846','2024-12-22 00:00:00.034',NULL,'f','2024-12-22 00:00:00.032','2024-12-22 00:00:00.032',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('1263025d-7e15-4281-8750-95174ee509c1','73d404e3-c3a6-4105-8463-cfb9bcce8d62','dee0ab39-9eab-4b3d-bad7-a9f0422f8fb5','<p>了解机率思维，不要轻易接受失败，要再不断尝试，离最后胜利目标就不远了。</p>','2024-12-19 10:45:15.882','2024-12-21 00:00:00.028',NULL,'f','2024-12-21 00:00:00.026','2024-12-21 00:00:00.026',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('6c482726-1c8e-4733-97f0-a5c5cc52132c','64c6ce3d-82b5-40a5-88d6-bd88b2622d70','a79358bf-a0d8-49f2-be81-0ba66e697353','<p>1）证有不证无- 证明有举个例子就行，可是要允许更多可能性，不能胡乱说无，可能只是我们没见过而已。</p>
<p>2）以偏不概全- 不能以一些&ldquo;偏&rdquo;的例子，来说成全部都是这样的。做正确的事，提升大概率的机会。</p>
<p>3）证有靠举例- 要举出证据</p>
<p>4）概全靠推理- 用逻辑思维，证明解论</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>','2024-12-16 13:34:27.228','2024-12-16 13:34:27.228',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-16 13:34:27.227',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('c9cba5c3-a7b2-48dc-a9e1-582ad2719cd9','64c6ce3d-82b5-40a5-88d6-bd88b2622d70','be5b7e97-d65c-43f6-ba7f-0ffd13533f1a','<p>基本逻辑素养：<br>1.） 是证有不证无 ~有，举个例子就能证明。不是非黑即白，应许更多的可能性。<br>2.）以偏不概全~ 把正确的事（大概率成功的）重复做。<br>3.）时证有靠举例 ~ 是钢铁般的证据，就能证明一件事的存在。<br>4.）概全靠推理。</p>
<p>3）证是靠举例 ：&nbsp;证明一般性的结论，只能靠证明和推理来做结论。</p>','2024-12-16 13:50:16.261','2024-12-16 13:50:16.261',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-16 13:50:16.259',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('fb0837e4-e013-45ff-adae-02976489a9f3','64c6ce3d-82b5-40a5-88d6-bd88b2622d70','7c90ff31-3cfe-46d0-8204-3b842b9bb44e','<p><span style="font-family: var(--font-ubuntu);">建立基本逻辑的四要素</span></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>1。 证有不证无</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>2。以偏不概全</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>3。证有靠举例</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>4。概全靠推理</p>','2024-12-16 13:51:29.841','2024-12-16 13:51:43.061',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-16 13:51:43.06',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('505dbef2-01ee-4568-be63-221829482b7b','64c6ce3d-82b5-40a5-88d6-bd88b2622d70','4cfe29dd-714c-41a2-bc6d-306205099ae9','<p>邏輯素養</p>
<p>1。證有不全 - 沒看過不代表沒有，容許更多可能性</p>
<p>2。偏不概全 - 少數例外真的是例外，不要變成教科書</p>
<p>3。證有舉例 - 有證據有真相</p>
<p>4。概全靠推理 - 證明一般性結論</p>','2024-12-16 13:52:14.778','2024-12-16 13:52:14.778',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-16 13:52:14.777',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('f28bacba-bcd4-4781-b528-21815e6842ee','64c6ce3d-82b5-40a5-88d6-bd88b2622d70','a000f9e2-7648-49c9-8713-f245191f61d3','<p>建立基本的逻辑素养：-</p>
<p>1.证有不证无</p>
<p>2.以偏不盖全</p>
<p>3.证有靠举例</p>
<p>4.盖全靠推理/证明</p>','2024-12-16 14:05:09.754','2024-12-16 14:05:09.754',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-16 14:05:09.753',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('559138df-44e4-4a62-8908-f29cd5105dcc','64c6ce3d-82b5-40a5-88d6-bd88b2622d70','069c59cc-12d1-4b10-aabf-cabe5bfceaaf','<p>概全，就是得出一般性结论</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>','2024-12-16 14:13:00.052','2024-12-16 14:13:07.251',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-16 14:13:07.25',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('e1eac8f6-ee2a-45a1-a156-34a579672492','64c6ce3d-82b5-40a5-88d6-bd88b2622d70','3c16baf4-84df-4958-a74c-aa7b7d950e3a','<p>1.证有不证无</p>
<p>2.以便不概全</p>
<p>3.证有靠举例</p>
<p>4.概全靠推理</p>','2024-12-16 14:20:56.877','2024-12-16 14:20:56.877',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-16 14:20:56.876',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('8ed4015b-12bb-4bee-a77d-fbd7482caa69','64c6ce3d-82b5-40a5-88d6-bd88b2622d70','138265fe-95ad-4ebc-b601-e7cbf4fd9f27','<p>建立基本逻辑的四要素就是<span style="font-family: var(--font-ubuntu);">证有不证无，</span>以偏不概全，证有靠举例，概全靠推理。</p>','2024-12-16 14:31:54.833','2024-12-16 14:31:54.833',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-16 14:31:54.832',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('d7eeed55-1b76-428f-b7d2-f9d6b419e318','64c6ce3d-82b5-40a5-88d6-bd88b2622d70','bdee759b-405c-461f-97a1-a39e711c7e8e','<p class="p1"><span class="s1">四句話建立邏輯修養：</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">（1）證有不證無</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">（2）以偏不概全</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">（3）證有靠舉例</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">（4）概全靠推理</span></p>','2024-12-16 14:36:12.726','2024-12-16 14:36:12.726',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-16 14:36:12.725',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('bfcd45e0-9348-405f-84b0-7b1fabce653d','64c6ce3d-82b5-40a5-88d6-bd88b2622d70','82401c82-df66-4556-a63e-3ff096e9ba26','<ol>
<li>证有不证无</li>
<li>以偏不概全</li>
<li>证有靠举例</li>
<li>概全靠推理</li>
</ol>','2024-12-16 14:42:03.215','2024-12-16 14:42:03.215',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-16 14:42:03.214',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('1a4be046-8029-47c4-af64-251d507fc122','64c6ce3d-82b5-40a5-88d6-bd88b2622d70','7ae3c10f-1299-472c-a9d4-b368d392f445','<p class="p1"><span class="s1">四句話建立邏輯修养</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">1）證有不證無</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">2) 以偏不概全</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">3）證有靠舉例</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">4) 概全靠推理</span></p>','2024-12-16 14:45:24.852','2024-12-16 14:45:24.852',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-16 14:45:24.851',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('f672a014-f5ff-4bb9-8c2c-d9d9a75a087c','64c6ce3d-82b5-40a5-88d6-bd88b2622d70','8c41d3c3-8cab-4621-868b-700631a7ecc1','<p><strong>四句建立基本逻辑素养的话：</strong></p>
<p>1）证有不证无 ：没有看过的事物并不代表没有</p>
<p>2）以偏不概全 ：别把例外当成全部</p>
<p>3）证有靠举例 ：要证明事物就要有证据</p>
<p>4）概全靠推理 ：要得出一般性结论，必须靠推理，靠证明</p>','2024-12-16 14:49:20.797','2024-12-16 14:49:20.797',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-16 14:49:20.796',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('311f927a-5f10-41cb-a445-d49c5c4ec326','64c6ce3d-82b5-40a5-88d6-bd88b2622d70','c5e069be-e34f-4a00-8866-8ee0e14fd6df','<p>证有不证无 | 不是你没有看到的就等于没有。不是有多的证据就能证明的，比如说 ： 天下乌鸦一样黑，找了100万个黑乌鸦也不能断定。只是还没有看到白乌鸦而已。</p>
<p>以偏不概全|&nbsp; 不要一把浆打翻一艘船</p>
<p>证有靠举例 | 用证据证明一件事情的存在。</p>
<p>概全靠推理 | 一个结论性的判断要靠证明和运用头脑里面 的 &ldquo;AI 数据&rdquo;经验等等 来推理得出。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>','2024-12-16 15:04:12.703','2024-12-16 15:04:12.703',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-16 15:04:12.702',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('968a8d1a-cb7b-49da-a7ce-4cecfdc31038','64c6ce3d-82b5-40a5-88d6-bd88b2622d70','f06cf8cd-e25f-4542-a8ff-f8571e91be74','<p>证有不证无</p>
<p>以偏不概全</p>
<p>证有靠举例</p>
<p>概全靠推理</p>','2024-12-16 15:14:23.127','2024-12-16 15:14:23.127',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-16 15:14:23.126',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('b7175dcf-7c2c-466f-8ea1-2857022c29d7','64c6ce3d-82b5-40a5-88d6-bd88b2622d70','abafda80-d191-4990-802d-f631604815a6','<ol>
<li>是证有不证无-</li>
<li>以偏不概全</li>
<li>证有靠举例</li>
<li>概全靠推理</li>
</ol>','2024-12-16 15:24:49.661','2024-12-16 15:24:49.661',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-16 15:24:49.66',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('ae5e6e51-bd95-4703-8977-851e95d94ea0','b541814c-594b-4efa-bf5d-708f84c48cf3','53929692-27f3-426b-a4ce-9f2a98b8d064','<p>不断学习，不断增加知识，这些人的能力会越来越强。</p>','2024-12-16 22:05:27.922','2024-12-16 22:05:27.922',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-16 22:05:27.921',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('dae5a172-7ad1-48d5-8728-3573c4350f96','9b34e463-2f33-406d-a7a5-57ac0149c61f','3d9c1be4-dac8-482e-8867-e3ba75f3a884','<p>努力是必须的，但是也要理解机率性的原理。</p>','2024-12-19 23:51:04.108','2024-12-19 23:51:04.108',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-19 23:51:04.106',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('40dfa1eb-19f1-46c6-9a79-80c3d7967b04','73d404e3-c3a6-4105-8463-cfb9bcce8d62','f06cf8cd-e25f-4542-a8ff-f8571e91be74','<p>机率思维很重要。</p>
<p>千位 = 时代</p>
<p>百位 = 战略</p>
<p>十位 = 治理</p>
<p>个位 = 管理</p>','2024-12-21 15:15:35.92','2024-12-21 15:15:53.356',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-21 15:15:53.355',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('a06dedb2-9ccc-4ca9-89d6-b8a940eca710','73d404e3-c3a6-4105-8463-cfb9bcce8d62','1131f00f-c162-442f-b3c0-e0ead4f636c3','<p>天时地利人和不是偶然。。。。</p>
<p>时代，战略，治理，管理都必须掌握到位。</p>','2024-12-21 15:22:52.643','2024-12-21 15:22:52.643',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-21 15:22:52.642',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('1a897eb6-22e1-48fb-b737-20ea991a6428','7879f9db-a7aa-487a-bdc7-2150dc5886ed','c5e069be-e34f-4a00-8866-8ee0e14fd6df','<p>最值得拥有的能力就是 ： 获得能力的能力</p>
<p>要勤劳，要可怕的勤劳，要高效可怕的勤劳。</p>','2024-12-27 15:30:29.178','2024-12-27 15:30:29.863',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-27 15:30:29.862',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('aa238209-6cd9-4dc5-af6b-f38006ac516d','49d2fda4-f3e7-4301-a45a-b707db640f7d','bdee759b-405c-461f-97a1-a39e711c7e8e','<p>把时间单位细化成年、月、日。再以此规划行动计划</p>','2025-01-01 15:39:52.987','2025-01-01 15:39:52.987',NULL,'f',NULL,'2025-01-01 15:39:52.985',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('084fa8b6-028d-4ec0-88b4-ff508792a092','64c6ce3d-82b5-40a5-88d6-bd88b2622d70','459a1283-290a-4d4b-b10f-6504664de97b','<div>我本身也是面对同样的这个案例：真正憑良心做生意能不能赚到钱。</div>
<div>书中说到，做生意是要有商业头脑，不能把善良归于心。我非常认同。</div>
<div>&nbsp;</div>
<div>天下乌鸦一样黑，是因为还没看到白乌鸦出现，不能说是没有。</div>
<div>&nbsp;</div>
<div>常常都有听人不用读书很好的人，一样有非常成功的案例很多。但是不代表不需要读书就能成功。</div>
<div>&nbsp;</div>
<div>一切都应该看每件事情的机率比。</div>
<div>所有的结论最好都需要证据，数据会更有说服力。事实证明一切。</div>','2024-12-16 15:38:21.268','2024-12-16 15:38:21.268',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-16 15:38:21.267',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('fa672601-282b-4db3-bf1e-11150aea371b','64c6ce3d-82b5-40a5-88d6-bd88b2622d70','22eebfc2-f1bd-4144-ac9b-9b146d80a3ee','<p>Day 16 ：12月16 日 《底层逻辑》Part 2：思考问题的底层逻辑</p>
<p>四句话建立基本的逻辑素养（Page 099-103）</p>
<p>🎯今日读后感悟：</p>
<p>如何建立逻辑思维：</p>
<ol>
<li>证有不证无：允许更多的可能性</li>
<li>以偏不概全：不做片面之词</li>
<li>证有靠举例：以例子证&ldquo;有&rdquo;</li>
<li>概全靠推理：以推理去证</li>
</ol>','2024-12-16 15:41:57.424','2024-12-16 15:41:57.424',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-16 15:41:57.423',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('8be9d14e-0df4-4db1-b443-0226379470b4','64c6ce3d-82b5-40a5-88d6-bd88b2622d70','550d0df0-c244-418c-8fd4-915e9faffda1','<p>如何才能挖掘自己的逻辑思维呢?</p>
<p>我们可以运用四句话建立基本的逻辑素养：</p>
<p><strong>1） 证有不证无</strong></p>
<p>证明有的东西靠举例子；但是要否定东西的存在，单靠例子反而不行</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>2）以偏不概全</strong></p>
<p>偏方不能用来当作一只竹竿打翻船，定律一切。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>3）证有靠举例</strong></p>
<p>不要随便说&ldquo;我相信就有&ldquo;，不要用一个假说，强行说服另一个人认可你的观点</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>4）概全靠推理</strong></p>
<p>共识不代表真理，我们要利用例子，逻辑来证明它。</p>','2024-12-16 15:49:17.618','2024-12-16 15:49:17.618',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-16 15:49:17.617',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('b6df556b-08dd-4ffa-8e37-2b39b48a1ed5','64c6ce3d-82b5-40a5-88d6-bd88b2622d70','ef10631b-65db-4272-af44-c5d7da8f94f4','<p><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);"><strong>四句话建立基本的逻辑素养</strong></span></p>
<p><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">1）证有不证无</span></p>
<p><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">证有举个例子就行，证无举例是不行的。</span></p>
<p><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">2）以偏不概全</span></p>
<p><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">3）证有靠举例</span></p>
<p><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);">4） 概全靠推理-概全，就是得出一般性结论，只能靠证明，靠推理，要用逻辑思维来证明它</span></p>','2024-12-16 15:33:35.171','2024-12-16 15:56:30.81',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-16 15:56:30.809',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('29fbfd8e-0b29-4d87-83ff-db70b84df741','b541814c-594b-4efa-bf5d-708f84c48cf3','bc030323-5b78-4cf5-8c04-0ba4b93a64d1','<div class="flex flex-row justify-between gap-2">
<div class="flex flex-row gap-2 mb-2">
<div class="font-semibold flex flex-row items-center gap-2">&nbsp;</div>
</div>
</div>
<div class="text-xs sm:text-sm ml-[38px]">
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">Day 17 ：12月17 日&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 《底层逻辑》Part 2：思考问题的底层逻辑</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">逻辑闭环的五个层次（Page 103-107）</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s2"><br></span><span class="s1">🎯</span><span class="s2">今日读后感悟：</span></p>
<p class="p2">&nbsp;</p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s2">逻辑闭环的五个层次</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s2">第一层次：无闭环，无逻辑</span></p>
<p class="p3"><span class="s1">&nbsp;&bull; 思维无交集，言语前后脱节。</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s2">第二层次：无闭环，有逻辑</span></p>
<p class="p3"><span class="s1">&nbsp;&bull; 有逻辑推理，但观点自相矛盾，无法形成统一体系。</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s2">第三层次：有闭环，低层次逻辑</span></p>
<p class="p3"><span class="s1">&bull; 思维逻辑完整，但局限于低层次的经验。</span></p>
<p class="p3"><span class="s1">&nbsp;&bull; 观点虚无、不落地，阻碍成长。</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s2">第四层次：有闭环，高层次逻辑</span></p>
<p class="p3"><span class="s1">&bull; 逻辑通透，直达本质，富有吸引力。</span></p>
<p class="p3"><span class="s1">&bull; 问题：容易排斥新事物，依赖旧经验，难以适应新环境。</span></p>
<p class="p2">&nbsp;</p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s2">第五层次：有闭环，高层次逻辑，且保持开放</span></p>
<p class="p3"><span class="s1">&bull; 思维开放，无限延展，不断吸纳新知。</span></p>
<p class="p3"><span class="s1">&bull; 能打破旧框架，复盘调整，拥有强大的学习与适应能力。</span></p>
<p class="p3"><span class="s1">&bull; 面对挫折后快速重建，展现强大生命力和潜力。</span></p>
</div>','2024-12-16 15:49:48.439','2024-12-17 01:40:22.849',NULL,'f','2024-12-16 16:00:00','2024-12-17 01:40:22.848',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('67d24be0-f55b-4076-ae0f-67bbdf9aeafb','1df9e5fd-444d-4d7d-ad30-e4294526e0b5','80c5d91b-7a3f-4987-82e1-726f6da09e6b','<p>3)&nbsp; 公理体系（源于几何学）- 公理是具有自明性并有公认的定理。公理体系是完全自洽的。公理是一种选择、共识、基准原则。</p>
<p>例如：公司有公司的愿景、使命、价值观或公司基因。家庭，有家庭的家风和传承。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>','2024-12-17 08:56:42.985','2024-12-24 00:00:00.026',NULL,'f','2024-12-24 00:00:00.025','2024-12-24 00:00:00.025',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('fa98bce0-d069-4a49-93e2-0c3deb952397','b5cfb88c-2f34-4054-839b-69128f550b29','47cda368-b147-4725-82b1-56340e248f14','<p>总结，财富自由的关键就是降低欲望，提高赚钱能力，找到本金，在利滚利。</p>','2024-12-19 11:44:32.909','2024-12-19 11:44:32.909',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-19 11:44:32.908',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('63defe90-8d54-41f5-8f8d-17c4cc5d8d51','b541814c-594b-4efa-bf5d-708f84c48cf3','861e06a4-3e01-404d-a0c4-d2fa9f5bfa16','<p class="p1"><span class="s1">第五层次：思维有闭环，思考有逻辑，且能在高层次形成逻辑闭环，并始终保持不断打碎自己的开放心态。</span></p>
<p class="p2">&nbsp;</p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">这一层次的人的思维闭环永远开放，永远没有死环。他大量吸收新知识，不断地去学习别人的逻辑框架，然后不断地下沉，往外延伸。在吸纳海量的新知识之后，他不断反覆运算逻辑层次，不断复盘，不断进行结构调整。</span></p>','2024-12-17 09:16:14.896','2024-12-17 09:16:14.896',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-17 09:16:14.895',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('919b48a6-e765-48f6-8a23-331f80ab41e0','b541814c-594b-4efa-bf5d-708f84c48cf3','c5e069be-e34f-4a00-8866-8ee0e14fd6df','<p>五层次：</p>
<p>1.思维没有闭环，思考没有逻辑</p>
<p>2.思维没有闭环，思考有逻辑</p>
<p>3.思维有闭环，思考有逻辑，闭环层次低</p>
<p>4.思维有闭环，思考有逻辑，闭环层次高</p>
<p>5.思维有闭环，思考有逻辑，闭环层次高，在高层次形成闭环。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>我还没分得清楚，到此。</p>','2024-12-17 10:34:35.929','2024-12-17 10:34:35.929',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-17 10:34:35.927',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('b9294c95-3c09-474e-9134-84ae3bafa499','090384b3-c089-4ed0-aecf-abf0ed2c92a8','3c44f813-90cf-4c87-ab87-553efe18c88a','<p>复利不是利滚利最大成效,而是本金带来大部分的利息.早期靠本金,后期靠复利.</p>
<p>欲望比本领小和少,日子过得自在从容欢喜😊</p>','2024-12-18 00:48:54.338','2024-12-18 00:48:54.338',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-18 00:48:54.338',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('6984eeb9-6cc1-442b-a091-394aed2f5da5','9b34e463-2f33-406d-a7a5-57ac0149c61f','72ce0c9e-c59c-4daf-a31b-84b5558f1948','<p>努力是需要的，但很多时候，95%还是靠运气。</p>','2024-12-20 05:54:09.75','2024-12-20 05:54:37.923',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-20 05:54:37.922',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('320eba3b-6a72-4cf4-9437-802eb3143d0a','73d404e3-c3a6-4105-8463-cfb9bcce8d62','4cfe29dd-714c-41a2-bc6d-306205099ae9','<p>趨勢-千位</p>
<p>戰略-百位</p>
<p>治理-百位</p>
<p>管理-個位</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>成功就是不斷的提高概率，概率高就運氣高。懂得避開坑坑洞洞，創業的路才能走得更遠。</p>','2024-12-19 15:29:31.055','2024-12-21 00:00:00.028',NULL,'f','2024-12-21 00:00:00.026','2024-12-21 00:00:00.026',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('c856419c-ee62-4d80-b0b6-3b8d57c1fa79','64c6ce3d-82b5-40a5-88d6-bd88b2622d70','bc030323-5b78-4cf5-8c04-0ba4b93a64d1','<p class="p1"><span class="s1">Day 16 ：12月16 日&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 《底层逻辑》Part 2：思考问题的底层逻辑</span></p>
<p class="p2"><span class="s2">四句话建立基本的逻辑素养（Page 099-103）</span><span class="s3">&nbsp;</span></p>
<p class="p2"><span class="s2">🎯今日读后感悟：</span></p>
<p class="p4"><span class="s1">1. 证有不证无</span></p>
<p class="p4"><span class="s1"> &bull; 重点：证明「有」很简单，举例就行；但证明「无」很难，因为没见过不代表不存在。</span></p>
<p class="p4"><span class="s1">&nbsp;&bull; 启示：别因为自己没见过就否定可能性。</span></p>
<p class="p4"><span class="s1">2. 以偏不概全</span></p>
<p class="p4"><span class="s1"> &bull; 重点：一两个例子不能代表全部。</span></p>
<p class="p4"><span class="s1"> &bull; 启示：成功或失败的个例，不等于普遍规律，要用大范围数据或逻辑来支持结论。</span></p>
<p class="p4"><span class="s1">3. 证有靠举例</span></p>
<p class="p4"><span class="s1"> &bull; 重点：证明「有」时，必须用具体例子。</span></p>
<p class="p4"><span class="s1"> &bull; 启示：有实际证据才能说服别人，假说或想像力不足以证明。</span></p>
<p class="p5">&nbsp;</p>
<p class="p4"><span class="s1">4. 概全靠推理</span></p>
<p class="p4"><span class="s1"> &bull; 重点：得出普遍性结论，需要靠严谨推理，不是因为「大家都这么说」。</span></p>
<p class="p4"><span class="s1">&nbsp;&bull; 启示：用逻辑说服，而不是依赖共识或感觉。</span></p>
<p class="p4"><span class="s1">总结：不要轻易否定可能性，也不要用个例代替规律，说话和思考时要用证据或推理来支持观点。</span></p>','2024-12-16 11:23:51.844','2024-12-16 15:51:59.088',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-16 15:51:59.087',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('acf2bb8f-5e67-424c-b088-fcd096ad3508','b541814c-594b-4efa-bf5d-708f84c48cf3','f96bb3ac-81d2-449d-bcab-c984308b1d78','<p>第一层次：思维没有闭环，思考没有逻辑。你说A，他说B，两者之间的思维永远没有交集。<br>第二层次：思维没有闭环，思考有逻辑。有符合逻辑推理的一些观点，但观点时常左右徘徊，自相矛盾。<br>第三层次：思维有闭环，思考有逻辑，但闭环的层次比较低。<br>第四层次：思维有闭环，思考有逻辑，且能在更高层次形成逻辑闭环，逻辑闭环十分通透，直达本质。<br>第五层次：思维有闭环，思考有逻辑，且能在高层次形成逻辑闭环，并始终保持不断打碎自己的开放心态。<br><br>你会觉得特别可怕，这才是真正的高手。他大量吸收新知识，无论风吹雨打从不间断，不断地去学习<br>别人的逻辑框架，然后不断地下沉，往外延伸。在吸纳海量的新知识之后，他不断迭代逻辑层次，不断复盘，不断进行结构调整。面对一次次打击后又重新站起来，这种人的思维结构永远如同初生的婴儿一般，这使他拥有着澎湃的生命力和无限的希望。</p>','2024-12-17 04:32:09.266','2024-12-17 04:32:34.561',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-17 04:32:34.559',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('c564f93f-878e-4504-a16a-bfef34180b7b','b541814c-594b-4efa-bf5d-708f84c48cf3','b2120258-4016-43f4-9c32-1f9c0e96bfaf','<p>逻辑闭环的五个层次</p>
<p>1）思维没有闭环，思考没有逻辑。你说A，他说B，两者之间没有交集。</p>
<p>2）思维没有闭环，思考有逻辑。有符合逻辑推理的一些观点，但观点时常左右徘徊，自相矛盾。</p>
<p>3）思维有闭环，思考有逻辑，但闭环的层次比较低。一个人一旦在低层次形成了逻辑闭环，可能就无法前进了。因为所有问题在他的逻辑闭环之中，都是可以解释的。</p>
<p>4）思维有闭环，思考有逻辑，且能在更高层次形成逻辑闭环，逻辑闭环十分通透，直达本质。这一层次谈吐间流露个人魅力，有着逻辑的美，可惜他对新事物总是抱有怀疑、排斥的心理，旧时代结构一旦发生变化，他的闭环可能出现漏洞。</p>
<p>5）思维有闭环，思考有逻辑，且能在高层次形成逻辑闭环，並始终保持不断打碎自己的开放心态。这一层次的人思维闭环永远开放，永远没有死环。他的思维是一圈圈螺旋式，可以无限的往下延伸到深不可测的海底，也无限地向宇宙最深延伸。</p>','2024-11-25 01:49:17.266','2024-12-17 04:42:42.746',NULL,'f','2024-12-16 16:00:00','2024-12-17 04:42:42.745',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('cc758358-0295-48cb-bec7-cd4ebd4f0006','b541814c-594b-4efa-bf5d-708f84c48cf3','724f2776-0f89-4693-96ac-067e7121c40c','<p>逻辑闭环的五个层次包括明确目标（Why）、构建假设（What if）、分析原因（How）、制定行动（What to do）、及时反馈（Check），通过动态调整和持续优化，确保思考完整、高效、自洽。</p>','2024-12-17 05:50:03.554','2024-12-17 05:50:03.554',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-17 05:50:03.553',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('add73092-25be-48be-963b-f9c931e3f322','b541814c-594b-4efa-bf5d-708f84c48cf3','3d9c1be4-dac8-482e-8867-e3ba75f3a884','<p>何为闭环，何为开环 ？</p>
<p>闭环的意思是可以不断的问下去，而且回答是有背后的逻辑存在的。</p>
<p>所以，可以用 &rdquo;思维有否闭环 &rdquo; VS &rdquo;回答有否逻辑&rdquo; 交义对接而可得到五个结论。</p>
<p>书中提的五个層次结论。</p>','2024-12-17 08:54:23.523','2024-12-17 08:54:23.523',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-17 08:54:23.522',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('277cdefb-7dc7-4cec-89d2-816cf15c09c6','b541814c-594b-4efa-bf5d-708f84c48cf3','f19a0a29-719b-4ff0-9462-5c18dd598629','<p>所以和层次低的人辩论真的很辛苦。因为会总是在兜圈子，抓不到要点。<br><br><br></p>','2024-12-17 10:16:53.177','2024-12-17 10:16:53.177',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-17 10:16:53.176',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('4e58a37f-8e13-4e58-84d4-f8e0ad14b087','1df9e5fd-444d-4d7d-ad30-e4294526e0b5','09891df5-07b0-40c9-8f3c-a23b63aa2cfd','<p>数字思维-公理体系<br>如果说公理体系是一棵大树，公理就是树根。<br>犹如一家公司的基因，文化愿景使命价值观。<br>而这体系是完全自洽，就是不需要老板做决定。<br>老板只负责成为创造最大价值的人，让公司获得最大收益。</p>','2024-12-17 01:51:22.249','2024-12-24 00:00:00.026',NULL,'f','2024-12-24 00:00:00.025','2024-12-24 00:00:00.025',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('a791e9a1-a254-4a2e-b374-dfe747195e15','ea8079c9-b0c2-4f7b-9b73-06258e711936','09891df5-07b0-40c9-8f3c-a23b63aa2cfd','<p>数字思维里头有一个博弈论，就是所谓做决策。<br>下棋就是典型的博弈，每走一步，我所得的就是你失去的，下棋的时候，其实不是每一部都是要吃掉对方的棋子，是讲究技巧，有时是以退为进。犹如生活，如果要得到最好的结果，可能一些关键步骤上要做出一些妥协。</p>','2024-12-17 01:51:48.189','2024-12-25 00:00:00.008',NULL,'f','2024-12-25 00:00:00.006','2024-12-25 00:00:00.006',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('063fbd6e-e761-4949-97a7-03779956dfc1','b541814c-594b-4efa-bf5d-708f84c48cf3','8ba62dba-0026-464f-a0d5-bd8c4d6c0430','<p>逻辑闭环的五个层次代表了人们思维能力的不同高度：</p>
<ol>
<li><strong>第一层次</strong>：思维缺乏闭环，思考没有逻辑。观点彼此割裂，缺乏关联性。</li>
<li><strong>第二层次</strong>：思维无闭环但有逻辑。观点虽有推理基础，但容易自相矛盾。</li>
<li><strong>第三层次</strong>：思维形成闭环，但层次较低。虽能自圆其说，但观点停留在表面，无法推动实际问题解决，固步自封。</li>
<li><strong>第四层次</strong>：思维闭环完整且直达本质，逻辑清晰透彻，极具说服力。然而，容易固守旧有认知，面对新事物时缺乏开放心态，难以突破时代局限。</li>
<li><strong>第五层次</strong>：思维闭环开放且持续迭代。始终保持学习、复盘和突破的态度，思维不断延展和深化，具备极强的适应力与生命力，是真正的高手。</li>
</ol>
<p><strong>总结</strong>：从思维没有闭环到不断迭代的开放思维，每个层次都决定了一个人对问题的认知深度。最高层次的人不仅能透彻理解事物本质，还能打破自我认知局限，持续成长，展现出无穷的潜力与力量。</p>','2024-12-17 07:09:24.048','2024-12-17 07:09:24.048',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-17 07:09:24.046',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('2ba96551-da01-474c-9ad2-bf82a7500ec6','b541814c-594b-4efa-bf5d-708f84c48cf3','be5b7e97-d65c-43f6-ba7f-0ffd13533f1a','<div class="flex flex-row justify-between gap-2">
<div class="flex flex-row gap-2 mb-2">&nbsp;</div>
</div>
<div class="text-xs sm:text-sm ml-[38px]">
<p>逻辑闭环分为五个层次：</p>
<ol>
<li>第一层次：思维缺乏闭环，思考没有逻辑。两者之间的思维没有交集。</li>
<li>第二层次：思维无闭环但有逻辑。观点自相矛盾。</li>
<li>第三层次：思维形成闭环，但层次较低。只要认定了一个观点就一味的扶着它，不愿接受新的观点。</li>
<li>第四层次：思维有闭环，思考有逻辑，且能在更高层次形成逻辑闭环，逻辑闭环十分通透，直达本质。对新事物抱有怀疑&lsquo;排斥的心理。</li>
<li>第五层次：思维有闭环，思考有逻辑，且能在高层次形成逻辑闭环，並始终保持不断打碎自己的开放心态。</li>
</ol>
<p>对新的知识保持开放的态度，不断提升，吸取，调整才能离真相近一些。</p>
</div>','2024-12-17 07:34:30.947','2024-12-17 07:34:30.947',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-17 07:34:30.946',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('51c5ad58-4518-4717-9c5c-30d6bbb67ad4','b541814c-594b-4efa-bf5d-708f84c48cf3','0a652b55-937b-435d-bcb8-4d3fb846b83f','<p>邏輯閉環的五個層次：</p>
<p>第一層次： 思維沒有閉環，思考沒有邏輯。<span style="font-family: var(--font-ubuntu);">你説A,&nbsp; 他説B，兩者之間的思維永遠沒有交集。</span></p>
<p><span style="font-family: var(--font-ubuntu);">第二層次： 思維沒有閉環，思考有邏輯。</span><span style="font-family: var(--font-ubuntu);">有符合邏輯推理的一些觀點，但觀點時常左右徘徊，自相矛盾。</span></p>
<p><span style="font-family: var(--font-ubuntu);">第三層次：思維有閉環，思考有邏輯，但閉環的層次比较低。</span></p>
<p><span style="font-family: var(--font-ubuntu);">第四層次： 思維有閉環，思考有邏輯，且能在更高層次形成邏輯閉環，邏輯閉環十分通透，直達本質。</span></p>
<p><span style="font-family: var(--font-ubuntu);">第五層次：思維有閉環，思考有邏輯，且能在高層次形成邏輯閉環，並始终保持不斷打碎自己的開放心態。</span></p>
<p><span style="font-family: var(--font-ubuntu);">在這一層次的人的思維閉環永遠開放，沒有死環。他的思維是一圈圈螺旋式的，可以無限地往下延伸到深不可測的海底，也可以無限地向宇宙最深處延伸。</span></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><span style="font-family: var(--font-ubuntu);">一件事情的真相 ，有千萬種可能。</span></p>
<p><span style="font-family: var(--font-ubuntu);">不斷地學習，不斷反覆運算邏輯層次，不斷復盤，不斷進行結構調整。</span></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>～</p>','2024-12-17 07:25:02.713','2024-12-17 07:45:26.034',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-17 07:45:26.032',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('98877f50-dad1-4014-8655-a716d92f13ec','b541814c-594b-4efa-bf5d-708f84c48cf3','c11fab34-c054-436b-a25e-f5fdf1c3976e','<p>這個和「知止而後有定」有關聯</p>
<ul>
<li>"知止"表面看是"停止"，實則是"知道該在哪裡停止"<br>- 不是消極的終止，而是積極的選擇<br>- 包含了對事物邊界的認知和把握</li>
<li><span style="font-family: var(--font-ubuntu);">&nbsp;"</span><span style="font-family: var(--font-ubuntu);">"定"不是固化，而是階段性的穩定</span></li>
<li><span style="font-family: var(--font-ubuntu);">&nbsp;通過確立邊界來獲得認知基點</span></li>
<li><span style="font-family: var(--font-ubuntu);">在"動"中尋找"靜"的平衡</span></li>
<li>這個不斷的尋找邏輯閉環不是很像嗎</li>
</ul>','2024-12-17 08:29:47.217','2024-12-17 08:29:47.217',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-17 08:29:47.216',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('eea49137-3e52-4ec4-a016-4e00f825c4a2','768ca4da-54e2-4644-8d02-844b8b5b0342','b2120258-4016-43f4-9c32-1f9c0e96bfaf','<p>每个年轻人一开始是惊慌受怕的松鼠，可是随着不断的成长把我们雕刻成自己想要的模样，我们终究会成为从容不迫的巨人。因为我们是自己的CEO。</p>
<p>刺激物（美丽的画或美妙的歌）传入人体，使人分泌化学物质，让人愉悦。</p>','2024-12-17 07:15:56.169','2025-01-10 00:00:00.016',NULL,'f','2025-01-10 00:00:00.015','2025-01-10 00:00:00.015',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('8121f43d-8e73-4e36-885d-1c305332c7cc','6bf29380-f700-4309-a81d-0a823101d638','80c5d91b-7a3f-4987-82e1-726f6da09e6b','<p>数学思维让人站在较高的角度看事情，让人少走弯路。洞察力的根本能力是来自数学思维。</p>
<p>五种数学思维：</p>
<p>1）从不确定性找到确定性 （源于概率论）- 正确的事重复地做，形成一个概率（&lt;100%)。只有规律才会达到100%。</p>
<p>2）用动态眼光看问题（源于微积分）</p>
<p>3)&nbsp; 公理体系（源于几何学）</p>
<p>4）数字的方向性（源于代数）</p>
<p>5）全局最优和达成共赢（源于博弈论）</p>','2024-12-17 08:05:42.967','2024-12-22 00:00:00.034',NULL,'f','2024-12-22 00:00:00.032','2024-12-22 00:00:00.032',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('2a060541-2c3f-4000-b6c2-4548aea76368','73d404e3-c3a6-4105-8463-cfb9bcce8d62','80c5d91b-7a3f-4987-82e1-726f6da09e6b','<p>那么什么影响概率？时代、战略、治理、管理 （重点排列的顺序）</p>
<p>不同人生算法，导致不同选择，从而使人们获得不同的人生。看不透的概率，才叫运气。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>','2024-12-17 07:52:17.815','2024-12-21 00:00:00.028',NULL,'f','2024-12-21 00:00:00.026','2024-12-21 00:00:00.026',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('b847a91f-3de7-4857-a393-20223df6fce4','b541814c-594b-4efa-bf5d-708f84c48cf3','c9b39003-1a47-4eb9-a447-837aa6128a1b','<p>邏輯思維有層次分明。</p>
<p>這層次上有自己的邏輯思維與邏輯思考的閉環。</p>
<p>1️⃣思維🈚🔄 思考🈚邏輯 ：兩人的交流永遠無法交集</p>
<p>2️⃣思維🈚🔄 思考🈶邏輯啊：觀點會自相矛盾</p>
<p>3️⃣思維🈶🔄 思考🈶邏輯 🔄層次⬇️ ：所有問題都可以被解釋，觀點不落地，對問題無法前進</p>
<p>4️⃣思維🈶🔄 思考🈶邏輯 🔄層次⬆️ ： 活在舊時代邏輯 對待新事物會有懷疑、排斥心理。</p>
<p>5️⃣思維🈶🔄 思考有邏輯 🔄層次 ⬆️ ：時常保持開放學習心態、 沉澱、延伸。</p>','2024-12-17 11:17:36.6','2024-12-17 11:17:36.6',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-17 11:17:36.599',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('872c6392-30cc-4c78-a257-dc1dbe2578a6','b541814c-594b-4efa-bf5d-708f84c48cf3','7ae3c10f-1299-472c-a9d4-b368d392f445','<p>逻辑闭环的五层次：</p>
<p>1.思维没有闭环，思考没有逻辑</p>
<p>2.思维没有闭环，思考有逻辑</p>
<p>3.思维有闭环，思考有逻辑，闭环层次低</p>
<p>4.思维有闭环，思考有逻辑，闭环层次高</p>
<p>5.思维有闭环，思考有逻辑，闭环层次高，在高层次形成闭环。</p>','2024-12-17 11:50:25.201','2024-12-17 11:50:25.201',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-17 11:50:25.2',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('e4aa33f7-1997-4eb1-aa47-0521e96ca0c3','b541814c-594b-4efa-bf5d-708f84c48cf3','a000f9e2-7648-49c9-8713-f245191f61d3','<p>逻辑思维有高低之分</p>
<p>最底层 - 思维没闭环，思考没逻辑。</p>
<p>第二层次 - 思维没有闭环， 思考有逻辑。</p>
<p>第三层 - 思维有闭环，思考有逻辑 单闭环层次低。</p>
<p>第四层 - 思维有闭环，思考有逻辑层 ，且能在高层次形成逻辑闭环， 逻辑闭环十分通透，直达本质。但逻辑闭环存在问题，因为排斥怀疑新事物。</p>
<p>第五层 - 思维有闭环，思考有逻辑，能在高层次形成逻辑闭环，有开放心态。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>','2024-12-17 12:38:17.967','2024-12-17 12:38:17.967',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-17 12:38:17.966',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('48b08edf-902c-4250-83cf-c30c48c58045','b541814c-594b-4efa-bf5d-708f84c48cf3','3c16baf4-84df-4958-a74c-aa7b7d950e3a','<p>学到老，就有机会活到老。看清事情的本质，摸清底层的逻辑，保持冷静，开放思维。</p>','2024-12-17 12:38:47.675','2024-12-17 12:38:47.675',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-17 12:38:47.674',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('7aca94e9-db31-44ac-b4ab-6d39a242c9f2','b541814c-594b-4efa-bf5d-708f84c48cf3','1131f00f-c162-442f-b3c0-e0ead4f636c3','<p>这也是为什么和不同频率很人沟通很耗力， 与高频（逻辑思维高）的人互动自己也会被&ldquo;激活&rdquo;。</p>
<p>自己还真要努力成为逻辑思维高的那一方🤣🤣🤣</p>','2024-12-17 13:15:03.713','2024-12-17 13:15:03.713',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-17 13:15:03.712',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('dfddbfd5-9310-4913-986e-a90928b4622d','b7f220f7-db3d-4b69-8e36-a54da9d035b1','80c5d91b-7a3f-4987-82e1-726f6da09e6b','<p>系统思维就是能够理解&ldquo;利益相关者的交易结构&rdquo;的人。简单的说，这就是理解关系和关系背后的规律，然后预测未来。</p>
<p>用系统思维的眼镜，透过表象看本质，才能真正认清当下的处境。即是面对时代的变革，通过看见本质，才能较快速的理解如何去改变。</p>','2024-12-17 13:26:32.699','2024-12-26 00:00:00.016',NULL,'f','2024-12-26 00:00:00.015','2024-12-26 00:00:00.015',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('738e829c-d857-44f9-8656-abf378618333','b541814c-594b-4efa-bf5d-708f84c48cf3','6cef5362-7ff5-4fa0-8829-76df28438992','<p>人容易受过去经验、成长背景、资讯接触等等因素左右。因此，人多半时候处在缺理性状态多过理性的时候，除了他受过罗辑思考训练者(非绝对)。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>所以，为了更理智，更有慧眼，学习罗辑学，客观、开放态度广范吸收知识是不二法门。</p>','2024-12-17 13:27:51.694','2024-12-17 13:29:15.432',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-17 13:29:15.431',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('74072446-b49c-441b-b207-3dc0565def73','b541814c-594b-4efa-bf5d-708f84c48cf3','47cda368-b147-4725-82b1-56340e248f14','<p>逻辑闭环的五个层次</p>
<p>1。思维没有闭环，思考没有逻辑</p>
<p>两者之间的思维没有交集。</p>
<p>2。 思维没有闭环，思考有逻辑</p>
<p>有符合逻辑推理之间一些观点，但观点经常矛盾。</p>
<p>3。思维有闭环，思考有逻辑，闭环层次低</p>
<p>固执，观点虚无，经常出现空谈现象。</p>
<p>4。 思维有闭环，思考逻辑，更高层次形成闭环，直达本质</p>
<p>流出有一股人格魅力，但是无法接受新事物。沿着旧地图，永远找不到新大陆。</p>
<p>5。思维闭环，思考逻辑，更高层次形成逻辑闭环，始终保持不断打碎自己的开放心态</p>
<p>思维闭环永远开放，永远没有死环。</p>','2024-12-17 13:51:49.936','2024-12-17 13:51:49.936',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-17 13:51:49.935',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('396bf357-34fe-4243-a7dc-ded46fbceb0b','b541814c-594b-4efa-bf5d-708f84c48cf3','4f2eb2b3-94b5-4ee7-8132-6fb6407ff96e','<p>读了这一段，想想🤔自己在哪一个阶段？</p>
<p>我老公很肯定自己在最高一层。你们认识他的人，认为女人？</p>','2024-12-17 13:59:32.432','2024-12-17 13:59:32.432',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-17 13:59:32.431',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('b29acbc6-bb31-40c7-9899-f8a8fe8f37f2','b541814c-594b-4efa-bf5d-708f84c48cf3','a79358bf-a0d8-49f2-be81-0ba66e697353','<p>5个逻辑闭环层次</p>
<p>1）思维没有闭环，思考没有逻辑 / 思维没有交集</p>
<p>2）思维没有闭环，思考有逻辑- 自相矛盾</p>
<p>3）思维有闭环，思考有逻辑，但闭环层次低- 陷入执念</p>
<p>4）思维有闭环，思考有逻辑，且高层次形成闭环，闭环十分通透，直达本质- 依赖经验，一旦旧结构变化，闭环可能有漏洞。</p>
<p>5） 思维有闭环，思考有逻辑，且高层次形成闭环，并不断打碎自己的开放心态 - 思维永远开放，不断复盘，不断进行结构调整。</p>','2024-12-17 14:03:48.842','2024-12-17 14:03:48.842',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-17 14:03:48.841',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('5ec9fd20-13a9-44f7-848a-b124c5dba876','090384b3-c089-4ed0-aecf-abf0ed2c92a8','dee0ab39-9eab-4b3d-bad7-a9f0422f8fb5','<p>在计算复利思维上，未必每人都有精准及有远见的看法，能预策可长期胜利的方法。</p>','2024-12-17 13:05:52.074','2024-12-18 00:00:00.01',NULL,'f','2024-12-18 00:00:00.009','2024-12-18 00:00:00.009',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('d11d3d2e-fdb8-4151-8b56-43dbfe25cfbb','9b34e463-2f33-406d-a7a5-57ac0149c61f','4d60a8e6-8829-45d3-add6-e61449282094','<p>运气就是机率，只不过加了一点感情色彩。</p>','2024-12-18 09:37:32.27','2024-12-20 00:00:00.009',NULL,'f','2024-12-20 00:00:00.008','2024-12-20 00:00:00.008',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('53757cf5-37ee-4507-9774-a84b6473e90d','9b34e463-2f33-406d-a7a5-57ac0149c61f','a79358bf-a0d8-49f2-be81-0ba66e697353','<p>对冲几率 - 找到大几率成功的事</p>','2024-12-20 14:41:44.063','2024-12-20 14:41:44.063',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-20 14:41:44.062',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('cefa2bbd-6832-4e5f-8ba1-346f6d08d885','7879f9db-a7aa-487a-bdc7-2150dc5886ed','80c5d91b-7a3f-4987-82e1-726f6da09e6b','<p>人生的商业模式=能力 X 效率 X杠杆</p>
<p>能力是你做到别人做不到的，例如：勤奋</p>
<p>效率是把1小时用出3小时的效果。效率是用对方法、选择对方法、用对工具，做到高效率。</p>','2024-12-17 13:36:46.769','2024-12-27 00:00:00.032',NULL,'f','2024-12-27 00:00:00.031','2024-12-27 00:00:00.031',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('bec92464-1ca4-4714-9f71-752a08cf1a77','b541814c-594b-4efa-bf5d-708f84c48cf3','bdee759b-405c-461f-97a1-a39e711c7e8e','<p class="p1"><span class="s1">邏輯思維可以分為：</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">第一層次：思維沒有閉環，思考沒有邏輯</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">第二層次：思維沒有閉環，思考有邏輯</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">第三層次：思維有閉環，思考有邏輯，但閉環的層次比較低</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">第四層次：思維有閉環，思考有邏輯，且在更高層次形成閉環。</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">第五層次：思維有閉環，思考有邏輯，且在更高層次形成閉環，並始終保持不斷打碎自己的開放心態。</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">在社會上工作講究的是「學力」而不是「學歷」，要學會「放下過去所學」後「重新學習」的能力。</span></p>','2024-12-17 14:56:09.918','2024-12-17 14:56:09.918',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-17 14:56:09.917',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('bea2db1b-7fbc-4cf0-a122-9ce677c4de5c','b541814c-594b-4efa-bf5d-708f84c48cf3','85df4a9d-433c-4009-bf28-8921ba3c5b68','<p dir="ltr">思考问题的底层逻辑</p>
<p dir="ltr">逻辑闭环的五个层次</p>','2024-12-17 15:03:24.372','2024-12-17 15:03:24.372',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-17 15:03:24.371',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('a79cb5b5-72fd-46ff-a30c-6de96bf74b21','b541814c-594b-4efa-bf5d-708f84c48cf3','9f2de0b4-5451-41cb-bded-d537871923dd','<div class="flex flex-row gap-4">
<div class="flex flex-col w-full mb-2">
<div class="text-xs sm:text-sm ml-[38px]">
<p>5个逻辑闭环层次</p>
<p>1. 思维没有闭环，思考没有逻辑</p>
<ul>
<li>你说你的，他说他的，完全没有交集</li>
</ul>
<p>2. 思维没有闭环，思考有逻辑</p>
<ul>
<li>观点左右徘徊，自相矛盾</li>
</ul>
<p>3. 思维有闭环，思考有逻辑，闭环层次低</p>
<ul>
<li>先认同对方观点，进而快速转折，反驳对方，跟他讨论问题都是空谈</li>
</ul>
<p>4. 思维有闭环，思考有逻辑，闭环层次高</p>
<ul>
<li>无法接受新时代事物，一直停留在旧时代</li>
</ul>
<p>5.思维有闭环，思考有逻辑，闭环层次高，在高层次形成闭环</p>
<ul>
<li>开放的心态接受任何事物，并不断复盘自己吸收到的新事物</li>
</ul>
</div>
</div>
</div>','2024-12-17 15:10:04.023','2024-12-17 15:10:04.023',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-17 15:10:04.021',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('2cc55486-64a4-4c5e-8afe-87fbe2151dd9','b541814c-594b-4efa-bf5d-708f84c48cf3','22eebfc2-f1bd-4144-ac9b-9b146d80a3ee','<p dir="ltr">Day 17 ：12月17 日&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 《底层逻辑》Part 2：思考问题的底层逻辑</p>
<p dir="ltr">逻辑闭环的五个层次（Page 103-107）</p>
<p><strong id="docs-internal-guid-7d25fb70-7fff-4495-3c11-aae2ecae0c2a"><br>🎯今日读后感悟：</strong></p>
<p>逻辑思维也有高低之分。这取决于，思维有没有闭环，思考有没有逻辑。</p>','2024-12-17 15:16:16.064','2024-12-17 15:16:16.064',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-17 15:16:16.063',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('59156200-a560-408b-91dc-61d2ee90c301','b541814c-594b-4efa-bf5d-708f84c48cf3','042e3658-0d45-45d8-92b1-3d973b328b46','<p>每个人的逻辑和思维模式都不一样，所以产生了沟通上的协调，但是不管在那个层次，都需要处在平衡的状态！</p>','2024-12-17 15:16:59.599','2024-12-17 15:16:59.599',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-17 15:16:59.598',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('10f0e1fa-b5de-46f0-acac-66fbb82762e1','b541814c-594b-4efa-bf5d-708f84c48cf3','4cfe29dd-714c-41a2-bc6d-306205099ae9','<p>人的沟通障碍是来自思维逻辑高低和开放性造成。层次不同有时带来的距离是鸿沟，希望自己不要成为那个难以沟通的人。</p>','2024-12-17 15:21:24.693','2024-12-17 15:21:24.693',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-17 15:21:24.692',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('0ce1f3a4-4e40-4c9e-9b2a-378bb79f1d02','b541814c-594b-4efa-bf5d-708f84c48cf3','138265fe-95ad-4ebc-b601-e7cbf4fd9f27','<p>每个人都需要平衡。逻辑和思维模式所影响的一个事物的真相和事实。离事实越远，离阴谋论越近。</p>','2024-12-17 15:23:20.007','2024-12-17 15:23:20.007',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-17 15:23:20.006',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('6375e82e-e435-499c-8be9-81c258d35e4e','b541814c-594b-4efa-bf5d-708f84c48cf3','ef10631b-65db-4272-af44-c5d7da8f94f4','<p><strong>逻辑闭环的五个层次</strong></p>
<p>1） 思维没有闭环，思考没有逻辑</p>
<p>2） 思维没有闭环，思考有逻辑</p>
<p>3） 思维有闭环，思考有逻辑</p>
<p>4） 思维有逻辑，思考有闭环，且能在更高层次形成逻辑闭环，逻辑闭环通透，直达本质</p>
<p>5）思维有逻辑，思考有闭环，且能在更高层次形成逻辑闭环，並始终保持不断打碎自己的开放心态</p>','2024-12-17 15:27:04.297','2024-12-17 15:27:04.297',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-17 15:27:04.296',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('d2f3a8fa-36db-4446-b394-20d3976f2268','b541814c-594b-4efa-bf5d-708f84c48cf3','8c41d3c3-8cab-4621-868b-700631a7ecc1','<p>成为那个思维有闭环，思考有逻辑，且能在高层次形成逻辑闭环，并始终保持不断打碎自己的开放心态的人</p>
<p>&nbsp;- 思维闭环永远开放，一圈圈螺旋式的，可以无限的延伸</p>
<p>&nbsp;- 吸收海量的新知识，不断的反复运算逻辑层次，不断的复盘，不断进行结构调整</p>','2024-12-17 15:35:38.863','2024-12-17 15:35:38.863',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-17 15:35:38.862',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('75189f50-cac3-4218-a4b4-7100013adc8f','b541814c-594b-4efa-bf5d-708f84c48cf3','f06cf8cd-e25f-4542-a8ff-f8571e91be74','<p>学习就是一直打破，重组</p>','2024-12-17 15:38:35.529','2024-12-17 15:38:35.529',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-17 15:38:35.528',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('2b8413bc-04c9-44df-ae39-501210372e98','090384b3-c089-4ed0-aecf-abf0ed2c92a8','576d96d0-dcd8-47c0-8ecc-c9881174d6fa','<p>无論如何，每天精进1%, 就离成事1%</p>
<p>又何必纠结于精进了多少倍。</p>
<p>人生, 是马拉松!</p>
<p>是一步一步去完成的。</p>','2024-12-17 15:15:22.945','2024-12-18 00:00:00.01',NULL,'f','2024-12-18 00:00:00.009','2024-12-18 00:00:00.009',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('6fb292db-ade9-497c-8270-67b1fb41f59b','b5cfb88c-2f34-4054-839b-69128f550b29','576d96d0-dcd8-47c0-8ecc-c9881174d6fa','<p>降低欲望, 会失去动力</p>
<p>无止境追求财富？会失去自我</p>
<p>知足常乐!</p>
<p>无债务更勝于有财富😊</p>','2024-12-17 15:21:18.165','2024-12-19 00:00:00.027',NULL,'f','2024-12-19 00:00:00.026','2024-12-19 00:00:00.025',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('3b1b2dc0-373b-4dbc-820e-7290110aaae0','b5cfb88c-2f34-4054-839b-69128f550b29','c9b39003-1a47-4eb9-a447-837aa6128a1b','<p>創造財富 而不是財富自己創造財富</p>
<p>才是獲得財富自由的真諦。</p>
<p>第一桶本金很重要。</p>','2024-12-19 11:53:52.729','2024-12-19 11:53:52.729',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-19 11:53:52.728',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('9ff8fa19-1c78-4314-984c-b47424da9410','9b34e463-2f33-406d-a7a5-57ac0149c61f','f06cf8cd-e25f-4542-a8ff-f8571e91be74','<p>幸运占大部分，但努力，经验，知识可以提高幸运</p>','2024-12-20 15:02:54.73','2024-12-20 15:02:54.73',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-20 15:02:54.729',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('64426f01-2d95-4cf7-b07f-9f8a490870c5','9b34e463-2f33-406d-a7a5-57ac0149c61f','a000f9e2-7648-49c9-8713-f245191f61d3','<p>机率就是运气，机率思维是很重要的思维模式，因为它是成功者的思维逻辑，是创业不可缺的重要因素。</p>','2024-12-20 15:05:45.711','2024-12-20 15:05:45.711',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-20 15:05:45.71',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('b0d0bd79-c2a2-4485-bd19-79b53f4e1417','73d404e3-c3a6-4105-8463-cfb9bcce8d62','85df4a9d-433c-4009-bf28-8921ba3c5b68','<p>思考问题的底层逻辑</p>','2024-12-20 15:09:11.795','2024-12-21 00:00:00.028',NULL,'f','2024-12-21 00:00:00.026','2024-12-21 00:00:00.026',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('46df2366-c0c7-4dd8-ae08-cdf8f0394925','b541814c-594b-4efa-bf5d-708f84c48cf3','069c59cc-12d1-4b10-aabf-cabe5bfceaaf','<p>思维没有闭环，思考没有逻辑，思维永远没有交集。</p>
<p>思维没有闭环，思考有逻辑，有符合逻辑推理的一些观点，但观点时常左右徘徊，自相矛盾。</p>
<p>思维有闭环，思考有逻辑，但闭环的层次比较低。</p>
<p>思维有闭环，思考有逻辑，更高层次，十分通透，直达本质。</p>
<p>思维有闭环，思考有逻辑，且能在高层次形成逻辑闭环，並始终保持不断打碎自己的开放心态。</p>
<p>水平高的人，心气反而很低，已识乾坤大，猶憐草木青。</p>
<p>离事实越远，离阴谋就越近。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>','2024-12-17 15:39:42.648','2024-12-17 15:39:50.15',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-17 15:39:50.149',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('02bdacde-4c25-4dab-b101-c6b55f09097d','b541814c-594b-4efa-bf5d-708f84c48cf3','459a1283-290a-4d4b-b10f-6504664de97b','<p>思维的闭环与开环可以分作五个层次。<br>其中一个也我比较认同的：<br>以自己想的逻辑思维去认为是完美能成功的。但是事实却是只能是空谈，是不能落实的</p>','2024-12-17 15:49:32.403','2024-12-17 15:49:32.403',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-17 15:49:32.402',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('efc3478f-50c6-412a-8b88-d40869c6e1da','73d404e3-c3a6-4105-8463-cfb9bcce8d62','576d96d0-dcd8-47c0-8ecc-c9881174d6fa','<p>时代-行业的周期/风口/趋势,</p>
<p>战略-目标、里程碑、路线图、时间点</p>
<p>治理-找对人, 做对事, 合作分工分钱</p>
<p>管理-效绩、职责、复盘....</p>','2024-12-17 15:40:35.341','2024-12-21 00:00:00.028',NULL,'f','2024-12-21 00:00:00.026','2024-12-21 00:00:00.026',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('f8170324-8fbb-4786-9b6e-7a7c59444037','b541814c-594b-4efa-bf5d-708f84c48cf3','abafda80-d191-4990-802d-f631604815a6','<p>第一层次： 思维没有闭环，思考没有逻辑</p>
<p>第二层次： 思维没有闭环， 思考有逻辑</p>
<p>第三层次： 思维有 闭环，思考有逻辑，但闭环层次比较低</p>
<p>第四层次： 思维有闭环，思考有逻辑，且能更高层次形成逻辑闭环。，十分通透直达本质闭环、</p>
<p>第五层次： 思维有闭环，思考有逻辑，且能高层次形成逻辑闭环，保持不断打碎自己的开放心态。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>','2024-12-17 15:55:55.323','2024-12-17 15:57:32.813',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-17 15:57:32.812',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('8d789b04-0463-468d-8055-64b5be282539','b541814c-594b-4efa-bf5d-708f84c48cf3','93f7feca-2e7e-486e-bdb3-b3decc1e2f3d','<p>Day 17 ：12月17 日 &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp;《底层逻辑》Part 2：思考问题的底层逻辑<br>逻辑闭环的五个层次（Page 103-107）</p>
<p>🎯今日读后感悟：</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>逻辑闭环的層次是取决于以下情况 :&nbsp;<br>* 无闭环 vs 有闭环<br>* 无逻辑 vs 有逻辑<br>* 低層次 vs 高層次<br>* 自我執念 vs 保持开放</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>逻辑闭环的五个层次<br>(1) 思维没有闭环，思考没有逻辑。<br>(2) 思维没有闭环，思考有逻辑。<br>(3) 思维有闭环，思考有逻辑，对闭环的層次比较低<br>(4) 思维有闭环，思考有逻辑，且能在更高層形成逻辑闭环。逻辑闭环非常通透，直达本質。<br>(5) 思维有闭环，思考有逻辑，且能在更高層形成逻辑闭环。並绐终保持不断打碎自己的开放心態。</p>','2024-12-17 15:55:42.072','2024-12-17 15:57:01.367',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-17 15:57:01.365',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('c8515c46-2119-43e7-a46a-a0ef64ac5934','b541814c-594b-4efa-bf5d-708f84c48cf3','550d0df0-c244-418c-8fd4-915e9faffda1','<p>思维的可以分作五个层次。</p>
<p>我们需要经常审查自己的层次领域，因为我们会以自己想的逻辑思维 + 认知去思考与推论。</p>','2024-12-17 16:00:59.929','2024-12-17 16:00:59.929',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-17 16:00:59.928',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('6014be65-a30e-43b0-9049-3a53c941268f','090384b3-c089-4ed0-aecf-abf0ed2c92a8','53929692-27f3-426b-a4ce-9f2a98b8d064','<p>利上加利，会很够力。原来够力部分不是来自利息本身。</p>','2024-12-17 22:41:08.813','2024-12-17 22:41:08.813',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-17 22:41:08.811',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('1a84ffa4-9e86-4721-a437-edd435ac31ec','b541814c-594b-4efa-bf5d-708f84c48cf3','1a28ed21-9fd6-4880-8fcc-727c43eb36b1','<p>我们会接触很多不一样水准的人，有些人一旦接触到了就很想与他多见面、学习和很敬佩。</p>
<p>这样的人值得我们多关注。他们是属于第五层次人物。</p>','2024-12-08 01:13:22.93','2024-12-18 00:00:00.01',NULL,'f','2024-12-18 00:00:00.009','2024-12-18 00:00:00.009',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('a6a14a73-d766-4214-96c0-882d06f704e6','090384b3-c089-4ed0-aecf-abf0ed2c92a8','80c5d91b-7a3f-4987-82e1-726f6da09e6b','<p>复利不是真正带来赚钱能力。<br>因为我们可能对期数的过度高估、复利收益需要靠本金滚出来、复利需要高收益率才能达到高的效应。但是，高收益，需要考量风险问题。 <br><br>所以，简单认为以复利获得财富自由不容易。<!--/data/user/0/com.samsung.android.app.notes/files/clipdata/clipdata_bodytext_241211_202738_361.sdocx--></p>','2024-12-11 12:27:47.378','2024-12-18 00:00:00.01',NULL,'f','2024-12-18 00:00:00.009','2024-12-18 00:00:00.009',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('9121c9a8-7465-4e6b-8582-b55d38091802','b541814c-594b-4efa-bf5d-708f84c48cf3','80c5d91b-7a3f-4987-82e1-726f6da09e6b','<p>五个层次：</p>
<p>1）思维无闭环、思考无逻辑。</p>
<p>2）思维无闭环、思考有逻辑。会自相矛盾。</p>
<p>3）思维有闭环、思考有逻辑。但是层次低。老卡在同一个方向的循环里。无法前进或深入。</p>
<p>4）思维有闭环、思考有逻辑。高层次，通透直达本质。有魅力。但是，对新事物排斥，对变化无法适应。</p>
<p>5）思维有闭环、思考有逻辑。高层次，通透直达本质，并且保持不断打碎自己的开放心态。他能不断迭代逻辑层次，不断复盘，不断进行结构调整。拥有初学之心。</p>
<p>第五种层次就如蒙格那样自我挑战。</p>','2024-12-11 11:46:55.139','2024-12-18 00:00:00.01',NULL,'f','2024-12-18 00:00:00.009','2024-12-18 00:00:00.009',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('0557e2c2-38ae-4c75-9d67-fdd74205d504','b541814c-594b-4efa-bf5d-708f84c48cf3','576d96d0-dcd8-47c0-8ecc-c9881174d6fa','<p>這一段看不明白, 理解不了.</p>
<p>希望各位师兄师姐指点🙏</p>','2024-12-14 13:17:31.779','2024-12-18 00:00:00.01',NULL,'f','2024-12-18 00:00:00.009','2024-12-18 00:00:00.009',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('97081b90-812b-4725-b5c5-2f8b77e5e4b2','b541814c-594b-4efa-bf5d-708f84c48cf3','b1d2b7e9-339b-46d2-9f25-30c45ecce2d1','<p>我一直认为我是有思维的闭环的，<br>但对某些事我好像只处在三。<br><br>曾经有一个老师和我说，<br>佛学里的轮回指的更是现世的轮回。<br>当一直有不如意的事情发生在我们的身上，<br>说明有些 &ldquo;功课&rdquo; 要我们去修。<br><br>今年我在安排 2025 年的计划时，<br>我真心觉得自己好像又绕了一圈。<br><br>我不断在优化苹果的种子，<br>栽培的方法，<br>但始终开出的还是苹果书。<br><br>我并没有去采用榴莲种子、雪梨种子、<br>但我心里却一直渴望开出不同的植物。<br><br>我还在轮回，<br>更还在第三/第四阶层的闭环中</p>','2024-12-15 12:43:35.348','2024-12-18 00:00:00.01',NULL,'f','2024-12-18 00:00:00.009','2024-12-18 00:00:00.009',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('526c7887-e658-4ba6-8660-df282a3cbce5','b541814c-594b-4efa-bf5d-708f84c48cf3','dee0ab39-9eab-4b3d-bad7-a9f0422f8fb5','<p>要寻找事情的真相，需学习整理思维，不只用自己的价值观，去下定论而导致离事实真相更远。</p>','2024-12-15 13:30:44.312','2024-12-18 00:00:00.01',NULL,'f','2024-12-18 00:00:00.009','2024-12-18 00:00:00.009',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('17ccdaca-1516-4ce8-a974-cd94b3e7b1e5','b541814c-594b-4efa-bf5d-708f84c48cf3','fb681b37-b86f-49b7-8f27-422ffefb81b6','<p>逻辑闭环的最高层次是思维有闭环，思考有逻辑，且能在高层次形成逻辑闭环，并始终保持不断打碎自己的开放心态, 不断打碎旧框架，重构和优化思维。<span style="font-family: var(--font-ubuntu);">在这个层次的人的思维是一圈圈螺旋式的，思维不断迭代升级，向更深、更广、更高层次延伸。</span></p>','2024-12-15 13:47:56.872','2024-12-18 00:00:00.01',NULL,'f','2024-12-18 00:00:00.009','2024-12-18 00:00:00.009',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('b0c1a21a-3e61-4471-9751-e63415a4c917','b541814c-594b-4efa-bf5d-708f84c48cf3','72ce0c9e-c59c-4daf-a31b-84b5558f1948','<p>一件事情的真相，有千万种可能。</p>
<p>很多人只看到几个事实，就认定这就是真相。</p>
<p>我也是其中之一。</p>
<p>看到了这篇小提示，也开始敲响了警钟。</p>','2024-12-16 06:49:51.945','2024-12-18 00:00:00.01',NULL,'f','2024-12-18 00:00:00.009','2024-12-18 00:00:00.009',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('41f83beb-1100-4b34-9495-9c4f0407b02a','b7f220f7-db3d-4b69-8e36-a54da9d035b1','09891df5-07b0-40c9-8f3c-a23b63aa2cfd','<p>这世界所有事物都被规律作用着，以一种&ldquo;系统&rdquo;的方式存在。</p>
<p>要素，是系统中你看得见的东西，关系是你看不见的，我们要看要素和关系之间的规律。</p>','2024-12-17 23:38:27.635','2024-12-26 00:00:00.016',NULL,'f','2024-12-26 00:00:00.015','2024-12-26 00:00:00.015',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('544a6381-5c44-47bd-984c-a29607e3d4ec','7879f9db-a7aa-487a-bdc7-2150dc5886ed','09891df5-07b0-40c9-8f3c-a23b63aa2cfd','<p>人生商业模式=能力x效率x杠杆</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>能力=两年获得别人五年的能力（加班，通宵，高效反馈）</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>效率=一小时用出三小时的效果（17分钟定17小时，注意力最大化，使用白板独立思考）</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>杠杆=触动人心的巨大力量（能力，产品，资本，影响力）</p>','2024-12-17 23:52:05.479','2024-12-27 00:00:00.032',NULL,'f','2024-12-27 00:00:00.031','2024-12-27 00:00:00.031',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('cf2716b4-e721-409b-9b5e-9e1679c90093','b541814c-594b-4efa-bf5d-708f84c48cf3','26458796-5d5f-468a-ac5f-69a3a6e55885','<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><strong style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">Day-17</span></strong><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;"> </span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-ascii-font-family: Garamond; mso-hansi-font-family: Garamond; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">（</span><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">17/12/2024</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-ascii-font-family: Garamond; mso-hansi-font-family: Garamond; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">）</span><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;"> - page </span><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB;">103-107</span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">【逻辑闭环的五个层次】</span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB;">一个人的个人逻辑决定他的深度与层次。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB;">个人逻辑分五个层次：</span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing" style="margin-left: .5in; text-indent: -.25in; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1;"><!-- [if !supportLists]--><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 13.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: Garamond; mso-bidi-font-family: Garamond; letter-spacing: -.25pt;"><span style="mso-list: Ignore;">1.<span style="font: 7.0pt ''Times New Roman'';">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span></span><!--[endif]--><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB;">思维沒有闭环，思考<strong style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;">沒有</strong>逻辑。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing" style="margin-left: .5in; text-indent: -.25in; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1;"><!-- [if !supportLists]--><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 13.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: Garamond; mso-bidi-font-family: Garamond; letter-spacing: -.25pt;"><span style="mso-list: Ignore;">2.<span style="font: 7.0pt ''Times New Roman'';">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span></span><!--[endif]--><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB;">思维沒有闭环，思考<strong style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;">有</strong>逻辑。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing" style="margin-left: .5in; text-indent: -.25in; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1;"><!-- [if !supportLists]--><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 13.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: Garamond; mso-bidi-font-family: Garamond; letter-spacing: -.25pt;"><span style="mso-list: Ignore;">3.<span style="font: 7.0pt ''Times New Roman'';">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span></span><!--[endif]--><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB;">思维有闭环，思考有逻辑，但闭环的<strong style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;">层次比较低</strong>。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing" style="margin-left: .5in; text-indent: -.25in; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1;"><!-- [if !supportLists]--><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 13.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: Garamond; mso-bidi-font-family: Garamond; letter-spacing: -.25pt;"><span style="mso-list: Ignore;">4.<span style="font: 7.0pt ''Times New Roman'';">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span></span><!--[endif]--><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB;">思维有闭环，思考有逻辑，且能在更高层次形成逻辑，逻辑闭环<strong style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;">十分通透，直达本质</strong>。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing" style="margin-left: .5in; text-indent: -.25in; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1;"><!-- [if !supportLists]--><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 13.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: Garamond; mso-bidi-font-family: Garamond; letter-spacing: -.25pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;"><span style="mso-list: Ignore;">5.<span style="font: 7.0pt ''Times New Roman'';">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span></span><!--[endif]--><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">思维有闭环，思考有逻辑，且能在高层次形成逻辑，並始终保持不断打碎自己的<strong style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;">开放心态</strong>。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB;">&nbsp;</span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing" style="margin-left: .5in; text-indent: -.25in; mso-list: l1 level1 lfo2;"><!-- [if !supportLists]--><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: Wingdings; mso-fareast-font-family: Wingdings; mso-bidi-font-family: Wingdings; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;"><span style="mso-list: Ignore;">v<span style="font: 7.0pt ''Times New Roman'';">&nbsp; </span></span></span><!--[endif]--><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-ascii-font-family: Garamond; mso-hansi-font-family: Garamond; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">简言之，所谓逻辑闭环，指的是能自证自明的逻辑框架，但是，这个枉架不是封闭式的，而是螺旋上升式的。因而，具备螺旋式逻辑枉架之人的逻辑思维，是处于不断更新、丰富的。</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">「</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-ascii-font-family: Garamond; mso-hansi-font-family: Garamond; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">苟日新，日日新，又日新。</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">」</span></p>','2024-12-16 01:50:12.284','2024-12-18 00:00:00.01',NULL,'f','2024-12-18 00:00:00.009','2024-12-18 00:00:00.009',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('0995d02f-87a5-41c6-b42e-466aad6d1b14','090384b3-c089-4ed0-aecf-abf0ed2c92a8','26458796-5d5f-468a-ac5f-69a3a6e55885','<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><strong style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">Day-</span></strong><strong style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB;">18</span></strong><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;"> </span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-ascii-font-family: Garamond; mso-hansi-font-family: Garamond; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">（</span><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB;">18</span><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">/12/2024</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-ascii-font-family: Garamond; mso-hansi-font-family: Garamond; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">）</span><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;"> - page </span><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB;">108-112</span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">【复利思维．收益率谬误】</span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">复利思维之谬误在于对「<strong style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;">期数</strong>」的不合理预估。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB;">简言之，別轻易被那些吸睛的方程式或说法所迷惑。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><strong style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-ascii-font-family: Garamond; mso-hansi-font-family: Garamond; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">高收益率才是复利效应的核心，如巴菲特有办法维持</span></strong><strong style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">30%</span></strong><strong style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-ascii-font-family: Garamond; mso-hansi-font-family: Garamond; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">的年化收益率长达</span></strong><strong style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">30</span></strong><strong style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-ascii-font-family: Garamond; mso-hansi-font-family: Garamond; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">年。</span></strong></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-ascii-font-family: Garamond; mso-hansi-font-family: Garamond;">然而，事实是，长期穏定的高收益，几乎是天方夜谭；意即：在复利效应要求的长期內，高收益率几乎无法实现。</span></p>','2024-12-16 01:50:43.441','2024-12-18 00:00:00.01',NULL,'f','2024-12-18 00:00:00.009','2024-12-18 00:00:00.009',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('c157288f-976f-4d1a-8402-1b013b699680','090384b3-c089-4ed0-aecf-abf0ed2c92a8','b1d2b7e9-339b-46d2-9f25-30c45ecce2d1','<p>我一不小心就把明天的份也看了，<br><br>我会在下一篇再分享读后感悟。</p>','2024-12-16 07:40:50.598','2024-12-18 00:00:00.01',NULL,'f','2024-12-18 00:00:00.009','2024-12-18 00:00:00.009',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('e39ad019-4a87-4ad8-9e8e-464d221d910c','b541814c-594b-4efa-bf5d-708f84c48cf3','d7f9d646-34b1-4281-a990-12e3eb93d6ff','<p>最高层次的人，通常心胸最为开阔。他谦卑，因为他看清知识之海的无边无际。</p>','2024-12-16 12:10:17.441','2024-12-18 00:00:00.01',NULL,'f','2024-12-18 00:00:00.009','2024-12-18 00:00:00.009',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('5a91988d-1d45-4efb-9f75-1f5d31aca867','090384b3-c089-4ed0-aecf-abf0ed2c92a8','d7f9d646-34b1-4281-a990-12e3eb93d6ff','<p>复利思维，需要长时间经营，不是&ldquo;一夜暴富&rdquo;。<br>1. 降低期待<br>2. 无欲无求<br>3. 放长时间投资，短时间都不要计较财富<br>4. 需要本金，才有复利</p>','2024-12-17 11:14:25.586','2024-12-18 00:00:00.01',NULL,'f','2024-12-18 00:00:00.009','2024-12-18 00:00:00.009',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('9ca68deb-10a1-4b6e-b73b-d3c9799dd19e','b541814c-594b-4efa-bf5d-708f84c48cf3','6949d955-832d-47f1-870b-95a01be61ff8','<p>思考问题时要保持不断打碎自己的开放心态，大量吸收新知识，不断地去学习别人的逻辑框架，不断迭代逻辑层次，不断复盘，不断进行结构调整。</p>','2024-12-16 13:32:03.026','2024-12-18 00:00:00.01',NULL,'f','2024-12-18 00:00:00.009','2024-12-18 00:00:00.009',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('9fce5422-15d0-49fd-afa4-2c9292a66977','b541814c-594b-4efa-bf5d-708f84c48cf3','d287598e-c515-495a-aaab-d93a50a8de1e','<p>逻闭环的五个层次</p>
<p>1.思维没有闭环，思考没有逻辑</p>
<p>你说A,她说B,没交集。</p>
<p>2.思维没有闭环，思考有逻辑</p>
<p>有符合逻辑，但观点自相矛盾。</p>
<p>3.思维有闭环，思考有逻辑，但闭环的层次比较低</p>
<p>对不同的观点，先认同 进而快速反驳。</p>
<p>4.思维有闭环，思考有逻辑，能在更高层次形成逻辑闭环，直达本质。</p>
<p>谈吐有逻辑，有一股人格魅力。对新事总是抱有怀疑。</p>
<p>5.思维有闭环，思考有逻辑，在高层次形成逻辑，并始终不断碎自己的开放心态。</p>
<p>永远开放 没有死环。他的思维是一圈圈往下延伸。大量吸收新知识 不断学习。</p>','2024-12-16 14:04:27.367','2024-12-18 00:00:00.01',NULL,'f','2024-12-18 00:00:00.009','2024-12-18 00:00:00.009',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('1f61e959-95fd-4f4a-a294-9455bbafd8c7','b541814c-594b-4efa-bf5d-708f84c48cf3','82401c82-df66-4556-a63e-3ff096e9ba26','<p>最高层次是思维有闭环，思考有逻辑，且能在高层次形成逻辑闭环，并始终保持不断打碎自己的开放心态。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>真相，有千万可能。不能因自己所看到的事实，就一概而论。</p>','2024-12-16 14:49:26.272','2024-12-18 00:00:00.01',NULL,'f','2024-12-18 00:00:00.009','2024-12-18 00:00:00.009',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('f0b391ea-d4c5-4520-8d8b-6862d8a7b7aa','090384b3-c089-4ed0-aecf-abf0ed2c92a8','f96bb3ac-81d2-449d-bcab-c984308b1d78','<p><strong>复利思维：</strong>作者破解 【如果一个人每天都能进步1%，一年之后，他的能力会提升38倍。】的迷思，事实上，每天增长1%几乎不可能，人们容易用线性增长算进去指数增长，这是两种完全不用的概念。人们容易对成效抱有过高的期望值。<br><br><strong>复利效果谬误：</strong>太多人把复利当成一个快速致富的通道。切记，复利效应不是暴富效应，相反，它恰恰是一个极度仰赖长期的概念。复利需要足够长的时间酝酿发酵，可能是一辈子，短时间无法体系的。<br><br><strong>收益率谬误：</strong>复利效应真正诱人的地方，是收益率。高收益率才是复利效应的核心。巴菲特真正令人折服的地方，不在于他彻底贯彻复利效应，而是他有办法维持30%的年化收益率长达30年。<br><br><br></p>','2024-12-17 04:47:30.971','2024-12-18 00:00:00.01',NULL,'f','2024-12-18 00:00:00.009','2024-12-18 00:00:00.009',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('5b41325a-9974-4f64-b881-5e60c6eff52e','090384b3-c089-4ed0-aecf-abf0ed2c92a8','be5b7e97-d65c-43f6-ba7f-0ffd13533f1a','<p>复利思维的缪误：<br>1.）期数 - 用错单位， 用&ldquo;天&rdquo; 来计数&ldquo;年&rdquo;达到不合理的估算。用 &ldquo;次方&rdquo; 计算代替 &ldquo;加法&rdquo;。<br>2.）复利的效果 - 将 &ldquo;本金&rdquo; 加在一起计算。<br>3.）收益 - 长期稳定高收益的概率是非常底的。只有巴菲特能。</p>','2024-12-17 08:16:06.698','2024-12-18 00:00:00.01',NULL,'f','2024-12-18 00:00:00.009','2024-12-18 00:00:00.009',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('33b92c1b-be4c-421f-83ba-fed13c8ce1db','090384b3-c089-4ed0-aecf-abf0ed2c92a8','861e06a4-3e01-404d-a0c4-d2fa9f5bfa16','<p class="p1"><span class="s1">复利的公式应该是年，而不是天。</span></p>
<p class="p2">&nbsp;</p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">复利效应不是暴富效应，相反，它恰恰是一个极度仰赖长期的概念。</span></p>','2024-12-18 00:16:42.156','2024-12-18 00:16:42.156',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-18 00:16:42.155',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('f47476d4-f903-43b7-a5e0-a25f017cee99','090384b3-c089-4ed0-aecf-abf0ed2c92a8','82401c82-df66-4556-a63e-3ff096e9ba26','<p>&ldquo;每天进步一巴仙，一年后的成长是37倍&rdquo;</p>
<p>原来这演算法是存在缪误的。</p>
<p>复利不是暴利。</p>','2024-12-18 00:22:36.309','2024-12-18 00:22:36.309',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-18 00:22:36.309',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('4e2ecd33-6ef9-4c3f-ae8d-f39a04b1c94a','9b34e463-2f33-406d-a7a5-57ac0149c61f','82401c82-df66-4556-a63e-3ff096e9ba26','<p>当有足够的资讯，就能演算出正确的概率。</p>
<p>但在没有确切的资讯，靠的是运气。</p>','2024-12-18 00:41:20.505','2024-12-20 00:00:00.009',NULL,'f','2024-12-20 00:00:00.008','2024-12-20 00:00:00.008',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('d6609f42-05a1-4b6f-a023-1630a5b23be3','090384b3-c089-4ed0-aecf-abf0ed2c92a8','459a1283-290a-4d4b-b10f-6504664de97b','<p>复利思维<br>每个人都有不同的计算法去预测本金加上利息，再投资，如此重复几年后的培增提升将会是38培。时间期数也是关键影响计算法。</p>','2024-12-18 02:42:11.866','2024-12-18 02:42:11.866',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-18 02:42:11.865',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('343fe7b4-02da-45b1-91f3-58beb3f2175d','090384b3-c089-4ed0-aecf-abf0ed2c92a8','fb681b37-b86f-49b7-8f27-422ffefb81b6','<p>复利公式中共包含3个变量，分别是本金、收益率、期数。复利的真正威力并不仅仅来源于本金或收益率的单一因素，而是综合作用的结果，特别是在时间的维度上。通过时间积累，稳健的收益率和适当的本金相结合，才能真正释放复利的力量。</p>','2024-12-18 02:43:57.848','2024-12-18 02:43:57.848',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-18 02:43:57.847',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('728a75ce-7479-4bc5-b6da-d92ce7f52074','090384b3-c089-4ed0-aecf-abf0ed2c92a8','d287598e-c515-495a-aaab-d93a50a8de1e','<p>期数缪误:应该用年作单位而不是天。</p>
<p>收益率缪误:在复利效应要求长期内，高收益率几乎无法实现</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>','2024-12-18 05:19:51.041','2024-12-18 05:19:51.041',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-18 05:19:51.04',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('5d2f82b4-620e-404b-b430-448607a99ee6','090384b3-c089-4ed0-aecf-abf0ed2c92a8','72ce0c9e-c59c-4daf-a31b-84b5558f1948','<p>复利並不是我们想想的那样美好。背后真相是收益率。</p>
<p>就像每次都看到别人短期赢，卻没看到长期输。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>','2024-12-18 05:54:42.9','2024-12-18 05:54:42.9',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-18 05:54:42.898',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('4878ef30-d850-4471-8ab0-2ce0ceb1030f','090384b3-c089-4ed0-aecf-abf0ed2c92a8','4cfe29dd-714c-41a2-bc6d-306205099ae9','<p>复利需要有足够高的收益率加上长期数维持，才能达到高收益的效果。如果收益率低，分分钟跑不赢通膨。</p>
<p>复利需要智慧加上足够的耐心（延迟满足）。</p>','2024-12-18 06:06:52.623','2024-12-18 06:06:52.623',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-18 06:06:52.622',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('cb279d84-c3f8-4c80-8acd-c0570ccdedd6','090384b3-c089-4ed0-aecf-abf0ed2c92a8','0a652b55-937b-435d-bcb8-4d3fb846b83f','<p>複利公式中包含3個變數： 本金、收益、期數，並各自對應著3個謬誤。</p>
<p>期數謬誤</p>
<p>愎利效果謬誤</p>
<p>收益率謬誤</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>複利效應不是暴富效應， 而是極度仰賴長期的概念。</p>','2024-12-18 08:01:06.77','2024-12-18 08:01:06.77',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-18 08:01:06.769',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('494e7790-b44c-434f-a36b-058af8291fb7','9b34e463-2f33-406d-a7a5-57ac0149c61f','26458796-5d5f-468a-ac5f-69a3a6e55885','<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><strong style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">Day-</span></strong><strong style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB;">20</span></strong><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;"> </span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-ascii-font-family: Garamond; mso-hansi-font-family: Garamond; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">（</span><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB;">20</span><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">/12/2024</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-ascii-font-family: Garamond; mso-hansi-font-family: Garamond; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">）</span><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;"> - page </span><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB;">117-121</span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">【机率思维】</span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB;">人生演算法／决策法有三种：</span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing" style="margin-left: .5in; text-indent: -.25in; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1;"><!-- [if !supportLists]--><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 13.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: Garamond; mso-bidi-font-family: Garamond; letter-spacing: -.25pt;"><span style="mso-list: Ignore;">1.<span style="font: 7.0pt ''Times New Roman'';">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span></span><!--[endif]--><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB;">确定效应 &mdash; 「二鳥在林，不如一鳥在手」，谨慎过日子。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing" style="margin-left: .5in; text-indent: -.25in; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1;"><!-- [if !supportLists]--><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 13.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: Garamond; mso-bidi-font-family: Garamond; letter-spacing: -.25pt;"><span style="mso-list: Ignore;">2.<span style="font: 7.0pt ''Times New Roman'';">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span></span><!--[endif]--><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB;">「决策树」思维 &mdash; 找转机，鉆点子。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing" style="margin-left: .5in; text-indent: -.25in; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1;"><!-- [if !supportLists]--><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 13.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: Garamond; mso-bidi-font-family: Garamond; letter-spacing: -.25pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;"><span style="mso-list: Ignore;">3.<span style="font: 7.0pt ''Times New Roman'';">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span></span><!--[endif]--><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">机率思维 &mdash; 如何做到「完全资讯决策」。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB;">&nbsp;</span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB;">机率思维是很多成功人士最基础的人生演算法。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB;">在今天这个急速变化的时代，机率思维是非常重要的一种思维模式，尤其在创业领域。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB;">因此，要成功，首要方法是找到大机率成功的事情。</span></p>','2024-12-18 04:42:54.015','2024-12-20 00:00:00.009',NULL,'f','2024-12-20 00:00:00.008','2024-12-20 00:00:00.008',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('12df886d-a8ce-4c8f-a2ca-5041a4a4df95','73d404e3-c3a6-4105-8463-cfb9bcce8d62','26458796-5d5f-468a-ac5f-69a3a6e55885','<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><strong style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">Day-</span></strong><strong style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB;">21</span></strong><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;"> </span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-ascii-font-family: Garamond; mso-hansi-font-family: Garamond; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">（</span><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB;">21</span><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">/12/2024</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-ascii-font-family: Garamond; mso-hansi-font-family: Garamond; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">）</span><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;"> - page </span><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB;">121-126</span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">【时代．战略．治理．管理】</span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB;">机率思维是这个时代成功者所秉持的底层逻辑。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB;">以机率思维这个底层逻辑为基础，顺应时代的发展，透过合宜的战略，设计好组织结构，做好管理，成功的机率就大了。</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">坚定地执行自己独立的战略和执行自己的模型，就是比较大机率的事件了。</span></p>','2024-12-18 04:43:25.71','2024-12-21 00:00:00.028',NULL,'f','2024-12-21 00:00:00.026','2024-12-21 00:00:00.026',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('d4c5268e-38bf-4d82-9a50-9d8d93969813','8df7dfc5-c545-40e5-bdbf-7be0547acb1b','1a28ed21-9fd6-4880-8fcc-727c43eb36b1','<p>很多刚毕业生很在意第一份工资，是一种荣耀也觉得是第一选择。他们忽略了加入这家公司后他们是否可以学习和增值？另一个毕业生选择一家公司工资不会很高但是可以学习很多。 三年后，我们就容易发现哪位毕业生更有价值，会得到大企业高薪水聘请？这种是微积分&hellip;努力到能力，到成绩，到赏识。</p>','2024-12-18 00:55:43.321','2024-12-23 00:00:00.012',NULL,'f','2024-12-23 00:00:00.011','2024-12-23 00:00:00.011',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('5e23e119-3f68-4e63-9aed-44e6d71b766f','38430c11-f8d4-4db3-ba77-25afdaa4d13b','b2120258-4016-43f4-9c32-1f9c0e96bfaf','<p>懂得区分what、why、how，对一个人来说，就是巨大的提升。</p>
<p>对方想听的what、why、how,而你自己所表达的是what、why还是how。</p>
<p>比如what,我的公司是做冰淇淋的。</p>
<p>How,怎样赚钱，答：透过分销商，最终卖到客户手上。</p>
<p>Why,为什么做得好，答：能够帮助合作伙伴用最快的速度赚到更多的钱。</p>','2024-12-18 02:31:53.449','2025-01-11 00:00:00.028',NULL,'f','2025-01-11 00:00:00.027','2025-01-11 00:00:00.027',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('3824abcb-78ad-4f87-aeb3-d2aca7895061','090384b3-c089-4ed0-aecf-abf0ed2c92a8','1131f00f-c162-442f-b3c0-e0ead4f636c3','<p>看不懂这几页的方程式😬,</p>
<p>只知道在还没了解背后真正的运作模式前， 不要只看人家风光的一面。</p>','2024-12-18 10:40:34.671','2024-12-18 10:40:34.671',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-18 10:40:34.669',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('f853b528-68bf-4d3e-a00b-d1e7eb7fa96e','090384b3-c089-4ed0-aecf-abf0ed2c92a8','7c90ff31-3cfe-46d0-8204-3b842b9bb44e','<p>补12月17日</p>
<p>五个层次：</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>1）思维无闭环、思考无逻辑。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>2）思维无闭环、思考有逻辑。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>3）思维有闭环、思考无逻辑。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>4）思维有闭环、思考有逻辑。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>5）思维有闭环、思考有逻辑。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>思维有闭环，思考有逻辑，在高层次形成逻辑闭环，而且能打破自己开放的心态。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>12月18日：</p>
<p>复利不是利滚利最大成效，</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>而是本金带来大部分的利息。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>早期靠本金，</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>后期靠复利。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>','2024-12-18 09:37:04.535','2024-12-18 09:37:04.535',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-18 09:37:04.534',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('3ffd3e04-fb5c-4818-9d63-49aeb751688b','73d404e3-c3a6-4105-8463-cfb9bcce8d62','4d60a8e6-8829-45d3-add6-e61449282094','<p>机率思维，是这个时代成功者所秉持的底层思维。理解与运用机率思维，增加运气，避开陷阱，才能在成功路上走得更远。</p>','2024-12-18 09:48:24.906','2024-12-21 00:00:00.028',NULL,'f','2024-12-21 00:00:00.026','2024-12-21 00:00:00.026',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('a0f7dcde-3dde-466d-b35c-4536d3e47a0d','090384b3-c089-4ed0-aecf-abf0ed2c92a8','c9b39003-1a47-4eb9-a447-837aa6128a1b','<p>複利公式存有3個變數。</p>
<p>1️⃣本金 ：本金大 所得收益利率也跟著大，但不是利滾利的威力。</p>
<p>2️⃣<span style="font-family: var(--font-ubuntu);">收益率 ：如何維持與持續每年達到高收益率才是複利效應的核心，但這可能也是天方夜譚。</span></p>
<p><span style="font-family: var(--font-ubuntu);">3️⃣期數 ：不邏輯的期數 讓人感覺複利的財富效應很快速。</span></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>','2024-12-18 09:49:55.905','2024-12-18 09:49:55.905',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-18 09:49:55.904',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('c6fbc480-c137-4fbd-8b3b-d003e1423f8a','090384b3-c089-4ed0-aecf-abf0ed2c92a8','8ba62dba-0026-464f-a0d5-bd8c4d6c0430','<p><strong>复利思维要点总结</strong>：</p>
<ul>
<li>
<p><strong>复利公式核心</strong>：</p>
<ul>
<li>复利效果由本金、收益率和期数决定，需长期积累才能显现。</li>
<li>高收益率是复利的关键，但难以持续实现。</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<p><strong>期数谬误</strong>：</p>
<ul>
<li>每天进步1%或7年翻倍等理想化模型不现实。</li>
<li>实际生活中的复利需要几十年甚至几代人才能实现。</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<p><strong>收益率现实</strong>：</p>
<ul>
<li>巴菲特的成功在于持续高收益率（30%年化）长期维持。</li>
<li>普通人难以在长期内实现稳定的高收益率。</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<p><strong>财富积累误区</strong>：</p>
<ul>
<li>复利不是快速致富的捷径，而是依赖时间的长期过程。</li>
<li>短期内，收益大部分来自本金的利息，而非复利的&ldquo;利滚利&rdquo;。</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<p><strong>实例教训</strong>：</p>
<ul>
<li>巴菲特与金融专家的赌局表明，长期内跑赢市场并不易，标普指数年化收益率仅约6.36%。</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>总结：复利效应强调长期积累与稳定收益，需避免过于乐观的短期期待或不切实际的高收益幻想。</p>','2024-12-18 10:01:57.381','2024-12-18 10:01:57.381',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-18 10:01:57.379',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('b3d91b72-d982-4010-bc85-7f90c0600263','090384b3-c089-4ed0-aecf-abf0ed2c92a8','85df4a9d-433c-4009-bf28-8921ba3c5b68','<p dir="ltr">思考问题的底层逻辑</p>
<p dir="ltr">复利思维</p>','2024-12-18 14:41:19.157','2024-12-18 14:41:23.553',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-18 14:41:23.552',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('edbc4bb3-738e-4776-8ced-7fa7d556d5a8','6bf29380-f700-4309-a81d-0a823101d638','8ba62dba-0026-464f-a0d5-bd8c4d6c0430','<p><strong>从不确定性中找到确定性</strong></p>
<ul>
<li>源于概率论：通过重复大概率成功的事情，显著提升成功概率。</li>
<li>强调专注与深耕，而非在多个领域分散努力</li>
</ul>','2024-12-18 10:44:21.064','2024-12-22 00:00:00.034',NULL,'f','2024-12-22 00:00:00.032','2024-12-22 00:00:00.032',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('53152c9c-488c-47ef-8fa0-cb6818b3b2fe','8df7dfc5-c545-40e5-bdbf-7be0547acb1b','8ba62dba-0026-464f-a0d5-bd8c4d6c0430','<p><strong>用动态的眼光看问题</strong></p>
<ul>
<li>源于微积分：理解事物结果是长期积累的效应，而非瞬间产生。</li>
<li>提倡用动态思维看待努力与成果之间的滞后关系，培养平衡心态。</li>
</ul>','2024-12-18 10:45:25.311','2024-12-23 00:00:00.012',NULL,'f','2024-12-23 00:00:00.011','2024-12-23 00:00:00.011',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('e11c98a4-ce1d-4e5b-915d-fef9892e546e','1df9e5fd-444d-4d7d-ad30-e4294526e0b5','8ba62dba-0026-464f-a0d5-bd8c4d6c0430','<p><strong>公理体系</strong></p>
<ul>
<li>源于几何学：明确公理（愿景、使命、价值观）作为行为与决策的根基。</li>
<li>强调建立自洽的公理体系，以减少依赖个别领导决策。</li>
</ul>','2024-12-18 10:46:05.128','2024-12-24 00:00:00.026',NULL,'f','2024-12-24 00:00:00.025','2024-12-24 00:00:00.025',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('5bf5b69c-77fa-480e-92a7-9390a9b9aaa5','53cf2376-8362-46ba-a43e-e50aed6bc31a','8ba62dba-0026-464f-a0d5-bd8c4d6c0430','<h3><strong>如何正确理解指数级增长</strong></h3>
<p>理解指数级增长的本质，需要结合 <strong>正态分布</strong> 和 <strong>幂律分布</strong> 这两种商业模式的数学模型。这些模型帮助我们判断行业特性，并合理预期成功的可能性和方式。</p>
<hr>
<h4><strong>指数级增长的核心特征</strong></h4>
<ol>
<li>
<p><strong>边际交付时间接近零</strong>：</p>
<ul>
<li>指数级增长通常发生在<strong>边际交付时间为零</strong>的领域。</li>
<li>例如：数字产品、互联网服务、内容付费等行业。</li>
<li><strong>边际交付时间为零的意义</strong>：
<ul>
<li>无论新增客户或用户多少，交付成本不增加。</li>
<li>通过一次生产（如软件开发或课程录制），可覆盖广泛的市场。</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<p><strong>可复制性与规模化</strong>：</p>
<ul>
<li>指数级增长需要产品或服务具备可复制性，便于快速扩张。</li>
<li>如 <strong>麦当劳</strong> 的模式：通过标准化和品牌复制扩展门店，但具体服务交由加盟商完成。</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<p><strong>幂律分布的头部效应</strong>：</p>
<ul>
<li>幂律分布行业中，少数头部企业占据市场绝大部分资源。</li>
<li>例如：互联网搜索、社交媒体、流媒体服务等行业，第一名和第二名加在一起通常占据 70% 以上的市场份额。</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ol>
<hr>
<h4><strong>指数级增长的行业特征与实践案例</strong></h4>
<ol>
<li>
<p><strong>互联网行业</strong>：</p>
<ul>
<li>订票网站、团购平台等，通过技术匹配供需，边际交付时间为零。</li>
<li><strong>案例</strong>：
<ul>
<li><strong>美团</strong>：整合餐饮、旅游等服务，通过平台匹配消费者与商家。</li>
<li><strong>携程</strong>：不需要拥有酒店或航班资源，只需提供高效匹配。</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<p><strong>数字内容行业</strong>：</p>
<ul>
<li>音乐、课程、视频等内容一次制作，反复销售。</li>
<li><strong>案例</strong>：
<ul>
<li><strong>樊登读书会</strong>：内容录制后即可规模化分发。</li>
<li><strong>Netflix</strong>：一次制作的影视内容可面向全球用户提供订阅服务。</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<p><strong>传统行业中的创新</strong>：</p>
<ul>
<li>抽离边际交付时间较高的部分，转化为标准化产品。</li>
<li><strong>案例</strong>：
<ul>
<li><strong>麦当劳</strong>：让加盟商负责具体餐饮服务，集团只管理品牌和运营标准。</li>
<li><strong>星巴克</strong>：标准化门店布局与供应链，规模化扩展全球市场。</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ol>
<hr>
<h4><strong>边际交付时间高的行业与非指数型增长</strong></h4>
<ol>
<li>
<p><strong>正态分布行业的特征</strong>：</p>
<ul>
<li>边际交付时间高：服务需要实时投入。</li>
<li>市场分散：难以形成头部效应。</li>
<li><strong>代表行业</strong>：理发店、餐饮、线下服务等。</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<p><strong>为何难以实现指数型增长</strong>：</p>
<ul>
<li>时间、资源有限：每个服务需要单独投入时间。</li>
<li>管理复杂性：连锁扩张会导致运营和管理成本几何倍数增加。</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<p><strong>适合的策略</strong>：</p>
<ul>
<li>避免盲目追求规模化扩展，转而专注于区域性或差异化服务。</li>
<li><strong>案例</strong>：
<ul>
<li>区域连锁理发店：通过深耕本地市场，提升服务质量和顾客满意度。</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ol>
<hr>
<h4><strong>如何利用指数型增长逻辑优化行业选择</strong></h4>
<ol>
<li>
<p><strong>正确区分产品与服务</strong>：</p>
<ul>
<li><strong>产品</strong>：边际交付时间为零，具备规模化潜力。</li>
<li><strong>服务</strong>：边际交付时间较高，难以规模化，但适合提供差异化体验。</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<p><strong>结合行业特点选择适合的方向</strong>：</p>
<ul>
<li><strong>避开激烈竞争的幂律市场</strong>：
<ul>
<li>例如，内容付费、平台型业务。</li>
<li>幂律市场头部效应显著，适合少数有创新能力和资源的创业者。</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><strong>选择正态分布的服务业</strong>：
<ul>
<li>例如，高端定制服务、线下体验式消费。</li>
<li>虽然难以做大，但中间层市场稳固，适合中小型企业扎根。</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<p><strong>抽离高边际交付时间的部分</strong>：</p>
<ul>
<li>将边际交付时间高的环节交由他人，自己专注于可复制部分。</li>
<li><strong>案例</strong>：
<ul>
<li>餐饮行业标准化：通过中央厨房和配送系统减少门店的工作负担。</li>
<li>教育领域：线上课程和线下辅导结合，扩大内容覆盖范围。</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ol>
<hr>
<h4><strong>小提示：指数型增长的实现路径</strong></h4>
<ol>
<li>
<p><strong>专注零边际交付时间的产品</strong>：</p>
<ul>
<li>开发可规模化分发的内容或服务。</li>
<li>尝试基于互联网技术构建业务模式。</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<p><strong>剥离高边际交付时间环节</strong>：</p>
<ul>
<li>寻求合作伙伴分担耗时部分，如外包生产、渠道分发。</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<p><strong>正确评估行业特性</strong>：</p>
<ul>
<li>幂律分布行业：高风险高回报，需创新驱动。</li>
<li>正态分布行业：适合稳健发展，追求长期稳定收益。</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ol>
<p>通过理解 <strong>指数级增长</strong> 的商业逻辑，创业者和求职者可以更好地把握行业变革趋势，做出符合市场规律的选择。</p>','2024-12-18 14:46:50.286','2025-01-03 00:00:00.036',NULL,'f','2025-01-03 00:00:00.035','2025-01-03 00:00:00.035',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('9d29ac02-e8b1-41b6-8e98-88e7f4069f51','090384b3-c089-4ed0-aecf-abf0ed2c92a8','f19a0a29-719b-4ff0-9462-5c18dd598629','<p>从这里可以看出，靠着投资致富根本就是不可能。市场上全部基金经理说他们可以跑赢大市，这根本就是数学上不可能---在高度成熟的股市，散户--或者韭菜--很少，都是专业基金在玩。所以一年下来股市的平均收益就是基金经理的平均收益。扣除了手术费后其实你还输给股市的平均值呢。所以，我现在只买指数基金Index Fund，坏处是它肯定不会比大市好，好处是几乎没有手术费。这么一来，我的投资组合会比一般（median)的专业基金还要好。<br><br></p>
<p>你说你挑选股票或者基金经理的能力很好，但是每个人都这么想。得清醒的问你自己有什么独到秘诀？还是有内幕消息（在很多国家用内幕消息来进行股票交易是犯法的，会坐牢）？</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>要过上好日子，天赋和努力是必须的。要暴富，还得加上运气才行。所以，投资自己的专业或擅长领域才是王道。</p>','2024-12-18 11:31:57.062','2024-12-18 12:09:22.188',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-18 12:09:22.187',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('b27b6b71-198a-4578-83ce-27d0a3722e55','090384b3-c089-4ed0-aecf-abf0ed2c92a8','ef10631b-65db-4272-af44-c5d7da8f94f4','<p><strong>复利思维的谬误</strong></p>
<p>1）期数谬误-把期数想多了，不接近现实</p>
<p>2）复利效果谬误-复利是短期的，是暴利效应。反之复利是极度依赖长期的概念</p>
<p>3）收益率谬误-乐观的相信可以做到长期稳定的高收益率</p>','2024-12-18 15:31:45.492','2024-12-18 15:31:46.946',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-18 15:31:46.945',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('fcb13435-6b78-45f5-9da9-850c50c10bad','b5cfb88c-2f34-4054-839b-69128f550b29','f96bb3ac-81d2-449d-bcab-c984308b1d78','<p>1.无欲无求式财富自由 = 佛教认为欲望是导致痛苦的根源，当赚钱的速度跟不上欲望膨胀的速度时，你就永远得不到满足。<br>2. 三生三世式财富自由 = 如果不想降低欲望，怎么办呢？那就用时间换。但是你要对&ldquo;时间&rdquo;有充分的耐心。不想三生三世，就&ldquo;用压岁钱养老&rdquo;。只要你每年比前一年多存一些压岁钱，退休之后，也足以维持你很多年的生活了。<br>3. 第一桶金式财富自由 = 第一桶金，也就是复利公式里的本金，是财富自由的最大权重。我们看世界富豪榜的前100名，其中90名以上都是靠第一桶金获得财富自由，而不是靠复利公式。<br><br><strong>创造财富，而不是靠财富自己创造财富，才是获得财富自由的真谛。<br><br></strong></p>','2024-12-19 03:54:35.328','2024-12-19 03:54:35.328',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-19 03:54:35.327',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('a357418f-66bb-42dd-a0f8-e347242cec26','b5cfb88c-2f34-4054-839b-69128f550b29','fb681b37-b86f-49b7-8f27-422ffefb81b6','<p>本金（1+收益率）时间-欲望=财富自由<br>这个公式指的是只要非劳动收入大于消费欲望，就达到了财富自由。</p>
<p>【早期靠本金，后期靠复利】---积累本金是基础，长期坚持和时间是让复利发挥作用的关键。因此，建议在早期注重储蓄和投入，为后期的复利创造条件，同时保持耐心，利用时间来实现财富增长。</p>
<p><br><br></p>','2024-12-19 05:53:15.81','2024-12-19 05:53:15.81',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-19 05:53:15.809',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('339c6d05-514c-454e-b25c-0c47dd5b7b6f','b5cfb88c-2f34-4054-839b-69128f550b29','22eebfc2-f1bd-4144-ac9b-9b146d80a3ee','<p dir="ltr">Day 19 ：12月19 日&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 《底层逻辑》Part 2：思考问题的底层逻辑</p>
<p dir="ltr">打开复利效应的正确姿势（Page 112-116）</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p dir="ltr">🎯今日读后感悟：</p>
<p dir="ltr">打开复利效应 = 财富自由；财富自由 = 创造财富 = 创造本金 + 复利 - 欲望</p>','2024-12-19 10:13:50.369','2024-12-19 10:13:50.369',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-19 10:13:50.368',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('aabf992f-8a75-4a81-a7c6-ca62eb37533d','73d404e3-c3a6-4105-8463-cfb9bcce8d62','8ba62dba-0026-464f-a0d5-bd8c4d6c0430','<ul>
<li>
<p><strong>对冲概率的方法</strong></p>
<ul>
<li><strong>把握时代</strong>：顺应时代趋势（如移动互联网）带来的概率优势。</li>
<li><strong>制定战略</strong>：如跟随性战略、快鱼战略，通过正确方向降低失败概率。</li>
<li><strong>优化治理</strong>：设计合理的股权和合伙人制度，避免结构问题导致失败。</li>
<li><strong>加强管理</strong>：通过团队建设、激励制度等提高成功概率。</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<p><strong>创业成功的概率计算</strong></p>
<ul>
<li>成功概率可通过多个层次的努力叠加提升，如时代（12%）、战略（5%）、治理（2%）、管理（1%）。</li>
<li>综合计算，若初始成功概率为5%，经过优化提升至25%后，连续尝试多次可显著提高总体成功率。</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<p><strong>创业者的心态与执行</strong></p>
<ul>
<li>承认不确定性，接受失败并重新开始。</li>
<li>通过概率思维避开陷阱，抓住机会，在长时间维度内提高成功几率</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>','2024-12-18 10:51:36.974','2024-12-21 00:00:00.028',NULL,'f','2024-12-21 00:00:00.026','2024-12-21 00:00:00.026',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('70341c9c-49cf-436e-a73a-0127890d511f','5b96a98f-af1c-4f27-9752-740a595de64f','8ba62dba-0026-464f-a0d5-bd8c4d6c0430','<h3><strong>指数级增长、正态分布和幂律分布：骰盅魔咒与弯刀诱惑</strong></h3>
<p>在选择职业或发展方向时，了解市场背后的数学分布模型尤为关键。这些模型揭示了个人在市场中的位置及成功的可能性。以下是对 <strong>正态分布</strong> 和 <strong>幂律分布</strong> 的解析，以及它们如何影响商业模式和职业选择。</p>
<hr>
<h4><strong>正态分布：骰盅魔咒</strong></h4>
<ul>
<li><strong>定义</strong>：
<ul>
<li>正态分布是一种 &ldquo;中间多、两头少&rdquo; 的分布形态，数据集中在均值附近，远离均值的个体较少。</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><strong>特征</strong>：
<ul>
<li><strong>边际交付时间高</strong>：每多提供一个产品或服务，需投入额外时间与精力。</li>
<li><strong>分散的市场</strong>：难以形成垄断，市场中的参与者收入大多处于中间段。</li>
<li><strong>收入分布</strong>：
<ul>
<li>极少人收入特别低（尾部）。</li>
<li>极少人收入特别高（头部）。</li>
<li>大部分人收入介于中间。</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><strong>行业代表</strong>：绘画、传统手工艺、线下教学等。</li>
<li><strong>市场机制</strong>：
<ul>
<li>市场机制有&ldquo;均值回归&rdquo;的趋势：
<ul>
<li><strong>弱者</strong> 往中间靠：通过努力提高表现。</li>
<li><strong>强者</strong> 被拉回中间：竞争者分散市场份额。</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><strong>个人风险</strong>：
<ul>
<li>成功可能性较高，但成就天花板明显，不太可能获得垄断性成功。</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><strong>总结</strong>：
<ul>
<li><strong>稳定性高</strong>，适合追求中等收入并规避高风险的人。</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<hr>
<h4><strong>幂律分布：弯刀诱惑</strong></h4>
<ul>
<li><strong>定义</strong>：
<ul>
<li>幂律分布是一种&ldquo;头部多、尾部多、中间少&rdquo;的分布形态，市场资源向少数头部个体集中。</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><strong>特征</strong>：
<ul>
<li><strong>边际交付时间低或为零</strong>：产品或服务可轻松复制，规模效应显著。</li>
<li><strong>集中的市场</strong>：赢家通吃，头部效应显著。</li>
<li><strong>收入分布</strong>：
<ul>
<li>极少人占据市场大部分资源（头部）。</li>
<li>极少人完全失败或碌碌无为（尾部）。</li>
<li>中间层极少存在。</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><strong>行业代表</strong>：音乐、软件开发、科技创新、平台型商业。</li>
<li><strong>市场机制</strong>：
<ul>
<li>中间层的竞争者被<strong>推向两个极端</strong>：
<ul>
<li>成为头部：通过创新或卓越表现胜出。</li>
<li>滑向尾部：在激烈竞争中失败。</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><strong>个人风险</strong>：
<ul>
<li><strong>高风险高回报</strong>：一旦成为头部，回报巨大；否则可能一无所获。</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><strong>总结</strong>：
<ul>
<li><strong>潜力大但风险高</strong>，适合追求卓越并愿意承担不确定性的人。</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<hr>
<h4><strong>选择的启示：绘画还是钢琴？</strong></h4>
<ol>
<li>
<p><strong>绘画（正态分布市场）</strong>：</p>
<ul>
<li>优点：
<ul>
<li>风险较低，稳定性强。</li>
<li>只要努力，就能在中间层稳定发展。</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>缺点：
<ul>
<li>收入和成就上限较低，不可能垄断市场。</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>适合目标：
<ul>
<li>追求稳定收入，愿意持续投入时间与精力。</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<p><strong>钢琴（幂律分布市场）</strong>：</p>
<ul>
<li>优点：
<ul>
<li>一旦成功，回报可观，头部市场效应显著。</li>
<li>复制能力强，边际交付时间低。</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>缺点：
<ul>
<li>成功率低，需承担高风险。</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>适合目标：
<ul>
<li>追求卓越成就，愿意承担失败风险。</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ol>
<hr>
<h4><strong>正态与幂律分布的商业模式解读</strong></h4>
<ul>
<li><strong>正态分布（骰盅魔咒）</strong>：
<ul>
<li>商业模式分散，竞争者多，利润率低。</li>
<li>适合区域性、小规模、多点布局的经营方式。</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><strong>幂律分布（弯刀诱惑）</strong>：
<ul>
<li>商业模式集中，赢家通吃，长尾效应显著。</li>
<li>适合平台型、可复制、高科技驱动的模式。</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<hr>
<h4><strong>总结</strong></h4>
<p>职业选择和商业模式决策应基于对市场分布特征的理解：</p>
<ul>
<li>若追求稳定性，选择正态分布市场。</li>
<li>若愿意承担高风险以追求高回报，选择幂律分布市场。</li>
</ul>
<p>清楚自己的优势与目标后，再针对市场特性做出明智选择，避免因不匹配的模式而错失机会。</p>','2024-12-18 14:41:31.62','2025-01-02 00:00:00.02',NULL,'f','2025-01-02 00:00:00.019','2025-01-02 00:00:00.019',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('715ae1c9-1a53-46a5-a95d-377b05da0468','ee413297-043a-43d1-ac76-acdc524a339d','8ba62dba-0026-464f-a0d5-bd8c4d6c0430','<h3><strong>提升效率的关键要点</strong></h3>
<ol>
<li>
<p><strong>选择：效率的核心</strong></p>
<ul>
<li><strong>高价值决策</strong>：用短时间（如17分钟）判断未来长时间（如17小时）任务是否值得投入。</li>
<li><strong>目标导向</strong>：专注于对人生目标最重要的事情，避免无意义的任务占用资源。</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<p><strong>方法：用更高效的手段解决问题</strong></p>
<ul>
<li>寻找创造性解决方案，突破常规方法的局限性。</li>
<li>案例：用有争议性的内容（如特别照片）吸引广泛关注，实现快速传播。</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<p><strong>工具：提升执行效率</strong></p>
<ul>
<li><strong>白板思维</strong>：通过白板实现灵活、无边界的思考，记录、连接并优化想法。
<ul>
<li>解放思维：不受结构化、边界和错误恐惧的限制。</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><strong>适合的工具</strong>：选用最称手的工具，根据任务需求大幅提升效率。</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<p><strong>总结</strong></p>
<ul>
<li><strong>核心原则</strong>：选择、方法、工具三者结合。</li>
<li><strong>实践路径</strong>：优先做最重要的事，用更高效的方法解决问题，借助工具实现事半功倍。</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ol>','2024-12-18 12:08:11.789','2024-12-28 00:00:00.016',NULL,'f','2024-12-28 00:00:00.015','2024-12-28 00:00:00.015',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('5c1163c8-9129-4abe-b675-17fe8804dc3d','090384b3-c089-4ed0-aecf-abf0ed2c92a8','6949d955-832d-47f1-870b-95a01be61ff8','<p>复利公式中共包含3个变量：</p>
<ol>
<li>本金(第一桶金）</li>
<li>收益率（长期维持高收益率）</li>
<li>期数（长期，以年计算）</li>
</ol>
<p>高收益率才是复利效应的核心，巴菲特的成功在于持续高收益率（30%年化）长期维持。</p>
<p>复利</p>','2024-12-18 12:50:44.272','2024-12-18 12:50:44.272',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-18 12:50:44.271',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('37dacd5c-fde8-4dfc-8de2-cc4230abd226','090384b3-c089-4ed0-aecf-abf0ed2c92a8','47cda368-b147-4725-82b1-56340e248f14','<div class="flex flex-row justify-between gap-2">
<div class="flex flex-row gap-2 mb-2">&nbsp;</div>
</div>
<div class="text-xs sm:text-sm ml-[38px]">
<p>複利公式中包含3個變數： 本金、收益、期數，並各自對應著3個謬誤。</p>
</div>','2024-12-18 12:37:41.653','2024-12-18 12:40:15.016',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-18 12:40:15.015',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('c9fccc99-e492-4a47-b00c-cee6115caa37','090384b3-c089-4ed0-aecf-abf0ed2c92a8','bc030323-5b78-4cf5-8c04-0ba4b93a64d1','<p class="p1"><span class="s1">Day 18 ：12月18 日&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 《底层逻辑》Part 2：思考问题的底层逻辑</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">复利思维（Page 108-112）</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">🎯今日读后感悟：</span></p>
<p class="p3"><span class="s3">複利思維</span></p>
<p class="p5"><span class="s1">1. 人生演算法与复利公式的误区：</span></p>
<p class="p5"><span class="s1">每天进步1%或年收益率10%是理想化的数字，但忽视了现实中的期数和收益率的实际可行性。人们常高估了短期内复利效果的影响。</span></p>
<p class="p5"><span class="s1"> 2. 期数谬误：</span></p>
<p class="p5"><span class="s1"> &bull; 365次方的「每天进步1%」是无法实现的理想状态，更多是激励意义而非实际可操作。</span></p>
<p class="p5">&nbsp;</p>','2024-12-18 12:45:24.184','2024-12-18 12:45:24.184',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-18 12:45:24.183',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('03ef14c4-a002-4d70-8266-fb1f68493e5d','090384b3-c089-4ed0-aecf-abf0ed2c92a8','3d9c1be4-dac8-482e-8867-e3ba75f3a884','<p>複利思维的逻辑不是只依靠直线型的增长计算的，它需要考慮到实际情况进度的副度可能上上下下。另外，真的是有好的複利效益结果，必须是建立于高的百分比进度，至少高于百分之三十，才可看到高成果。</p>','2024-12-18 12:53:36.88','2024-12-18 12:53:36.88',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-18 12:53:36.879',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('515aa0e5-c4e0-411b-881e-397ccf5853a5','b5cfb88c-2f34-4054-839b-69128f550b29','4f2eb2b3-94b5-4ee7-8132-6fb6407ff96e','<p>欲望是无法填满，只能降低</p>','2024-12-19 04:15:39.251','2024-12-19 04:15:39.251',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-19 04:15:39.25',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('09dcd40c-30d9-4935-b3a9-b0212c493af1','34217577-c9b9-4584-86df-173364b9bb07','8ba62dba-0026-464f-a0d5-bd8c4d6c0430','<h3><strong>杠杆：实现突破性成功的关键</strong></h3>
<ol>
<li>
<p><strong>团队杠杆</strong></p>
<ul>
<li>通过复制核心能力（如麦肯锡的知识库和方法论），培养高效团队，以规模化方式创造价值。</li>
<li>团队是最基础的杠杆，用于扩大影响力和提升执行效率。</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<p><strong>产品杠杆</strong></p>
<ul>
<li>减少对人类时间的依赖，将服务转化为可复制的产品（如印刷术替代誊写圣经）。</li>
<li>产品杠杆能突破人类时间的限制，实现大规模增长。</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<p><strong>资本杠杆</strong></p>
<ul>
<li>通过资本（如贝恩资本的投资模式），放大核心能力，实现更高的回报。</li>
<li>资本杠杆将专业知识与资金结合，创造远超原始投入的价值。</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<p><strong>影响力杠杆</strong></p>
<ul>
<li>通过演讲、写作和人脉，扩大个人或企业的影响力。</li>
<li>人脉的核心在于&ldquo;你能帮到谁&rdquo;，而非&ldquo;谁能帮到你&rdquo;。</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ol>
<h3><strong>杠杆使用的前提</strong></h3>
<ul>
<li><strong>能力内核</strong>：强大的核心能力是杠杆有效运作的基础。</li>
<li><strong>放大作用</strong>：杠杆加速成功或失败，取决于核心能力的强弱。</li>
</ul>
<h3><strong>总结</strong></h3>
<ul>
<li><strong>成功公式</strong>：能力 &times; 效率 &times; 杠杆 = 突破性成功。</li>
<li><strong>警示</strong>：空有杠杆而无支点，只会加速失败。</li>
<li><strong>愿景</strong>：掌握最强能力，追求最高效率，运用最佳杠杆，撬动属于自己的全世界。</li>
</ul>','2024-12-18 12:16:45.715','2024-12-29 00:00:00.03',NULL,'f','2024-12-29 00:00:00.029','2024-12-29 00:00:00.029',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('1794e1e0-3a62-4485-ba93-b48ab6e7f338','c7808d2e-09e0-424e-87f4-37d55701c25e','8ba62dba-0026-464f-a0d5-bd8c4d6c0430','<h3><strong>如何做好时间管理</strong></h3>
<ol>
<li>
<p><strong>理解时间颗粒度</strong></p>
<ul>
<li><strong>定义</strong>：时间颗粒度是指安排时间的基本单位，反映职业化程度。</li>
<li><strong>实例</strong>：王健林以15分钟为单位，比尔&middot;盖茨以5分钟为单位。而普通人通常以1小时、半天或1天为单位。</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<p><strong>职业化的时间观念</strong></p>
<ul>
<li><strong>恪守时间</strong>：职业化要求尊重和遵守时间。迟到意味着不尊重别人的时间颗粒度。</li>
<li><strong>反例</strong>：时间颗粒度粗犷的人无法理解细化时间的重要性，如随意更改计划、迟到或临时造访。</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<p><strong>三步提升时间管理能力</strong></p>
<ul>
<li>
<p><strong>第一步：理解别人的时间颗粒度</strong></p>
<ul>
<li>理解他人的时间分配方式是尊重的体现。</li>
<li>不同颗粒度对应的行为：
<ul>
<li><strong>半天</strong>：临时拜访或安排聊天。</li>
<li><strong>1小时</strong>：迟到几分钟并要求谅解。</li>
<li><strong>30分钟或以下</strong>：拒绝浪费时间的行为。</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<p><strong>第二步：细化自己的时间颗粒度</strong></p>
<ul>
<li>检查自己的颗粒度：观察日常会议安排的时长。</li>
<li>随着责任增加，逐步将颗粒度细化至30分钟甚至更短。</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<p><strong>第三步：善用日历工具</strong></p>
<ul>
<li>将所有日程记录到电子日历中，避免依赖记忆。</li>
<li><strong>工具推荐</strong>：微软Outlook、手机自带日历工具，方便管理日程。</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<p><strong>时间管理的核心原则</strong></p>
<ul>
<li><strong>理解和尊重时间</strong>：清楚不同颗粒度的重要性，学会分秒必争。</li>
<li><strong>职业化要求</strong>：以更小的颗粒度安排事务，减少时间浪费，提高效率。</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ol>
<h3><strong>总结</strong></h3>
<p>时间管理的关键在于理解并优化时间颗粒度。通过尊重他人的时间、细化自身的安排以及善用日历工具，你可以显著提升时间利用效率，实现更高效、更职业化的工作方式。</p>','2024-12-18 12:57:42.958','2024-12-31 00:00:00.024',NULL,'f','2024-12-31 00:00:00.023','2024-12-31 00:00:00.023',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('965f8095-9b63-4d0c-bb21-eb2c37c18b9e','c6c84f04-b233-4154-be94-b6a160274e5d','b2120258-4016-43f4-9c32-1f9c0e96bfaf','<p>只知道what，欲不知道why,就没有动力。理解了why,才可以做到知行合一。你还要知道how。How就是做事的方法和步骤。</p>
<p>企业的愿景也是在解决why的问题-「我们今天这么辛苦地工作，到底是为什么？」</p>
<p>只有真正解决why的问题，员工们在遇到困难的时候，内心才会有强大的动力，坚持到底，否则很容易就会放弃。</p>','2024-12-19 08:15:23.964','2025-01-12 00:00:00.015',NULL,'f','2025-01-12 00:00:00.014','2025-01-12 00:00:00.014',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('347f476e-dcf0-42e5-b4e9-7a25e8a375bc','090384b3-c089-4ed0-aecf-abf0ed2c92a8','6cef5362-7ff5-4fa0-8829-76df28438992','<p>人对资讯、知识接触得越不足，盲点就越高，自己掉坑的机会就越大，并且越缺乏独立思考。</p>','2024-12-18 13:59:10.482','2024-12-18 13:59:10.482',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-18 13:59:10.481',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('d58156ef-2e8a-4d6c-9a1a-6eee1e28fe41','090384b3-c089-4ed0-aecf-abf0ed2c92a8','c11fab34-c054-436b-a25e-f5fdf1c3976e','<p>靠利息过日子很难，靠被动收入可能比较容易，那也是找寻第一桶金的途径之一</p>','2024-12-18 14:21:57.659','2024-12-18 14:21:57.659',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-18 14:21:57.658',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('996a01eb-2521-413f-9236-0a79e1fd15de','090384b3-c089-4ed0-aecf-abf0ed2c92a8','a000f9e2-7648-49c9-8713-f245191f61d3','<p>复利公式有三个变数 - 本金，收益率和期数。</p>
<p>理解复利时所存在的逻辑謬误有-</p>
<p>期数的不合理估计，</p>
<p>对大多数的人来说，复利效应短期以内是绝对无法体现的，因为它是极度仰赖长期的一个概念。</p>
<p>长期稳定的高收益几乎是天方夜谭，因为在复利效应要求的长期内，高收益率几乎无法实现。</p>','2024-12-18 14:09:09.217','2024-12-18 14:09:09.217',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-18 14:09:09.215',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('510ab2c1-4cb0-4951-93d8-aef9cbd2ea80','090384b3-c089-4ed0-aecf-abf0ed2c92a8','724f2776-0f89-4693-96ac-067e7121c40c','<p>复利思维的核心在于通过持续小投入和长期坚持，依靠时间的累积，实现量变到质变的指数级增长。</p>','2024-12-18 14:07:38.541','2024-12-18 14:11:01.692',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-18 14:11:01.691',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('4f89afc4-616d-4610-b48e-f70d4aed2f2f','090384b3-c089-4ed0-aecf-abf0ed2c92a8','042e3658-0d45-45d8-92b1-3d973b328b46','<p>複利的效果不是表面的收益，背后的逻辑是我们没有办法预算和预知，因为存在着变化！</p>','2024-12-18 14:16:34.451','2024-12-18 14:16:34.451',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-18 14:16:34.45',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('9c0bd636-29d4-47e3-adae-610a11dda8b5','090384b3-c089-4ed0-aecf-abf0ed2c92a8','9f2de0b4-5451-41cb-bded-d537871923dd','<p>每天进步1%，一年后会提升38倍的说法是个假象，因为我们忽略了期数、复利效果和收益率是有误差。</p>','2024-12-18 14:52:27.309','2024-12-18 14:52:27.309',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-18 14:52:27.308',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('60817059-be48-4a31-af9c-eeb13f1c1057','090384b3-c089-4ed0-aecf-abf0ed2c92a8','abafda80-d191-4990-802d-f631604815a6','<p>期数廖误</p>
<p>复利效果廖误</p>
<p>收益廖误</p>','2024-12-18 15:53:00.055','2024-12-18 15:53:51.593',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-18 15:53:51.592',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('bd51ccde-bab0-4fc7-bad4-3b338fe709bb','b5cfb88c-2f34-4054-839b-69128f550b29','be5b7e97-d65c-43f6-ba7f-0ffd13533f1a','<p>复利效应的正确方程式：<br>本金（1+收益率）时间 - 欲望 = 财富自由。</p>
<p>1. 尽早存够本金。才能靠本金赚钱。个人觉得培养储蓄的习惯是存本金的别要条件。<br>2.提高收益率的同时降低投资风险。<br>3.通过才时间，有耐性的累积财富。投资的回报应用来再投资而非消费。<br>4。降低欲望&middot;<br><br></p>','2024-12-18 13:47:42.81','2024-12-19 00:00:00.027',NULL,'f','2024-12-19 00:00:00.026','2024-12-19 00:00:00.025',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('d2b5ae39-5e03-46cf-9e2e-be2bd2b91697','b5cfb88c-2f34-4054-839b-69128f550b29','3c44f813-90cf-4c87-ab87-553efe18c88a','<p>财富自由-赚钱能力-欲望.</p>
<p>提高赚钱能力👆,减少欲望👇可以让生活自由.</p>','2024-12-18 14:02:33.281','2024-12-19 00:00:00.027',NULL,'f','2024-12-19 00:00:00.026','2024-12-19 00:00:00.025',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('3a40f7c2-090a-41be-a258-007a49bee70d','b5cfb88c-2f34-4054-839b-69128f550b29','724f2776-0f89-4693-96ac-067e7121c40c','<p>打开复利效应的关键在于专注高价值领域，持续小步积累，借助时间放大优势，避免负面消耗，实现长期指数增长。</p>','2024-12-18 14:10:42.041','2024-12-19 00:00:00.027',NULL,'f','2024-12-19 00:00:00.026','2024-12-19 00:00:00.025',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('0770de3c-96ea-4e00-937e-7dc902217542','9b34e463-2f33-406d-a7a5-57ac0149c61f','9f2de0b4-5451-41cb-bded-d537871923dd','<p>努力未必能成功，还是得看因缘和合</p>','2024-12-20 15:12:46.353','2024-12-20 15:12:46.353',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-20 15:12:46.352',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('c6094e04-dd5b-46c5-8fa5-61e2ad13ee2e','090384b3-c089-4ed0-aecf-abf0ed2c92a8','446acaf6-9b4a-451d-8e08-ca51f1003c48','<p>18/12/2024-复利思维（page108-112）<br>每个人都有自己的「人生演算法」，把同样公平的机会，放在很多人面前，不同的人生演算法，会导致全然不同的选择。</p>
<p>人们对「复利思维」最大的心理误，来自对「期数」的不合理预估，用错单位。<br>长期稳定的高收益，几乎是天方夜谭，复利公式的核心「高收益率」，在大多数情况下并不存在；人只看到别人赢，却没有看到别人输；只看到短期赢，却没有看到长期输，在复利效应要求的长期内，高收益率几乎无法实现。</p>','2024-12-18 14:49:33.546','2024-12-18 14:49:33.546',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-18 14:49:33.545',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('202ab78a-0ffe-40fb-8186-d878db68e620','090384b3-c089-4ed0-aecf-abf0ed2c92a8','a79358bf-a0d8-49f2-be81-0ba66e697353','<p>复利算法存在谬误，现实当中很难执行到。</p>','2024-12-18 15:03:25.705','2024-12-18 15:03:25.705',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-18 15:03:25.704',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('bdfe3c43-382f-4dcc-934e-35883694cd2f','090384b3-c089-4ed0-aecf-abf0ed2c92a8','7ae3c10f-1299-472c-a9d4-b368d392f445','<p>每个人都有自己的「人生演算法」，把同样公平的机会，放在很多人面前，不同的人生演算法，会导致全然不同的选择。</p>
<p>复利公式有三个变数 - 本金，收益率和期数。</p>
<p>理解复利时所存在的逻辑謬误有-</p>
<p><span style="font-family: var(--font-ubuntu);">1）期数谬误-期数的不合理估计 （本来用加法计算的事情, 用次方去计算)</span></p>
<p>2) 复利效果谬误 - 大部分的收益是来自你的本金所带来的利息,而不是利滚利</p>
<p>3) 收益率谬误</p>
<p>对大多数的人来说，复利效应短期以内是绝对无法体现的，因为它是极度仰赖长期的一个概念。</p>
<p>长期稳定的高收益几乎是天方夜谭，因为在复利效应要求的长期内，高收益率几乎无法实现。</p>','2024-12-18 15:12:14.946','2024-12-18 15:12:14.946',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-18 15:12:14.945',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('ebdf10d7-6bd3-4a5f-b0d8-7a83d7efdeda','090384b3-c089-4ed0-aecf-abf0ed2c92a8','bdee759b-405c-461f-97a1-a39e711c7e8e','<p class="p1"><span class="s1">複利效應要產生最大的效果是需要有長期的概念，它需要足夠長時間醖釀發酵，時間越長效果越好。</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">複利最大化最重要的是收益率而不是期數。收益率越高，複利效應也就越大。</span></p>','2024-12-18 15:19:13.961','2024-12-18 15:19:13.961',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-18 15:19:13.96',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('0555332e-491a-4c82-a115-f750592b84bc','090384b3-c089-4ed0-aecf-abf0ed2c92a8','22eebfc2-f1bd-4144-ac9b-9b146d80a3ee','<p>Day 18 ：12月18 日 《底层逻辑》Part 2：思考问题的底层逻辑</p>
<p>复利思维（Page 108-112）</p>
<p>🎯今日读后感悟：</p>
<p>我所以为的&ldquo;复利&rdquo;原来不是我以为的那样。</p>','2024-12-18 15:54:00.989','2024-12-18 15:54:00.989',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-18 15:54:00.988',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('e9321e7b-8401-45e7-9fcb-114c914d10e4','090384b3-c089-4ed0-aecf-abf0ed2c92a8','c5e069be-e34f-4a00-8866-8ee0e14fd6df','<p>复利思维：复制利益的思考维度</p>
<p>存在三大误区：</p>
<p>期数谬误</p>
<p>复利效果谬误</p>
<p>收益率谬误</p>','2024-12-18 15:57:50.884','2024-12-18 15:57:50.884',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-18 15:57:50.883',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('23a09328-e838-4ab2-9b43-978b81acf710','090384b3-c089-4ed0-aecf-abf0ed2c92a8','550d0df0-c244-418c-8fd4-915e9faffda1','<p>今天的读后感让我深深体会-被带去荷兰是什么感觉。</p>
<p>原来我们一直被灌输的理论，由于立场不同，我们会以优化自己的乙方词语出发。</p>
<p>在这种情况，如果我们不谨慎去思考，很容易会被糊弄了。</p>','2024-12-18 15:59:13.432','2024-12-18 15:59:13.432',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-18 15:59:13.431',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('50c7d6eb-acf2-44ca-9bb8-c08405249d20','b5cfb88c-2f34-4054-839b-69128f550b29','53929692-27f3-426b-a4ce-9f2a98b8d064','<p>我只知道财富需要靠能力+努力+业力（运气）。</p>
<p>欲望是无底洞，有多少都无法填满。</p>','2024-12-18 22:53:42.938','2024-12-18 22:53:42.938',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-18 22:53:42.937',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('9685f412-dbed-42c7-bba6-c201a0bac65e','b5cfb88c-2f34-4054-839b-69128f550b29','4d60a8e6-8829-45d3-add6-e61449282094','<p>机率思维，是这个时代成功者所秉持的底层思维。</p>','2024-12-16 08:56:16.48','2024-12-19 00:00:00.027',NULL,'f','2024-12-19 00:00:00.026','2024-12-19 00:00:00.025',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('39ff704a-0da0-4731-bdbe-6597c486e8a8','b5cfb88c-2f34-4054-839b-69128f550b29','82401c82-df66-4556-a63e-3ff096e9ba26','<p>达到财富自由的首要条件是本金要够大。</p>','2024-12-18 00:30:03.935','2024-12-19 00:00:00.027',NULL,'f','2024-12-19 00:00:00.026','2024-12-19 00:00:00.025',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('fc0a1588-0835-4920-8b51-b9a92cc4a96e','b5cfb88c-2f34-4054-839b-69128f550b29','dee0ab39-9eab-4b3d-bad7-a9f0422f8fb5','<p>想要致福，都要有足够的本金，也要有耐性让时间证明投质的好效应，及要有足够的本金，并要懂的自我控制贪念与欲望，才能的好的经济效应。</p>','2024-12-17 13:19:41.519','2024-12-19 00:00:00.027',NULL,'f','2024-12-19 00:00:00.026','2024-12-19 00:00:00.025',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('1711b31f-e7d6-4b43-b8b5-a4ace91f1d9f','1df9e5fd-444d-4d7d-ad30-e4294526e0b5','1a28ed21-9fd6-4880-8fcc-727c43eb36b1','<p>一家公司大小事情要老板同意才能进行！完！员工不要做决定，不理决定结果都是老板说了算。这公司没有愿景、使命、价值观，走不远。</p>','2024-12-18 23:57:25.404','2024-12-24 00:00:00.026',NULL,'f','2024-12-24 00:00:00.025','2024-12-24 00:00:00.025',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('e1711115-a467-4c0d-a741-03aaf2d406fc','b5cfb88c-2f34-4054-839b-69128f550b29','26458796-5d5f-468a-ac5f-69a3a6e55885','<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><strong style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">Day-</span></strong><strong style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB;">19</span></strong><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;"> </span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-ascii-font-family: Garamond; mso-hansi-font-family: Garamond; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">（</span><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB;">19</span><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">/12/2024</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-ascii-font-family: Garamond; mso-hansi-font-family: Garamond; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">）</span><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;"> - page </span><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB;">112-116</span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">【打开复利效应的正确姿势】</span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-ascii-font-family: Garamond; mso-hansi-font-family: Garamond; color: red; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">复利效应（基本）方程式：</span><strong style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-ascii-font-family: Garamond; mso-hansi-font-family: Garamond; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">本金（１＋收益率）<sup>时间</sup></span></strong><strong style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">&mdash;</span></strong><strong style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-ascii-font-family: Garamond; mso-hansi-font-family: Garamond; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">欲望＝财富</span></strong></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB;">&nbsp;</span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-ascii-font-family: Garamond; mso-hansi-font-family: Garamond; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">只要非劳动收入大于消费欲望，就达到了<strong style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;">财富自由</strong>。因此，</span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing" style="margin-left: 39.0pt; text-indent: -21.0pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1;"><!-- [if !supportLists]--><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-bidi-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;"><span style="mso-list: Ignore;">一、</span></span><!--[endif]--><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-ascii-font-family: Garamond; mso-hansi-font-family: Garamond; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">降低欲望，求得财富自由。</span><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB;"><span style="mso-tab-count: 1;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span><strong style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-ascii-font-family: Garamond; mso-hansi-font-family: Garamond; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">本金（１＋收益率）<sup>时间</sup></span></strong><strong style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">&mdash;</span></strong><strong style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-ascii-font-family: Garamond; mso-hansi-font-family: Garamond; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">欲望</span></strong><strong style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: Symbol; mso-ascii-font-family: Garamond; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-hansi-font-family: Garamond; color: red; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-char-type: symbol; mso-symbol-font-family: Symbol;"><span style="mso-char-type: symbol; mso-symbol-font-family: Symbol;">&macr;</span></span></strong><strong style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-ascii-font-family: Garamond; mso-hansi-font-family: Garamond; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">＝财富</span></strong></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing" style="margin-left: 39.0pt; text-indent: -21.0pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1;"><!-- [if !supportLists]--><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-bidi-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;"><span style="mso-list: Ignore;">二、</span></span><!--[endif]--><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-ascii-font-family: Garamond; mso-hansi-font-family: Garamond;">用時间換取财富自由。</span><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB;"><span style="mso-tab-count: 1;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span><span style="mso-tab-count: 1;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span><strong style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-ascii-font-family: Garamond; mso-hansi-font-family: Garamond; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">本金（１＋收益率）<sup>时间</sup></span></strong><strong style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><sup><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: Symbol; mso-ascii-font-family: Garamond; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-hansi-font-family: Garamond; color: red; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-char-type: symbol; mso-symbol-font-family: Symbol;"><span style="mso-char-type: symbol; mso-symbol-font-family: Symbol;">&shy;</span></span></sup></strong><strong style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">&mdash;</span></strong><strong style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-ascii-font-family: Garamond; mso-hansi-font-family: Garamond; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">欲望＝财富</span></strong></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing" style="margin-left: 39.0pt; text-indent: -21.0pt; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1;"><!-- [if !supportLists]--><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-bidi-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;"><span style="mso-list: Ignore;">三、</span></span><!--[endif]--><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-ascii-font-family: Garamond; mso-hansi-font-family: Garamond; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">尽早存到足够的本金。</span><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB;"><span style="mso-tab-count: 1;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span><span style="mso-tab-count: 1;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span><strong style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-ascii-font-family: Garamond; mso-hansi-font-family: Garamond; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">本金</span></strong><strong style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: Symbol; mso-ascii-font-family: Garamond; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-hansi-font-family: Garamond; color: red; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN; mso-char-type: symbol; mso-symbol-font-family: Symbol;"><span style="mso-char-type: symbol; mso-symbol-font-family: Symbol;">&shy;</span></span></strong><strong style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-ascii-font-family: Garamond; mso-hansi-font-family: Garamond; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">（１＋收益率）<sup>时间</sup></span></strong><strong style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">&mdash;</span></strong><strong style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-ascii-font-family: Garamond; mso-hansi-font-family: Garamond; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">欲望＝财富</span></strong></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB;">&nbsp;</span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-ascii-font-family: Garamond; mso-hansi-font-family: Garamond; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">简言之，财富自由＝足够的本金＋长期且穏定的收益率＋清心寡欲</span></p>','2024-12-18 04:42:21.393','2024-12-19 00:00:00.027',NULL,'f','2024-12-19 00:00:00.026','2024-12-19 00:00:00.025',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('0756413b-2687-4b1c-b2fa-5bb13fbcd213','b5cfb88c-2f34-4054-839b-69128f550b29','d287598e-c515-495a-aaab-d93a50a8de1e','<p>非劳动收入大于消费欲望，就达到了财富自由。</p>
<p>财富自由的三种方法</p>
<p>1.无欲无求式</p>
<p>降低欲望，从免费资源，比如阳光，空气，与家人交流中体会快乐与满足，只要有饭吃，就是财富自由。</p>
<p>本金（1+收益率））时间-欲望=财富自由</p>
<p>2.三生三世式</p>
<p>不想降低欲望，就用时间换，但要有耐心。收的时间越长，回报越高，但时间可能要三生三世!</p>
<p>本金（1+收益率）时间-欲望=财富自由</p>
<p>3.第一桶金式</p>
<p>创造财富，不是靠财富自己创造财富，才是获得财富自由的真谛</p>
<p>本金（1+收益率）时间-欲望=财富自由</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>','2024-12-18 05:38:21.269','2024-12-19 00:00:00.027',NULL,'f','2024-12-19 00:00:00.026','2024-12-19 00:00:00.025',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('ecaa4659-0683-4661-9814-3101b5746860','b5cfb88c-2f34-4054-839b-69128f550b29','72ce0c9e-c59c-4daf-a31b-84b5558f1948','<p>这么复雜的复利公式，倒不如让自己的贪婪和欲望降低。</p>
<p>曾经和同学们去泰国旅游，她们买一顶帽子还不够，最少三顶。</p>
<p>看到了大平买，进去一轮，手上兩袋还不够，继续又买了兩袋。</p>
<p>进去一间店还不夠，四天三夜都还没买完。</p>
<p>我就靜静的吃着冰淇淋看她们的疯狂。</p>
<p>当然，我也很会花钱，也要能赚钱养自己，也应该要学会存钱。</p>
<p>目前为止，最后一个我还学不会。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>','2024-12-18 09:19:35.481','2024-12-19 00:00:00.027',NULL,'f','2024-12-19 00:00:00.026','2024-12-19 00:00:00.025',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('58b41cb3-d542-41dc-b762-9408ca83991f','b5cfb88c-2f34-4054-839b-69128f550b29','8ba62dba-0026-464f-a0d5-bd8c4d6c0430','<p><strong>复利效应与财富自由的关键点总结</strong>：</p>
<ol>
<li>
<p><strong>复利公式核心概念</strong>：</p>
<ul>
<li>财富自由公式：本金（1+收益率）时间-欲望=财富自由。</li>
<li>复利效果依赖时间和稳定收益率，且需要与欲望控制相结合。</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<p><strong>财富自由的三种方法论</strong>：</p>
<ul>
<li><strong>无欲无求式</strong>：通过降低欲望来实现财富自由，从简单生活中获得满足。</li>
<li><strong>三生三世式</strong>：用极长的时间积累复利收益，将财富积累传递至多代人。</li>
<li><strong>第一桶金式</strong>：通过早期积累足够的本金（第一桶金）来奠定财富自由的基础。</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<p><strong>时间与收益率的重要性</strong>：</p>
<ul>
<li>越早开始积累本金，复利的效果越明显。</li>
<li>长期稳定的高收益率难以实现，5%的年化收益率已属优秀。</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<p><strong>第一桶金的重要性</strong>：</p>
<ul>
<li>早期积累本金比依赖复利更重要，创造财富是实现财富自由的核心。</li>
<li>世界富豪大多通过第一桶金（如创业或早期投资）建立财富基础。</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<p><strong>实现财富自由的建议</strong>：</p>
<ul>
<li>尽早开始积累本金，培养稳定的赚钱能力。</li>
<li>谨慎选择投资项目，平衡高收益与潜在风险。</li>
<li>长期坚持，实现本金增长与复利叠加效果。</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ol>
<p>总结：财富自由的核心在于早期本金积累、稳定的投资回报，以及合理的消费欲望管理。</p>','2024-12-18 10:07:44.395','2024-12-19 00:00:00.027',NULL,'f','2024-12-19 00:00:00.026','2024-12-19 00:00:00.025',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('4d0b8b6c-b272-4408-8e26-1c4f643da375','b5cfb88c-2f34-4054-839b-69128f550b29','8c41d3c3-8cab-4621-868b-700631a7ecc1','<p>获得财富自由的三种方法：</p>
<p>1）无欲无求式财富自由 &mdash;&mdash; 降低欲望</p>
<p>2）三生三世式财富自由 &mdash;&mdash; 要有把压岁钱存成养老金的足够耐心</p>
<p>3）第一桶金式财富自由 &mdash;&mdash; 从小开始存钱</p>','2024-12-18 15:41:27.749','2024-12-19 00:00:00.027',NULL,'f','2024-12-19 00:00:00.026','2024-12-19 00:00:00.025',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('033d6e89-591f-4534-bc6c-cff01f0fc528','73d404e3-c3a6-4105-8463-cfb9bcce8d62','fb681b37-b86f-49b7-8f27-422ffefb81b6','<p>对冲概率的方法：理解大势(时代）、制定清晰战略、优化组织治理和提升管理能力，来降低不确定性并提高成功概率。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>','2024-12-19 07:32:49.275','2024-12-21 00:00:00.028',NULL,'f','2024-12-21 00:00:00.026','2024-12-21 00:00:00.026',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('c9249ae3-4e08-4353-b61d-309a4fc68c50','6bf29380-f700-4309-a81d-0a823101d638','4d60a8e6-8829-45d3-add6-e61449282094','<p>数学思维：</p>
<p>-从不确定中找确定性。</p>
<p>正确的事情，要重复做。</p>','2024-12-19 05:20:17.618','2024-12-22 00:00:00.034',NULL,'f','2024-12-22 00:00:00.032','2024-12-22 00:00:00.032',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('995f0131-56f5-4d54-8fb1-125e6fb6b4fa','34217577-c9b9-4584-86df-173364b9bb07','80c5d91b-7a3f-4987-82e1-726f6da09e6b','<p>时间是有限的。借助杠杆来突破局限。作者提出四种杠杆：</p>
<p>1）团队杠杆 ： 利用科学方法论和被验证的知识库，让年轻的团队为资深的企业家提供咨询。这样就能复制咨询能力。</p>
<p>2）产品杠杆：家电是我最重要的打理生活的产品杠杆。</p>
<p>3）资本杠杆：买了公司，优化了再卖掉</p>
<p>4）影响力杠杆 ：影响力背后的三个能力：演说能力、写作能力和建立人脉的能力。人脉不是那些能够帮助到你的人，而是那些你能帮到的人。当一个人能提供价值，才有人脉。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>','2024-12-19 01:08:10.59','2024-12-29 00:00:00.03',NULL,'f','2024-12-29 00:00:00.029','2024-12-29 00:00:00.029',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('4d7f2aa5-4112-428e-b0cd-cea08a627d0d','b5cfb88c-2f34-4054-839b-69128f550b29','861e06a4-3e01-404d-a0c4-d2fa9f5bfa16','<p class="p1"><span class="s1">早期靠本金，后期靠复利。</span></p>
<p class="p2">&nbsp;</p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">尽早存到足够本金。获得财富自由第一重要的事，是培养赚钱的能力。赚钱要靠本金，而不是复利。你都没有本金，哪来的钱生钱呢？</span></p>
<p class="p2">&nbsp;</p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">努力做到稳健高收益。找到高收益的投资不难，识别背后的风险很难。你看中的是别人的利息，别人看中的是你的本金。</span></p>
<p class="p2">&nbsp;</p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">让时间证明它的力量。要有把压岁钱存好养老金的足够耐心，认清复利从来都不是暴富的手段。</span></p>
<p class="p2">&nbsp;</p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">降低自身的贪念和欲望。不要看别人买了车，就要买游艇；看到别人买了游艇，就要买专机。欲望是无法填平的，只能降低。</span></p>
<p class="p2">&nbsp;</p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">做到以上这几点，才能离财富自由近一点。</span></p>','2024-12-19 12:00:38.73','2024-12-19 12:00:38.73',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-19 12:00:38.729',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('b879a8e3-abce-4196-8bc3-ea4e58dc7c9b','b5cfb88c-2f34-4054-839b-69128f550b29','3d9c1be4-dac8-482e-8867-e3ba75f3a884','<p>书中谈到几个重要的点，本金，複利率，年份及欲望。每天因因素起伏，都反映了未来的财务状况。</p>','2024-12-19 12:08:42.536','2024-12-19 12:08:42.536',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-19 12:08:42.535',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('d3ba64ac-b694-4508-aa9d-070944920116','b5cfb88c-2f34-4054-839b-69128f550b29','446acaf6-9b4a-451d-8e08-ca51f1003c48','<p>19/12/2024-打开复利效应的正确姿势（page112-116）<br>三种「财富自由」的方法论：<br>1.无欲无求式财富自由<br>2.三生三世式财富自由<br>3.第一桶金式财富自由</p>
<p>创造财富，而不是靠财富自己创造财富，才是获得财富自由的真谛。</p>','2024-12-19 12:20:16.361','2024-12-19 12:20:16.361',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-19 12:20:16.36',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('3dc8c66d-3e7e-4179-8a3c-21ebb3a65443','b5cfb88c-2f34-4054-839b-69128f550b29','f19a0a29-719b-4ff0-9462-5c18dd598629','<p>很多人追求财富自由，充其量只是爱慕虚荣，我要证明给别人看我活得比你好。但是却没想想真的财富自由后，日子该怎么过？天天吃喝玩乐？迟早都会因为生命虚空而忧郁。</p>
<p><br><br>人始终都要工作，因为生命的意义就在于付出而不是储存，为别人而不是自己创造价值。但是因为财富自由后就无所事事，这根本就是本末倒置。甚至在这前后都因为整天和人攀比而不快乐，这其实还是一种捆绑。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>财富自由的好处是你可以不必为五斗米折腰，甚至还有余钱聘请其他人和你一起为你那有意义的目标而工作。就好像我的一个舅舅在教会做牧师。他早年投资了一间公司，但是没有在里面担任职位，只是被动的领干薪和收股息。现在他在教会里常常不拿薪水，还将他大部分的被动收入捐给教会。其实他也不是很有钱，但是财务上和心灵上比许多高薪人士自由得多了。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>所以我说，财富自由，不如心灵自由。当你放下竞争之心，看破资本主义蛊惑人&ldquo;要不停累计财富&rdquo;的套路，按自己所能，吃用劳碌挣来的饭，你就距离心灵自由不远了。</p>','2024-12-19 12:53:45.429','2024-12-19 13:00:27.64',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-19 13:00:27.638',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('dace5537-3194-4002-aee2-497cd4bb8a63','b5cfb88c-2f34-4054-839b-69128f550b29','9f2de0b4-5451-41cb-bded-d537871923dd','<ol>
<li>无欲无求式财富自由：物质欲望变少了，能够满足于简单的事物，例如空气、阳光、与家人的时光、每天吃得饱</li>
<li>三生三世式财富自由：用时间交换，累积的财富期限不是这辈子，而是三代</li>
<li>第一桶金式财富自由：要有赚钱的本钱，不是靠利滚利</li>
</ol>','2024-12-19 12:57:08.463','2024-12-19 12:57:08.463',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-19 12:57:08.462',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('5cb0238c-53bd-4ec8-9971-598576adf76c','b5cfb88c-2f34-4054-839b-69128f550b29','3c16baf4-84df-4958-a74c-aa7b7d950e3a','<p>补18/12: 复利思维（Page 108-112）</p>
<p>期数、复利、收益的谬误。是一种错误的认知。</p>
<p>19/12: 打开复利效应的正确姿势</p>
<p>储蓄要趁早；欲望比收益低，就是&ldquo;财富自由&rdquo;。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>','2024-12-19 13:01:01.944','2024-12-19 13:01:01.944',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-19 13:01:01.941',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('dcb348f7-7e3f-4ee8-a16e-70b648ca8b35','98b10e67-4030-4de9-ad9d-f2f68d73f62c','80c5d91b-7a3f-4987-82e1-726f6da09e6b','<p>当人在自己生活里找到自己的规律和秩序，其实就不需要自律。这是发自内核的力量。</p>
<p>找到工作上的价值和乐趣，就不再被工作消耗和感到枯燥。工作占了一天的好长的时间，如果不好玩，日子很难过。如何把工作变成好玩？找到自己所热爱的、感到有价值的。我不是很会冒险的人。但是，我一定会让自己在工作上感到有价值和乐趣。如果你想要，在工作上其实可以找到没有人给你设限的好玩的事。</p>
<p>工作十年后也曾经感到疲惫、感到不好玩。动起来，就找到新的、好玩的事。职场上也可以是一场又一场的实体实验场。只是看自己敢不敢行动。</p>','2024-12-19 12:56:12.744','2024-12-30 00:00:00.013',NULL,'f','2024-12-30 00:00:00.012','2024-12-30 00:00:00.012',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('24c0b43c-caac-418f-87b9-de174a9e71c5','b5cfb88c-2f34-4054-839b-69128f550b29','a000f9e2-7648-49c9-8713-f245191f61d3','<p>无欲无求的财富自由- 精神上富裕的话，这样的财富自由且尚可以接受，最重要不要自己我催眠，自我安慰就好。</p>
<p>三生三世财富自由是无谓的，如果说是为了后代存钱，因为这世间变幻莫测，活在当下才是最实际的。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>','2024-12-19 13:23:20.579','2024-12-19 13:23:20.579',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-19 13:23:20.578',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('f40664aa-d4d2-4418-9e3e-4d3dbcbdac1a','b5cfb88c-2f34-4054-839b-69128f550b29','2c1ef7cf-3624-43cb-8cf3-d40551cab829','<p>降低自身的贪念与欲望。欲望是无法填平，只能降低。</p>
<p>早期靠本金，后期靠复利。</p>','2024-12-19 13:49:05.178','2024-12-19 13:49:05.178',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-19 13:49:05.177',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('62633925-a539-4a1e-9a16-10906ca29270','b5cfb88c-2f34-4054-839b-69128f550b29','6949d955-832d-47f1-870b-95a01be61ff8','<p>赚钱要靠本金，而不是靠复利。没有本金，哪来的钱生钱呢？财富自由的前提是减少物质欲望</p>','2024-12-19 13:59:09.897','2024-12-19 13:59:09.897',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-19 13:59:09.896',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('0d603e77-0cdc-4ac0-9b7b-172dc2079076','b5cfb88c-2f34-4054-839b-69128f550b29','7ae3c10f-1299-472c-a9d4-b368d392f445','<p>理解了真正的「複利公式」，以及獲得財富自由的三種方法&mdash;「無欲無求式財富自由」、「三生三世式財富自由」和「第一桶金式財富自由」後，我給大家一個人生建議：早期靠本金，後期靠複利。<br>最後，給大家幾點建議：<br>一是儘早存到足夠的本金。獲得財富自由第一重要的事，是培養賺錢的能力。賺錢要靠本金，而不是靠複利。你都沒有本金，哪來的錢生錢呢？<br>二是努力做到穩健高收益。找到高收益的投資不難，識別背後的風險很難。你看中的是別人的利息，別人看中的是你的本金。<br>三是讓時間證明它的力量。要有把壓歲錢存成養老金的足夠耐心，認清複利效應從來都不是暴富的手段。<br>四是降低自身的貪念與欲望。不要看到別人買了車，就要買遊艇；看到別人買了遊艇，就要買專機。欲望是無法填平的，只能降低。<br>做到以上這幾點，你才能離財富自由更近一些。</p>','2024-12-19 14:20:46.944','2024-12-19 14:20:46.944',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-19 14:20:46.942',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('e9d43e85-b175-42f8-a322-0c21de9f4c9a','b5cfb88c-2f34-4054-839b-69128f550b29','bdee759b-405c-461f-97a1-a39e711c7e8e','<p class="p1"><span class="s1">「財富自由」到底是財富重要還是自由重要？ 你可以擁有很多的財富，但未必會有自由快樂的感覺，。 所以蒙格老先生就說「人要快樂其實很簡單就是降低自己的期待」。</span></p>','2024-12-19 14:43:35.242','2024-12-19 14:43:35.242',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-19 14:43:35.241',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('85900269-c2f8-453b-b9c4-9151c777bf5d','b5cfb88c-2f34-4054-839b-69128f550b29','042e3658-0d45-45d8-92b1-3d973b328b46','<p>真正的福複利效应是结合了人生的财富自由，那么又如何可以拥有这样人生！</p>
<p>1）无欲无求：减少想要的！</p>
<p>2）三生三世式：付出时间来累积！</p>
<p>3）第一桶金式：现有第一桶金，再来利用这第一桶金来利复利！</p>','2024-12-18 14:28:00.144','2024-12-19 14:51:49.496',NULL,'f','2024-12-19 00:00:00.026','2024-12-19 14:51:49.495',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('81e8c9b9-38b5-4de0-b407-33ab8ab460a6','b5cfb88c-2f34-4054-839b-69128f550b29','bc030323-5b78-4cf5-8c04-0ba4b93a64d1','<p>真正的财富自由需要理解「复利公式」和三种方法：「无欲无求式财富自由」、「三生三世式财富自由」以及「第一桶金式财富自由」。以下是实现财富自由的建议：</p>
<p>1. 尽早积累本金：财富自由的关键是具备赚钱能力。初期靠本金赚钱，而不是靠复利，没有本金就无法实现财富增长。</p>
<p>2. 追求稳健高收益：找到高收益投资并不难，难的是识别风险。要警惕「你看中别人的利息，别人盯着你的本金」。</p>
<p>3. 相信时间的力量：复利效应需要时间积累，不是快速致富的手段，培养耐心才能真正受益。</p>
<p>4. 降低欲望：控制不必要的欲望，避免陷入攀比，不断提升自我满足感。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>做好这些，才能一步步靠近财富自由。</p>','2024-12-19 14:56:57.577','2024-12-19 14:56:57.577',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-19 14:56:57.575',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('b5e17e1c-9ba3-4156-a6c4-564e7393544e','b5cfb88c-2f34-4054-839b-69128f550b29','6cef5362-7ff5-4fa0-8829-76df28438992','<p>想靠复利获得财富自由不切实际。靠能力赚钱才是根本之道。当然，越早懂得理财就越对自己有利。</p>','2024-12-19 15:01:10.411','2024-12-19 15:01:10.411',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-19 15:01:10.41',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('d10d6182-ad81-4869-9baf-b4df2dabedc5','b5cfb88c-2f34-4054-839b-69128f550b29','4cfe29dd-714c-41a2-bc6d-306205099ae9','<p>先讓自己賺錢的能力提高，同時降低慾望，才能讓本金在複利中達到財富自由的狀態。</p>','2024-12-19 15:05:24.247','2024-12-19 15:05:33.931',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-19 15:05:33.93',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('e396658b-e71d-4928-8e1b-9f99f3682807','b5cfb88c-2f34-4054-839b-69128f550b29','f06cf8cd-e25f-4542-a8ff-f8571e91be74','<p>提高赚钱能力累积本金，才来复利。也要降低欲望，才能金钱自由</p>','2024-12-19 15:11:09.824','2024-12-19 15:11:09.824',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-19 15:11:09.823',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('1b286c91-5c3c-473b-819c-c21f3af36969','b5cfb88c-2f34-4054-839b-69128f550b29','7c90ff31-3cfe-46d0-8204-3b842b9bb44e','<p>想要获得真正的财富自由必须了解「复利公式」和三种方法：「无欲无求式财富自由」、「三生三世式财富自由」以及「第一桶金式财富自由」。</p>
<p>唯有脚踏实地，提高赚钱能力，识别风险以及降低欲望才是根本之道。</p>
<p>［我不理财，财不理我］！</p>','2024-12-19 15:13:00.45','2024-12-19 15:13:00.45',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-19 15:13:00.449',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('bdf2a1c4-26f0-4ea5-9c48-2217dc0e1deb','b5cfb88c-2f34-4054-839b-69128f550b29','1131f00f-c162-442f-b3c0-e0ead4f636c3','<p>财富自由， 早起靠本金， 后期靠复利。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>','2024-12-19 15:18:29.254','2024-12-19 15:18:29.254',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-19 15:18:29.253',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('14ee66fb-0246-4320-bb85-79a5ed8c2102','b5cfb88c-2f34-4054-839b-69128f550b29','459a1283-290a-4d4b-b10f-6504664de97b','<p>本金（1+收益率）x时间</p>
<p>减去欲望=就是财富自由</p>
<p>要达到财富自由就是非劳动收入大于消费欲望。</p>
<p>三种财富自由：</p>
<ol>
<li>无欲无秋式：欲望关键</li>
<li>三生三世式：时间关键</li>
<li>第一桶金式：本金关键结论：最好是早期靠本金，后期靠复利</li>
</ol>','2024-12-19 15:22:58.279','2024-12-19 15:22:58.279',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-19 15:22:58.278',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('f3c73c92-5782-4361-8e99-94eade06f9e5','b5cfb88c-2f34-4054-839b-69128f550b29','ef10631b-65db-4272-af44-c5d7da8f94f4','<p><strong>复利效应的正确姿势</strong></p>
<p>1）无欲无求式财富自由</p>
<p>2）三生三世式财富自由</p>
<p>3）第一桶金式财富自由</p>
<p><strong>人生的建议：早期靠本金，后期靠复利。</strong></p>
<p>1）要尽早存到足够的本金，同时培养赚钱的能力，赚钱要靠本金，而不是复利。</p>
<p>2）要做到稳健的高收益，识别背后的风险</p>
<p>3）让时间证明它的力量</p>
<p>4）降低自身的贪念和欲望</p>','2024-12-19 15:30:22.132','2024-12-19 15:30:22.132',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-19 15:30:22.131',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('ec6e5b05-f587-4b5e-abb7-a80ce332d610','34217577-c9b9-4584-86df-173364b9bb07','09891df5-07b0-40c9-8f3c-a23b63aa2cfd','<p>杠杆这能力吸引了我。</p>
<p>四种杠杆能力：团队杠杆，产品杠杆，资本杠杆，影响力杠杆。</p>
<p>最为吸引我的是影响力杠杆。</p>
<p>影响力杠杆：演说力，写作力，建立人脉能力。</p>
<p>人脉，不是那些能帮助到你的人，而是那些你能帮助到的人。</p>
<p>里头有一句&ldquo;一无所获的人，也许是因为没有带着杠杆，不去寻找支点，就像搬动全世界&rdquo;这句话敲醒了我</p>','2024-12-19 22:34:12.969','2024-12-29 00:00:00.03',NULL,'f','2024-12-29 00:00:00.029','2024-12-29 00:00:00.029',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('9d949d2c-9067-48ab-959e-10c5a998d88d','b5cfb88c-2f34-4054-839b-69128f550b29','abafda80-d191-4990-802d-f631604815a6','<p>早期靠本金，后期靠复利。</p>
<p>1。 尽早存到足够的本金、</p>
<p>2. 努力做稳健高收益。</p>
<p>3. 让时间证明他的力量。 压岁钱存成养老金，需要耐心</p>
<p>4.降低贪念与欲望。</p>','2024-12-19 15:57:17.693','2024-12-19 15:57:31.325',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-19 15:57:31.324',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('b809795c-d90c-4222-bde1-a49058357911','9b34e463-2f33-406d-a7a5-57ac0149c61f','069c59cc-12d1-4b10-aabf-cabe5bfceaaf','<p>机率，规律，运气，决策，全部资讯的决策，</p>
<p>相信努力的必要性，也要明白，完全不受我们控制的机率对创业的重要性有多大。</p>
<p>方法对冲机率，降低机率对我们的影响。</p>
<p>首要，找到大机率成功的事件。</p>','2024-12-19 22:43:15.534','2024-12-19 22:43:22.807',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-19 22:43:22.806',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('7a8ad7ad-e129-44ff-92e5-c5961dadd219','9b34e463-2f33-406d-a7a5-57ac0149c61f','3c44f813-90cf-4c87-ab87-553efe18c88a','<p>我们既要相信努力的必要性,也要明白,完全不受我们控制的%的重要性也很大.</p>','2024-12-19 23:59:11.636','2024-12-19 23:59:11.636',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-19 23:59:11.635',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('3cf2385d-6868-4e33-ac4c-0926283f8860','9b34e463-2f33-406d-a7a5-57ac0149c61f','85df4a9d-433c-4009-bf28-8921ba3c5b68','<p dir="ltr">思考问题的底层逻辑</p>
<p dir="ltr">机率思维</p>','2024-12-19 13:18:33.81','2024-12-20 00:00:00.009',NULL,'f','2024-12-20 00:00:00.008','2024-12-20 00:00:00.008',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('5d36257b-547e-4116-8987-8c27c69c4791','9b34e463-2f33-406d-a7a5-57ac0149c61f','f9cd75dc-f522-4a2a-a811-ea6c7508b057','<p>我们做决策时绝大部分时间是会有&rdquo;资讯不完全&rdquo;的问题从而带来的机率问题。</p>
<p>要意识到这个机率有时不到我们去控制，但承认机率后能找到一些方法对冲它，找大概率成功的事情，可以减少其对我们的影响</p>','2024-12-13 14:52:39.372','2024-12-20 00:00:00.009',NULL,'f','2024-12-20 00:00:00.008','2024-12-20 00:00:00.008',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('b6712ab7-63e0-49d3-8a91-57f913e45a17','9b34e463-2f33-406d-a7a5-57ac0149c61f','dee0ab39-9eab-4b3d-bad7-a9f0422f8fb5','<p>尽管我们很努力的去做事，也要理解及承认机率的影想，并学会找寻方法对冲机率。</p>','2024-12-19 10:36:53.376','2024-12-20 00:00:00.009',NULL,'f','2024-12-20 00:00:00.008','2024-12-20 00:00:00.008',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('ebea9418-9a55-4097-84b8-243344eb7ec4','9b34e463-2f33-406d-a7a5-57ac0149c61f','8ba62dba-0026-464f-a0d5-bd8c4d6c0430','<p><strong>概率思维要点总结：</strong></p>
<ol>
<li>
<p><strong>概率思维的重要性</strong></p>
<ul>
<li>成功与运气（概率）密切相关，即使做对所有事情，成功的概率仍然有限。</li>
<li>创业成功不仅靠努力，更需要理解和运用概率思维。</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<p><strong>决策与概率</strong></p>
<ul>
<li>大多数决策基于&ldquo;不完全信息&rdquo;，需要通过概率树分析期望收益。</li>
<li>即使正确决策也可能失败，需接受概率带来的不确定性。</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ol>','2024-12-18 10:51:10.861','2024-12-20 00:00:00.009',NULL,'f','2024-12-20 00:00:00.008','2024-12-20 00:00:00.008',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('690da87a-94cb-4867-b846-ac2bf6d09444','ea8079c9-b0c2-4f7b-9b73-06258e711936','f9cd75dc-f522-4a2a-a811-ea6c7508b057','<p class="p1"><span class="s1">五种数学思维 -&nbsp;</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">1️⃣从不确定性中找确定性</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">2️⃣用动态的眼光看问题</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">3️⃣公理体系</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">4️⃣数字的方向性</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">5️⃣全域最优和达成共赢</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">如果两人的方向不一致，但你明确知道要哪个方向，那么倒不如给一个去做；但如果你不确定哪个方向正确，那么可以给两个人一起做，互相牵制，但可以往比较正确的方向去。</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">&nbsp;</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">要建立信任，要找到能够建立信任的伙伴，要主动释放值得信任的信号</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">&nbsp;</span></p>','2024-12-19 15:47:31.763','2024-12-25 00:00:00.008',NULL,'f','2024-12-25 00:00:00.006','2024-12-25 00:00:00.006',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('79b4980b-6537-41c7-8731-705825c9cdea','b7f220f7-db3d-4b69-8e36-a54da9d035b1','f9cd75dc-f522-4a2a-a811-ea6c7508b057','<p>系统思维是比拥有对的产品思维更重要； 要素，是系统中你看得见的东西，关系，是系统中你看不见的、要素之间相互作用的规律。</p>
<p>要与时并进，洞察的系统上的交易结构变化，才能采取正确的方法；要不然即使再努力，方向错了，只会更接近失败</p>','2024-12-19 15:57:20.662','2024-12-26 00:00:00.016',NULL,'f','2024-12-26 00:00:00.015','2024-12-26 00:00:00.015',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('54373627-9582-4666-b58b-571409f09f68','ee413297-043a-43d1-ac76-acdc524a339d','09891df5-07b0-40c9-8f3c-a23b63aa2cfd','<p>效率系统方法论：选择，方法，工具。</p>
<p>让17分钟省出17小时。</p>
<p>我们必须思考，哪些事情是我人生目标必须做的？哪些事情是人生目标帮助不大的？哪些事情是我即使失去现有都必须完成的？</p>','2024-12-19 22:21:39.053','2024-12-28 00:00:00.016',NULL,'f','2024-12-28 00:00:00.015','2024-12-28 00:00:00.015',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('dc9076cf-a7fb-4b8f-b5f6-0c0e23367ad9','9b34e463-2f33-406d-a7a5-57ac0149c61f','576d96d0-dcd8-47c0-8ecc-c9881174d6fa','<p>所得到的讯息好像很全面，但未必是全部。</p>
<p>運气, 说白了是机率，是赢面有多大。</p>
<p>书中所提到的, 是如果押中的话, 会有多少好处, 因为机率都一样。</p>
<p>押宝, 因人、事、物、时、場而異</p>','2024-12-17 15:30:03.344','2024-12-20 00:00:00.009',NULL,'f','2024-12-20 00:00:00.008','2024-12-20 00:00:00.008',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('af714133-6b29-469f-b00b-f92e00a6052d','9b34e463-2f33-406d-a7a5-57ac0149c61f','fb681b37-b86f-49b7-8f27-422ffefb81b6','<p>概率思维是一种以不确定性为前提的思考方式，强调在决策和判断中运用概率的概念，评估各种可能性及其发生的概率，从而做出更理性、更优的选择。</p>
<p>在今天这个急速变化的时代，概率思维是非常重要的一种思维模式，尤其在创业领域。我们要明白，完全不受我们控制的概率对创业的重要性有多大。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>','2024-12-19 06:16:05.271','2024-12-20 00:00:00.009',NULL,'f','2024-12-20 00:00:00.008','2024-12-20 00:00:00.008',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('9e9d8ce6-dfcc-4965-a9f9-85c30a8be6cc','9b34e463-2f33-406d-a7a5-57ac0149c61f','be5b7e97-d65c-43f6-ba7f-0ffd13533f1a','<p>在作决定时，我们会倾向于确定性高的选择。<br>但，根据&ldquo;决策树&rdquo;应该根据&ldquo;期望值&rdquo;。<br>创业成功要靠 运气或机率。选对了 - 好运；选错了- 倒霉。<br>就算努力了也不一定成功；因为机率不在我们这一边。唯有认清机率的重要性才能找出方法降低机率对我们的影响。</p>','2024-12-19 08:18:22.41','2024-12-20 00:00:00.009',NULL,'f','2024-12-20 00:00:00.008','2024-12-20 00:00:00.008',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('f0948709-af0d-4d66-8d2d-f83800615309','9b34e463-2f33-406d-a7a5-57ac0149c61f','80c5d91b-7a3f-4987-82e1-726f6da09e6b','<p>运气是因为概率？</p>
<p>概率是一个自己不完全看透的规律。尤其是在创业路上，有太多可能性。只有去深入了解，发现里面的不断重复发生的概率，让后去顺因这个概率，才能做出正确的选择。正确的事重复的做，这就是概率思维。</p>
<p>概率不好达到100%重复。规律才会重复100%，例如太阳从每天都会升起、水在自然情况下往低处流。</p>
<p>但是概率还是能告诉我们：应对模式、战略、如何去判断、如何去演算。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>','2024-12-17 07:51:15.133','2024-12-20 00:00:00.009',NULL,'f','2024-12-20 00:00:00.008','2024-12-20 00:00:00.008',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('2e8c514e-04bf-48b5-80bb-192c6d33f279','9b34e463-2f33-406d-a7a5-57ac0149c61f','d287598e-c515-495a-aaab-d93a50a8de1e','<p>机率思维</p>
<p>不同的人生演算，导致不同的选择。</p>
<p>对数人认为靠的创业是努力和勤奋。但原子创投的创始人冯一名却认为创业成功的重要因素是靠运气。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>','2024-12-19 13:41:20.183','2024-12-20 00:00:00.009',NULL,'f','2024-12-20 00:00:00.008','2024-12-20 00:00:00.008',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('b5a0a43f-3c20-47e8-8028-b939f9194815','9b34e463-2f33-406d-a7a5-57ac0149c61f','724f2776-0f89-4693-96ac-067e7121c40c','<p>通过结合<strong>底层逻辑</strong>追根溯源找到问题本质，并用<strong>概率思维</strong>评估不同结果的可能性，优化决策，应对不确定性。</p>','2024-12-19 14:51:23.96','2024-12-20 00:00:00.009',NULL,'f','2024-12-20 00:00:00.008','2024-12-20 00:00:00.008',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('70aa7c65-b7a2-45a9-9d6d-2269397de00f','9b34e463-2f33-406d-a7a5-57ac0149c61f','042e3658-0d45-45d8-92b1-3d973b328b46','<p>成功靠的不只是默默耕耘，大多数的时候是需要有机率的思维！</p>','2024-12-19 14:59:59.454','2024-12-20 00:00:00.009',NULL,'f','2024-12-20 00:00:00.008','2024-12-20 00:00:00.008',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('606d57c1-ea9a-4b7f-9af0-0633d9d703c6','9b34e463-2f33-406d-a7a5-57ac0149c61f','4cfe29dd-714c-41a2-bc6d-306205099ae9','<p>運氣就是概率，概率可以大致推算，概率高成功率也高。光靠努力勤奮很難成功，因為它應該用在對的地方，即是努力的選擇高概率或提高概率方面。</p>','2024-12-19 15:15:21.3','2024-12-20 00:00:00.009',NULL,'f','2024-12-20 00:00:00.008','2024-12-20 00:00:00.008',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('86377319-9e15-459f-9760-630a4bb29406','9b34e463-2f33-406d-a7a5-57ac0149c61f','f96bb3ac-81d2-449d-bcab-c984308b1d78','<p>机率思维</p>
<ul>
<li>概率思维就是很多成功人士最基础的人生算法。</li>
<li>冯一名：&ldquo;大家要有一个清醒的认识，创业成功非常重要的因素之一就是运气。&rdquo;运气就是概率。</li>
<li>最后你能走向成功，95%要靠概率。</li>
<li>找方法对冲概率，降低概率对我们的影响。</li>
<li>首要方法就是找到大概率成功的事。</li>
</ul>
<p>开始了解资本家&ldquo;掌握全部资讯的决策&rdquo;，这个价值远大于他们抛出现在手头上的股票，因为完整的信息是更大概率成功的事情。当他们能掌控大范围不同领域的发展和资讯，就掌握赚钱的先驱。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>','2024-12-20 00:12:05.004','2024-12-20 00:12:05.004',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-20 00:12:05.002',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('8bc04dce-3241-4b34-b7a9-2d97edf1e94c','9b34e463-2f33-406d-a7a5-57ac0149c61f','459a1283-290a-4d4b-b10f-6504664de97b','<div>19/12/24</div>
<div>在这个极速变化的年代，机率思维是非常重要的模式，尤其是在创业领域，是很多成功者的思逻辑。</div>
<div>&nbsp;</div>
<div>案例测试：</div>
<div>你会选择按下红钮，可以直接拿走100万（确定效应），还是按下蓝钮，或许会拿到1亿，还是什么都没有的机率。这到底是运气吗？还是机率。</div>
<div>&nbsp;是不是还有比确定机率（一百万）更好，更高一些，可以拿到2千万呢？</div>
<div>这就是以智慧去应用机率思维，才能必得更高的回报。</div>','2024-12-20 01:04:24.336','2024-12-20 01:04:24.336',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-20 01:04:24.335',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('24f7bd87-cf86-4890-94d1-7f161573f8ec','9b34e463-2f33-406d-a7a5-57ac0149c61f','c9b39003-1a47-4eb9-a447-837aa6128a1b','<p>創業成功非常重要的因素之一 ：運氣</p>
<p>運氣就是機率。</p>
<p><span style="font-family: var(--font-ubuntu);">有利機率是走運。</span></p>
<p>不利機率叫倒楣。</p>
<p>努力與奮鬥固然必要</p>
<p>但不受控制的機率對創業太重要啦</p>
<p>如何對沖機率對我們的影響呢？</p>','2024-12-20 01:11:01.651','2024-12-20 01:11:01.651',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-20 01:11:01.65',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('fcad59ec-72c2-4180-b446-3745d201d4d7','73d404e3-c3a6-4105-8463-cfb9bcce8d62','f96bb3ac-81d2-449d-bcab-c984308b1d78','<p>对冲运气的方法：－</p>
<p>1。 时代：手机5G的红利时代<br>2。 战略：要有自己独立的战略，坚定地执行自己的模型。互联网就是快吃掉慢的，快是赢家。<br>3。 治理：公司管理层的结构化设计，比如股权、合伙人，影响决策和合伙的能力。<br>4。 管理：找对人、奖金制度、流程、员工激励计划、企业文化、团队建设、员工夸组调动和沟通等。</p>
<p>我们都知道失败乃成功之母，而作者说的就是如何拿捏好上面的变数，增加成功的概率并降低失败的概率，或者说计算好，大概率失败几次后就会迎向成功。走多了坑学会避开更大的坑，创业者成功几率才会提升，这就是运筹帷幄。</p>','2024-12-20 00:35:42.053','2024-12-21 00:00:00.028',NULL,'f','2024-12-21 00:00:00.026','2024-12-21 00:00:00.026',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('7bf9ae10-c19e-4b72-af6c-1aac01ce92df','73d404e3-c3a6-4105-8463-cfb9bcce8d62','abafda80-d191-4990-802d-f631604815a6','<p>时代是冲运气的第一要素。</p>','2024-12-21 15:26:52.78','2024-12-21 15:30:05.819',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-21 15:30:05.818',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('58bbddd4-badb-4195-af99-55447db78227','9b34e463-2f33-406d-a7a5-57ac0149c61f','f19a0a29-719b-4ff0-9462-5c18dd598629','<p>创业成功之艰难，最重要原因是机会很少，可是勤劳、聪明的人却很多。你不比别人多点运气，怎能赢？这就好像股市，里面玩的人都是专业人士，到最后也只能凭运气决定输赢。<br><br><br>但是，凡事也没有绝对。我的本行都不是电商，结果却误打误撞成了kindlemalaysia.com的创办人。原本以为很快收档，没想到过了十多年，生意还在走着，居然还有小小扩大，当然不是大富大贵。但是从当初的一个人，到现在养得起几个家庭（还给睡觉股东分花红），也算是为社会做了一点贡献，比那些只会把投资人的钱不清不楚的输光（我是说你，FashionValet），还算得上是强的了太多。<br><br></p>
<p>所以说，创业这个东西，根本没有逻辑可循，所以不用去眼红人家为什么不清不楚的成功。得之我幸，失之我命。这才是正确的态度。</p>','2024-12-20 13:21:55.662','2024-12-20 13:21:55.662',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-20 13:21:55.661',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('952eaf87-c960-49f0-b824-af4c21ac2147','53cf2376-8362-46ba-a43e-e50aed6bc31a','85df4a9d-433c-4009-bf28-8921ba3c5b68','<p>如何正确理解指数级增长？</p>','2025-01-02 14:51:31.14','2025-01-03 00:00:00.036',NULL,'f','2025-01-03 00:00:00.035','2025-01-03 00:00:00.035',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('d3bbc770-26ac-48fd-8e2a-2fd5bd2a1f88','9b34e463-2f33-406d-a7a5-57ac0149c61f','4f2eb2b3-94b5-4ee7-8132-6fb6407ff96e','<p>不同的人生演算法，导致不同的选择，从而使人们获得完全不同的人生</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>','2024-12-20 08:17:54.187','2024-12-20 08:17:54.187',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-20 08:17:54.186',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('e963dbc4-0788-4cf7-9000-85981d5f3229','9b34e463-2f33-406d-a7a5-57ac0149c61f','7ae3c10f-1299-472c-a9d4-b368d392f445','<p>「二鳥在林，不如一鳥在手」，大部分人不願意為了看似更大的收益冒風險，他們更喜歡雖然小一點但是確定的收益。「確定效應」就是他們的人生演算法。</p>
<p>但是，其實這道選擇題，是有正確答案的。如果你學過《5分鐘商學院》第一季的「決策樹」，你就會知道，藍色按鈕對應的「期望值」（為50%X1億＋50%X0=5000萬美元）更大，是最理性的選擇。「決策樹」，就是你的人生演算法。<br><br></p>
<p>「大家要有一個清醒的認識，創業成功非常重要的因素之一就是運氣。」這聽起來非常「政治不正確」，因為大多數人更願意聽到「創業靠的是努力和勤奮」。</p>
<p>什麼是運氣？運氣就是機率，只不過加了一點感情色彩。對我們有利的機率，我們將其稱為「走運」；對我們不利的機率，我們將其稱為「倒楣」。所謂「創業靠運氣」，去掉感情色彩，即創業成功非常重要的因素之一，就是機率。</p>','2024-12-20 09:49:34.241','2024-12-20 09:49:34.241',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-20 09:49:34.237',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('70de0e68-deaa-4efd-9130-86c4cf706d4d','9b34e463-2f33-406d-a7a5-57ac0149c61f','47cda368-b147-4725-82b1-56340e248f14','<p>二鸟在林，不如一鸟在手。</p>
<p>创业需要考努力，更为重要的更是运气。</p>','2024-12-20 12:00:20.431','2024-12-20 12:00:20.431',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-20 12:00:20.423',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('083e9a1b-02b7-4919-ac28-b8a442ddc0fe','9b34e463-2f33-406d-a7a5-57ac0149c61f','0a652b55-937b-435d-bcb8-4d3fb846b83f','<p>「二鳥在林，不如一鳥在手」，「確定效應」也是一種人生演算法。</p>
<p>不同的人生演算法，導致不同的選擇，從而獲得完全不同的人生。</p>
<p>創業成功，除了努力和勤奮，更要靠機率。</p>','2024-12-20 12:16:36.496','2024-12-20 12:16:36.496',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-20 12:16:36.494',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('5323b8ae-3308-491a-8988-ee21e45aa41e','9b34e463-2f33-406d-a7a5-57ac0149c61f','1131f00f-c162-442f-b3c0-e0ead4f636c3','<p>原来努力不是全然， 机率才是影响成功的要素。 那机率又是啥？</p>','2024-12-20 13:23:23.455','2024-12-20 13:23:23.455',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-20 13:23:23.454',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('28d5e39b-58c2-4e17-961a-e4f2855418e9','9b34e463-2f33-406d-a7a5-57ac0149c61f','d7f9d646-34b1-4281-a990-12e3eb93d6ff','<p>原来机率是可以演算的。有时候不得不相信运气。掌握应对的机率是很重要的。<br><br>掌握机率一个很重要关键是掌握正确信息。</p>','2024-12-20 13:18:01.027','2024-12-20 13:23:09.696',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-20 13:23:09.694',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('9b9e2e13-e9f5-4749-b9e9-3b69259ebfe5','9b34e463-2f33-406d-a7a5-57ac0149c61f','861e06a4-3e01-404d-a0c4-d2fa9f5bfa16','<p>努力固然重要，但千万不可以漠视机率的思维模式</p>','2024-12-20 15:21:22.728','2024-12-20 15:21:22.728',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-20 15:21:22.727',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('d51a5506-9ba0-4c3e-8925-694a50fd540e','6bf29380-f700-4309-a81d-0a823101d638','72ce0c9e-c59c-4daf-a31b-84b5558f1948','<p>正確的事，不断的重复做。</p>
<p>每次都听别人说的：创事的事，就只专注做一件事，不要做太多。</p>
<p>一件事就是同样的重复做就对了。</p>
<p>读书，每天一点点的读，－点点的写就对了。</p>','2024-12-20 07:09:31.389','2024-12-22 00:00:00.034',NULL,'f','2024-12-22 00:00:00.032','2024-12-22 00:00:00.032',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('25ab5511-f0bc-4ff3-ba72-a14a1ec45adb','1df9e5fd-444d-4d7d-ad30-e4294526e0b5','4d60a8e6-8829-45d3-add6-e61449282094','<p>公理体系</p>
<p>公理没有对错，不需要被证明，公理是一种选择，是一种共识，是一种基准原则。</p>','2024-12-20 08:43:29.275','2024-12-24 00:00:00.026',NULL,'f','2024-12-24 00:00:00.025','2024-12-24 00:00:00.025',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('f73db6a0-4a62-4bb1-b7ab-f19227ebe9eb','5b96a98f-af1c-4f27-9752-740a595de64f','82401c82-df66-4556-a63e-3ff096e9ba26','<p>边际交付时间 = 每提供服务或产品所增加的交付时间</p>','2025-01-02 15:21:19.725','2025-01-02 15:21:19.725',NULL,'f',NULL,'2025-01-02 15:21:19.724',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('f10f26a5-9a42-4469-96d9-55af2fed08a7','b431c3d5-4a3d-4fe3-bb14-57e0de25cd2c','1131f00f-c162-442f-b3c0-e0ead4f636c3','<p>提升自己（产品）的价值最重要。</p>','2025-01-04 09:26:26.875','2025-01-04 09:26:26.875',NULL,'f',NULL,'2025-01-04 09:26:26.874',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('75d51b58-8152-40af-8fab-cf1518eec36e','b431c3d5-4a3d-4fe3-bb14-57e0de25cd2c','f06cf8cd-e25f-4542-a8ff-f8571e91be74','<p>价值是自己创造的，不是别人给你</p>','2025-01-04 14:48:27.847','2025-01-04 14:48:27.847',NULL,'f',NULL,'2025-01-04 14:48:27.846',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('8671cdda-ddcc-4e28-ba39-ab3a4a9d53a0','38430c11-f8d4-4db3-ba77-25afdaa4d13b','47cda368-b147-4725-82b1-56340e248f14','<p>知道本身的问题，为什么问题会产生，怎么解决问题。</p>','2025-01-11 11:50:02.61','2025-01-11 11:50:02.61',NULL,'f',NULL,'2025-01-11 11:50:02.609',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('b70c1b01-1f1b-41b1-92c5-d59293868191','38430c11-f8d4-4db3-ba77-25afdaa4d13b','be5b7e97-d65c-43f6-ba7f-0ffd13533f1a','<p>在交谈中，如混肴WHAT， WHY， HOW就会造成鸡同鸭讲。</p>','2025-01-11 13:33:07.768','2025-01-11 13:33:07.768',NULL,'f',NULL,'2025-01-11 13:33:07.767',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('7e3396b0-1510-4b5d-9720-3ccac0c48e8e','38430c11-f8d4-4db3-ba77-25afdaa4d13b','bc030323-5b78-4cf5-8c04-0ba4b93a64d1','<p>太好了</p>','2025-01-11 13:38:51.755','2025-01-11 13:38:51.755',NULL,'f',NULL,'2025-01-11 13:38:51.754','dad0e046-d2b1-42de-82b9-165d6dabe23c',NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('4244c195-9c10-496f-8bc3-51f91d78cb0d','e769758b-4596-4fe1-afb9-38237e50f429','1131f00f-c162-442f-b3c0-e0ead4f636c3','<p>幽默也是一门学问，需要有智慧。</p>','2025-01-13 13:28:44.605','2025-01-13 13:28:44.605',NULL,'f',NULL,'2025-01-13 13:28:44.604',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('24bcc0bb-86a7-4f83-bb8e-edac1f59ae35','78130a1f-d7ef-4adc-ace5-790d8ab7edc2','f06cf8cd-e25f-4542-a8ff-f8571e91be74','<p>边界感，我感觉会应地方文化不一样而有不同的表现，</p>','2025-01-16 15:19:51.817','2025-01-16 15:19:51.817',NULL,'f',NULL,'2025-01-16 15:19:51.816',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('6a210891-4cf4-4a78-9262-a174c036859a','3235dbe8-3935-405d-9353-ab5f3f044613','82401c82-df66-4556-a63e-3ff096e9ba26','<p>奖励机制表，是一种激发人们好胜心的工具。</p>','2025-01-18 15:04:01.444','2025-01-18 15:04:01.444',NULL,'f',NULL,'2025-01-18 15:04:01.439',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('bc022c2c-ec90-4fe3-a301-161bc96c0704','82fa4561-ada6-4ac2-9ed1-5c382ae276ef','53929692-27f3-426b-a4ce-9f2a98b8d064','<p>售价扣除成本就是利润，为何还狡辩说不是？</p>','2025-01-22 22:25:39.456','2025-01-22 22:25:39.456',NULL,'f',NULL,'2025-01-22 22:25:39.455',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('6229d522-4437-4919-80f4-5cc7eb03e795','9b34e463-2f33-406d-a7a5-57ac0149c61f','b1d2b7e9-339b-46d2-9f25-30c45ecce2d1','<p>今天读到这一篇<br>让我想起几天前和 J 聊到广告这回事。<br><br>J 问：<br>&ldquo;脸书打广告还有用吗？&rdquo;<br><br>我笑说：<br>&ldquo;目前我70% 的销售来源还是来自熟客/介绍&rdquo;<br><br>J 再继续问：<br>&ldquo;那你还花钱打广告？&rdquo;<br><br>说实在，这点我也有想过。<br><br>但... 以概率的角度去想，<br>万一成了呢？<br>我们的课单价比一般产品高，<br>如果 50 个人里面，<br>能打中一名贵客，<br>那这个概率我认为玩得过。<br><br>我非常相信书里所说的，<br>幸运真的占好大一个 Portion，<br>但我们可以控制的是概率的条件。<br>再加上量化思维，<br>我认为，有些事，<br>好像就多了一点把握去控制～</p>','2024-12-20 13:30:09.176','2024-12-20 13:30:09.176',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-20 13:30:09.175',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('8e6c88c3-334c-468d-9bf2-84b0a9eae9d2','9b34e463-2f33-406d-a7a5-57ac0149c61f','8c41d3c3-8cab-4621-868b-700631a7ecc1','<p>创业不能只单靠努力、聪明，还需要靠运气。</p>
<p>我们既要相信努力的重要性，也要明白，完全不受我们控制的几率对创业的重要性有多大。</p>
<p><strong>不管怎样，都是过程；当下尽力，接受结果</strong></p>','2024-12-20 13:33:48.962','2024-12-20 13:33:58.327',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-20 13:33:58.326',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('992eb51e-f66e-4584-8eea-a9c9e872b721','9b34e463-2f33-406d-a7a5-57ac0149c61f','7c90ff31-3cfe-46d0-8204-3b842b9bb44e','<p>复杂的事情简单做，</p>
<p>简单的事情重复做。</p>
<p>勤奋可以弥补笨拙的脑袋。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>95％勤奋+5％运气＝创业</p>
<p>天时+地利+人和+创意+坚持+愿力=传奇</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>二鸟在林，不如一石在手。</p>
<p><span style="font-family: var(--font-ubuntu);">创业需要靠勤奋，更为重要的是心不死。</span></p>','2024-12-20 14:32:36.04','2024-12-20 14:32:36.04',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-20 14:32:36.039',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('b1c2ca10-a81f-4b7b-a73b-4b609ceeb237','9b34e463-2f33-406d-a7a5-57ac0149c61f','550d0df0-c244-418c-8fd4-915e9faffda1','<p>创业成功非常重要的因素之一 - 就是运气&nbsp; (机率 Probability)</p>
<p>准备功夫当然重要，同时我们也要掌握机率思维，以达到在不完全掌握资讯当时，依然可以做当下最适合的决定。</p>','2024-12-20 15:20:17.906','2024-12-20 15:20:17.906',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-20 15:20:17.905',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('f3216781-9e3a-4d8a-badf-7f872765a536','9b34e463-2f33-406d-a7a5-57ac0149c61f','22eebfc2-f1bd-4144-ac9b-9b146d80a3ee','<p>Day 20 ：12月20 日 《底层逻辑》Part 2：思考问题的底层逻辑</p>
<p>机率思维（Page 117-121）</p>
<p>🎯今日读后感悟：</p>
<p>事实上，创业成功，其实还是得靠运气=机率。</p>','2024-12-20 15:40:04.549','2024-12-20 15:40:04.549',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-20 15:40:04.548',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('d9936c12-2c44-4930-80d9-d1765bd17138','9b34e463-2f33-406d-a7a5-57ac0149c61f','bc030323-5b78-4cf5-8c04-0ba4b93a64d1','<p class="p1"><span class="s1">Day 20 ：12月20 日&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 《底层逻辑》Part 2：思考问题的底层逻辑</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">机率思维（Page 117-121）</span></p>
<p class="p1">&nbsp;</p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">🎯今日读后感悟：</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">创业过程中，即使尽全力并做对所有事，95%的成功仍取决于运气，这种&ldquo;概率思维&rdquo;是创业者必须理解的规律。在快速变化的时代，概率思维尤其重要，它是许多成功者的核心逻辑，而&ldquo;只要努力就能成功&rdquo;反被视为失败的思维。</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">创业每天都有无数决策，重大与否未必如你所感知。正如&ldquo;幸存者偏见&rdquo;，显眼的伤痕可能不致命，真正的致命点往往被忽略。理解概率思维能帮助你做出更明智的选择，减少因错觉而偏离方向。</span></p>','2024-12-20 15:43:38.28','2024-12-20 15:43:38.28',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-20 15:43:38.279',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('0748f535-b57b-4bf0-9dc0-88253f099cd5','9b34e463-2f33-406d-a7a5-57ac0149c61f','ef10631b-65db-4272-af44-c5d7da8f94f4','<p><strong>机率的思维</strong></p>
<p>成功95%靠机率（运气）</p>
<p>要相信努力的必要性，也要明白机率的重要性</p>
<p>要找方法对冲机率对我们的影响</p>','2024-12-20 15:47:03.607','2024-12-20 15:47:03.607',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-20 15:47:03.606',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('00e58e75-a8b1-4907-ae53-325525c0dde4','9b34e463-2f33-406d-a7a5-57ac0149c61f','c5e069be-e34f-4a00-8866-8ee0e14fd6df','<p>机率思维，其实不管怎么算，算的再好，我们都会面对有一部分的巴仙率往我们不一样的方向或是期望走。</p>
<p>不要被幸存者思维蒙蔽失败的可能性，</p>
<p>承认有机率这件事，然后寻找方法对冲。</p>','2024-12-20 15:52:31.008','2024-12-20 15:52:31.008',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-20 15:52:31.007',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('3d720ede-dc69-4afa-af05-171060e0c7fe','9b34e463-2f33-406d-a7a5-57ac0149c61f','6cef5362-7ff5-4fa0-8829-76df28438992','<p>成功机率有多高，那是很难决定的。但是对資讯的掌握、个人的能力与态度，却是成功的关键因素之一。因此，不得不认真看待。</p>','2024-12-20 15:56:37.635','2024-12-20 15:56:37.635',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-20 15:56:37.634',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('c648d62e-1c68-4156-8096-098d998c30cb','9b34e463-2f33-406d-a7a5-57ac0149c61f','bdee759b-405c-461f-97a1-a39e711c7e8e','<p>創业成功非常重要的因素之一就是运气，所谓时势造英雄也。</p>','2024-12-20 15:57:08.776','2024-12-20 15:57:08.776',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-20 15:57:08.776',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('0d6f709b-79f3-4fed-a0fe-c681ff4a77ba','9b34e463-2f33-406d-a7a5-57ac0149c61f','abafda80-d191-4990-802d-f631604815a6','<p>聪明和努力还是要有的， 虽然这里说运气占了大部分。</p>','2024-12-20 15:58:27.924','2024-12-20 15:58:34.601',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-20 15:58:34.6',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('f1aa5f3c-072c-49d6-9f6e-8041a0a3df9a','73d404e3-c3a6-4105-8463-cfb9bcce8d62','b2120258-4016-43f4-9c32-1f9c0e96bfaf','<p>提高成功机率。</p>
<p>在千位把握时代的脉搏提高12%；在百位上，你可以透过选对战略，再提高5%；在十位元上，你可以透过设计好组织结构又提高2%；最后在个位上，你可以透过做好管理，提高1%。综合计算，你的成功机率一共提高了20%，加上原本的5%，你的成功机率就变成了25%。</p>
<p>理解和远用机率思维，去增加好运气，避开大坑和陷阱，创业者才可能在成功的路上走得更远。</p>','2024-11-28 06:51:48.202','2024-12-21 00:00:00.028',NULL,'f','2024-12-21 00:00:00.026','2024-12-21 00:00:00.026',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('bb741468-ce29-4e37-8886-f7e7a152c06d','73d404e3-c3a6-4105-8463-cfb9bcce8d62','d287598e-c515-495a-aaab-d93a50a8de1e','<p>对冲大机率成功的方法</p>
<p>1.时代</p>
<p>顺应时代的要求。时代是对冲运气的第一要素，排在千位。</p>
<p>2战略排在百位。要有自己独立的战略，坚定地执行自己的模型。</p>
<p>跟随性战略相当于别人帮我们排除了一定失败的可能。</p>
<p>快鱼战略，快鱼吃慢鱼，快比好来得重要。</p>
<p>3.治理排在十位</p>
<p>治理是指制度，比如股权制度，合伙人制度等。</p>
<p>4.管理排在个位。</p>
<p>找对人，奖金制度，激励制度等等都是管理问题。如果没做好管理，成功率也会降低。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>','2024-12-20 02:49:02.801','2024-12-21 00:00:00.028',NULL,'f','2024-12-21 00:00:00.026','2024-12-21 00:00:00.026',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('82d63c81-dba2-4a11-8dde-76c216fdeca3','73d404e3-c3a6-4105-8463-cfb9bcce8d62','2c1ef7cf-3624-43cb-8cf3-d40551cab829','<p>大机率成功的方法:</p>
<p>1) 时代 &ndash; 意识时代改变，顺应时代</p>
<p>2) 战略 &ndash; "快"比"好"来得重要</p>
<p>3) 治理 &ndash; 公司管理层结构化设计</p>
<p>4) 管理 &ndash; 找对人，合适的奖金制度，企业文化建设等</p>','2024-12-20 04:45:29.263','2024-12-21 00:00:00.028',NULL,'f','2024-12-21 00:00:00.026','2024-12-21 00:00:00.026',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('86c8ff14-e564-4e95-9ee9-8d3ce83eba24','73d404e3-c3a6-4105-8463-cfb9bcce8d62','be5b7e97-d65c-43f6-ba7f-0ffd13533f1a','<p>提高机率的要素 （从最关键至少：<br>1.） 时代 - 掌握时代的变化，需求，并顺应它。<br>2.）战略 - 用来对冲运气。<br>3.）治理 - 组织结构的设计。<br>4.）管理 - 有效的实践治理方针<br><br></p>','2024-12-20 05:56:15.291','2024-12-21 00:00:00.028',NULL,'f','2024-12-21 00:00:00.026','2024-12-21 00:00:00.026',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('5b514a2f-3cad-409c-b78d-dac457e1f3bd','73d404e3-c3a6-4105-8463-cfb9bcce8d62','72ce0c9e-c59c-4daf-a31b-84b5558f1948','<p>必须𠄘认和接受，就算已经做对做好所有的事情。成功的机率也不高。</p>
<p>明白时代的变迁，戰略的重要性，治理的重点，管理的方法，就会提高成功机率。</p>','2024-12-20 06:03:53.473','2024-12-21 00:00:00.028',NULL,'f','2024-12-21 00:00:00.026','2024-12-21 00:00:00.026',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('975cbd00-e0a4-4e70-ae25-a1b8e1c7195e','73d404e3-c3a6-4105-8463-cfb9bcce8d62','b1d2b7e9-339b-46d2-9f25-30c45ecce2d1','<p>最令我感到有共鸣的，<br>是在 《战略》篇章中提到的心态。<br><br>这是我明年要修的。<br><br>我经常会被一些不顺心的合作搞得团团转，<br>以致我并没有办法顺应战略。<br><br>往前大步前行，<br>这是我要修炼的。<br><br>战略设好了，<br>就大步往前走。<br><br>有什么不如预期的事，<br>过了再算。<br><br>以大局看事，<br>不拘小节。<br><br>凡事都有概率，<br>更何况事情当中面对挫折。<br><br>投资学里有一招叫<br>Dollar Cost Average。<br>我希望，把此思维套用在生活与职场。<br>这既是我明年向往的战略</p>','2024-12-20 13:41:35.043','2024-12-21 00:00:00.028',NULL,'f','2024-12-21 00:00:00.026','2024-12-21 00:00:00.026',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('ba6456f4-b539-4a92-9d77-4439be230e71','73d404e3-c3a6-4105-8463-cfb9bcce8d62','7ae3c10f-1299-472c-a9d4-b368d392f445','<p>21/12</p>
<p>機率思維是你要心平氣和地承認，就算你做對了所有事情，你成功的機率也不高，比如在今天的網路行業，成功的機率可能只有約5%；在認識到這一點之後，再思考應該用什麼方式提高成功的機率。</p>
<p><br>在千位上，你可以透過把握*時代*的脈搏提高12%；在百位上，你可以透過選對*戰略*, 再提高5%；在十位元上，你可以透過設計好組織結構又提高2%；最後在個位上，你可以透過做好*管理*, 提高1%。綜合計算，你的成功機率一共提高了20%，加上原來的5%，你的成功機率就變成了25%。</p>
<p><br>有25%的機率獲得成功，已經希望很大了，但是依然有75%的機率會失敗，怎麼辦？</p>
<p>那就不接受失敗，再來一次。如果你曾連續創業四次，每次成功的機率是25%的話，那麼四次裡面有一次成功就是比較大機率的事件了。</p>
<p><br>機率思維，是這個時代成功者所秉持的底層思維。理解和運用機率思維，去增加好運氣，避開大坑和陷阱，創業者才可能在成功的路上走得更遠。</p>','2024-12-21 00:49:05.855','2024-12-21 01:23:29.628',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-21 01:23:29.627',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('31572dfb-7fb8-4b86-aaf8-d06eb5ac13f0','73d404e3-c3a6-4105-8463-cfb9bcce8d62','c9b39003-1a47-4eb9-a447-837aa6128a1b','<p>機率思維是這個時代成功者秉持的底層思維。</p>
<p>以下是對沖機率運氣的4大要素。</p>
<p>1️⃣時代 - 順應時代 順勢而為可以幫助巨大成功</p>
<p>2️⃣戰略 - 網絡世界，快比好重要&nbsp;</p>
<p>3️⃣治理 - 真正合夥創業人幫助提供成功機率</p>
<p>4️⃣管理 - 管理不當 減低成功機率</p>
<p>就算做對了所有事情 成功機率也不高。</p>
<p>應該思考在4大要素上，可以用什麼方式提高成功機率。</p>
<p>理解並懂得運用機率思維 可以⬆️運氣。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>','2024-12-21 02:33:47.484','2024-12-21 02:33:47.484',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-21 02:33:47.483',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('e3033509-264a-49cf-953b-3e3cfff0fa12','73d404e3-c3a6-4105-8463-cfb9bcce8d62','042e3658-0d45-45d8-92b1-3d973b328b46','<p>时代（千位）= 顺应时代的变化而增加成功的优势</p>
<p>战略（百位）= 靠的是判断力，模型来执行</p>
<p>治理（十位）= 公司对的结构性质</p>
<p>管理（个位）= 对的管理系统和制度</p>
<p>对冲机率对于成功虽然只有20_30巴仙，但是总比不进行的好！</p>','2024-12-21 03:09:32.581','2024-12-21 03:09:32.581',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-21 03:09:32.58',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('121a06bf-e091-4014-bbc8-2ed173a4c207','73d404e3-c3a6-4105-8463-cfb9bcce8d62','3c44f813-90cf-4c87-ab87-553efe18c88a','<div class="flex flex-row justify-between gap-2">
<div class="flex flex-row gap-2 mb-2">
<div class="font-semibold flex flex-row items-center gap-2">这几页非常好！calculated success rate</div>
<div class="font-semibold flex flex-row items-center gap-2">&nbsp;</div>
</div>
</div>
<div class="text-xs sm:text-sm ml-[38px]">
<p>时代（千位）= online,Ai,EsG,</p>
<p>战略（百位）= 不同model不同strategy,strategy 可以更新,更时代match.</p>
<p>治理（十位）= rules +sop</p>
<p>管理（个位）= management+leadership</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
</div>','2024-12-21 04:16:03.221','2024-12-21 04:16:03.221',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-21 04:16:03.22',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('893620b9-d0a9-404e-92fa-49fa9af28e14','73d404e3-c3a6-4105-8463-cfb9bcce8d62','53929692-27f3-426b-a4ce-9f2a98b8d064','<p>不断尝试就能提高成功机率？j</p>
<p>补昨天：运气是关键，但是运气可以操控吗？有人认为可以，只要我们多做善事，运气会改善。这是因果论。</p>','2024-12-20 23:32:34.802','2024-12-21 06:06:43.513',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-21 06:06:43.513',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('6f5a3f5f-c94c-4abb-84ef-741d8c249ef1','73d404e3-c3a6-4105-8463-cfb9bcce8d62','9f2de0b4-5451-41cb-bded-d537871923dd','<ul>
<li>失败后继续努力，也要有智慧的努力，否则也只是白忙一场</li>
<li>时代：要根据那个时代的趋势办事</li>
<li>战略：选择对的战略，并持之以恒</li>
<li>结构：设计一个好的结构来治理</li>
<li>管理：要有方法来管理</li>
</ul>','2024-12-21 14:44:08.181','2024-12-21 14:44:08.181',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-21 14:44:08.18',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('928d67b0-7c0a-45a9-a50d-962124bd6745','73d404e3-c3a6-4105-8463-cfb9bcce8d62','47cda368-b147-4725-82b1-56340e248f14','<p>时代是对冲运气的第一要素，它排在【千位】。</p>
<p>战略则排在【百位】，靠的是模型，战略和判断力。</p>
<p>排在【十位】的治理，结构不对，什么都不对。</p>
<p>【个位】主要是管理，比如奖金制度，员工激励计划，进行充分沟通，这些都属于管理问题。</p>','2024-12-21 13:00:59.19','2024-12-21 13:02:39.362',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-21 13:02:39.361',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('7fb50237-647d-422d-a116-ebfad0764155','73d404e3-c3a6-4105-8463-cfb9bcce8d62','3d9c1be4-dac8-482e-8867-e3ba75f3a884','<p>俗话说得好，不努力，就不会成功，但是，就算是非常努力了，往往，这样也未必会成功；因为，这裡关系到＿个机率逻辑的问题。这机率逻辑里可分几个層面。</p>
<p>管理 &gt; 冶理 &gt; 战略 &gt; 时代&nbsp;</p>
<p>管理 ： 流程，制度，系统&nbsp;</p>
<p>冶理 ： 组织架构，权限，工作范围</p>
<p>战略 ： 公司方向，着落点</p>
<p>时代 ： 俗语说，时代的锋口，干啥都行</p>','2024-12-21 13:47:52.256','2024-12-21 13:47:52.256',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-21 13:47:52.255',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('23c2b0bc-bfe1-442e-bd8b-990d1ce74152','73d404e3-c3a6-4105-8463-cfb9bcce8d62','446acaf6-9b4a-451d-8e08-ca51f1003c48','<p>21/12/2024-时代（Page121-126)</p>
<p>时代所带来的机率优势是极其巨大的，它能帮助顺应时代的人获得巨大的成功。</p>
<p>排在百位的是战略，战略选对了，极大地冲了机率。</p>
<p>排在十位的是治疗，治疗指的是董事会对整个公司管理层的结构化设计。</p>
<p>排在个位的是管理，管理非常重要，也是用来对冲机率的。</p>','2024-12-21 14:11:32.62','2024-12-21 14:11:32.62',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-21 14:11:32.619',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('c68c142d-c981-4b47-ae26-8535effd7067','6bf29380-f700-4309-a81d-0a823101d638','0a652b55-937b-435d-bcb8-4d3fb846b83f','<p>數學思維，開拓你的眼界，能夠快速洞察一個事物的本質。</p>
<p>創業要專注。</p>
<p>重複做大機率成功的事情，你成功的機率就能夠接近100％.&nbsp; 這就是從不確定性中找到確定性。</p>','2024-12-22 12:25:48.714','2024-12-22 12:25:48.714',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-22 12:25:48.713',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('1d2dea87-b7c8-41e0-a100-5dc0d1943925','73d404e3-c3a6-4105-8463-cfb9bcce8d62','3c16baf4-84df-4958-a74c-aa7b7d950e3a','<p>补20/12: 机率思维（Page 117-121）</p>
<p>虽说资讯发达，但很多时候我们还是会处于资讯不完善的情况下却需要做出选择。如何做出对自己最合适的选择，应该是必须根据我们可以承担的最底线来判断。</p>
<p>21/12:&nbsp;时代--战略--治理--管理（Page 121-126）</p>
<p>做企业，必须要有坚定的意志力、不到黄河心不死的心态，但也必须要有智慧，不能一味追求金钱，主要还是要有贡献。</p>','2024-12-21 14:15:47.62','2024-12-21 14:16:01.979',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-21 14:16:01.978',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('9114d747-e3f9-4d0b-810d-d4a04fed6602','73d404e3-c3a6-4105-8463-cfb9bcce8d62','459a1283-290a-4d4b-b10f-6504664de97b','<div>机率思维的关键因素：</div>
<div>时代：与时俱进</div>
<div>战略:跟随成功者</div>
<div>治理：股权分配</div>
<div>管理：成功商业大蓝图Excellance&nbsp; Business Model</div>
<div>&nbsp;</div>
<div>以上4点，，而且还有做到位，少一不可，都会影响成功机率。</div>','2024-12-21 14:26:34.318','2024-12-21 14:26:34.318',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-21 14:26:34.318',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('0d45ea67-1ab0-49f3-bedd-bc12374d8974','73d404e3-c3a6-4105-8463-cfb9bcce8d62','22eebfc2-f1bd-4144-ac9b-9b146d80a3ee','<p>Day 21 ：12月21 日 《底层逻辑》Part 2：思考问题的底层逻辑</p>
<p>时代（Page 121-126）</p>
<p>🎯今日读后感悟：</p>
<p>时代：对抗运气的第一要素。</p>
<p>战略：对抗运气的第二要素。</p>
<p>治理：对抗运气的第三要素。</p>
<p>管理：对抗运气的第四要素。</p>','2024-12-21 14:35:49.459','2024-12-21 14:35:49.459',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-21 14:35:49.458',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('609c9fee-81a0-4d31-ac5f-d8b97446006c','73d404e3-c3a6-4105-8463-cfb9bcce8d62','6949d955-832d-47f1-870b-95a01be61ff8','<p>机率思维的关键：</p>
<p>时代</p>
<p>战略</p>
<p>治理</p>
<p>管理</p>','2024-12-21 14:54:26.005','2024-12-21 14:54:26.005',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-21 14:54:26.004',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('2edc3958-581e-4d44-aadf-fb726c0b8a43','8df7dfc5-c545-40e5-bdbf-7be0547acb1b','f9cd75dc-f522-4a2a-a811-ea6c7508b057','<p>用动态的眼光看问题，，要知道一件事的结果，不是瞬间产生的，而是长期以来积累的效应造成的。出了问题不要只看那瞬间，要宏观一直追溯到微观，才能找到问题的根源</p>','2024-12-14 01:55:59.238','2024-12-23 00:00:00.012',NULL,'f','2024-12-23 00:00:00.011','2024-12-23 00:00:00.011',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('1f52a08a-b2ee-4c0b-b1b2-53cb2fb1f793','73d404e3-c3a6-4105-8463-cfb9bcce8d62','8c41d3c3-8cab-4621-868b-700631a7ecc1','<p>大几率成功的四个关键：</p>
<p>1）时代：要跟着时代一起进步</p>
<p>2）战略：一旦找到自己的战略，就一定要坚持执行下去</p>
<p>3）治理：要有对的结构设计</p>
<p>4）管理：上梁不正下梁歪，管理的人也很重要</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>哪怕我们掌握了所有关键，做好了能做的事情，都还是会有很大概率会失败。所以我们能做的只有<strong>尽力做好，接受失败，有重新来过的勇气。</strong>如果成功的概率只有25%，那四次里面有一次的成功就是比较大概率的事物了</p>','2024-12-21 15:09:44.184','2024-12-21 15:10:21.045',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-21 15:10:21.044',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('4e249ae9-13dc-4bc2-9cc3-a48d5ddcbefd','73d404e3-c3a6-4105-8463-cfb9bcce8d62','7c90ff31-3cfe-46d0-8204-3b842b9bb44e','<p>没有＂失败＂，只有＂不够坚持＂</p>
<p>时代：学懂天时，事半功倍。</p>
<p>战略：持之以恒，不断优化。</p>
<p>结构：三赢结构，治理人性。</p>
<p>管理：情商管理，情绪稳健。</p>','2024-12-21 15:10:34.286','2024-12-21 15:10:34.286',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-21 15:10:34.285',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('337479c2-4d5b-4aed-83d5-5188de688a9a','73d404e3-c3a6-4105-8463-cfb9bcce8d62','861e06a4-3e01-404d-a0c4-d2fa9f5bfa16','<p>大几率成功的四个关键：</p>
<p>1. 时代：要跟着时代一起进步</p>
<p>2. 战略：一旦找到自己的战略，就一定要坚持执行下去</p>
<p>3. 治理：要有对的结构设计</p>
<p>4. 管理：上梁不正下梁歪，管理的人也很重要</p>','2024-12-21 15:34:43.804','2024-12-21 15:34:43.804',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-21 15:34:43.803',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('729256a6-ec3d-4803-8dc6-40f00df81e20','73d404e3-c3a6-4105-8463-cfb9bcce8d62','ef10631b-65db-4272-af44-c5d7da8f94f4','<p><strong>对冲运气的要素</strong></p>
<p>1） 时代- &ldquo;千位&rdquo;</p>
<p>2）战略-&ldquo;百位&rdquo;</p>
<p>3）治理-&ldquo;十位&rdquo;</p>
<p>4）管理-&ldquo;个位&rdquo;</p>
<p>机率思维=底层逻辑。用机率思维增加运气，避开大坑，才可在成功的道路上走得更远。</p>','2024-12-21 15:51:54.034','2024-12-21 15:51:54.034',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-21 15:51:54.033',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('c6c29897-93a1-4397-973c-cfed68d395e1','6bf29380-f700-4309-a81d-0a823101d638','dee0ab39-9eab-4b3d-bad7-a9f0422f8fb5','<p>除了了解机率论，也要理解数学思维，且要明白创业要专注，不可同时做太多，而防碍成功。</p>','2024-12-19 10:53:57.289','2024-12-22 00:00:00.034',NULL,'f','2024-12-22 00:00:00.032','2024-12-22 00:00:00.032',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('61a7c6af-3860-4157-ac38-4f006b1f4610','6bf29380-f700-4309-a81d-0a823101d638','6949d955-832d-47f1-870b-95a01be61ff8','<p>学数学重要的是学习思维方式，而不是公式</p>
<p>概率论:&nbsp; &ldquo;正确的事情，要重复做，是从不确定性中找到确定性</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>','2024-12-21 15:08:28.366','2024-12-22 00:00:00.034',NULL,'f','2024-12-22 00:00:00.032','2024-12-22 00:00:00.032',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('b330532f-370f-425c-8809-255d7c69550f','73d404e3-c3a6-4105-8463-cfb9bcce8d62','f19a0a29-719b-4ff0-9462-5c18dd598629','<p>作者把时代放在首位：时代对了，管理糟糕也照样可以成功，这个我绝对赞同。就看中国历史，像朱元璋这样心里变态的人，居然可以成为皇帝，那是因为那时是乱世。若是盛世他只能一辈子当和尚。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>但是时代的变迁，不是我们可以把握的。这也是为什么在变迁时代中异军突起的公司往往是几个年轻人的初创公司而不是大公司。因为年轻人没有思想包袱，试错了也不丢脸。但是大公司却不能，公司主管押错了赌注，就会被炒鱿鱼。这是为什么LLM的技术transformer是在 Google 发明的，但是到最后却是OpenAI这个新贵把ChatGPT这种技术介绍给世界，并且享受了所有的红利。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>而且年轻公司阵亡机会大，只是我们不知道罢了--这就是幸存者偏差。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>对于我个人层面，我已不在年少，没有幻想自己有千年机遇。但是在我的行业里，我的专长也算是独一无二的，就往这方面发展吧，说不定会有一个百年的机遇？重要的是，放下思想包袱，不要有&ldquo;做错了很丢脸&rdquo;这样的想法，真的失败了还可以出书书写我失败的经历，所以还是没有损失。</p>','2024-12-21 06:40:50.207','2024-12-21 06:47:13.3',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-21 06:47:13.299',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('bef3d3a2-2467-4705-9de9-041f58d33934','73d404e3-c3a6-4105-8463-cfb9bcce8d62','4f2eb2b3-94b5-4ee7-8132-6fb6407ff96e','<p>（千位）时代- 帮助顺应时代的人获得巨大的成功</p>
<p>（百位）战略- 不同的strategy</p>
<p>(十位）治理-董事会对整个公司管理层的结构化设计</p>
<p>（个位）管理-管理系统和制度</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>','2024-12-21 08:59:13.986','2024-12-21 08:59:13.986',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-21 08:59:13.985',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('fd3d4537-3e6c-4d7e-8bf8-76ba49ca6b60','73d404e3-c3a6-4105-8463-cfb9bcce8d62','550d0df0-c244-418c-8fd4-915e9faffda1','<p>机率思维，就是这个时代成功者所乘持的底层思维。理解和运用机率思维，去增加好运气，避免大坑和陷阱，创业者才可能在成功的路上走的更远。</p>
<p>如何对冲机率？</p>
<p>时代 （千位）- 定位 + 方向<br>战略 （百位）- 快比好来的更重要<br>治理 （十位）- 系统化与结构<br>管理&nbsp; &nbsp; (各位）- 对的人干对的事</p>','2024-12-21 10:54:51.728','2024-12-21 10:54:51.728',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-21 10:54:51.727',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('1cd87ce7-7117-42fb-bf07-0dd5aa08562d','73d404e3-c3a6-4105-8463-cfb9bcce8d62','bdee759b-405c-461f-97a1-a39e711c7e8e','<p class="p1"><span class="s1">機率思維是這個時代成功者所秉持的底層思維。理解和運用機率思維，去增加好運氣，創業者才可能在成功的路上走得更遠。</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">時代 &mdash; 戰略 &mdash; 治理 &mdash; 管理 </span></p>','2024-12-21 11:47:21.721','2024-12-21 11:47:24.733',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-21 11:47:24.732',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('1a760f72-d3db-4868-98ec-a95a260c8054','73d404e3-c3a6-4105-8463-cfb9bcce8d62','724f2776-0f89-4693-96ac-067e7121c40c','<p>用底层逻辑透析本质，用时代背景调整路径，二者结合方能在变化中找到突破之道。</p>','2024-12-21 12:18:54.109','2024-12-21 12:19:02.716',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-21 12:19:02.715',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('18345d00-86ea-4c0e-ac05-11fa42de836e','73d404e3-c3a6-4105-8463-cfb9bcce8d62','069c59cc-12d1-4b10-aabf-cabe5bfceaaf','<p>人在那个时代</p>','2024-12-21 12:37:22.07','2024-12-21 12:38:17.949',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-21 12:38:17.948',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('0cc6ee94-3478-4915-a64c-c09a07ea8d3a','b7f220f7-db3d-4b69-8e36-a54da9d035b1','1a28ed21-9fd6-4880-8fcc-727c43eb36b1','<p>不同年代会出现不同系统模式淘汰旧系统！</p>
<p>在个位上的努力是无法对抗千位上的变化！</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>','2024-12-21 12:23:00.163','2024-12-26 00:00:00.016',NULL,'f','2024-12-26 00:00:00.015','2024-12-26 00:00:00.015',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('0a7ad306-32c3-4d47-a560-7f6e63b9821d','73d404e3-c3a6-4105-8463-cfb9bcce8d62','0a652b55-937b-435d-bcb8-4d3fb846b83f','<p>時代 ：把握時機</p>
<p>戰略 ：選對戰略</p>
<p>治理 ：設計好组識結構</p>
<p>管理 ：做好管理，提升成功機率</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>機率思維，是這個時代成功者所秉持的底層思維。理解和運用機率思維，去增加好運氣，避開大坑和陷阱，創業者才可能在成功的路上走得更遠。</p>','2024-12-21 12:23:36.832','2024-12-21 12:23:36.832',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-21 12:23:36.831',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('5d7b58e3-27b4-49ca-808e-c4dd68ccbe75','73d404e3-c3a6-4105-8463-cfb9bcce8d62','bc030323-5b78-4cf5-8c04-0ba4b93a64d1','<p class="p1"><span class="s1">Day 21 ：12月21 日&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 《底层逻辑》Part 2：思考问题的底层逻辑</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">时代（Page 121-126）</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s2">&nbsp;</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">🎯今日读后感悟：</span></p>
<p class="p2">&nbsp;</p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s2">機率思維重點：</span></p>
<p class="p3"><span class="s1"> 1. </span><span class="s2">承認低成功機率</span></p>
<p class="p3"><span class="s1"> &bull; 成功的機率往往不高（如網路行業僅約5%）。</span></p>
<p class="p3"><span class="s1"> &bull; 認清現實，接受即使做對一切也可能失敗的可能性。</span></p>
<p class="p3"><span class="s1"> 2. </span><span class="s2">提升成功機率的四層方法</span></p>
<p class="p3"><span class="s1"> &bull; </span><span class="s2">千位層面</span><span class="s1">：把握時代脈搏，提升 </span><span class="s2">12%</span><span class="s1">。</span></p>
<p class="p3"><span class="s1"> &bull; </span><span class="s2">百位層面</span><span class="s1">：選對戰略，提升 </span><span class="s2">5%</span><span class="s1">。</span></p>
<p class="p3"><span class="s1"> &bull; </span><span class="s2">十位層面</span><span class="s1">：設計好組織結構，提升 </span><span class="s2">2%</span><span class="s1">。</span></p>
<p class="p3"><span class="s1"> &bull; </span><span class="s2">個位層面</span><span class="s1">：做好管理，提升 </span><span class="s2">1%</span><span class="s1">。</span></p>
<p class="p3"><span class="s1"> 3. </span><span class="s2">總結成功機率</span></p>
<p class="p3"><span class="s1"> &bull; 原有成功機率 </span><span class="s2">5%</span><span class="s1">，加上提升的 </span><span class="s2">20%</span><span class="s1">，最終成功機率達到 </span><span class="s2">25%</span><span class="s1">。</span></p>
<p class="p3"><span class="s1"> &bull; 25%的成功率已屬不錯，但仍有75%的失敗可能。</span></p>
<p class="p3"><span class="s1"> 4. </span><span class="s2">應對失敗的心態</span></p>
<p class="p3"><span class="s1"> &bull; </span><span class="s2">不接受失敗，持續重試</span><span class="s1">：多次嘗試累積成功的可能性。</span></p>
<p class="p3"><span class="s1"> &bull; 例如：連續創業四次，每次25%的成功機率，至少一次成功是高機率事件。</span></p>
<p class="p3"><span class="s1"> 5. </span><span class="s2">機率思維的核心</span></p>
<p class="p3"><span class="s1"> &bull; 以概率視角看待成功與失敗，避免幻想百分百成功的過於樂觀心態。</span></p>
<p class="p3"><span class="s1"> &bull; 理解和運用機率思維：</span></p>
<p class="p4"><span class="s1"> &bull; 增加「好運氣」。</span></p>
<p class="p4"><span class="s1"> &bull; 避開「大陷阱」。</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1"> &bull; 持續在不確定性中探索，穩步前進。</span></p>','2024-12-21 12:43:44.111','2024-12-21 12:43:44.111',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-21 12:43:44.109',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('9fa317f1-c3cc-4eb6-802a-20b02c28c9cb','73d404e3-c3a6-4105-8463-cfb9bcce8d62','6cef5362-7ff5-4fa0-8829-76df28438992','<p>无论机率思维、时代、战略、治理、管理等知识都是经商者必须懂的学问，否则容易迈上失败之路。</p>','2024-12-21 13:20:12.185','2024-12-21 13:20:12.185',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-21 13:20:12.18',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('630ab46d-2435-4de0-bdbf-9b3509676f22','73d404e3-c3a6-4105-8463-cfb9bcce8d62','d7f9d646-34b1-4281-a990-12e3eb93d6ff','<p>時代，戰略、治理和管理都有一個重要要素，即@識時務者為俊傑」。需要懂得如何善用資源，找對人，建設企業分化，溝通等，這些都是提高機率的關鍵。</p>','2024-12-21 13:55:38.482','2024-12-21 13:55:38.482',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-21 13:55:38.481',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('52f2b5e2-8eb1-44e5-9b96-4acc82b61e0d','8df7dfc5-c545-40e5-bdbf-7be0547acb1b','b1d2b7e9-339b-46d2-9f25-30c45ecce2d1','<p>我希望能回到5年前，<br>告诉自己这个道理。<br>当时，如果懂得用动态眼光来看待自己成长，<br>我相信从心里，心态，发展方向，当下成绩，必然会大用不同。<br>没关系，<br>现在我会使用动态眼光再看下一个 5 年</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>','2024-12-21 09:45:47.358','2024-12-23 00:00:00.012',NULL,'f','2024-12-23 00:00:00.011','2024-12-23 00:00:00.011',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('ffe401dd-6edd-46e7-b85e-652133a0c531','6bf29380-f700-4309-a81d-0a823101d638','fb681b37-b86f-49b7-8f27-422ffefb81b6','<p>虽然不存在100%的成功，但通过重复选择高成功概率的事情，整体成功的概率可以无限接近100%。概率论的价值在于帮助我们在复杂、不确定的环境中找到较为确定的方向。我们学习概率论，不是为了去算题，而是为了理解这种思考方法，这样，在做人生选择的时候，就能选对那条大概率成功的道路。</p>','2024-12-21 06:11:23.079','2024-12-22 00:00:00.034',NULL,'f','2024-12-22 00:00:00.032','2024-12-22 00:00:00.032',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('227298d1-152b-4f33-9ee0-e06be13c6235','6bf29380-f700-4309-a81d-0a823101d638','b1d2b7e9-339b-46d2-9f25-30c45ecce2d1','<p>&ldquo;重复做大概率的事，成功的几率就接近100%&rdquo;<br><br>我正考虑要不要把与初级咨询的服务删掉，<br>因为我们花了太多时间给不重要的客户。<br>但概率上，如果我删掉了这项服务，<br>就更没有机会找到新的潜质客户了。<br>我要的是加强成功概率，而不是删掉服务。</p>','2024-12-21 09:39:31.692','2024-12-22 00:00:00.034',NULL,'f','2024-12-22 00:00:00.032','2024-12-22 00:00:00.032',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('3899072b-7c77-449b-8ad6-fcb4bb376126','6bf29380-f700-4309-a81d-0a823101d638','26458796-5d5f-468a-ac5f-69a3a6e55885','<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><strong style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">Day-22</span></strong><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;"> </span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-ascii-font-family: Garamond; mso-hansi-font-family: Garamond; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">（</span><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">22/12/2024</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-ascii-font-family: Garamond; mso-hansi-font-family: Garamond; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">）</span><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;"> - page 1217-132</span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">【数学思维．从不确定性中找到确定性】</span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">「区別在于，做成课程需要用更通俗的方式，把那些晦澀的专业知识讲出來，让每一个人都能够听得懂。</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB;">」&mdash;&mdash;譬如费曼学习法之输出概念。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB;">你可以不专精数学，但是，你不能沒有数学思维。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-ascii-font-family: Garamond; mso-hansi-font-family: Garamond;">一、机率论（</span><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB;">probability theory</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-ascii-font-family: Garamond; mso-hansi-font-family: Garamond;">），即</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB;"> </span><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB;">&ldquo;</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">从不确定性中找到确定性</span><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB;">&rdquo;<span lang="ZH-TW">；或者如我们常说的：</span>&ldquo;<span lang="ZH-TW">正确的事情，要重复做</span>&rdquo;<span lang="ZH-TW">。&mdash;&mdash;机率论有助不我们选对那条大机率成功的道路。</span></span></p>','2024-12-22 00:44:52.153','2024-12-22 00:44:52.153',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-22 00:44:52.152',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('bb0a6067-1ac6-4dc3-8100-7dbca095a1c3','6bf29380-f700-4309-a81d-0a823101d638','861e06a4-3e01-404d-a0c4-d2fa9f5bfa16','<p class="p1"><span class="s1">机率论 Probability Theory，从不确定性中找到确定性。</span></p>
<p class="p2">&nbsp;</p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">如果我们把95%的机率定义为成功，那么这件20%成功机率的事，只要重复做14次，就会有95%的机率能做成。</span></p>
<p class="p2">&nbsp;</p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">创业要专注，不要做太多事，本来20%的成功机率就只剩1%了，成功机率就会更小。</span></p>','2024-12-22 00:53:45.236','2024-12-22 00:53:45.236',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-22 00:53:45.235',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('991194e1-f95e-423f-96e3-041d675e1828','6bf29380-f700-4309-a81d-0a823101d638','3c44f813-90cf-4c87-ab87-553efe18c88a','<p>成功需要多次的做.不要说做了一次,两次就放弃.意愿很重要,trend wave,方法,资源combination.</p>
<p>深耕. Focus.</p>','2024-12-22 01:37:01.449','2024-12-22 01:38:21.227',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-22 01:38:21.226',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('eae8bbc9-eaf7-4be5-9d71-c86780555312','6bf29380-f700-4309-a81d-0a823101d638','459a1283-290a-4d4b-b10f-6504664de97b','<p>数学思维<br>创业一定要专注，不要做太多事，虽然世界上没有100%的成功几率，就算是每次的成功率只有20%，只要重复做，，机率就会不断提高。这也是从不确定性中找到确定性。</p>','2024-12-22 02:10:32.21','2024-12-22 02:10:32.21',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-22 02:10:32.209',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('629cd1e6-77a9-42e1-86ed-88c1d7b1455a','6bf29380-f700-4309-a81d-0a823101d638','4cfe29dd-714c-41a2-bc6d-306205099ae9','<p>夫未战而庙算胜者，得算多也；未战而庙算不胜者，得算少也。多算胜，少算不胜，而况于无算乎！吾以此观之，胜负见矣。 - 孙子兵法</p>
<p>算是为了提高成功率，做出更好的选择。</p>
<p>专注做一件事的成功率肯定比做很多件事高。</p>','2024-12-22 02:58:21.984','2024-12-22 02:58:21.984',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-22 02:58:21.983',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('407df578-2e4b-4fe4-a538-c0f487903472','6bf29380-f700-4309-a81d-0a823101d638','d287598e-c515-495a-aaab-d93a50a8de1e','<p>数学思维能开拓你的眼界，帮你了解正确的知识，让你在有更多的选择。</p>
<p>从不确定中找到确定。</p>
<p>一件事的成功率只有20%，你要重复做14次才能成功率到95%。</p>
<p>创业要专注，不要做太多事，否则成功可能性会更小。</p>','2024-12-22 03:23:25.537','2024-12-22 03:23:25.537',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-22 03:23:25.536',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('f390c66d-328e-4f3f-b0fb-e243f3082780','6bf29380-f700-4309-a81d-0a823101d638','7ae3c10f-1299-472c-a9d4-b368d392f445','<p>22/12</p>
<p>数学思维<br>是這樣。如果我們把95%的機率定義為成功，那麼，這件20%成功機率的事，你需要重複做14次，才能成功。換句話說，你只要把這件20%成功機率的事重複做14次，你就有95%的機率能做成。<br><br></p>
<p>理解了這一點，你就會明白，創業要專注，不要做太多事。<br>如果做太多事，你本來20%的成功機率就只剩1%了，你成功的可能性就会更小<br><br></p>
<p>你看，雖然這個世界上沒有100%的成功機率，但是只要重複做大機率成功的事情，你成功的機率就能夠接近100%。</p>
<p>這就是從不確定性中找到確定性。</p>
<p>這是機率論教會我們最重要的思維方式。</p>
<p>我們學習機率論，不是為了去算題，而是為了理解這種思考方法，這樣，在做人生選擇的時候，就能選對那條大機率成功的道路。</p>','2024-12-22 03:23:33.614','2024-12-22 03:23:33.614',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-22 03:23:33.613',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('0128423c-11f7-41d0-971a-92337c20f0aa','6bf29380-f700-4309-a81d-0a823101d638','7c90ff31-3cfe-46d0-8204-3b842b9bb44e','<p>相信数学思维；</p>
<p>创业一定要专注（focus），专心干好一件事，不要做太多事而分心。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>虽然世界上没有100%的成功几率，就算是每次的成功率只有20%，简单的事情只要重复做，成功的机率就会不断提高。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>这就是从不确定性中找到＂确定性＂。</p>','2024-12-22 03:46:04.527','2024-12-22 03:46:25.751',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-22 03:46:25.75',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('720a2c22-2518-477f-88d7-02592eab0633','1df9e5fd-444d-4d7d-ad30-e4294526e0b5','be5b7e97-d65c-43f6-ba7f-0ffd13533f1a','<p>公理没有对错，不需要被证明，是一种选择，共识，基准的原则。不同的公理会得到不同的结果。</p>
<p>如果公司不能自行运转，事事须寻求上级的决策，那公理就出了问题。</p>','2024-12-23 07:28:44.211','2024-12-24 00:00:00.026',NULL,'f','2024-12-24 00:00:00.025','2024-12-24 00:00:00.025',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('92f89980-a98a-475f-a4a6-dbf45efd7b84','5b96a98f-af1c-4f27-9752-740a595de64f','09891df5-07b0-40c9-8f3c-a23b63aa2cfd','<p>有两种时间成本方式</p>
<p>正态分布：用多少时间交付多少工作，交付时间多</p>
<p>冪律分布：开始付出的时间多，但之后就没有太大的交付时间了。</p>','2024-12-22 09:43:06.194','2025-01-02 00:00:00.02',NULL,'f','2025-01-02 00:00:00.019','2025-01-02 00:00:00.019',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('50267588-a5ee-41be-ae1d-1baa9358ce97','6bf29380-f700-4309-a81d-0a823101d638','c9b39003-1a47-4eb9-a447-837aa6128a1b','<p>每個人應該要有數學思維。</p>
<p>擁有數學思維讓人能站在更高的高度 開拓眼界 掌握邏輯常識 快速洞察事物本質 建立更多選擇權力。</p>
<p>機率就是數學思維其中一個。</p>
<p>機率的理論讓在不確定性中找到確定性。</p>
<p>比如要達成20％成功機率 需要重複做14次 才能有95％機率能做成。</p>
<p>創業成功需要融資。</p>
<p>因此不能做融資一次的打算，而是需要融資更多次的長期戰略。</p>','2024-12-22 05:48:22.312','2024-12-22 05:48:22.312',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-22 05:48:22.311',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('807b4997-4f28-406f-bce0-fbfed5b66fd5','6bf29380-f700-4309-a81d-0a823101d638','f19a0a29-719b-4ff0-9462-5c18dd598629','<p>创业基本上是一场大卫对垒歌利亚的战役，所以只能够以己之长、攻敌之短。所以就是要做专而不是做广。但是这样做也是有坏处，因为专门的市场都是比较小，所以市场不大。只能等待时机改变，你的小市场突然变大，这样就有达到百倍收益的机会。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>就好像当初微软专注于系统软件，因为当时的巨无霸IBM都霸占了电脑的市场，系统软件是他们不屑一顾的小菜头，所以微软才有的发展。但是到了后来，电脑居然成了commodity，倒是系统软件成了刺手可热的商机。这时微软已经独霸市场，IBM追悔莫及。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>只是，这些时代变化，谁料得到？如果IBM料得到，他早就去做了，也没有微软了。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>','2024-12-22 05:59:33.427','2024-12-22 05:59:33.427',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-22 05:59:33.426',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('a8fff5b3-8957-42b2-a23b-30e634ad7ce6','6bf29380-f700-4309-a81d-0a823101d638','d7f9d646-34b1-4281-a990-12e3eb93d6ff','<p>原来成功是可以算出来的。后悔没有把数学搞好：）<br>专注做好一件事，重复做，成功几率大。</p>','2024-12-22 06:06:53.14','2024-12-22 06:06:53.14',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-22 06:06:53.139',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('67cc2e5e-5bfb-4e17-a330-2fb95c2d6e95','6bf29380-f700-4309-a81d-0a823101d638','a000f9e2-7648-49c9-8713-f245191f61d3','<p>21/12 读后感：</p>
<p>对冲机率的方法有：-</p>
<p>时代-能帮助顺应时代的人获得巨大成功。</p>
<p>战略 - 选对的战略就会极大地对冲了机率。</p>
<p>治理 - 要有一个完善的管理层结构，股权制度或合伙人制度。</p>
<p>管理 - 对的管理人，合适的奖金制度，好的流程，员工激励计划也是用来对冲机率的。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>22/12 读后感</p>
<p>数学很重要，有了数学思维，才会快速洞察一个事物的本质。</p>
<p>第一种数学思维：-</p>
<p>从不确定性中找到确定性 - 专注和深入的研究一个领域，根据机率论，这样的成功率很大，所以创业要专注而不要做太多的事，才会提高成功机率。</p>','2024-12-22 08:19:36.944','2024-12-22 08:19:36.944',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-22 08:19:36.943',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('286f8c97-d9f5-4725-9eb7-09187d99a819','6bf29380-f700-4309-a81d-0a823101d638','bc030323-5b78-4cf5-8c04-0ba4b93a64d1','<p class="p2"><span class="s1">Day 22 ：12月22 日&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 《底层逻辑》Part 2：思考问题的底层逻辑</span></p>
<p class="p3"><span class="s2">数学思维（Page 127-132）</span></p>
<p class="p3"><span class="s2">🎯今日读后感悟：</span></p>
<p class="p2"><span class="s1">从不确定性中找到确定性：概率论的核心思维</span></p>
<p class="p2"><span class="s3">1. 重复是提升成功概率的关键</span></p>
<p class="p4"><span class="s1"> &bull; 一次成功的概率为 </span><span class="s3">20%</span><span class="s1">，并不意味着重复5次就一定成功。</span></p>
<p class="p4"><span class="s1"> &bull; 若想达到 </span><span class="s3">95%的成功概率</span><span class="s1">，需要重复 </span><span class="s3">14次</span><span class="s1">。</span></p>
<p class="p4"><span class="s1"> &bull; 若想达到 </span><span class="s3">99%的成功概率</span><span class="s1">，需要重复 </span><span class="s3">21次</span><span class="s1">。</span></p>
<p class="p4"><span class="s1"> &bull; </span><span class="s3">100%成功概率</span><span class="s1"> 不存在，成功总需要一点运气。</span></p>
<p class="p2"><span class="s1">正确的事情需要重复做，重复的次数越多，成功的概率越高。</span></p>','2024-12-22 09:19:28.799','2024-12-22 09:19:28.799',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-22 09:19:28.798',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('9b8287d7-ec73-42a7-9dd4-c5e8088cc811','6bf29380-f700-4309-a81d-0a823101d638','be5b7e97-d65c-43f6-ba7f-0ffd13533f1a','<p>数学思维能让人快速同擦事物的本质。分为五种数学思维：<br>1.）从不确定性中找到确定性。<br>大机率能成功的事就能定义为&ldquo;正确的事&rdquo;。深耕正确的事就能达到95%的成功率。</p>','2024-12-22 10:28:02.502','2024-12-22 10:28:02.502',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-22 10:28:02.501',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('62a5b643-82d6-4a0f-9a62-00b33f61b2d6','1df9e5fd-444d-4d7d-ad30-e4294526e0b5','dee0ab39-9eab-4b3d-bad7-a9f0422f8fb5','<p>当一个企业设定了公理体系，就代表会把公司的愿景，使命，价值观定下来，成为公理。 当公司有了完美的公理体系，将清楚的协助指引员工该整样发展。</p>','2024-12-22 08:21:12.618','2024-12-24 00:00:00.026',NULL,'f','2024-12-24 00:00:00.025','2024-12-24 00:00:00.025',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('5bc9db3a-ba7c-4758-af9c-c403242e773e','ea8079c9-b0c2-4f7b-9b73-06258e711936','dee0ab39-9eab-4b3d-bad7-a9f0422f8fb5','<p>透过数学思维，我们了解数其实是有方向的，叫做向量。当我们处理涉及别人的决策逻辑-博弈论，因有得失，所以因该经常保持清醒。</p>
<p>在充满搏弈的商业世界里，要找到能建立信任的伙伴，远离不能达成共赢的人。要得到别人的信任，也要释放自己是别人值的信任的信号。</p>','2024-12-22 08:38:48.498','2024-12-25 00:00:00.008',NULL,'f','2024-12-25 00:00:00.006','2024-12-25 00:00:00.006',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('f6627c51-576f-41b6-bf9e-37909a5da0c8','b7f220f7-db3d-4b69-8e36-a54da9d035b1','dee0ab39-9eab-4b3d-bad7-a9f0422f8fb5','<p>在系统思维的理论的原则上，要懂得在系统上看得到要素，了解什么关系是于系统中的要素之间有相互作用的规律。虽然不能在现有的系统中理解现在，但能在某程度上预测未来，成就战略，更好的面对未来的挑战。</p>','2024-12-22 09:10:27.079','2024-12-26 00:00:00.016',NULL,'f','2024-12-26 00:00:00.015','2024-12-26 00:00:00.015',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('ea45b650-ede4-4213-b688-320b1bdbd19c','7879f9db-a7aa-487a-bdc7-2150dc5886ed','dee0ab39-9eab-4b3d-bad7-a9f0422f8fb5','<p>人生就等于一种商业模式，相对于能力 x 效率 x 槓稈 。而第一重要的能力，就是拥有获得能力的能力。要得到这点，我们本身真的想要拥有这种能力，然后再确保能在身体和家庭都可以承受的情况下，以自身的奋斗努力，取得能力。</p>','2024-12-22 09:31:03.151','2024-12-27 00:00:00.032',NULL,'f','2024-12-27 00:00:00.031','2024-12-27 00:00:00.031',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('79fc480d-c8f5-4ce0-b8cb-c997b893ef7d','6bf29380-f700-4309-a81d-0a823101d638','446acaf6-9b4a-451d-8e08-ca51f1003c48','<p>22/12/2024 - 数学思维 （page127-132）<br>学数学是为了培养数学思维，让自己站在更高的高度，开拓自己的眼界，帮自己了解一些正确的常识，少走弯路，并且在人生的每一个岔路口都有更多的选择。</p>
<p>五种数学思维：</p>
<p>1.从不确定性中找到确定性 - 人们常说「正确的事情，要重复做」，这其实就是机率论的通俗表述。所谓的「正确的事情」指的就是大机率能成功的事情。这个世界上没有100%的成功机率，但是只要重复做大机率成功的事情，成功的机率就能够接近100%</p>','2024-12-22 12:26:24.507','2024-12-22 12:31:35.736',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-22 12:31:35.735',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('1560b5b2-ba7e-4ab3-a283-961ce3fcc2b7','6bf29380-f700-4309-a81d-0a823101d638','6cef5362-7ff5-4fa0-8829-76df28438992','<p>选大机率并不忘初心的坚持才是迈向成功之道。常換跑道或想同时跑几道，往往是成功的天方夜谭之事。</p>','2024-12-22 12:32:52.368','2024-12-22 12:32:52.368',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-22 12:32:52.367',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('b35b1522-f62a-4ae3-838d-409cd2ae9866','6bf29380-f700-4309-a81d-0a823101d638','042e3658-0d45-45d8-92b1-3d973b328b46','<p>数学思维是站在更高的维度进行分析，从不确定性中找确定性的答案！</p>
<p>创业之路，专注和做到极致，成功就靠近了！</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>','2024-12-22 13:05:18.537','2024-12-22 13:05:18.537',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-22 13:05:18.536',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('2ab6a182-cded-437c-8474-0acb6607c927','6bf29380-f700-4309-a81d-0a823101d638','3d9c1be4-dac8-482e-8867-e3ba75f3a884','<p>Probability theory : 英文比较容易理解，总之最后是讲专注一件事会比較容易成功，因为，数学里的probability threory 可算得出来。</p>','2024-12-22 13:12:49.889','2024-12-22 13:12:49.889',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-22 13:12:49.888',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('09ac40f1-163a-4e03-82d6-62cc4a6fcd09','6bf29380-f700-4309-a81d-0a823101d638','47cda368-b147-4725-82b1-56340e248f14','<p>正确的事情，重复做。不要什么东西都半途而废，这样学不会，就学另外的。长期这样浪费时间，到最后什么都做不了。</p>','2024-12-22 14:03:18.559','2024-12-22 14:03:18.559',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-22 14:03:18.558',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('54df0d79-26a5-4599-903d-e01c872781b3','6bf29380-f700-4309-a81d-0a823101d638','bdee759b-405c-461f-97a1-a39e711c7e8e','<p class="p1"><span class="s1">第一種數學思維，叫作「從不確定性中找到確定性」。所謂高成功概率就是「正確的事情，要重複做」，所謂「正確的事情」，指的是大機率能成功的事情。還有就是焦點法則，創業要專注，不要做太多事。</span></p>','2024-12-22 14:17:47.54','2024-12-22 14:17:49.075',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-22 14:17:49.074',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('2a8dfc13-ba87-446a-8849-5f290a496c63','6bf29380-f700-4309-a81d-0a823101d638','576d96d0-dcd8-47c0-8ecc-c9881174d6fa','<p>十年如一日，</p>
<p>一次只做一件事,</p>
<p>一次做完同一件事,</p>
<p>一次做好同一件事。</p>
<p>任何大事都是由不断专注地把小事做完做好所组成的。</p>','2024-12-22 14:50:23.49','2024-12-22 14:51:02.701',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-22 14:51:02.7',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('93507cf5-9b78-48be-8e23-9feec5b5c234','ea8079c9-b0c2-4f7b-9b73-06258e711936','d287598e-c515-495a-aaab-d93a50a8de1e','<p>数学的方向性</p>
<p>同样的事情，大家各有不同的方向，就由他们去干，彼此会互相牵制，力的大小也会损耗，但最终事情的走向，会是正确的方法。</p>
<p>非零和博弈讲究共赢。找到能够建立信任的伙伴 也要别人觉得你可以信任，就能达成共赢。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>','2024-12-22 14:44:21.878','2024-12-25 00:00:00.008',NULL,'f','2024-12-25 00:00:00.006','2024-12-25 00:00:00.006',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('c97f8e0d-f3a0-48a4-b7c6-24b73886958c','6bf29380-f700-4309-a81d-0a823101d638','3c16baf4-84df-4958-a74c-aa7b7d950e3a','<p>数学思维，帮助我们看出事情的真实情况，也给我们多了几个靠谱的选择。</p>','2024-12-22 15:02:09.742','2024-12-22 15:02:09.742',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-22 15:02:09.741',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('28c16f4f-2914-4b4c-ada0-c0cdb26ddc3d','8df7dfc5-c545-40e5-bdbf-7be0547acb1b','576d96d0-dcd8-47c0-8ecc-c9881174d6fa','<p>从没想過把微积分运用在生活上。</p>
<p>刘总说得好:</p>
<p>不断的学习累积成为智识,</p>
<p>不断的运用智识才能成为能力,</p>
<p>不断的运用能力才能成为成绩,</p>
<p>不断的累积成绩才能带来回报!</p>
<p>说得非常好!</p>','2024-12-22 14:55:25.242','2024-12-23 00:00:00.012',NULL,'f','2024-12-23 00:00:00.011','2024-12-23 00:00:00.011',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('3283b3e8-c690-4d11-aec2-edce82a6c0ad','1df9e5fd-444d-4d7d-ad30-e4294526e0b5','d287598e-c515-495a-aaab-d93a50a8de1e','<p>公理没有对错，不需要被证明 公理是一种选择，是一种共世，上一种基准原则。</p>
<p>制度不同的公理就会有不同的公理体系，也就会有不同的结果。</p>','2024-12-22 14:26:43.711','2024-12-24 00:00:00.026',NULL,'f','2024-12-24 00:00:00.025','2024-12-24 00:00:00.025',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('71a8e090-02cb-41b2-a899-722bed6d754a','6bf29380-f700-4309-a81d-0a823101d638','22eebfc2-f1bd-4144-ac9b-9b146d80a3ee','<p dir="ltr">Day 22 ：12月22 日&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 《底层逻辑》Part 2：思考问题的底层逻辑</p>
<p dir="ltr">数学思维（Page 127-132）</p>
<p dir="ltr">🎯今日读后感悟：</p>
<p dir="ltr">机率论(Theory of Probability)：从不确定性中找确定：创业要专注。在做人生选择时，可以增加选对大机率成功的路的可能性。</p>
<p dir="ltr">&nbsp;</p>','2024-12-22 15:05:26.717','2024-12-22 15:05:26.717',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-22 15:05:26.716',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('80bb03d5-6533-4e93-b35b-b0f229794270','6bf29380-f700-4309-a81d-0a823101d638','82401c82-df66-4556-a63e-3ff096e9ba26','<p>成功率可以被计算出来。理解这方法是可以提高选项效率。</p>','2024-12-22 15:10:42.109','2024-12-22 15:10:42.109',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-22 15:10:42.108',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('e686b46d-286d-4554-a570-c7a0008d32ed','6bf29380-f700-4309-a81d-0a823101d638','9f2de0b4-5451-41cb-bded-d537871923dd','<ul>
<li>一次做很多事，只会离成功越来越远</li>
<li>专注做一件正确的事，并重复的做，成功就近在眼前</li>
</ul>','2024-12-22 15:17:33.293','2024-12-22 15:17:33.293',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-22 15:17:33.292',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('8971f3e4-4830-4c1d-b0fe-28499a03a4b3','6bf29380-f700-4309-a81d-0a823101d638','138265fe-95ad-4ebc-b601-e7cbf4fd9f27','<p>从不确定性找到确定性。正确的事情重复坚定的做一定达到成功的机率。以其成为一个全才，要成为一个专才，专注的去做，不要一次过做几样，成功的机率更大。</p>','2024-12-22 15:25:26.07','2024-12-22 15:25:26.07',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-22 15:25:26.069',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('2bdbaf13-337a-49f8-bfa3-e763a2324d4b','6bf29380-f700-4309-a81d-0a823101d638','ef10631b-65db-4272-af44-c5d7da8f94f4','<p><strong>数学思维</strong></p>
<p>要培养数学思维让你站到更高的高度，开拓眼界，了解正确的常识，少走弯路，在岔路口有更多选择。</p>
<p>1）从不确定性中找到确定性</p>
<p>深耕一个领域，做大机率成功的事情</p>','2024-12-22 15:31:02.772','2024-12-22 15:31:02.772',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-22 15:31:02.771',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('dab2c68d-25a1-4a0c-bdef-d830a2011296','6bf29380-f700-4309-a81d-0a823101d638','a79358bf-a0d8-49f2-be81-0ba66e697353','<p>只需要把成功率20%的事，重复做14次，就能达到95%几率成功。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>正确的事情、要重复做。从不确定性寻找确定，让成功率能够尽可能接近100%。</p>','2024-12-22 15:44:37.719','2024-12-22 15:44:37.719',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-22 15:44:37.718',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('ecfd1d35-622c-4ad5-a768-cd2d40572282','6bf29380-f700-4309-a81d-0a823101d638','550d0df0-c244-418c-8fd4-915e9faffda1','<p>如果你要做一件事有95% 的把握，你需要重复最少14次。</p>
<p>世上是没有100%的，我们只能透过重复来提高成功的机率。</p>','2024-12-22 15:47:29.107','2024-12-22 15:47:29.107',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-22 15:47:29.106',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('0959dc9e-04b3-48b7-8c9c-dbe284d798d2','8df7dfc5-c545-40e5-bdbf-7be0547acb1b','53929692-27f3-426b-a4ce-9f2a98b8d064','<p>积少成多，罗马不是一天建立的，同样的罗马也不是一天就没落的。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>','2024-12-22 23:08:06.785','2024-12-22 23:08:06.785',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-22 23:08:06.784',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('150b4a97-e26b-47f3-b9e7-74a4a1e63288','8df7dfc5-c545-40e5-bdbf-7be0547acb1b','fb681b37-b86f-49b7-8f27-422ffefb81b6','<p>微积分的思维方式，从本质上来说，就是用动态的眼光看问题。一件事情的结果，并不是瞬间产生的，而是长期以来的积累效应造成的。从努力到能力，到成绩，到赏识，是有一个过程的，有一个积分的效应。</p>','2024-12-22 15:06:30.025','2024-12-23 00:00:00.012',NULL,'f','2024-12-23 00:00:00.011','2024-12-23 00:00:00.011',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('5fea3156-edd5-475a-a690-d07a500491f1','53cf2376-8362-46ba-a43e-e50aed6bc31a','09891df5-07b0-40c9-8f3c-a23b63aa2cfd','<p>边际交付时间越高，越不可能获得指数增长，边际交付时间为零，才有可能实现指数增长。我们可以把不为零的部分切掉跟别人合作，自己只做那些抽象的，边界交付时间为零的部分。</p>','2024-12-22 22:21:32.502','2025-01-03 00:00:00.036',NULL,'f','2025-01-03 00:00:00.035','2025-01-03 00:00:00.035',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('6f41729a-f6b6-43d7-a2b8-418722e0dca3','8df7dfc5-c545-40e5-bdbf-7be0547acb1b','09891df5-07b0-40c9-8f3c-a23b63aa2cfd','<p>数学思维里的微积分</p>
<p>用动态的眼光看问题。</p>
<p>一个物体静止不动，你推它一把，会瞬间产生一个速度。如果有了速度，并不会瞬间改变，它需要一些时间后才能产生变化。</p>
<p>今天晚上努力学习，不会一个晚上的努力而改变，累积了一段时间，你才会看见你的能力，而有了能力才能做出成绩。</p>','2024-12-15 23:21:18.618','2024-12-23 00:00:00.012',NULL,'f','2024-12-23 00:00:00.011','2024-12-23 00:00:00.011',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('85db3c32-fea3-4634-a53d-1f10cfec78bf','8df7dfc5-c545-40e5-bdbf-7be0547acb1b','80c5d91b-7a3f-4987-82e1-726f6da09e6b','<p>2）用动态眼光看问题（源于微积分）-&nbsp; 加速度累积，变成速度；速度累积，变成位移。</p>
<p>例如：一天读一页书，一周后一天读两三页。半年后，一个月读一到两本书。一年后自己竟然读完14本书。两年后，自己已经不记得读了多少书，只是发现自己敢认为自己是个&ldquo;reader&rdquo;。</p>
<p>这就和James Clear在&ldquo;Atomic Habit&rdquo;里提到的活出你心中想要的样子。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>','2024-12-17 08:47:25.478','2024-12-23 00:00:00.012',NULL,'f','2024-12-23 00:00:00.011','2024-12-23 00:00:00.011',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('c42c17d8-ef7b-47d6-96f8-bbf5c431df09','8df7dfc5-c545-40e5-bdbf-7be0547acb1b','4d60a8e6-8829-45d3-add6-e61449282094','<p>用动态的眼光看问题</p>
<ul>
<li>从努力到能力，到成绩，到赏识，是有一个过程的，有一个积分的效应。</li>
<li>一件事情的结果，并不是瞬间产生的，而是长期以来的积累效应造成的。</li>
<li>出了问题，不要只看那个瞬间，要从宏观一直追溯（求导）到微观，才能找到问题的根源所在。</li>
</ul>','2024-12-19 05:28:08.229','2024-12-23 00:00:00.012',NULL,'f','2024-12-23 00:00:00.011','2024-12-23 00:00:00.011',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('87c631b8-ffc5-4dc6-9c01-518ed84ece6b','8df7dfc5-c545-40e5-bdbf-7be0547acb1b','6949d955-832d-47f1-870b-95a01be61ff8','<p>2. 微积分的思维方式：</p>
<p>量变引起质变，一点一滴日积月累的过程是需要时间的，总是想要直接看到结果，这样的心态不对。</p>','2024-12-21 15:09:36.004','2024-12-23 00:00:00.012',NULL,'f','2024-12-23 00:00:00.011','2024-12-23 00:00:00.011',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('89d95200-4732-4e56-8e6d-7b754483b97d','8df7dfc5-c545-40e5-bdbf-7be0547acb1b','3c44f813-90cf-4c87-ab87-553efe18c88a','<p>努力一定要加上时间.坚持努力,日子久了变成能力.🈶了能力,再加时间,成绩会有的.</p>
<p>关键-时间+坚持.想信所做</p>','2024-12-22 01:51:12.177','2024-12-23 00:00:00.012',NULL,'f','2024-12-23 00:00:00.011','2024-12-23 00:00:00.011',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('bf0042dd-f7d8-42f0-9b1c-1c8ab512fcb4','8df7dfc5-c545-40e5-bdbf-7be0547acb1b','4cfe29dd-714c-41a2-bc6d-306205099ae9','<p>成长或退化是一个复杂的过程，需要通过不断的累积，并且保持，才能看到效果。</p>
<p>在还没有足够大累积以前，一切看起来都很缓慢，但只要不断的成长，impact 就会越来越大。</p>','2024-12-22 03:08:05.405','2024-12-23 00:00:00.012',NULL,'f','2024-12-23 00:00:00.011','2024-12-23 00:00:00.011',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('6645093d-ce8e-4f89-b8c2-15c89757d43a','8df7dfc5-c545-40e5-bdbf-7be0547acb1b','d287598e-c515-495a-aaab-d93a50a8de1e','<p>用动态眼光看问题</p>
<p>加速度累积，变成速度。速度累积，变成位移，这就是积分。</p>
<p>从努力到能力，到赏识是一个积分的效应。</p>
<p>一件事情的结果，不是瞬间产生的，而是长期以来的累积效应造的。</p>','2024-12-22 03:34:40.634','2024-12-23 00:00:00.012',NULL,'f','2024-12-23 00:00:00.011','2024-12-23 00:00:00.011',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('60a42b9b-c1da-4d8f-a362-32245a3d0a2f','8df7dfc5-c545-40e5-bdbf-7be0547acb1b','dee0ab39-9eab-4b3d-bad7-a9f0422f8fb5','<p>微积分的理论是很适合应用于我们日常生活上。当我们不在设定的时间完成任务而且选择拖延，长时间下来问题会慢慢累积而总有一天会被发现。选择尽快把每个问题快点解决，累积更多的经验，将增速自己的思维，以后更有经验的处理事情。</p>','2024-12-22 08:04:59.432','2024-12-23 00:00:00.012',NULL,'f','2024-12-23 00:00:00.011','2024-12-23 00:00:00.011',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('853e891d-a010-4282-95bb-66e6fe684f1a','8df7dfc5-c545-40e5-bdbf-7be0547acb1b','26458796-5d5f-468a-ac5f-69a3a6e55885','<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><strong style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">Day-</span></strong><strong style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB;">23</span></strong><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;"> </span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-ascii-font-family: Garamond; mso-hansi-font-family: Garamond; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">（</span><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB;">23</span><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">/12/2024</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-ascii-font-family: Garamond; mso-hansi-font-family: Garamond; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">）</span><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;"> - page </span><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB;">132-136</span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">【用动态的眼光看问题】</span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">二、用动态的眼光看问题（微积分思维）&mdash;&mdash;譬如俗语说的：冰冻三尺，非一日之寒。又譬如马來谚语：</span><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">sikit sikit, jadi bukit. </span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">有所成就，靠得的日积月累的</span><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">&ldquo;<span lang="ZH-CN">导数</span>&rdquo;<span lang="ZH-CN">&mdash;&mdash;速度的累积导致位移；出现问题，必要省思以</span>&ldquo;<span lang="ZH-CN">求导</span>&rdquo;&mdash;&mdash;<span lang="ZH-CN">才能找到问题的根源。</span></span></p>','2024-12-23 01:46:15.293','2024-12-23 01:46:15.293',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-23 01:46:15.292',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('76ef89b3-6e73-4360-b28a-8e1e44c372ef','8df7dfc5-c545-40e5-bdbf-7be0547acb1b','446acaf6-9b4a-451d-8e08-ca51f1003c48','<p>23/12/2024 - 用动态的眼光看问题（page 132-136）</p>
<p>第二种数学思维，源于微积分，叫作「用动态的眼光看问题」。微积分是牛顿发明的，用「无穷小」这种概念来帮助我们把握瞬间的规律，而积分与微分正好相反，它反映的是瞬间变数的积累效应。</p>
<p>理解了微积分，看问题的眼光，就会从静态变为动态。加速度累积，变成速度；速度累积，变成位移。其实人也是一样，努力累积一段时间后，才会变成能力；而有了能力后，并不会马上做出成绩；得累积一段时间后，能力才能变成成绩；而有了成绩后，得累积一段时间后，才会得到别人的赏识。从努力到能力，到成绩，到赏识，是有一个过程的，有一个积分的效应。</p>
<p>理解了微积分的思维方式，才能够用动态的眼光来看问题，就会体会到，努力需要很长到时间才会得到认可，人就会拥有一个平衡的心态，避免犯这样的错误。</p>
<p>有句话「莫欺少年穷」，其实从本质来说，也体现了微积分的思维方式。一件事情的结果，并不是瞬间产生的，而是长期以来的积累效应造成的。出了问题，不要只看当时那个瞬间，只有从宏观一直追溯到微观，才能找到问题的根源所在。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>','2024-12-23 03:08:54.763','2024-12-23 03:08:54.763',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-23 03:08:54.759',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('5c404e60-5d68-499a-bf3b-277486965b7a','8df7dfc5-c545-40e5-bdbf-7be0547acb1b','1131f00f-c162-442f-b3c0-e0ead4f636c3','<p>成就或失败都不是隔夜形成的， 都是累计的因果。</p>','2024-12-23 07:42:37.486','2024-12-23 07:42:37.486',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-23 07:42:37.485',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('70b2ee49-ed9e-4403-bd30-a3b6ad8ff45a','53cf2376-8362-46ba-a43e-e50aed6bc31a','53929692-27f3-426b-a4ce-9f2a98b8d064','<p>作者很懂得逻辑思维，把商业机会看透。</p>','2025-01-02 22:07:35.546','2025-01-02 22:07:35.546',NULL,'f',NULL,'2025-01-02 22:07:35.546',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('0e46d057-7968-442d-ae60-495ca13fca80','012c3f59-1a79-44ad-869a-34ebc7f265b4','85df4a9d-433c-4009-bf28-8921ba3c5b68','<p>你能帮到的人，才是你的人脉</p>','2025-01-04 15:06:27.712','2025-01-06 00:00:00.023',NULL,'f','2025-01-06 00:00:00.022','2025-01-06 00:00:00.022',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('50f6b05a-de24-4b55-96cc-5a4158a4b0b2','38430c11-f8d4-4db3-ba77-25afdaa4d13b','f06cf8cd-e25f-4542-a8ff-f8571e91be74','<p>What, why, how, 理解3部曲</p>','2025-01-11 14:45:15.933','2025-01-11 14:45:15.933',NULL,'f',NULL,'2025-01-11 14:45:15.932',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('a4d74512-e69c-440e-9571-707ad244d3cc','98d932d3-52b7-42b5-91ca-9a9dcb1e52f9','85df4a9d-433c-4009-bf28-8921ba3c5b68','<p>人脉的本质是给与价值</p>','2025-01-04 15:06:05.566','2025-01-05 00:00:00.036',NULL,'f','2025-01-05 00:00:00.035','2025-01-05 00:00:00.035',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('bc78853d-a9ce-4c18-85ea-a2e95cb2059a','e769758b-4596-4fe1-afb9-38237e50f429','4f2eb2b3-94b5-4ee7-8132-6fb6407ff96e','<p>认识到三种的幽默感。</p>
<p>但是我有点难明白</p>','2025-01-13 14:22:25.544','2025-01-13 14:22:25.544',NULL,'f',NULL,'2025-01-13 14:22:25.543',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('b6c715f3-4b8e-4634-9e7a-374bfea662b1','8df7dfc5-c545-40e5-bdbf-7be0547acb1b','f96bb3ac-81d2-449d-bcab-c984308b1d78','<p>微积分让我们理解：任何事物不是一蹴而就，都需要时间和其他变量的积累，比如知识、能力、成绩、得到赏识等，这是一个积分的过程，是游戏里过关斩将的证据。<br><br>微积分效应，也是种子效应，是一种循环，我们种下懒惰的因子，就得承受后面不受赏识、业绩下滑、被贬职甚至裁员的可能性。反之，努力需要很长时间才会得到认可。<br><br>从宏观角度，不要担心目前位置低、薪水低，宏观角度是后面增速的可能性。<br><br>出现问题，不是看当下的情况，追溯微观（每一个微小的变量），那才是问题的关键，是叠加造成今天的结果。<br><br><br></p>','2024-12-23 03:15:33.421','2024-12-23 03:15:33.421',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-23 03:15:33.42',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('57e38d25-7991-4e80-ab53-2cf7cc4f68e3','8df7dfc5-c545-40e5-bdbf-7be0547acb1b','7ae3c10f-1299-472c-a9d4-b368d392f445','<p>用動態的眼光看問題<br>第二種數學思維，源於微積分，叫作「用動態的眼光看問題」</p>
<p>那麼，到底什麼是微積分？<br>我舉個簡單的例子。一個物體靜止不動，你推它一把，會間產生一個加速度。但有了加速度，並不會瞬間產生速度。當速度累積一段時間後，才會產生速度。而有了速度，並不會瞬產生位移。當速度累積一段時間後，才會有位移。</p>
<p><br>宏觀上，我們看到的是位移；微觀上，整個過程是從加透開始累積的&mdash;&mdash;加速度累積，變成速度；速度累積，變成位移這就是積分。<br><br></p>
<p>微積分的思維方式，從本質上來說，就是用動態的眼光看問題。一件事情的結果，並不是瞬間產生的，而是長期以來的積累效應造成的。出了問題，不要只看當時那個瞬間，你只有從宏觀一直追溯到微观，才能找到问题的根源所在</p>','2024-12-23 03:36:16.11','2024-12-23 03:36:16.11',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-23 03:36:16.109',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('b6f69802-cd38-4577-b73b-e33d50c04080','b7f220f7-db3d-4b69-8e36-a54da9d035b1','f96bb3ac-81d2-449d-bcab-c984308b1d78','<p><strong>系统思维<br></strong>1. 这世界上的所有事物，都被规律作用着，以一种叫作&ldquo;<strong>系统</strong>&rdquo;的方式存在着。<br>2. 凡事要顺势而为<br>3. 只有理解了关系和关系背后的规律，才能在复杂的系统中理解现在。<br><br><strong>看清楚商业模式，交易结构的变化</strong><br>用户思维：全心全意为顾客着想<br>产品思维：做最好吃、性价比最高的饭菜<br>系统思维：现在时局是美团外卖APP，再用用户|产品思维，根本应对不了时局的变化。<br><strong>戴上系统思维的眼镜才能透过表象看清本质。</strong><br><br>方向不对，努力白费，在错误的赛道上一路狂奔，越努力，毁灭的速度越快。<br><strong>系统思维，是一种救命的大智慧。</strong><br><br>系统思维：<br>要素：你看得见的所有事物<br>关系：系统中你看不见，要素之间相互作用的规律System/connection<br>example:<br>人流，其实才是&ldquo;旺&rdquo;和&ldquo;铺&rdquo;这两个要素之间的关系，<br><strong>&ldquo;哪里人流多，哪里就会旺&rdquo;</strong>,&nbsp; <strong>人流量</strong>就是电商、微商、 播商会火爆全网的原因。</p>','2024-12-23 03:51:28.748','2024-12-26 00:00:00.016',NULL,'f','2024-12-26 00:00:00.015','2024-12-26 00:00:00.015',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('7e43b548-5e08-4e1e-81c7-3182f6a44fbb','8df7dfc5-c545-40e5-bdbf-7be0547acb1b','be5b7e97-d65c-43f6-ba7f-0ffd13533f1a','<p>2.) 微积分。用动态的眼光看问题。</p>
<p>当加速度累积一段时间才能移位。宏观上看到位移，微观是每个瞬间的速度。</p>
<p>从努力到能力，到成绩再到被赏识是微积分累积效应。</p>
<p>同样的，每一个失误也是积分效应。所以需要从动态的角度找寻问题的根源。</p>','2024-12-23 06:03:55.586','2024-12-23 06:03:55.586',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-23 06:03:55.585',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('5c12c1f1-f1b7-4443-b8fd-281a427e6d54','8df7dfc5-c545-40e5-bdbf-7be0547acb1b','d7f9d646-34b1-4281-a990-12e3eb93d6ff','<p>努力很久才会受到认可，万万不要以为可以一蹴而就。</p>','2024-12-23 08:56:31.969','2024-12-23 08:56:31.969',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-23 08:56:31.969',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('bf9a320d-aa18-42a4-acfa-d8e9b547fad0','7879f9db-a7aa-487a-bdc7-2150dc5886ed','f06cf8cd-e25f-4542-a8ff-f8571e91be74','<p>想要能力就要超级努力，前提是要在身体和家庭可城市8范围</p>','2024-12-27 15:57:39.177','2024-12-27 15:57:39.177',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-27 15:57:39.176',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('cad165a3-e5fd-4477-95c4-828acf51d903','ee413297-043a-43d1-ac76-acdc524a339d','abafda80-d191-4990-802d-f631604815a6','<p>提高效率：</p>
<p>选择最重要的事情后， 就是最高效的方法和适合的工具。</p>','2024-12-28 13:49:14.678','2024-12-28 13:49:14.678',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-28 13:49:14.673',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('d2e7bddd-058a-4f3f-8e71-6013e3687b28','ee413297-043a-43d1-ac76-acdc524a339d','47cda368-b147-4725-82b1-56340e248f14','<p>提高做事情的效率：</p>
<p>第一要义，是选择做那些对自己来说最重要的事情。然后用更高效率的方法、更适当的工具。</p>','2024-12-28 14:00:00.835','2024-12-28 14:00:00.835',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-28 14:00:00.834',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('fe55d1dd-f8a4-4ebb-b600-5862630e029f','34217577-c9b9-4584-86df-173364b9bb07','53929692-27f3-426b-a4ce-9f2a98b8d064','<p>杠杆就是借力，单靠自己不行，借别人的力量，团队力量才强。</p>','2024-12-28 22:55:11.111','2024-12-28 22:55:11.111',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-28 22:55:11.11',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('0d738e59-f3f3-4b62-8afc-4bb1ce059ca1','34217577-c9b9-4584-86df-173364b9bb07','47cda368-b147-4725-82b1-56340e248f14','<p>人脉，不是那些能够帮助你的人，而是那些你能帮到的人。</p>','2024-12-29 14:15:37.278','2024-12-29 14:15:37.278',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-29 14:15:37.277',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('18129a36-f1c2-4b79-92f5-a5d57cc0ac4a','34217577-c9b9-4584-86df-173364b9bb07','138265fe-95ad-4ebc-b601-e7cbf4fd9f27','<p>如果能力内核强大，使用杠杆（团队杠杆，产品杠杆，资本杠杆和影响力杠杆）才会让事情快速的事半功倍。</p>
<p>原来真正的人脉不是那些能够帮到你的人，而是那些你能帮到的人。</p>','2024-12-29 14:26:56.397','2024-12-29 14:26:56.397',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-29 14:26:56.396',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('7166a7da-d71f-4583-bd14-4653c9a32767','34217577-c9b9-4584-86df-173364b9bb07','4f2eb2b3-94b5-4ee7-8132-6fb6407ff96e','<p>人脉不是能够帮助你的人，而是你能帮助到的人。今天你扩大你的人脉了吗？</p>','2024-12-29 15:17:39.187','2024-12-29 15:17:39.187',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-29 15:17:39.186',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('0a006e80-53ce-41f4-aae9-3a3d2152f782','c7808d2e-09e0-424e-87f4-37d55701c25e','4d60a8e6-8829-45d3-add6-e61449282094','<p>时间的颗粒度</p>
<p>1.理解别人的时间颗粒度。</p>
<p>2.细化自己的时间颗粒度。</p>
<p>3.善用日历管理时间颗粒度。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>','2024-12-29 14:21:40.297','2024-12-31 00:00:00.024',NULL,'f','2024-12-31 00:00:00.023','2024-12-31 00:00:00.023',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('921ec1ab-e94a-41b0-a4a4-a95fd81ea695','c7808d2e-09e0-424e-87f4-37d55701c25e','6cef5362-7ff5-4fa0-8829-76df28438992','<p>看到成功人士的时间善用，个人感到惭愧，真是需要加油。</p>','2024-12-31 14:55:44.136','2024-12-31 14:55:44.136',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-31 14:55:44.135',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('3d1fe5d4-37ef-40ce-8413-70574a9bff21','c7808d2e-09e0-424e-87f4-37d55701c25e','d7f9d646-34b1-4281-a990-12e3eb93d6ff','<p>时间管理没有做好，人生就真的白费了。<br>过好一天，等于过好一年。<br>自律可以变成习惯。习惯就会甘之如饴。</p>','2024-12-31 14:57:47.734','2024-12-31 14:57:47.734',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-31 14:57:47.733',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('86208dd8-c8f2-4e2a-ba34-9cbb4c77500c','53cf2376-8362-46ba-a43e-e50aed6bc31a','82401c82-df66-4556-a63e-3ff096e9ba26','<p>边际交付时间为零才能实现指数级增长。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>','2025-01-03 13:24:39.407','2025-01-03 13:24:39.407',NULL,'f',NULL,'2025-01-03 13:24:39.406',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('0010f980-8156-4211-b302-82793fa150d5','38430c11-f8d4-4db3-ba77-25afdaa4d13b','138265fe-95ad-4ebc-b601-e7cbf4fd9f27','<p>What, Why 和 How 弄清楚那个分别，沟通才达到效果。</p>','2025-01-11 14:48:46.451','2025-01-11 14:48:46.451',NULL,'f',NULL,'2025-01-11 14:48:46.45',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('fcc1c850-7a06-4038-902e-126c24739412','8df7dfc5-c545-40e5-bdbf-7be0547acb1b','72ce0c9e-c59c-4daf-a31b-84b5558f1948','<p>从努力到能力，到成绩，到赏识，都需要时间的积累。</p>
<p>滴水穿石。</p>
<p>明白了这个简单的道理，心里就不纠结了。</p>','2024-12-23 07:55:21.035','2024-12-23 07:55:29.834',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-23 07:55:29.833',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('69f74174-7027-4609-867a-e5aa2f67bde9','fe32385d-d7b2-48df-9b22-97a7a697762e','b2120258-4016-43f4-9c32-1f9c0e96bfaf','<p>打好比方要经过三个步骤；</p>
<p>1）洞察复杂、陌生事物的本质；</p>
<p>2）匹配到大家熟悉的事物；</p>
<p>3）用熟悉的解释陌生。</p>
<p>刘德用的比方比如：「遥控器电商」、「烤红薯 生意」、「生活耗材」。</p>
<p>挖出事物的本质之后，才能联系到一系列大家熟知的事物，打出精妙的比方，四两撥千斤的讲清楚背后的逻辑。</p>','2024-12-23 06:50:08.21','2025-01-15 00:00:00.017',NULL,'f','2025-01-15 00:00:00.016','2025-01-15 00:00:00.016',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('2b42c07e-9326-4e01-9e2d-44a40cf4935f','8df7dfc5-c545-40e5-bdbf-7be0547acb1b','c9b39003-1a47-4eb9-a447-837aa6128a1b','<p>微積分思維方式就是一種用動態的眼光看問題。</p>
<p>加速度累積 變成速度</p>
<p>速度累積 變成移位</p>
<p>每個階段 需要時間的沉澱才能見到效應。</p>','2024-12-23 12:23:04.97','2024-12-23 12:23:04.97',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-23 12:23:04.969',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('782cce7f-96b2-44cb-863f-76d994330178','7879f9db-a7aa-487a-bdc7-2150dc5886ed','1a28ed21-9fd6-4880-8fcc-727c43eb36b1','<p>精简点出成功人生模式需要具备能力， 效率 和杠杆。如何让能力加强？必须非常非常努力付出和学习。很多都举报这能力！</p>','2024-12-23 08:00:51.989','2024-12-27 00:00:00.032',NULL,'f','2024-12-27 00:00:00.031','2024-12-27 00:00:00.031',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('da43e47b-8440-4d56-85bb-d6dc5e288a4c','ea8079c9-b0c2-4f7b-9b73-06258e711936','72ce0c9e-c59c-4daf-a31b-84b5558f1948','<p>世界上本有复杂多变的事情，就別用简单粗暴的方式定义它，承认它的客观存在，就𠄘识世界本来就是复雜的。</p>
<p>如果兩个人合作走向不同的方向，倒不如就让其中一个人来做，死命的互相拉扯，又累又没効率。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>','2024-12-23 08:14:33.805','2024-12-25 00:00:00.008',NULL,'f','2024-12-25 00:00:00.006','2024-12-25 00:00:00.006',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('706a9dcf-6ff6-4fa5-b4c9-9ef9b2ab286a','8df7dfc5-c545-40e5-bdbf-7be0547acb1b','459a1283-290a-4d4b-b10f-6504664de97b','<p>用动态的眼光看问题<br>这是微积分，是牛顿发明的。<br>从努力到能力，到成绩，到赏识，是一个过程，经过一段时间累积的效应。</p>','2024-12-23 09:39:06.668','2024-12-23 09:39:06.668',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-23 09:39:06.667',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('a20e5766-d22d-4b43-a95e-44283c597407','8df7dfc5-c545-40e5-bdbf-7be0547acb1b','f19a0a29-719b-4ff0-9462-5c18dd598629','<p>只看见眼前，却看不见&ldquo;势&rdquo;的人，就是好像那些看不见微积分力量的人。<br><br>所以跟对老板很重要。如果你的老板整天没有危机意识，以&ldquo;问题来了再说&rdquo;的理由去推搪（这里不是杞人忧天），你要快点离开他了。因为他钱赚够了，可以不用为公司前途着想，你不一样。</p>','2024-12-23 10:05:36.652','2024-12-23 10:07:12.977',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-23 10:07:12.976',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('e42e7855-aedc-419f-abc2-2792fdb8c9d0','ee413297-043a-43d1-ac76-acdc524a339d','1a28ed21-9fd6-4880-8fcc-727c43eb36b1','<p>我对效率非常重视，如何以最短时间内达到长时间的结果。学会对的选择、更有效的方法和找对工具。选择重要人生项目，花对时间，好工具事半功倍。</p>','2024-12-23 08:07:01.731','2024-12-28 00:00:00.016',NULL,'f','2024-12-28 00:00:00.015','2024-12-28 00:00:00.015',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('3e8cd34a-1868-4d50-82ad-a1a442631f73','8df7dfc5-c545-40e5-bdbf-7be0547acb1b','3d9c1be4-dac8-482e-8867-e3ba75f3a884','<p>认同这句话 ： 从努力到能力到成绩再到被赏识，这是需要一个过程的。</p>
<p>所谓冰凍三尺，非一日之寒，同样的，三尺厚的冰塊也不是一下子就融化成水。</p>
<p>－件事情发生在我们眼前，其真正的原因並不是当下所看到的，而之前早己有迹可寻了的。</p>','2024-12-23 10:17:19.605','2024-12-23 10:17:19.605',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-23 10:17:19.603',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('6c09c813-c318-4c46-9673-1b7fee094edc','8df7dfc5-c545-40e5-bdbf-7be0547acb1b','0a652b55-937b-435d-bcb8-4d3fb846b83f','<p>用動態的眼光看問題</p>
<p>加速度累積，變成速度； 速度累積，變成位移。這就是積分。</p>
<p>你的努力得經過一段時間的累積，才會變成能力，再累積才能是成績。再累積才能讓領導賞識。</p>
<p>不要在乎你的第一份薪水，重要的是這間公司能否讓你增速，能否有機會讓你增加自身的能力。</p>
<p>微積分的思維，從本質上來説，就是用動態的眼光看問題。不要只看當時那個瞬間，而是從宏觀一直追溯到微觀，才能找到問題根源所在。</p>','2024-12-23 10:23:20.987','2024-12-23 10:23:20.987',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-23 10:23:20.986',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('88264e3e-25c3-4717-85a7-f61d4f1a94e3','8df7dfc5-c545-40e5-bdbf-7be0547acb1b','861e06a4-3e01-404d-a0c4-d2fa9f5bfa16','<p class="p1"><span class="s1">用微积分来看待生活周遭的一切。用动态的眼光来看问题。一件事情的结果，并不是瞬间产生的，而是长期以来的积累效应造成的。出了问题，不要只看当时那个瞬间，你只有从宏观一直追溯到微观，才能找到问题的根源所在。</span></p>
<p class="p2">&nbsp;</p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">例子：</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">从努力到能力，到成绩，到赏识，是一个过程，有一个积分的效应。</span></p>
<p class="p2">&nbsp;</p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">工作能力很好，慢慢懈怠，能力下降，领导不满意。</span></p>','2024-12-23 10:45:27.855','2024-12-23 10:45:27.855',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-23 10:45:27.854',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('22898364-27fc-49dc-bca7-769ce58c1928','8df7dfc5-c545-40e5-bdbf-7be0547acb1b','a79358bf-a0d8-49f2-be81-0ba66e697353','<p>用动态的眼光看问题：问题都是累积一段时间的，不是当下产生的。</p>
<p>努力得到赏识也是累积了一段时间，才会得到的。</p>
<p>努力过后松散下来，能力不会马上下降，可是从我们决定送伞的时候，就埋下这个能力下降的种子课了，再追回来反而更难。</p>','2024-12-23 13:18:46.909','2024-12-23 13:18:46.909',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-23 13:18:46.908',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('1c22a188-639b-44fa-bd30-af9c065c7013','b7f220f7-db3d-4b69-8e36-a54da9d035b1','72ce0c9e-c59c-4daf-a31b-84b5558f1948','<p>Nokia 没做什么，就是输了。</p>
<p>戰略，都是站在未来看今天。</p>
<p>相信，所以就看到。</p>
<p>看到，才相信，那就太迟了，也输了。</p>','2024-12-23 08:31:49.236','2024-12-26 00:00:00.016',NULL,'f','2024-12-26 00:00:00.015','2024-12-26 00:00:00.015',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('cac18e66-f76e-440b-9394-36f447adaf8b','8df7dfc5-c545-40e5-bdbf-7be0547acb1b','a000f9e2-7648-49c9-8713-f245191f61d3','<p>第二种数学思维- 用动态的眼光看问题&nbsp;</p>
<p>微积分的思维方式就是用动态眼光看问题，关键词在于累积，持之以恒的去累积自己的学习，提升能力，做出成绩，累积下来的成绩才能获得赏识，这个过程就是积分效应。</p>
<p>问题出现，不是瞬间，是累积效应形成的，不看瞬间而是从宏观追朔到微观，这样才能找到问题的根源所在。</p>','2024-12-23 13:21:25.313','2024-12-23 13:21:25.313',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-23 13:21:25.312',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('59589f0c-c206-4d74-b168-e8a23ed58c3b','8df7dfc5-c545-40e5-bdbf-7be0547acb1b','7c90ff31-3cfe-46d0-8204-3b842b9bb44e','<p>任何事情的结果，不是瞬间产生的，而是长期以来的累积效应造的，只有从宏观一直追溯到微观，才能找到问题的根源所在。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>起因～过程～结果</p>
<p>性格～行为～结果</p>
<p>种下种子～施肥灌溉～开花结果</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>＂时间＂是一切结果的关键</p>','2024-12-23 13:35:28.224','2024-12-23 13:35:28.224',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-23 13:35:28.215',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('b9dc687f-9d37-48dd-9b53-b1f07ed133ee','8df7dfc5-c545-40e5-bdbf-7be0547acb1b','bc030323-5b78-4cf5-8c04-0ba4b93a64d1','<p class="p1"><span class="s1">Day 23 ：12月23 日&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 《底层逻辑》Part 2：思考问题的底层逻辑</span></p>
<p class="p2"><span class="s2">用动态的眼光看问题（Page 132-136）</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s3">&nbsp;</span></p>
<p class="p2"><span class="s2">🎯今日读后感悟：</span></p>
<p class="p4"><span class="s1">努力需要时间积累才能转化为能力、成绩和认可。懈怠的后果并不会立刻显现，但随着时间积累，最终会导致能力下降、成绩不佳。</span></p>
<p class="p4"><span class="s1">努力需要耐心，认可需要时间，理解积累效应能帮助我们保持平衡心态，避免短视。</span></p>
<p class="p2"><span class="s2">微积分思维是一种动态的、积累导向的思维方式，帮助我们从长远角度看待努力和成长，专注于持续积累和变化的过程。</span></p>','2024-12-23 13:59:03.673','2024-12-23 13:59:03.673',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-23 13:59:03.672',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('269b2e0d-ee0b-4c83-9b27-e467e3dfabdd','8df7dfc5-c545-40e5-bdbf-7be0547acb1b','724f2776-0f89-4693-96ac-067e7121c40c','<p>以底层逻辑剖析问题本质，并用动态视角洞察变化趋势，从而找到系统性且适应性的解决方案。</p>','2024-12-23 14:22:55.467','2024-12-23 14:22:55.467',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-23 14:22:55.466',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('c596ca99-5d6c-4c7f-a6d8-7d004d19f296','8df7dfc5-c545-40e5-bdbf-7be0547acb1b','abafda80-d191-4990-802d-f631604815a6','<p>用动态的眼光看问题</p>
<p>积分效应，渐进的效应，从努力到能力，到成绩，和获得赏识。同时，如果懈怠，能力下降，成绩不好。</p>','2024-12-23 14:28:05.277','2024-12-23 14:28:37.962',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-23 14:28:37.96',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('2296b3a7-9414-48c6-be5d-a895ad4f3311','8df7dfc5-c545-40e5-bdbf-7be0547acb1b','82401c82-df66-4556-a63e-3ff096e9ba26','<p>结果不是瞬间产生的，长期的积累效应产生了结果。</p>
<p>相反地，如果结果出了问题，不能只看当下的瞬间，而要回溯过去的过程，找到根源所在。</p>','2024-12-23 14:49:57.421','2024-12-23 14:49:57.421',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-23 14:49:57.42',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('9ce101c6-fc5f-4b67-bdf0-ebfe8bbb27a7','8df7dfc5-c545-40e5-bdbf-7be0547acb1b','bdee759b-405c-461f-97a1-a39e711c7e8e','<p class="p1"><span class="s1">第二種數學思維，是微積分的思維模式，也叫作「用動態的眼光看問題」。－件事情的結果，並不是瞬間產生的，而是長期以來的積累效應造成的。</span></p>','2024-12-23 14:56:49.407','2024-12-23 14:56:50.819',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-23 14:56:50.816',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('0387f856-bdb7-4d45-b7f1-69299d988813','8df7dfc5-c545-40e5-bdbf-7be0547acb1b','138265fe-95ad-4ebc-b601-e7cbf4fd9f27','<p>你今天努力学习了，但一个晚上的努力，不会变成你的能力。你的努力，得累积一段时间，才会变成你的能力。能力累积了一段时间，才会变成你的成绩。而你有了一次的成绩，却不会马上得到领导的赏识，成绩得累积一段时间才会使得领导的赏识。这是一个过程，一个积分效应。</p>','2024-12-23 14:58:10.107','2024-12-23 14:58:10.107',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-23 14:58:10.106',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('92f68cfd-a1e0-4946-af71-3e0ebd0d2dcc','8df7dfc5-c545-40e5-bdbf-7be0547acb1b','9f2de0b4-5451-41cb-bded-d537871923dd','<ul>
<li>努力了未必马上有能力，需要不停努力累积；懈怠也一样，久了，能力随之下降</li>
</ul>','2024-12-23 15:20:29.475','2024-12-23 15:20:29.475',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-23 15:20:29.474',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('c34cc383-e90c-482f-b00f-a70214ace329','8df7dfc5-c545-40e5-bdbf-7be0547acb1b','c5e069be-e34f-4a00-8866-8ee0e14fd6df','<p>用动态的眼光看问题，以微积分的思维看待人事物。</p>
<p>要在变化的增速上增强，用时间积累所谓的&ldquo;进步&rdquo;。</p>
<p>而怠慢也要注意，因为怠慢也有速度的累计，不要到最后才发现自己退步了都还不知道发生什么事情。</p>','2024-12-23 15:34:45.98','2024-12-23 15:34:45.98',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-23 15:34:45.979',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('fd1175d3-9a6a-44bf-aec6-c9ba39023cfe','8df7dfc5-c545-40e5-bdbf-7be0547acb1b','042e3658-0d45-45d8-92b1-3d973b328b46','<p>成功的过程，是需要付出，努力提高，日月累积，慢慢提升，再看到效果！</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>','2024-12-23 15:44:27.904','2024-12-23 15:44:27.904',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-23 15:44:27.903',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('ddd903af-6f63-4db9-84d0-8143445e124e','8df7dfc5-c545-40e5-bdbf-7be0547acb1b','22eebfc2-f1bd-4144-ac9b-9b146d80a3ee','<p>Day 23 ：12月23 日 《底层逻辑》Part 2：思考问题的底层逻辑</p>
<p>用动态的眼光看问题（Page 132-136）</p>
<p>🎯今日读后感悟：</p>
<p>微积分思维：一件事情的结果，不是瞬间发生，而是长期累积效应造成的。</p>','2024-12-23 15:47:53.895','2024-12-23 15:47:53.895',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-23 15:47:53.894',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('b544a93b-cc78-4b77-8bf0-86f9fe016a0a','8df7dfc5-c545-40e5-bdbf-7be0547acb1b','550d0df0-c244-418c-8fd4-915e9faffda1','<p>今日发觉了微积分 (calculus) 的真正用意义！</p>
<p>用动态的眼光看问题，因为问题不是瞬间发生的，而是有一段时间的酝酿导致的。</p>','2024-12-23 15:52:21.699','2024-12-23 15:52:21.699',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-23 15:52:21.698',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('c8de0324-f6b4-40aa-b6d8-df750235c9a6','8df7dfc5-c545-40e5-bdbf-7be0547acb1b','ef10631b-65db-4272-af44-c5d7da8f94f4','<p>2) 用动态的眼光看问题</p>
<p>源于微积分=加速度累积，变成速度；速度累积，变成移位。了解了微积分，看问题就会从静态变成动态</p>
<p>一件事情的结果，是长期累积效应造成的。出了问题只有从宏观追溯到微观，才能找到问题的根源所在</p>','2024-12-23 15:56:22.481','2024-12-23 15:56:22.481',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-23 15:56:22.48',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('4d841811-d257-4a9b-b25e-fc8253bad044','8df7dfc5-c545-40e5-bdbf-7be0547acb1b','8c41d3c3-8cab-4621-868b-700631a7ecc1','<p>微积分 -&nbsp;从动态的角度去看问题</p>
<ul>
<li>位移是因为速度的积累，而速度是因为加速度的积累。同样的</li>
<li>成绩和效果不会因为你一天的努力而随随便便出现，而是需要一天一天累积出来的</li>
<li>反之，一天天的懈怠也会导致几个月后堕落、能力变弱的自己</li>
<li>努力的时候想着让人家瞬间认可，出了问题后，却不会想几个月之前的懈怠，这是很多人陷入的思维误区</li>
<li>一件事情的结果不是瞬间产生的，而是长期以来的积累效应造成的</li>
<li>出了问题不要只看当时的瞬间，要从宏观追溯到微观，才能找到问题的根源</li>
</ul>','2024-12-23 15:58:53.049','2024-12-23 15:58:53.049',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-23 15:58:53.048',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('438f88c6-a07a-43b1-95d5-26e6a35bdd1d','1df9e5fd-444d-4d7d-ad30-e4294526e0b5','6949d955-832d-47f1-870b-95a01be61ff8','<p>一家公司的愿景、使命、价值观，其实就相当于这家公司的公理</p>','2024-12-23 14:39:46.499','2024-12-24 00:00:00.026',NULL,'f','2024-12-24 00:00:00.025','2024-12-24 00:00:00.025',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('aac16561-a9e5-4664-aef4-9e681702c04f','1df9e5fd-444d-4d7d-ad30-e4294526e0b5','4f2eb2b3-94b5-4ee7-8132-6fb6407ff96e','<p>我在想公理体系可以用在个人的生命蓝图吗？🤔🤔</p>','2024-12-24 07:46:40.993','2024-12-24 07:46:40.993',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-24 07:46:40.992',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('5d045d7b-b6af-40ec-9626-9633644692d0','b7f220f7-db3d-4b69-8e36-a54da9d035b1','d287598e-c515-495a-aaab-d93a50a8de1e','<p>戴上系统思维的眼镜才能透过表象看清本质。</p>
<p>拥有系统思维，就能够了解利益相关者的交易结构。才能够及时认清当下的处境，挽救自己的困境。</p>
<p>系统思维是救命的大智慧。</p>','2024-12-23 14:21:05.762','2024-12-26 00:00:00.016',NULL,'f','2024-12-26 00:00:00.015','2024-12-26 00:00:00.015',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('70ab8349-db86-4b4b-b233-7af4d9753d67','ee413297-043a-43d1-ac76-acdc524a339d','53929692-27f3-426b-a4ce-9f2a98b8d064','<p>选择做对的事就不必烦恼如何把事情做好。</p>','2024-12-27 23:28:00.373','2024-12-27 23:28:00.373',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-27 23:28:00.372',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('801a839c-7888-4ce4-b030-c6e4943b8ee6','ee413297-043a-43d1-ac76-acdc524a339d','d7f9d646-34b1-4281-a990-12e3eb93d6ff','<p>效率： 選擇做對你最重要的事。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>','2024-12-28 13:51:12.845','2024-12-28 13:51:12.845',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-28 13:51:12.845',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('5dcec4d4-9a5b-4bfb-8e5e-a75eb378b957','1df9e5fd-444d-4d7d-ad30-e4294526e0b5','53929692-27f3-426b-a4ce-9f2a98b8d064','<p>公理不是说了算，而是做了才能成定律。很老板很厉害为组织拟定宏愿、企业理念、企业核心价值，但是做的又是另外一套。</p>','2024-12-23 22:41:45.401','2024-12-23 22:41:45.401',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-23 22:41:45.4',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('0d318632-aa2f-45e2-97bc-9e0218d0d879','1df9e5fd-444d-4d7d-ad30-e4294526e0b5','b1d2b7e9-339b-46d2-9f25-30c45ecce2d1','<p>愿景、使命、价值观是一组品牌很看重的指标。<br><br>它们是很重要的。<br><br>为什么那么说呢？<br><br>因为我发现，<br>每次遇到公理体系不明确的企业，<br>方向感一定会很模糊。<br>很多事情都只是为了做而做，<br>非常不踏实。</p>','2024-12-24 13:24:13.538','2024-12-24 13:24:13.538',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-24 13:24:13.537',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('6c10d509-8cb4-44ef-9d5a-47ec56b1f053','98d932d3-52b7-42b5-91ca-9a9dcb1e52f9','09891df5-07b0-40c9-8f3c-a23b63aa2cfd','<p>人脉的本质就是给予价值，平等交换。毫无保留的把你价值付诸于别人身上。让别人记住你，才有认识合作的机会。</p>','2024-12-23 23:24:04.787','2025-01-05 00:00:00.036',NULL,'f','2025-01-05 00:00:00.035','2025-01-05 00:00:00.035',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('66e98b12-b27d-4ccd-a1fd-97a4f1006bbb','1df9e5fd-444d-4d7d-ad30-e4294526e0b5','f9cd75dc-f522-4a2a-a811-ea6c7508b057','<p>不管公司有什么情况或未来有什么发展，只要有公理存在，就能演绎出一套能够解决问题的新法则。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>公理没有对错，不需要被证明，它是一种选择，是一种基准原则</p>','2024-12-14 02:47:18.287','2024-12-24 00:00:00.026',NULL,'f','2024-12-24 00:00:00.025','2024-12-24 00:00:00.025',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('bb03a003-508e-4edb-af60-d0d118c62da8','1df9e5fd-444d-4d7d-ad30-e4294526e0b5','26458796-5d5f-468a-ac5f-69a3a6e55885','<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><strong style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">Day-</span></strong><strong style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB;">24</span></strong><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;"> </span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-ascii-font-family: Garamond; mso-hansi-font-family: Garamond; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">（</span><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB;">24</span><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">/12/2024</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-ascii-font-family: Garamond; mso-hansi-font-family: Garamond; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">）</span><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;"> - page </span><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB;">136-139</span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">【公理体系】</span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB;">三、公理体系（</span><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB;">Axiomatic system</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB;">）&mdash;&mdash;公理体系譬如成语：纲举目张。</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">因着欧几里得五条基本<strong style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;">公理</strong>，推导出无数条<strong style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;">定理</strong>，构成欧氏几何庞大的公理体系。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB;">公司的愿景、使命、价值观犹如公理，决定了这家公司各种行为</span><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB;">&mdash;&mdash;<span lang="ZH-TW">规章制度、工作流程、决策行为等</span>&mdash;&mdash;<span lang="ZH-TW">往哪个方向发展，构成了这家公司的公理体系。</span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-ascii-font-family: Garamond; mso-hansi-font-family: Garamond; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">一旦有了完备的公司公理体系，公理能推导出所有的定理，公司以后怎么发展，会遇到什么情況，只要有公理存在，就会演绎出一套能够解决问题的新的法则（定理）。</span></p>','2024-12-23 01:46:58.463','2024-12-24 00:00:00.026',NULL,'f','2024-12-24 00:00:00.025','2024-12-24 00:00:00.025',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('118b1c88-afc1-49b9-81ac-7eab292dc9b7','1df9e5fd-444d-4d7d-ad30-e4294526e0b5','f96bb3ac-81d2-449d-bcab-c984308b1d78','<p>如果说公理体系是一棵大树，那么公理就是大树的树根。<br>公理是一种选择，是一种共识，是一种基准原则。<br>作者：创造最大价值的人，获得最大的收益。</p>','2024-12-23 03:23:49.635','2024-12-24 00:00:00.026',NULL,'f','2024-12-24 00:00:00.025','2024-12-24 00:00:00.025',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('bf4414f9-6b4f-4581-8519-7fe857b61f97','1df9e5fd-444d-4d7d-ad30-e4294526e0b5','72ce0c9e-c59c-4daf-a31b-84b5558f1948','<p>公理体系思维，有如公司的愿景、使命、价值观。</p>
<p>一个完全自洽的公理体系，无需老板來做决定。</p>
<p>公理没有对錯，只是一种选择，一种共识，一个基準原则。</p>','2024-12-23 08:02:44.395','2024-12-24 00:00:00.026',NULL,'f','2024-12-24 00:00:00.025','2024-12-24 00:00:00.025',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('8f0d8291-3cb3-40da-a0da-6afe4bdcf74c','1df9e5fd-444d-4d7d-ad30-e4294526e0b5','d7f9d646-34b1-4281-a990-12e3eb93d6ff','<p>公理体系就如公司的大方向，一旦把大方向订下来，大家就彼此成就对方。</p>','2024-12-23 09:12:19.25','2024-12-24 00:00:00.026',NULL,'f','2024-12-24 00:00:00.025','2024-12-24 00:00:00.025',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('1a42ead6-1892-4bfb-9d2d-7141778f6007','1df9e5fd-444d-4d7d-ad30-e4294526e0b5','c9b39003-1a47-4eb9-a447-837aa6128a1b','<p>公司的願景、使命、價值觀就是一家公司的公理</p>
<p>公理決定了公司發展方向、規則制度、工作流程、決策行為都是公理上發展出來的定理，公理+定理形成公理體系。</p>
<p>一旦體系行程 公司可以auto pilot。</p>
<p>公司的發展遇見任何情況，只要公理存在 解決問題的定理自然操作。</p>
<p>公理是一種選擇、共識、基準原則。</p>
<p>不同公理 出現不同公理體系 因此結果必定全然不同。</p>','2024-12-23 12:38:46.502','2024-12-24 00:00:00.026',NULL,'f','2024-12-24 00:00:00.025','2024-12-24 00:00:00.025',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('977635c6-0aae-4af1-8193-33a0f00e25c8','1df9e5fd-444d-4d7d-ad30-e4294526e0b5','724f2776-0f89-4693-96ac-067e7121c40c','<p>思考问题的底层逻辑与公理体系结合，可以通过建立清晰的核心假设，依靠严谨的逻辑推导，在动态调整中找到最优解。</p>','2024-12-23 14:24:40.323','2024-12-24 00:00:00.026',NULL,'f','2024-12-24 00:00:00.025','2024-12-24 00:00:00.025',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('e9ce3c40-9116-4a4b-b9be-c5727f53055c','1df9e5fd-444d-4d7d-ad30-e4294526e0b5','042e3658-0d45-45d8-92b1-3d973b328b46','<p>有效和完备的公里，可让公司的人都有自主权衡量和解决问题！</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>','2024-12-23 15:54:50.13','2024-12-24 00:00:00.026',NULL,'f','2024-12-24 00:00:00.025','2024-12-24 00:00:00.025',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('47bb1444-bd0d-401a-a670-fb7fdc2411e0','1df9e5fd-444d-4d7d-ad30-e4294526e0b5','861e06a4-3e01-404d-a0c4-d2fa9f5bfa16','<p class="p1"><span class="s1">公理体系 Axiomatic System</span></p>
<p class="p2">&nbsp;</p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">一家公司的愿景、使命、价值观，其实就相当于这家公司的公理。公理直接决定了这家公司的各种行为往哪个方向发展。</span></p>
<p class="p2">&nbsp;</p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">公理没有对错，不需要被证明，公理是一种选择，是一种共识，是一种基准原则。</span></p>
<p class="p2">&nbsp;</p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">制定不同的公理，就会得到不同的公理体系，也就会得到完全不同的结果。</span></p>
<p class="p2">&nbsp;</p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">而这个体系，一定是完全自洽的。一家公司一旦有了完备的公理体系，其实就不需要老板来做决定，因为公理能推导出所有的定理（解决问题的新法则）。</span></p>
<p class="p2">&nbsp;</p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">我本身非常认同这个公理体系。因为在一家公司有那么多的事情要解决，如果每件事都要通过老板或经才可以解决的话，效率一定大大的减低。同事们也会一直纠结在琐碎的事情上，而忽略的公司经营的本质。</span></p>','2024-12-24 00:27:47.532','2024-12-24 00:27:47.532',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-24 00:27:47.531',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('91934abb-d804-4504-a6a9-1b2766225fde','1df9e5fd-444d-4d7d-ad30-e4294526e0b5','3d9c1be4-dac8-482e-8867-e3ba75f3a884','<p>公理体系套在公司理应该是说；公司理己经定下的规矩，大家必须要追隨的，这规矩设定是方便管理。</p>
<p>而这体系是跟据愿景使命价值观的匡架上制定的。</p>','2024-12-24 13:34:42.775','2024-12-24 13:34:42.775',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-24 13:34:42.774',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('bf368777-a0da-4d6d-835f-17db03e87ae6','b7f220f7-db3d-4b69-8e36-a54da9d035b1','26458796-5d5f-468a-ac5f-69a3a6e55885','<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><strong style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">Day-26</span></strong><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;"> </span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-ascii-font-family: Garamond; mso-hansi-font-family: Garamond; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">（</span><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">26/12/2024</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-ascii-font-family: Garamond; mso-hansi-font-family: Garamond; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">）</span><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;"> - page 145-150</span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">【系统思维】</span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">系统思维利于自己在复杂的系统中理解现在，如前头讲的「千百十个」位法，錯过了时机，便失去了时代的机遇。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB;">要素，是系统中你看得见的东西；关系，是系统中你看不见的、要素之间相互作用的规律。</span><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB;"><br><span lang="ZH-TW">我们要看到要素，看到要素之间的关系，更要看到这些关系背后的规律。</span></span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB;">理解了关系和关系背后的规律，你不但能在复杂的系统中理解现在，甚至还能在一定程度上预测未來。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB;">所有的战略，都是站在未來看今天。</span></p>','2024-12-24 01:40:00.183','2024-12-26 00:00:00.016',NULL,'f','2024-12-26 00:00:00.015','2024-12-26 00:00:00.015',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('b758bced-883f-48fb-8dc2-664171e93c58','1df9e5fd-444d-4d7d-ad30-e4294526e0b5','fb681b37-b86f-49b7-8f27-422ffefb81b6','<p>公理无需证明，是一种共识和基准原则。公司的愿景、使命和价值观就像公理，决定了公司行为的方向。所有规章制度、流程和决策，都是从这些&ldquo;公理&rdquo;衍生出的具体实施规则，构成公司的公理体系。</p>','2024-12-24 01:20:13.321','2024-12-24 01:21:08.372',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-24 01:21:08.371',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('ebd6035a-c9fe-47f8-9c45-ac87f0c54c50','1df9e5fd-444d-4d7d-ad30-e4294526e0b5','7ae3c10f-1299-472c-a9d4-b368d392f445','<p>公理体系</p>
<p>第三种数学思维，源于几何学，叫作公理体系 (Axiomatic System)<br>公理，是具有自明性並且被公認的命題。</p>
<p>如果說公理體系是一棵大樹，那麼公理就是大樹的樹根。</p>
<p>因為公理不同，所以推導出來的定理就不同，不同知识体系．这就是公理体系思维</p>
<p>一家公司的願景、使命、價值觀，其實就相當於這家公司的公理。公理直接決定了這家公司的各種行為往哪個方向發展。所有的規章制度、工作流程、決策行為，都是在願景、使命、價值觀這些公理上生長出來的定理。它們構成了這家公司的公理體系。</p>','2024-12-24 01:36:14.575','2024-12-24 01:36:14.575',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-24 01:36:14.574',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('5ea5def1-9704-45b1-8237-ce8cc5ffa247','1df9e5fd-444d-4d7d-ad30-e4294526e0b5','459a1283-290a-4d4b-b10f-6504664de97b','<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>公司的公理体系就是公司的愿景，使命宣言价值观。<br>公理决定了公司的方向发展，规章制度，工作流程，决策行为。有了完善的公理，一定是自洽的，最重要的是公司全体共识。</p>','2024-12-24 01:51:47.495','2024-12-24 01:51:47.495',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-24 01:51:47.493',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('1f0b7197-5f06-480d-b225-5d2acc39fdaf','1df9e5fd-444d-4d7d-ad30-e4294526e0b5','f19a0a29-719b-4ff0-9462-5c18dd598629','<p>数学公理体系容易！因为只要决定好前提了，所有结论理论上都可以从那些前提推导出来。没有人能够争辩。只要大家的智力够高，就可以理解整个推理过程，然后达成一致。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>但是现实中，你要建立起这样的公理系统不容易。因为世界太复杂了，怎么建立起可用的公理系统，又让所有的人信服？太难了。即使在运用你的&ldquo;推理&rdquo;，因为不是数学，所以推理过程中也很多争议。举例：我公司的公理系统是谁带来最大的收益谁就拿最多，这个理论上很好，大家都赞同。但是怎么证明谁带来最大收益？是销售，还是内容创造者？里面的功劳怎么分？这些都是吵架的源头。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>这些千古难题谁能解决？</p>','2024-12-24 10:31:51.598','2024-12-24 10:33:13.705',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-24 10:33:13.704',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('ab4a914d-6c71-43ff-883b-e64344e49eb9','1df9e5fd-444d-4d7d-ad30-e4294526e0b5','6cef5362-7ff5-4fa0-8829-76df28438992','<p>公司需要有愿景、使命和正确价值观。这与公司的生存以壮大有很大的关系。</p>','2024-12-24 13:24:37.204','2024-12-24 13:24:37.204',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-24 13:24:37.204',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('f20948dc-9c84-4a1a-8349-5635aab339c2','1df9e5fd-444d-4d7d-ad30-e4294526e0b5','a000f9e2-7648-49c9-8713-f245191f61d3','<p>第三种数学思维 - 公理体系</p>
<p>公理是具有自明性并且被公认的命题，也因为公理的不同，所推动出来的定理就会不同，这就形成了不同的公理体系，</p>
<p>在几何学中，一旦制定了不同的公理，就会得到完全不同的知识体系，这就是公理体系的思维。</p>
<p>一家公司的愿景，使命和价值观就相当于这家公司的公理，而从这公理就会长出定理（规章制度，工作流程，决策行为）这些定理就构成这家公司的公理体系。</p>
<p>一个完备的公理体系一定是完全自洽的。</p>','2024-12-24 13:32:11.44','2024-12-24 13:32:11.44',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-24 13:32:11.439',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('a6226b55-7a4d-49be-b9a2-58017fc9f312','ee413297-043a-43d1-ac76-acdc524a339d','72ce0c9e-c59c-4daf-a31b-84b5558f1948','<p>常听人说：作对选择是关键。</p>
<p>拥有能力后，也要高效率：</p>
<p>选择、方法、工具。</p>
<p>好的工具，事半功倍。</p>','2024-12-24 04:19:48.453','2024-12-28 00:00:00.016',NULL,'f','2024-12-28 00:00:00.015','2024-12-28 00:00:00.015',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('75c3e1e2-735d-42b4-8259-9a0eaabf453a','1df9e5fd-444d-4d7d-ad30-e4294526e0b5','446acaf6-9b4a-451d-8e08-ca51f1003c48','<p>24/12/2024 - 公理体系 （page136-139）</p>
<p>公理是具有自明并且被公认的命题。在欧氏几何中，其他所有的定理，都是以五条公理为出发点，利用纯逻辑推理的方法推导出来的。在几何学中，一旦制定了不同的公理，就会得到完全不同的知识体系，这就是「公理体系」思维。</p>
<p>一家公司的愿景，使命，价值观，其实就相当于这家公司的公理。公理直接决定了这家公司的各种行为往哪个方向发展。所有规章制度，工作流程，决策行为，都是在愿景，使命，价值观这些公理上生长出来的定理。它们构成了这家公司的公理体系。而这个体系，一定是完全自洽的，就是公司一旦有了完备的公理体系，其实就不需要老板来做决定了，因为公理能推导出所有的定理。</p>
<p>公理没有对错，不需要被证明，公理是一种选择，是一种机准原则。</p>','2024-12-24 10:53:03.757','2024-12-24 10:53:03.757',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-24 10:53:03.753',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('9940f1d4-104c-4489-888f-df8450a1af35','1df9e5fd-444d-4d7d-ad30-e4294526e0b5','47cda368-b147-4725-82b1-56340e248f14','<p>我非常认同这一段：</p>
<p>一家公司的愿景、使命、价值观念，其实就像等于这家公司的公理。公司决定了这家公司的各种行为往哪个方向发展。</p>
<p>虽然对书里的公式还不是完全理解，但是这一段看了又是认同，又是觉得很棒。因为所有的规章制度，工作流程，决策行为，都是由愿景、使命，这些价值观这些公理生长出来的定理。</p>','2024-12-24 10:53:43.546','2024-12-24 10:53:43.546',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-24 10:53:43.54',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('27d7cef8-d037-49e1-80bb-ae0627c6f5c5','ee413297-043a-43d1-ac76-acdc524a339d','dee0ab39-9eab-4b3d-bad7-a9f0422f8fb5','<p>想提高工作效率，在懂的先冷静的思考整个事情的结构，学会选择那个是最重要的中心事情，而先把它处理了，以提高工作的效率。</p>','2024-12-28 13:56:27.245','2024-12-28 13:56:49.404',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-28 13:56:49.403',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('652b98bd-6ade-4237-bacb-417d2a3eb559','98d932d3-52b7-42b5-91ca-9a9dcb1e52f9','1131f00f-c162-442f-b3c0-e0ead4f636c3','<p>真心交往，无私付出，同频共振，人脉自然逐渐扩大。</p>','2025-01-05 10:01:27.695','2025-01-05 10:01:27.695',NULL,'f',NULL,'2025-01-05 10:01:27.694',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('51bfcc0b-02db-4c41-8285-42dc40b07610','1df9e5fd-444d-4d7d-ad30-e4294526e0b5','4cfe29dd-714c-41a2-bc6d-306205099ae9','<p>公司的願景價值觀沒有對錯，只是選擇和方向。成熟的體系不需要圍繞著企業主監督，能自行依據其公里體系運作。如果其系統有問題，那一定是企業主設計的問題。</p>','2024-12-24 09:34:39.349','2024-12-24 09:34:39.349',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-24 09:34:39.348',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('518ee102-6c58-42c8-9c52-52f51839184c','1df9e5fd-444d-4d7d-ad30-e4294526e0b5','138265fe-95ad-4ebc-b601-e7cbf4fd9f27','<p>公理没有对错，是一种选择，一种共识和基准原则。公司的愿景，使命，价值观就相等于公司的公理。</p>','2024-12-24 10:08:32.322','2024-12-24 10:08:32.322',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-24 10:08:32.321',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('afdaada6-6caa-42b5-8f74-62112d5f7966','1df9e5fd-444d-4d7d-ad30-e4294526e0b5','3c16baf4-84df-4958-a74c-aa7b7d950e3a','<p>补23/12: 用动态的眼光看问题（Page 132-136）</p>
<p>每一件事情的发生一定有起因，而且都是经过时间的积累才会促成的。看事情必须看到本质，同时也要去发现导致事情成熟的因素，才可以透彻。</p>
<p>24/12: 公理体系（Page 136-139）</p>
<p>志不同道不合不相为谋。在一家企业公示，对愿景和使命有共鸣很重要，否则必须思维做调整。</p>','2024-12-24 10:13:25.961','2024-12-24 10:13:25.961',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-24 10:13:25.96',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('52e77768-00af-4820-ac99-89b041a51e4c','1df9e5fd-444d-4d7d-ad30-e4294526e0b5','f19a0a29-719b-4ff0-9462-5c18dd598629','<p>你得看看我的今天读书报告。刚好回答你的问题。</p>','2024-12-24 10:32:25.069','2024-12-24 10:32:25.069',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-24 10:32:25.068','aac16561-a9e5-4664-aef4-9e681702c04f',NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('e805ac4b-24c0-498f-8f6f-678e42ea5dbc','1df9e5fd-444d-4d7d-ad30-e4294526e0b5','22eebfc2-f1bd-4144-ac9b-9b146d80a3ee','<p>Day 24 ：12月24 日 《底层逻辑》Part 2：思考问题的底层逻辑</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>公理体系（Page 136-139）</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>🎯今日读后感悟：</p>
<p>公理：是一种选择，共识，基准原则，无需被证明。不同公理：不同的公理体系：产生不同的结果。</p>
<p>于企业中：愿景、使命、价值观= 公理</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>','2024-12-24 12:02:22.455','2024-12-24 12:02:22.455',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-24 12:02:22.454',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('ec311e36-49ff-42c2-8d04-061e235ae844','ee413297-043a-43d1-ac76-acdc524a339d','a79358bf-a0d8-49f2-be81-0ba66e697353','<p>选出最值得花时间做的事情，善用工具帮助我们思考。</p>','2024-12-24 15:01:13.066','2024-12-28 00:00:00.016',NULL,'f','2024-12-28 00:00:00.015','2024-12-28 00:00:00.015',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('18a6713a-6fe8-4c24-a88b-d9aecd38c5d9','ee413297-043a-43d1-ac76-acdc524a339d','1131f00f-c162-442f-b3c0-e0ead4f636c3','<p>高效是选择！</p>
<p>选择最重要的事，和最适当工具。</p>','2024-12-28 13:55:57.184','2024-12-28 13:55:57.184',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-28 13:55:57.184',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('ad01e95a-aa95-4029-ab73-657ac668daa8','34217577-c9b9-4584-86df-173364b9bb07','72ce0c9e-c59c-4daf-a31b-84b5558f1948','<p>三种不用依靠别人的能力：</p>
<p>演讲能力</p>
<p>写作能力</p>
<p>建立人脈的能力。</p>
<p>人脈：是那些你能帮到的人。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>','2024-12-24 04:26:57.029','2024-12-29 00:00:00.03',NULL,'f','2024-12-29 00:00:00.029','2024-12-29 00:00:00.029',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('33468d5a-d5e8-4b22-b8cb-abe6fac51c42','e769758b-4596-4fe1-afb9-38237e50f429','138265fe-95ad-4ebc-b601-e7cbf4fd9f27','<p>幽默, 是溢出的智慧。</p>','2025-01-13 14:23:44.892','2025-01-13 14:23:44.892',NULL,'f',NULL,'2025-01-13 14:23:44.892',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('225101b2-63fc-404f-a927-1de54b933c05','e769758b-4596-4fe1-afb9-38237e50f429','6cef5362-7ff5-4fa0-8829-76df28438992','<p>幽默与智慧有关，个人是首次听到，但似乎有道理。虽如此说，不过也觉得多少可培养。</p>','2025-01-13 14:24:50.849','2025-01-13 14:24:50.849',NULL,'f',NULL,'2025-01-13 14:24:50.849',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('ce4ce3d6-6430-4be5-8581-e7ec1c056909','76519627-c454-4d6d-9614-92f11187ea2b','6cef5362-7ff5-4fa0-8829-76df28438992','<p>说话是一门学问，个人学得自己尚须不断学习与升华。</p>','2025-01-14 14:00:03.069','2025-01-14 14:00:03.069',NULL,'f',NULL,'2025-01-14 14:00:03.065',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('99bcd6b6-de48-4ddb-ad28-05ee07221ec0','569de0ed-67d5-489b-8c57-53d3511fd286','b2120258-4016-43f4-9c32-1f9c0e96bfaf','<p>获得快乐有三种方法。</p>
<p>1）透过目的性很强的多巴胺，去找事情做，比如完成艰难的工作。</p>
<p>2）透过长时间持续锻炼去刺激分泌内啡肽 。</p>
<p>3）刺激分泌能让大脑觉得单纯快乐的血清素。</p>
<p>多巴胺很重要，它让我们有动机去做一些事时，可以享受这个过程。也是支撑着我们攀上去的重要物质。</p>','2024-12-24 08:22:55.417','2025-01-17 00:00:00.008',NULL,'f','2025-01-17 00:00:00.007','2025-01-17 00:00:00.007',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('df6f3076-d582-4e93-b00b-8283268f501b','1df9e5fd-444d-4d7d-ad30-e4294526e0b5','576d96d0-dcd8-47c0-8ecc-c9881174d6fa','<p>公理, 是一种选择。</p>
<p>企业以願景、使命、價值观为公理。所洐行出来的制度, 行事条规，战略等等都是企业用来管理的。</p>
<p>企业能不能长青, 就看是以法制还是人制!</p>','2024-12-24 13:35:45.111','2024-12-24 13:35:45.111',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-24 13:35:45.11',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('a6a6063f-bf6a-480d-a492-f553c3967c3f','1df9e5fd-444d-4d7d-ad30-e4294526e0b5','7c90ff31-3cfe-46d0-8204-3b842b9bb44e','<p>一家有愿景、使命、价值观的公司叫企业。公理直接决定了这家企业的各种行为往哪个方向发展。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>公理是一种选择，是一种共识，是一种基准原则。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>如理、如法、如情的公理才会持续存在</strong></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>','2024-12-24 13:48:24.795','2024-12-24 13:48:24.795',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-24 13:48:24.794',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('912892d8-5bbd-4a4c-ab1b-9a46d8c0a2d0','1df9e5fd-444d-4d7d-ad30-e4294526e0b5','3c44f813-90cf-4c87-ab87-553efe18c88a','<p>好的公司有愿景、使命、价值观.</p>
<p>这就是begin with the end in mind.🈶目标,有方向.</p>','2024-12-24 13:54:42.31','2024-12-24 13:54:42.31',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-24 13:54:42.309',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('c9b6bf4b-819c-439d-b848-79502581e860','1df9e5fd-444d-4d7d-ad30-e4294526e0b5','550d0df0-c244-418c-8fd4-915e9faffda1','<p>我对公理体系感到很敬佩，因为一套完善的公理，是让团体、公司、体态可以自治的开端，前提是它必须出自公司的使命，愿景，价值观。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>','2024-12-24 14:07:36.75','2024-12-24 14:07:36.75',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-24 14:07:36.748',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('a4a388e8-6ea4-4b8d-9d19-70e30b8458e7','1df9e5fd-444d-4d7d-ad30-e4294526e0b5','069c59cc-12d1-4b10-aabf-cabe5bfceaaf','<p>公理没有对错，不需要被证明，公理是一种选择，是一种共识，是一种基准原则。</p>
<p>制定不同的公理，就会得到完全不同的公理体式，也就会得到完全不同的结果。</p>','2024-12-24 15:13:44.801','2024-12-24 15:13:53.349',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-24 15:13:53.348',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('6cc6b04c-2bb4-4a83-84b4-7557a3cdbc21','1df9e5fd-444d-4d7d-ad30-e4294526e0b5','0a652b55-937b-435d-bcb8-4d3fb846b83f','<p>如果説公理體系是一棵大樹，那麼公理就是大樹的根。</p>
<p>一家公司的願景、使命、價值觀、其實就相當於這家公司的公理。公理直接決定了這家公司的前途。</p>
<p>公理沒有對錯，不需要被證明，公理是一種選擇，是一種共識，是一種基準原則。</p>
<p>制定不同的公理，就會得到完全不同的公理體系，也就得到完全不同的結果。</p>','2024-12-24 14:31:47.369','2024-12-24 14:32:47.273',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-24 14:32:47.272',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('fb42b3c4-3b91-43a9-a2a6-d395a5005615','1df9e5fd-444d-4d7d-ad30-e4294526e0b5','abafda80-d191-4990-802d-f631604815a6','<p>一家公司有完善的公理体系，就意识一家公司有自己完善的愿景，使命，和价值观。给了员工们方向。员工们就可以在同一个方向和目标去达成。完成可以自治。</p>','2024-12-24 14:29:28.19','2024-12-24 14:33:58.137',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-24 14:33:58.137',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('9a2e7e33-77b2-4fea-a74a-5465de694201','1df9e5fd-444d-4d7d-ad30-e4294526e0b5','a79358bf-a0d8-49f2-be81-0ba66e697353','<p>每家公司都有自己的公理体系，没有对错，是一种选择。一旦形成，它是自洽的。</p>','2024-12-24 14:34:45.708','2024-12-24 14:34:45.708',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-24 14:34:45.707',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('3d681efa-4295-4ed3-801b-158ccfa004f5','1df9e5fd-444d-4d7d-ad30-e4294526e0b5','f06cf8cd-e25f-4542-a8ff-f8571e91be74','<p>一间公司需要有愿景、使命，价值观。才能生存和壮大</p>','2024-12-24 15:15:41.548','2024-12-24 15:15:41.548',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-24 15:15:41.547',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('b635a23f-9215-4c6f-9a27-4035deb0ebef','1df9e5fd-444d-4d7d-ad30-e4294526e0b5','9f2de0b4-5451-41cb-bded-d537871923dd','<ul>
<li>一家公司的愿景、使命，价值观，决定了这家公司的各种行为该往哪个方向发展</li>
</ul>','2024-12-24 15:29:41.965','2024-12-24 15:29:41.965',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-24 15:29:41.964',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('54b3dfcf-6109-4e37-870a-1c5c5711d89f','ea8079c9-b0c2-4f7b-9b73-06258e711936','576d96d0-dcd8-47c0-8ecc-c9881174d6fa','<p>从不確定性中找到確定性、用动态的眼光看问题、公理体系、数字的方向性，以及共赢。让自己擁有符合规律的思维方式!</p>','2024-12-24 14:02:09.325','2024-12-25 00:00:00.008',NULL,'f','2024-12-25 00:00:00.006','2024-12-25 00:00:00.006',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('ea16c158-d7c8-476f-b543-133cfaae98b3','ea8079c9-b0c2-4f7b-9b73-06258e711936','d7f9d646-34b1-4281-a990-12e3eb93d6ff','<p>当你无法跟他人合力往同一个方向的时候，你又不知道哪个方向是正确的，那么就放手让他人去做吧。&rdquo;最终事情的走向是那个相对正确的方向&ldquo;。这话可以好好了解。<br><br>共赢：不是每个人可以共赢，远离这些人；主动释放共赢的信息。能够跟你一起做事的人都是靠信任把我和他拉在一起的。<br><br></p>','2024-12-24 14:22:51.354','2024-12-25 00:00:00.008',NULL,'f','2024-12-25 00:00:00.006','2024-12-25 00:00:00.006',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('f5a9211d-e729-4b3a-b4ba-9a4b5dec56e3','ea8079c9-b0c2-4f7b-9b73-06258e711936','ef10631b-65db-4272-af44-c5d7da8f94f4','<p><strong>4) 数字的方向性</strong></p>
<p>源于代数。学习各种数，理解世界的复杂性</p>
<p>合力大小的相消，确定相对正确的方向</p>
<p>承认世界的复杂性，复杂到没有规律</p>
<p><strong>5）全域最优和达成共赢</strong></p>
<p>源于博弈论。</p>
<p>零和博弈=牺牲局部优势，赢得终局。下围棋</p>
<p>非零和博弈=建立信任，讲究共赢。如何建立信任：</p>
<p>1）找能够建立信任的伙伴</p>
<p>2）主动释放信任讯号，让想要达成共赢的人来找你</p>','2024-12-25 15:44:19.496','2024-12-25 15:44:19.496',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-25 15:44:19.495',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('fc789b06-9034-4c42-ac48-1214a60a3edd','b7f220f7-db3d-4b69-8e36-a54da9d035b1','a79358bf-a0d8-49f2-be81-0ba66e697353','<p>系统思考：看清楚事情的本质，就不会在错误的方向努力。方向不对，努力白费。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>在&ldquo;千位&rdquo;上努力，才可以好好把握机会。</p>','2024-12-24 14:50:39.872','2024-12-26 00:00:00.016',NULL,'f','2024-12-26 00:00:00.015','2024-12-26 00:00:00.015',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('30c1d888-23ab-475c-8dfb-1ae8df1ab425','b7f220f7-db3d-4b69-8e36-a54da9d035b1','069c59cc-12d1-4b10-aabf-cabe5bfceaaf','<p>系统=规律作用所有世上的事物。</p>
<p>要素，看得见。</p>
<p>关系，看不见。要素之间的关系。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>','2024-12-26 15:23:54.873','2024-12-26 15:24:02.866',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-26 15:24:02.865',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('023064a2-1e77-473a-8473-92298936adca','7879f9db-a7aa-487a-bdc7-2150dc5886ed','9f2de0b4-5451-41cb-bded-d537871923dd','<ul>
<li>要有想获得能力的能力的心态，才会想尽办法获得，否则半路就想放弃</li>
<li>勤奋是不足够，还要高效又可怕勤奋，不停刻意练习让自己在短时间内获得能力</li>
</ul>','2024-12-27 15:37:59.095','2024-12-27 15:37:59.095',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-27 15:37:59.094',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('5c4e552d-4d47-4cb2-b13e-2cfcef2e1991','7879f9db-a7aa-487a-bdc7-2150dc5886ed','6cef5362-7ff5-4fa0-8829-76df28438992','<p>能力对每个人都很重要，它是成功的其中要素。而要获得它，长期非常认真、勤奋不可免。</p>','2024-12-27 15:43:55.018','2024-12-27 15:43:55.018',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-27 15:43:55.016',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('2d890eb5-afca-4661-8c97-e9bdcd279410','1df9e5fd-444d-4d7d-ad30-e4294526e0b5','bc030323-5b78-4cf5-8c04-0ba4b93a64d1','<p class="p1"><span class="s1">Day 24 ：12月24 日&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 《底层逻辑》Part 2：思考问题的底层逻辑</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">公理体系（Page 136-139）</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s2">&nbsp;</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">🎯今日读后感悟：</span></p>
<p class="p2">&nbsp;</p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s2">什么是公理体系？</span></p>
<p class="p2">&nbsp;</p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s2">1. 公理是什么？</span></p>
<p class="p3"><span class="s1"> &bull; </span><span class="s2">公理是基础规则</span><span class="s1">：它是一组不需要证明、被默认接受的原则。</span></p>
<p class="p3"><span class="s1"> &bull; </span><span class="s2">在几何中</span><span class="s1">：不同的公理会得出完全不同的几何体系。</span></p>
<p class="p3"><span class="s1"> &bull; </span><span class="s2">在公司中</span><span class="s1">：公司的愿景、使命、价值观就是它的公理，决定了公司如何运作和决策。</span></p>
<p class="p2">&nbsp;</p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s2">2. 公理体系如何运作？</span></p>
<p class="p3"><span class="s1"> &bull; </span><span class="s2">公理影响行为</span><span class="s1">：所有规章制度、工作流程、决策行为，都是从这些基础公理&ldquo;推导&rdquo;出来的（就像从公理推导出几何定理）。</span></p>
<p class="p3"><span class="s1"> &bull; </span><span class="s2">公理体系自洽</span><span class="s1">：如果公司的体系完备，即使没有老板，公司也能根据这些基础原则解决问题。</span></p>
<p class="p2">&nbsp;</p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s2">3. 如果公理不清晰会怎样？</span></p>
<p class="p3"><span class="s1"> &bull; 如果公司的制度、流程和愿景、使命、价值观不一致，就说明公理不完备或推导出错，需要调整和完善。</span></p>
<p class="p3"><span class="s1">&nbsp;&bull; 一个健全的公司，应该让所有行为符合公理体系。</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s2">4. 公理的本质</span></p>
<p class="p3"><span class="s1"> &bull; 公理没有对错，它是一种选择、共识和基准原则。</span></p>
<p class="p3"><span class="s1"> &bull; 不同的公理会导出完全不同的体系和结果。</span></p>
<p class="p2">&nbsp;</p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">公理是公司运行的基础规则。</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">愿景、使命、价值观（公理）决定了公司的制度和行为（定理）。</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">一个好的公司体系应该清晰、自洽，让行为和规则都符合基础原则。</span></p>','2024-12-24 15:36:44.303','2024-12-24 15:36:44.303',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-24 15:36:44.302',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('35db2190-9dd7-425b-9ef6-438b19544815','1df9e5fd-444d-4d7d-ad30-e4294526e0b5','c5e069be-e34f-4a00-8866-8ee0e14fd6df','<p>几何学代表着公理体系，公里是具有自明性并且被公认的命题。公理就是法则，如果公理完善，公司可以 auto pilot .</p>
<p>公理是一种选择。一种共识。一种基本原则。</p>','2024-12-24 15:42:40.627','2024-12-24 15:42:40.627',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-24 15:42:40.627',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('8befc8cc-1a28-40e7-89d0-96a57ed54bca','1df9e5fd-444d-4d7d-ad30-e4294526e0b5','ea087d81-378d-4180-ba32-68046993e624','<p>完备的公理体系能够推导出所有定理，减少人为决策的干预。</p>','2024-12-24 15:46:00.891','2024-12-24 15:46:00.891',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-24 15:46:00.89',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('19ef79ee-d102-4525-8193-9c92fe1dbc84','1df9e5fd-444d-4d7d-ad30-e4294526e0b5','1131f00f-c162-442f-b3c0-e0ead4f636c3','<p>公理是一种选择， 一种基准原则。</p>
<p>愿景， 使命，价值观即是公理。</p>','2024-12-24 15:50:58.132','2024-12-24 15:50:58.132',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-24 15:50:58.131',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('1f1f8d66-5945-4cad-9153-8d8c32d1e2f4','1df9e5fd-444d-4d7d-ad30-e4294526e0b5','82401c82-df66-4556-a63e-3ff096e9ba26','<p>公司的公理即是公司的愿景使命价值体系。</p>
<p>公理没有对错，是一种共识，是一种基准原则。</p>','2024-12-24 15:52:54.105','2024-12-24 15:52:54.105',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-24 15:52:54.104',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('f1e918ec-f1d0-4730-8afa-2510dfea4f9d','1df9e5fd-444d-4d7d-ad30-e4294526e0b5','ef10631b-65db-4272-af44-c5d7da8f94f4','<p><strong>3） 公理体系</strong></p>
<p>源于几何学。制定的公理不同，会得到不同的知识体系，也会得到完全不同的结果。</p>
<p>一旦有了完备的公理体系，公理就能推导出所有的定理，演绎出一套能够解决问题的新的法则。</p>
<p>公理是一种选择，是一种共识，是一种基准原则。</p>
<p>公司的愿景，使命，价值观=公理。决定公司的各种行为往那个方向走。所有的规章制度，工作流程，决策行为都是在公理上生长出来的定理。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>','2024-12-24 15:59:17.585','2024-12-24 15:59:23.531',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-24 15:59:23.53',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('d4eecd5c-5f32-4647-84de-b53a6be5ba7c','ea8079c9-b0c2-4f7b-9b73-06258e711936','53929692-27f3-426b-a4ce-9f2a98b8d064','<p>双赢对大家皆有利，但是因为猜测和不信任，所以这是知易行难的合作方式。</p>
<p>数理分析有其规律，但是人性不按理出牌。</p>','2024-12-24 22:13:52.836','2024-12-24 22:13:52.836',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-24 22:13:52.835',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('c272462d-3e64-466f-a361-8ba9861c4415','ea8079c9-b0c2-4f7b-9b73-06258e711936','b2120258-4016-43f4-9c32-1f9c0e96bfaf','<p>数学的方向性</p>
<p>我们学的代数，有自然数，包括0和正整数（0，1，2，3，4，5&hellip;）；然后是整数，包括负整数和自然数（&hellip;，-3，-2，-1，0，1，2，3，&hellip;）之后学的是理数包括整数和分数。</p>
<p>当我们往不同的方向拉扯箱子，箱子会跟随力气比较大的方向去，可是这时力气会被消耗掉，速度也慢下来。</p>
<p>全城最优秀和达成共赢</p>
<p>比如下围棋是典型的博弈。每走一步棋，我的所得是你的所失，你的所得就是我的所失。这是零和博弈。经营公司跟下棋一样，不要想着每件事都一帆风顺，如果，你想得到好的结果，可能在一些关键骤上就要做出妥协。</p>
<p>另外，还有一种博弈叫非零和博弈。它讲究的是共赢。</p>
<p>比如市场需要100万冰箱，这时厂家建立起信任大家生产10万冰箱一共十个厂家。大家都能赚钱。</p>
<p>你需要释放你是值得信任的人，这样，想要与你达成共赢的人才会来找你。</p>','2024-11-29 07:47:54.224','2024-12-25 00:00:00.008',NULL,'f','2024-12-25 00:00:00.006','2024-12-25 00:00:00.006',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('c7867fcb-cacb-4729-a246-c01e0fb402f8','ea8079c9-b0c2-4f7b-9b73-06258e711936','80c5d91b-7a3f-4987-82e1-726f6da09e6b','<p>4）数字的方向性（源于代数）</p>
<p>数学除了大小，还有方向。在做同一件事情，若方向不同，那么彼此就会互相牵制、造成损耗，最后走向相对比较少被消耗的方向。</p>
<p>5）全局最优和达成共赢（源于博弈论）- 零和博弈、非零和博弈（共赢）</p>
<p>当只有两个选择，可以问问自己和他人，是否可以有第三选择？例如：共赢。重点是要有信任。</p>
<p>从心所欲的自由，就是拥有符合规律的思维方式。这是学数学更宏观的意义。</p>','2024-12-17 09:03:40.511','2024-12-25 00:00:00.008',NULL,'f','2024-12-25 00:00:00.006','2024-12-25 00:00:00.006',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('28c01460-5360-4db5-adce-a71fe4efc410','1df9e5fd-444d-4d7d-ad30-e4294526e0b5','8c41d3c3-8cab-4621-868b-700631a7ecc1','<p><strong>&nbsp;公理体系</strong></p>
<ul>
<li>公理没有对错，不需要被证明，它是一种选择，是一种共识，是一种基准原则</li>
<li><span style="font-family: var(--font-ubuntu);">公理 = 公司的愿景、使命、价值观</span></li>
<li><span style="font-family: var(--font-ubuntu);">公司的定理 = 规章制度、工作流程、决策行为</span></li>
<li><span style="font-family: var(--font-ubuntu);">&nbsp;公司一旦有了完备的公理体系，那就不需要什么事情都等老板来决定了。只要有公理存在，它就会演绎出一套能够决绝问题的新的法则（定理）</span></li>
</ul>','2024-12-24 15:59:31.178','2024-12-24 16:00:16.18',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-24 16:00:16.179',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('c6880447-3f8b-437d-b1ed-973a8a636af8','ea8079c9-b0c2-4f7b-9b73-06258e711936','8ba62dba-0026-464f-a0d5-bd8c4d6c0430','<p><strong>数字的方向性</strong></p>
<ul>
<li>源于代数：强调合力方向的重要性，合作时需统一目标方向以避免资源浪费。</li>
<li>如果方向不明，通过实践筛选正确方向。</li>
</ul>','2024-12-18 10:46:58.166','2024-12-25 00:00:00.008',NULL,'f','2024-12-25 00:00:00.006','2024-12-25 00:00:00.006',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('36c9234a-d69b-4093-8242-73539f2e724d','ea8079c9-b0c2-4f7b-9b73-06258e711936','1a28ed21-9fd6-4880-8fcc-727c43eb36b1','<p>找到值得信任的人配合，事办功倍！</p>','2024-12-21 06:07:34.957','2024-12-25 00:00:00.008',NULL,'f','2024-12-25 00:00:00.006','2024-12-25 00:00:00.006',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('aa2f41f1-7351-4ab3-af65-b9530b77d451','ea8079c9-b0c2-4f7b-9b73-06258e711936','47cda368-b147-4725-82b1-56340e248f14','<p>最终还是以双赢为目标。双赢的前提，建立信任。</p>','2024-12-25 15:01:23.766','2024-12-25 15:01:23.766',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-25 15:01:23.765',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('1db2b143-5b82-4a8a-8609-4d4313471589','ea8079c9-b0c2-4f7b-9b73-06258e711936','85df4a9d-433c-4009-bf28-8921ba3c5b68','<p dir="ltr">思考问题的底层逻辑</p>
<p dir="ltr">数字的方向性</p>
<ol>
<li dir="ltr">从不确定性中找到确定性</li>
<li dir="ltr">用动态的眼光看问题、</li>
<li dir="ltr">公理体系、</li>
<li dir="ltr">数字的方向性</li>
<li dir="ltr">全域最优和达成共赢</li>
</ol>
<p>从心所欲不逾矩</p>','2024-12-25 14:00:20.121','2024-12-25 14:04:57.064',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-25 14:04:57.063',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('a97d15da-3e65-4f37-bce7-a97ee60c90ab','ea8079c9-b0c2-4f7b-9b73-06258e711936','f96bb3ac-81d2-449d-bcab-c984308b1d78','<p><strong>数，其实是有方向的。</strong></p>
<p>做同一件事情，有的人想往东走，有的人想往西走，有的人想往北走，而你并不知道哪个方向是正确的。<br>你就让他们都去干这件事吧。虽然大家的方向不同，彼此会互相牵制，力的大小也会有损耗，但是最终事情的走向，会是那个相对正确的方向。<br><br>心得：公司的销售可以针对不同的产品主推，虽然两组销售团队选择的战略和方向不一致，但是目标的最终导向还是提升业绩，那就让他们尝试吧，我们并不全面知道哪个效果是最好的！<br><br><strong>全局最优和达成共赢</strong><br>涉及别人的决策逻辑，我们把它叫作<strong>博弈论。<br><br>零和博弈：</strong><br>1. 我的所得就是你的所失，我的所失就是你的所得。<br>2. 你要一直保持清醒：你要的是<strong>全局的最优解</strong>，而不是局部的最优解。<br>3. 你要让终局<strong>所得最多</strong>，就要<strong>步步为营</strong>，讲究策略，有时候，让子是以退为进：公司经营也可能在某些关键步骤需要做出妥协。<br><br><strong>非零和博弈</strong><br>1. 非零和博弈讲究<strong>共赢</strong>。共赢的前提，是<strong>建立信任。<br></strong>2. 在生意上<strong>建立信任达成共赢</strong>：<br>第一，你要找到那些能够建立信任的伙伴。<br>第二，你要主动释放值得信任的信号。你要先让别人知道你是值得信任的人，这样，想要与你达成共赢的人才会来找到你。</p>','2024-12-23 03:28:50.246','2024-12-25 00:00:00.008',NULL,'f','2024-12-25 00:00:00.006','2024-12-25 00:00:00.006',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('03970718-8b61-4aaa-88ec-5d3d67160bcc','ea8079c9-b0c2-4f7b-9b73-06258e711936','861e06a4-3e01-404d-a0c4-d2fa9f5bfa16','<p class="p1"><span class="s1">两个很有能力的人，合作的时候，如果都能往一个方向使，形成合力，那么是最好的结果。但如果不能往同一个方向使，反而彼此互相牵制，那还倒不如把这件事完全交给其中一个。</span></p>
<p class="p2">&nbsp;</p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">有一种情况是大家都有不同的方向想走，但你却不知道哪个方向是正确的。这时就让大家都去做，彼此会互相牵制，力的大小也会有耗损，但是最终事情的走向，会是那个相对正确的方向。</span></p>
<p class="p2">&nbsp;</p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">建立信任的两个建议</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">1。 远离永远都无法达成共赢的人。</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">2。主动释放值得信任的信号，让别人知道你是值得信任的人，这样想要共赢的人才会来找你。</span></p>','2024-12-24 00:28:17.883','2024-12-25 00:00:00.008',NULL,'f','2024-12-25 00:00:00.006','2024-12-25 00:00:00.006',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('a36d9ec9-3cec-439b-b16c-188834128fe3','ea8079c9-b0c2-4f7b-9b73-06258e711936','26458796-5d5f-468a-ac5f-69a3a6e55885','<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><strong style="mso-bidi-font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">Day-25</span></strong><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;"> </span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-ascii-font-family: Garamond; mso-hansi-font-family: Garamond; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">（</span><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">25/12/2024</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-ascii-font-family: Garamond; mso-hansi-font-family: Garamond; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">）</span><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;"> - page 139-144</span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">【数字的方向性．全域最优和达成共贏】</span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">四、「数字的方向性」（代数思维）&mdash;&mdash;数</span><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB;">，或有跡可循，或錯综复杂，或相互牽制，或形成合力。</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">喻之企业运作，必要时，放手任其发展，然后在錯综复杂、牽扯或合力等现象中，寻找到事物发展该有的方向。毕竟，从数学思维的角度看，方向纯粹是相对正确罷了。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">五、「全域最优和达成双贏」（博奕论思维）&mdash;&mdash;博奕论，意即涉及別人的决策逻辑。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">典型的零和博奕譬如下围棋，你要的是全域的最优解，而不是局部的最优解。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing"><span lang="ZH-TW" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB;">非零和博奕讲究共贏。共贏的前提是建立信任。因此，</span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing" style="margin-left: .5in; text-indent: -.25in; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1;"><!-- [if !supportLists]--><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 13.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: Garamond; mso-bidi-font-family: Garamond; letter-spacing: -.25pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;"><span style="mso-list: Ignore;">1.<span style="font: 7.0pt ''Times New Roman'';">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span></span><!--[endif]--><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">找到那些能够建立信任的夥伴。</span></p>
<p class="MsoNoSpacing" style="margin-left: .5in; text-indent: -.25in; mso-list: l0 level1 lfo1;"><!-- [if !supportLists]--><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 13.0pt; font-family: ''Garamond'',''serif''; mso-fareast-font-family: Garamond; mso-bidi-font-family: Garamond; letter-spacing: -.25pt; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;"><span style="mso-list: Ignore;">2.<span style="font: 7.0pt ''Times New Roman'';">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span></span><!--[endif]--><span lang="ZH-CN" style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: DFKai-SB; mso-fareast-language: ZH-CN;">主动释放值得信任的信号。</span></p>','2024-12-24 01:39:21.446','2024-12-25 00:00:00.008',NULL,'f','2024-12-25 00:00:00.006','2024-12-25 00:00:00.006',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('605a555b-d92c-406e-b8a3-57129c668105','ea8079c9-b0c2-4f7b-9b73-06258e711936','b1d2b7e9-339b-46d2-9f25-30c45ecce2d1','<p>数字的方向性让我想起以前念物理课时的一些画面。<br><br>我是一个画面感十足的人。<br><br>透过物理去思考一些事情，会给我对全局有更清晰的画面。<br><br>感谢这一章。<br><br>除此之外，<br><br>共赢的题目也来的正是时候，<br><br>我正在思考要不要找一个商业伙伴？<br><br>同时，近期也在处理客户的一些问题，<br><br>希望从中可以找出比较完善的共赢方案</p>','2024-12-24 13:32:16.143','2024-12-25 00:00:00.008',NULL,'f','2024-12-25 00:00:00.006','2024-12-25 00:00:00.006',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('f80365f3-0862-4534-bae3-fe8aa2f7ee94','ea8079c9-b0c2-4f7b-9b73-06258e711936','a79358bf-a0d8-49f2-be81-0ba66e697353','<p>确定方向的正确性。</p>
<p>零和博弈- 赢得终局，适当做出牺牲。</p>
<p>非零和博弈（共赢）建立信任 - 找值得信任的伙伴，主动释放值得信任的信号。</p>','2024-12-24 14:43:05.926','2024-12-25 00:00:00.008',NULL,'f','2024-12-25 00:00:00.006','2024-12-25 00:00:00.006',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('f34e358b-3c3d-496b-b4dc-51b716cb6873','ea8079c9-b0c2-4f7b-9b73-06258e711936','724f2776-0f89-4693-96ac-067e7121c40c','<p>通过数字趋势分析找准关键问题，用逻辑深挖本质原因，从而制定高效解决方案。</p>','2024-12-24 15:09:51.202','2024-12-25 00:00:00.008',NULL,'f','2024-12-25 00:00:00.006','2024-12-25 00:00:00.006',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('d9b5f800-586f-449e-9c6d-0f1569733dac','ea8079c9-b0c2-4f7b-9b73-06258e711936','042e3658-0d45-45d8-92b1-3d973b328b46','<p>数学思维让我们更加了解周遭存在着复杂性并没有规律的问题！</p>
<p>市场不会因为你的产品而有所改变，所以竞争激烈，互不相让，面临的是两败俱伤，如果大家一起有共赢的心态，才能有持续性的发展，双方都互惠互利！</p>','2024-12-25 04:35:55.827','2024-12-25 04:35:55.827',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-25 04:35:55.826',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('951512d6-4870-4164-b2aa-aa2653a30efe','ea8079c9-b0c2-4f7b-9b73-06258e711936','3c16baf4-84df-4958-a74c-aa7b7d950e3a','<p>三十而立，四十而不惑，五十而知天命，六十而耳顺，七十而从心所欲不逾矩。用理解数学的思维来看待世事万物，领悟人生。</p>','2024-12-25 15:31:19.806','2024-12-25 15:31:20.926',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-25 15:31:20.926',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('b1528376-c246-4615-a4ca-439544b786cd','b7f220f7-db3d-4b69-8e36-a54da9d035b1','47cda368-b147-4725-82b1-56340e248f14','<p>系统思维帮助我们对策略看得更远，透过表象看本质。</p>','2024-12-26 11:01:10.115','2024-12-26 11:01:10.115',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-26 11:01:10.114',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('2eb8075d-0004-4a06-956c-8ecece76ddb8','3208c9c6-0532-4f7e-bb0a-73863f92ef9c','09891df5-07b0-40c9-8f3c-a23b63aa2cfd','<p>态度50%，技能30%，知识20%<br><br>不要把知识当技能学，也不要把技能当知识学。<br>用脑学习知识，用手学习技能，用心学习心态。</p>','2024-12-25 03:58:20.072','2025-01-07 00:00:00.006',NULL,'f','2025-01-07 00:00:00.005','2025-01-07 00:00:00.005',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('8e04f79e-c60b-4a5e-96e8-050aa87b23e7','c6c84f04-b233-4154-be94-b6a160274e5d','09891df5-07b0-40c9-8f3c-a23b63aa2cfd','<p>What 和why 是让我们知，How 是让我们行。这三角黄金问题密不可分。如果没有how 一切都只是鸡汤。</p>','2024-12-28 23:14:52.644','2025-01-12 00:00:00.015',NULL,'f','2025-01-12 00:00:00.014','2025-01-12 00:00:00.014',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('b4f8121d-a5fc-4cc2-9a0f-8fa00b6c3c57','ea8079c9-b0c2-4f7b-9b73-06258e711936','7ae3c10f-1299-472c-a9d4-b368d392f445','<p>25/12<br>第四種數學思維，源於代數，叫作「數字的方向性]<br>往更複雜的程度上說，數這個東西，除了大小，還有一個非常重要的屬性：方向。在數學上，我們把有方向的數叫作向量。</p>
<p>這就像在公司裡做事，兩個人都很有能力，合作的時候，如果他們的能力都能往一個方向使，形成合力，那麼這是最好的結果。但如果他們的能力不能往一個方向使，反而彼此互相牽制，那麼可能還不如把這件事完全交給其中一個人來做。</p>
<p>雖然大家的方向不同，彼此會互相牽制，力的大小也會有損耗，但是最終事情的走向, 会是那个相对正确的方向<br><br></p>
<p>第五種數學思維，源於博弈論，叫作「全域最優和達成雙赢]<br>什麼是博弈論？我們每天都要做大大小小的決策。比如，今天是喝咖啡還是喝茶，這就是一個決策。但這個決策只跟自己有關，並不會涉及別人。而在生活中，有一類決策，是需要涉及別人的。涉及別人的決策邏輯，我們把它叫作博弈論。<br><br></p>
<p>非零和博弈講究共贏。共贏的前提，是建立信任，但建立信任，其實特別不容易。</p>','2024-12-25 07:03:11.738','2024-12-25 07:03:11.738',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-25 07:03:11.735',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('563b682d-a39f-4704-ab26-a0facd40c0b2','ea8079c9-b0c2-4f7b-9b73-06258e711936','7c90ff31-3cfe-46d0-8204-3b842b9bb44e','<p>我们企图从不確定性中找到確定性、用动态的眼光看问题、公理体系、数字的牵引，以及共赢快乐，才能擁有符合规律的思维方式!</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>凡事＂于终为始＂</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>两个人或一群人在一起干活、处事、过生活，到底是要图个什么要先搞清楚，别到时才来怪罪身边人或自己的善变。实际上也无对错，只是立场不一样而已，社会上的事情本就复杂多变的，人性的贪婪也是无止境的。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>＂谋定而后动，知止而有得＂</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>＂快乐共赢＂才是我们的最终目标！</strong></p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>','2024-12-25 07:32:09.214','2024-12-25 07:32:09.214',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-25 07:32:09.213',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('74f39cdc-b10f-4f09-9f3f-a53f642af587','ea8079c9-b0c2-4f7b-9b73-06258e711936','138265fe-95ad-4ebc-b601-e7cbf4fd9f27','<p>当大家方向不一致时，就让他们去干这件事吧，因为事情的走向会是那个正确的方向。在一些关键步骤上可以做些妥协。非零和博弈讲究共赢，前提是建立信任。有些人，你永远无法和他达成共赢的，这样的人就要远离。要主动释放值得信任的信号。要让别人知道你值得信任就会招来同频或要达成共赢的人找到你。</p>','2024-12-25 07:42:20.514','2024-12-25 07:42:20.514',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-25 07:42:20.513',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('de0752f1-0862-48ae-b66d-66de70bc1e6e','ea8079c9-b0c2-4f7b-9b73-06258e711936','bdee759b-405c-461f-97a1-a39e711c7e8e','<p class="p1"><span class="s1">第三種數學思維叫作公理體系。－家公司的願景、使命、價值觀，其實就相當於這家公司的公理。公里沒有對錯，不需要被證明，公里是一種選擇，是一種共識，是一種基準原則。</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">第四種數學思維叫作「數字的方向性」。 如果兩個人都很有能力，並且能夠合力往同一個方向邁進，那麼就會形成1+1大於2的效果，也是最好的結果。但如果方向不一致，反而彼此互相牽制，那麼效益就會大打折扣，形成1+1小於2的結果。</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">第五種數學思維叫作「全域最優和達成雙贏」。</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">博弈論可分為零和博弈，只有一方勝出，因此你要永遠保持清醒並且每一步都很重要。第二種是非零和博弈，講究共贏，共贏的前提是建立信任。兩點建立信任：第一，找到能夠建立信任的夥伴。第二，你要主動釋放值得信任的信號。</span></p>','2024-12-25 07:30:09.65','2024-12-25 07:46:37.089',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-25 07:46:37.088',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('7c82b0ec-7805-4f7c-8516-fad1dfbab39d','ea8079c9-b0c2-4f7b-9b73-06258e711936','3d9c1be4-dac8-482e-8867-e3ba75f3a884','<p>书中谈到的共赢，应该是很难实现，需要很高深的功力才能实现。</p>
<p>但是在小提示中的孔子日，我需要谨记吖。</p>
<p>孔子日 ：三十而立，四十而不惑，五十而知天命，六十而耳顺，七十而从心所欲不逾矩（不越边界，因而需要有符合规律的思维方式）。</p>','2024-12-25 08:00:51.337','2024-12-25 08:00:51.337',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-25 08:00:51.336',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('6cbcdd92-09de-4bf9-8da2-68e35b35d8f3','ea8079c9-b0c2-4f7b-9b73-06258e711936','459a1283-290a-4d4b-b10f-6504664de97b','<p>数字的方向性</p>
<p>这是以数字来衡量。有负（-ve ）也有正数(+ve )</p>
<p>比如以20牛顿力向东拉，相反的，另一头也有人对着干，从西边拉30顿力，相互一段时间后，大家都筋疲力尽，这样会导致两方都损失。</p>
<p>人生每天都要作大大小小的抉择，有的只是牵涉自己而已，但是也有牵涉别人的就是有博弈论。同时也有零和博弈论，就是双方达成共识共赢，建立信任。</p>','2024-12-25 08:21:39.885','2024-12-25 08:21:39.885',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-25 08:21:39.884',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('fcd9e35f-af5c-42c1-8d00-43344d27f691','ea8079c9-b0c2-4f7b-9b73-06258e711936','550d0df0-c244-418c-8fd4-915e9faffda1','<p>在博弈伦理，我们需要时时刻刻提醒自己 - 在企业中，我们不一定会顺顺利利，百战百胜。 有些时候我们是必须要懂得取舍，在一些关键的步骤上是要妥协的。</p>
<p>世上没有绝对的黑白，也会存在很多灰色地带。重要1的是，方向要正确。</p>
<p>这也认定了 - 方向不对，努力白费</p>','2024-12-25 09:59:29.899','2024-12-25 09:59:29.899',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-25 09:59:29.898',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('75f7d71a-b986-4767-b8db-1a73abecfa59','7879f9db-a7aa-487a-bdc7-2150dc5886ed','576d96d0-dcd8-47c0-8ecc-c9881174d6fa','<p>一个人最重要的能力，是獲得能力的能力!要高效而且可怕的勤奋!</p>
<p>用两年增加五年的能力!</p>','2024-12-25 15:44:49','2024-12-27 00:00:00.032',NULL,'f','2024-12-27 00:00:00.031','2024-12-27 00:00:00.031',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('4f7a7436-53e1-4ed3-8c44-78566f3cdb13','ee413297-043a-43d1-ac76-acdc524a339d','576d96d0-dcd8-47c0-8ecc-c9881174d6fa','<p>提高效率的条件：</p>
<p>做对选择</p>
<p>找对方法</p>
<p>用对工具</p>','2024-12-25 15:49:57.691','2024-12-28 00:00:00.016',NULL,'f','2024-12-28 00:00:00.015','2024-12-28 00:00:00.015',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('0552202d-ab48-49df-86ad-8df84845c869','ea8079c9-b0c2-4f7b-9b73-06258e711936','f19a0a29-719b-4ff0-9462-5c18dd598629','<p>其实，在生活中不止不会一帆风顺，甚至有时好事变坏事，坏事变好事，这也不稀奇。所谓塞翁失马焉知非福也。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>所以，不要以为自己赢了就沾沾自喜，也不要以为自己输了就颓丧万分，毕竟事情没有绝对。</p>
<p><br><br>就好像上届大选，希盟2.0赢了，许多人狂喜若狂，但是两年后的今天。。我看很多人都在大吐苦水。木有顶政府都没有那么回教化，也没有那么毫无忌惮的释放贪污者和打压言论自由。但是想想其实政府这样做也是有道理的。他缺什么就要补上什么。至于之前的支持者，他也看死你不会跑，所以当然不会把你放在眼里。你要和他双赢，创造一个美好的马来西亚？对不起，你的人数越来越少，他还是和其他人双赢吧。（这也说明了，你要双赢，自己要有条件才行）。<br><br></p>
<p>是不是一个回教党主导的政府就一定更好？不知道。但是，认为没有回教党的政府就一定更好，这个已经被证明是一厢情愿了。所以，还是老话一句："不要以为自己赢了就沾沾自喜，也不要以为自己输了就颓丧万分，毕竟事情没有绝对"。</p>','2024-12-25 10:37:59.585','2024-12-25 10:37:59.585',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-25 10:37:59.584',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('fbfa2bf1-e5fa-4d6b-ac30-cdeb3a3453da','ea8079c9-b0c2-4f7b-9b73-06258e711936','446acaf6-9b4a-451d-8e08-ca51f1003c48','<p><a href="tel:25/12/024">25/12/024</a> - 数字的方向性（page139-144）</p>
<p>第四种数学思维，源于代数，叫作「数字的方向性」。我们最开始学的代数是自然数，然后是整数，之后有数理，包括整数和分数。我们不断地深入学习各种数，其实是在一步一步地理解世界的复杂性。往更复杂的深度上说，在数学上，我们把有方向的数叫作向量。数其实是有方向的。</p>
<p>第五种数学思维，源于博弈论，叫作「全城最优和达成双赢」。有一种决策，是需要涉及别人的决策逻辑，我们把它叫作博弈论。博弈论中典型的零和博弈，就比如我的所得就是你的所失，我的所失就是你的所得。除了零和博弈，还有非零和博弈，讲究共赢。共赢的前提，是建立信任。两个建立信任的建议是找到哪些能够建立信任的伙伴，或主动释放值得信任的信号。</p>','2024-12-25 10:55:21.246','2024-12-25 10:55:21.246',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-25 10:55:21.244',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('fe2b1179-4435-413b-ae5d-7c37917caa00','ea8079c9-b0c2-4f7b-9b73-06258e711936','c9b39003-1a47-4eb9-a447-837aa6128a1b','<p>另一種數學思維簡稱數字的方向性。</p>
<p>數讓我們理解這世界是複雜到沒有規律的。</p>
<p>有方向的數叫向量。</p>
<p>當兩個很有能力的人一起合作往同樣方向使時，形成合力並可以創造最好結果。</p>
<p>反之，各個方向不同，彼此互相牽制，消耗無謂力量，但最終事情的走向，一定往相對正確方向使去。</p>
<p>另外一種數學思維稱之為博弈論。</p>
<p>當生活中作出一種涉及別人的決策邏輯時，博弈自然產生了。</p>
<p>尋找能夠共贏的團隊，這需要有信任的夥伴。自己也必需釋放值得信任的信號，以吸引信任您的人來。</p>','2024-12-25 11:51:44.754','2024-12-25 11:51:44.754',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-25 11:51:44.753',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('b0da4e17-ba9b-45d8-ac17-ab592ed3aace','ea8079c9-b0c2-4f7b-9b73-06258e711936','4d60a8e6-8829-45d3-add6-e61449282094','<p>训练数学思维，是为了让自己拥有符合规律的思维方式。</p>','2024-12-25 12:43:12.662','2024-12-25 12:43:12.662',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-25 12:43:12.661',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('c1435a06-f379-4e0a-acd2-7b4009ac63f3','ea8079c9-b0c2-4f7b-9b73-06258e711936','bc030323-5b78-4cf5-8c04-0ba4b93a64d1','<p class="p1"><span class="s1">Day 25 ：12月25 日&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; 《底层逻辑》Part 2：思考问题的底层逻辑</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">数字的方向性（Page 139-144）</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s2"><br></span><span class="s1">🎯</span><span class="s2">今日读后感悟：</span></p>
<p class="p2">&nbsp;</p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s2">数字的方向性与博弈思维</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s2">1. 数字的方向性</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s2"> &bull; 数字除了大小，还有方向。</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s2"> &bull; 生活启示：</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s2"> &bull; 力量合方向才有效：团队合作时，大家力量朝同一方向使，效果最佳；相反，互相牵制则会损耗成果。</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s2"> &bull; 不确定方向时，多方尝试：让不同方向的人各自去试，最终找到正确的路。</span></p>
<p class="p2">&nbsp;</p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s2">2. 博弈论</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s2"> &bull; 零和博弈：你的所得就是我的所失。</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s2"> &bull; 重点：寻求全局最优解，而非局部最优。例如围棋中有时需让子以退为进。</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s2"> &bull; 非零和博弈：追求共赢，信任是基础。</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s2"> &bull; 方法：</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s2"> 1. 找值得信任的伙伴，远离不可靠的人。</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s2">&nbsp;2. 主动释放值得信任的信号，建立长期合作关系。</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s2">总结</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s2">数字的方向性教我们合作要统一方向；博弈论告诉我们在竞争中要全局考量，懂得妥协和共赢。</span></p>','2024-12-25 12:48:19.976','2024-12-25 12:48:19.976',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-25 12:48:19.974',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('abce771a-58d4-49fa-8576-807a2b6844ff','ea8079c9-b0c2-4f7b-9b73-06258e711936','0a652b55-937b-435d-bcb8-4d3fb846b83f','<p>數，其實是有方向的。</p>
<p>訓練數學思維，是為了讓自己擁有符合规律的思維方式所，做的事情也就不會越出邊界。</p>','2024-12-25 12:54:42.359','2024-12-25 12:59:15.056',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-25 12:59:15.055',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('13ccc835-41c9-4411-befc-56fb99174dd7','ea8079c9-b0c2-4f7b-9b73-06258e711936','1131f00f-c162-442f-b3c0-e0ead4f636c3','<p>彼此信任更容易达到共赢的合作模式。</p>
<p>70啦， 已有一套生命规格标准模式，不易出界。</p>','2024-12-25 13:19:19.072','2024-12-25 13:19:19.072',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-25 13:19:19.072',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('c00476fc-c5a7-4385-a9fc-14ca811b336f','ea8079c9-b0c2-4f7b-9b73-06258e711936','be5b7e97-d65c-43f6-ba7f-0ffd13533f1a','<p>4.）数字的方向性</p>
<p>这个世界可以复杂到没有规律如数学。合力工作须要的是同一方向，不同方向，最终会超对的方向靠拢，但双方都会内耗。</p>','2024-12-25 13:23:19.371','2024-12-25 13:23:19.371',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-25 13:23:19.371',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('ea84fa3e-0b93-4c43-aebf-14bc7bccdf1f','ea8079c9-b0c2-4f7b-9b73-06258e711936','c5e069be-e34f-4a00-8866-8ee0e14fd6df','<p>学数学，不是为了得到一个100分的答案，而是学习思维模式。从不确定种找确定，用动态的眼光看问题和数学方向。</p>','2024-12-25 15:52:51.04','2024-12-25 15:52:51.04',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-25 15:52:51.038',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('49a83eaf-0c1c-423b-9b39-ef04541ff48a','ea8079c9-b0c2-4f7b-9b73-06258e711936','4f2eb2b3-94b5-4ee7-8132-6fb6407ff96e','<p>训练自己有数学思维，是为了自己拥有符合规律的思考思维</p>','2024-12-25 14:07:30.446','2024-12-25 14:07:30.446',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-25 14:07:30.445',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('bf1db6bb-250b-40de-bea6-b23b638a169c','ea8079c9-b0c2-4f7b-9b73-06258e711936','a000f9e2-7648-49c9-8713-f245191f61d3','<p>第四种数学思维 - 数字的方向性</p>
<p>在数学上，有方向的数叫向量。</p>
<p>第五种数学思维 - 全域最优和达成共赢</p>
<p>这个思维源于博弈论 - 涉及别人的决策逻辑就是博弈论。</p>
<p>零和博弈所要求的是全域的最优解。</p>
<p>非零和博弈则讲究共赢，而共赢的前提，是建立信任。</p>
<p>我们要训练自己的数学思维，通过理解和运用这五种数学思维，让自己拥有符合规律的思维方式，这样的方式让我们做的事情根本不会越出边界，也达到所谓的从心所欲的自由。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>','2024-12-25 14:08:31.73','2024-12-25 14:08:31.73',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-25 14:08:31.728',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('a2fadc8a-054c-418a-8e44-cbf7f3689b23','ea8079c9-b0c2-4f7b-9b73-06258e711936','8c41d3c3-8cab-4621-868b-700631a7ecc1','<p><strong>数字的方向</strong></p>
<p>&nbsp;- 这些数学告诉我们的东西：</p>
<ul>
<li>整数、负整数 = 看事情的大小、对错</li>
<li>分数 = 事情的灰度，世界其实没那么简单</li>
<li>无理数 = 有些事情就是复杂都没有规律，我们只能承认它的客观存在，不要试图用简单粗暴的方式来定义它</li>
<li>向量 = 当两个力的方向一样的时候，就可以更快完成任务</li>
<li><span style="font-family: var(--font-ubuntu);">如果做同一件事情，三个人都有各自的想法，那就随他们去，因为事情最终的走向会是那个相对正确的方向</span></li>
</ul>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><strong>全域最优和达成共赢</strong></p>
<p>&nbsp;- 零和博弈：</p>
<ul>
<li>我的所得 = 你的所失；我的所失 = 你的所得</li>
<li>讲究策略</li>
<li>牺牲局部优势</li>
<li>以退为进</li>
<li>赢得终局</li>
</ul>
<p>&nbsp;- 非零和博弈：</p>
<ul>
<li>我的所得 = 你的所得；我的所失 = 你的所失</li>
<li>建立信任最重要</li>
<li>远离那些永远无法达成共赢的人</li>
<li>要先让别人知道你是值得信任的人</li>
</ul>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>&nbsp;- 「从心所欲不逾矩」不是叫我们约束自己，而是我们会因为拥有符合规律的思维模式，所以做的所有事物根本就不会月初边界</p>','2024-12-25 14:03:01.114','2024-12-25 14:14:57.178',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-25 14:14:57.177',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('77da128c-acbb-4b58-8b60-ad74be5b1255','ea8079c9-b0c2-4f7b-9b73-06258e711936','3c44f813-90cf-4c87-ab87-553efe18c88a','<p>Set mindset-same direction-win win.&nbsp;</p>
<p>信任是关键.</p>','2024-12-25 14:22:58.549','2024-12-25 14:22:58.549',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-25 14:22:58.548',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('d64765f4-0013-4fe4-b139-cf0a33cbcba6','ea8079c9-b0c2-4f7b-9b73-06258e711936','4cfe29dd-714c-41a2-bc6d-306205099ae9','<p>用数理来解释一些生活上的事情，还真的不错。能引用简单的数理概念来看待一些事物，明辨事情的本质，更快的梳理问题，找到方案。</p>','2024-12-25 14:24:54.141','2024-12-25 14:24:54.141',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-25 14:24:54.14',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('aa06d5b9-96f2-4043-a3c9-8c951f530cf0','ea8079c9-b0c2-4f7b-9b73-06258e711936','6cef5362-7ff5-4fa0-8829-76df28438992','<p>不少事物有其复杂性，需要足够的知识、经验和理性来处理。所以唯有不断学习以及参考他人经验来获取最高的准确性。</p>
<p>无论与人相处或做事，双赢是不可免的哲理。</p>','2024-12-25 14:47:22.209','2024-12-25 14:47:22.209',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-25 14:47:22.208',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('511b674c-0f30-4589-8825-362f9ed3578d','ea8079c9-b0c2-4f7b-9b73-06258e711936','fb681b37-b86f-49b7-8f27-422ffefb81b6','<p>我们不断地深入学习各种数，其实是在一步一步地理解世界的复杂性。</p>','2024-12-25 14:59:04.282','2024-12-25 14:59:04.282',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-25 14:59:04.281',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('345f8fba-54ba-4c16-b1d6-507e20500211','ea8079c9-b0c2-4f7b-9b73-06258e711936','22eebfc2-f1bd-4144-ac9b-9b146d80a3ee','<p>Day 25 ：12月25 日 《底层逻辑》Part 2：思考问题的底层逻辑</p>
<p>数字的方向性（Page 139-144）</p>
<p>🎯今日读后感悟：</p>
<p>数学思维之方向性：即使开始方向不同，最终还是会回到那个相对正确的方向。</p>
<p>数学思维之博弈论：零和博弈- 我所失，即你所得，要的是全域最优解。</p>','2024-12-25 15:01:35.673','2024-12-25 15:01:35.673',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-25 15:01:35.67',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('73374331-f5bc-4422-ac56-67e3b0bafb71','ea8079c9-b0c2-4f7b-9b73-06258e711936','069c59cc-12d1-4b10-aabf-cabe5bfceaaf','<p>数字的方向性</p>','2024-12-25 15:05:58.4','2024-12-25 15:06:15.263',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-25 15:06:15.262',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('57ec7ee6-d16f-4797-bee7-8c3a0e80b522','ea8079c9-b0c2-4f7b-9b73-06258e711936','9f2de0b4-5451-41cb-bded-d537871923dd','<ul>
<li>双方若不在同一阵线，比的是谁的权限大，所以，若没办法达成共识，那么，就放手让他们自己做</li>
<li>商业界中要不是你赢我输，要不是共赢</li>
</ul>','2024-12-25 15:09:24.75','2024-12-25 15:09:24.75',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-25 15:09:24.749',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('1d0e6990-7379-464f-8c5e-fe0f2d459bc2','ea8079c9-b0c2-4f7b-9b73-06258e711936','6949d955-832d-47f1-870b-95a01be61ff8','<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>训练数学思维，是为了让自己拥有符合规律的思维方式。</p>','2024-12-25 15:13:18.681','2024-12-25 15:13:18.681',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-25 15:13:18.68',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('aac8fd15-b72d-4505-86da-3b35d42e1416','ea8079c9-b0c2-4f7b-9b73-06258e711936','82401c82-df66-4556-a63e-3ff096e9ba26','<p>以数学为思维模式，是让自己更有符合规律地思考。</p>
<p>这让我回想以前读Add Maths 为的是什么？除了加减乘除，那些解答方式重要吗？在日常工作需要吗？</p>
<p>现在明白了，重要的不是它的公式，而是它的逻辑与规律。</p>','2024-12-25 15:18:52.665','2024-12-25 15:18:52.665',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-25 15:18:52.664',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('e212f00c-4673-48e6-b8e8-fd6b8ef120e6','ea8079c9-b0c2-4f7b-9b73-06258e711936','f06cf8cd-e25f-4542-a8ff-f8571e91be74','<p>数理的思维，是学习背后的规律的思维方式。事情的发展都有一定的规律</p>','2024-12-25 15:21:10.928','2024-12-25 15:21:10.928',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-25 15:21:10.927',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('025646bb-32a4-4c3c-a594-9e255207445c','ea8079c9-b0c2-4f7b-9b73-06258e711936','abafda80-d191-4990-802d-f631604815a6','<p>数字的方向</p>
<p>在一间公司，如果有能力相等的人，可能办事方式不一样，但是都可以到达目的地。如果放在一起办事，可能会互相牵制，放慢了速度。倒不如由一个去办，可能更快达到目标。</p>','2024-12-25 15:27:08.489','2024-12-25 15:27:45.682',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-25 15:27:45.681',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('a6932f2a-96f3-4d41-9981-7c8fc20c3575','ea8079c9-b0c2-4f7b-9b73-06258e711936','ea087d81-378d-4180-ba32-68046993e624','<p>培养数学思维有助于我们在工作和生活中更有效地分析问题、制定策略和做出决策。</p>
<p>通过持续的训练和应用，数学思维将成为我们分析和解决问题的有力工具，提升工作效率和生活质量。</p>','2024-12-25 15:53:21.44','2024-12-25 15:53:24.004',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-25 15:53:24.002',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('e9e541b6-5a13-4d7f-8abf-5451b655c4f0','b7f220f7-db3d-4b69-8e36-a54da9d035b1','c9b39003-1a47-4eb9-a447-837aa6128a1b','<p>數學思維讓人擁有符合規律的思維方式，做事不越邊界卻有著從心所慾的自由。</p>
<p>系統思維讓人在複雜的世界，了解關係與關係背後的規律，並能從中理解當下。</p>
<p>理解商業模式就是理解系統思考的一環。</p>
<p>商業模式就是利益相關者的交易結構。</p>
<p>再好的用戶服務思維或產品服務思維，但走不出線上訂單，客戶只有越來越少。因為線下的需求逐漸減少，系統的交易結構改變了。</p>
<p>擁有系統思維，即是馬上嗅到利益相關者交易結構的人，會見到機會。他們會改變營業模式，用較低價格租下更大空間，加大廚房，應付更多線上訂單。</p>
<p>時代的變革當中，讓人不知道自己做錯了什麼，但還是輸了。</p>
<p>站在未來看今天是何其重要。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>','2024-12-25 23:59:48.401','2024-12-25 23:59:48.401',NULL,'f',NULL,'2024-12-25 23:59:48.4',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('a91d6ef0-79ce-4280-86cd-64a5fffae004','b7f220f7-db3d-4b69-8e36-a54da9d035b1','8ba62dba-0026-464f-a0d5-bd8c4d6c0430','<p><strong>系统思维要点总结：</strong></p>
<ol>
<li>
<p><strong>理解系统与要素关系</strong></p>
<ul>
<li>系统包含看得见的要素和看不见的关系。要素之间的关系由规律决定，影响系统的变化和运行。</li>
<li>以&ldquo;旺铺&rdquo;为例，本质是人流带来的机会，而非铺面的装修或地段本身。</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<p><strong>顺势而为，抓住时代机遇</strong></p>
<ul>
<li>行业和时代的趋势（&ldquo;千位&rdquo;）决定了整体方向，个别努力（&ldquo;个位&rdquo;）无法对抗大环境的变化。</li>
<li>例如，将高人力成本的外包业务转移至印度，顺应全球化和成本优化趋势。</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<p><strong>利益相关者的交易结构</strong></p>
<ul>
<li>商业模式的核心是理解利益相关者的交易结构。</li>
<li>外卖平台改变了餐饮业的交易结构，从&ldquo;临街租铺&rdquo;转为&ldquo;集中厨房+外送&rdquo;的模式降低成本、提高竞争力。</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<p><strong>透过表象看本质</strong></p>
<ul>
<li>表象的努力（如提升服务或装修）无法解决交易结构的根本变化。系统思维要求观察趋势，调整策略，从本质上应对挑战。</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<p><strong>系统思维的重要性</strong></p>
<ul>
<li>系统思维帮助企业家识别行业变化中的机会与风险，避免陷入错误的努力方向。</li>
<li>在复杂系统中，不仅理解当前，更能预测未来，从而制定更有效的战略。</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<p><strong>战略指导：站在未来看今天</strong></p>
<ul>
<li>理解系统规律并预测趋势，使企业能够顺势而为，制定与未来发展相契合的战略，避免与时代脱节。</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ol>
<p><strong>结论</strong>：系统思维是一种全局观与洞察力，帮助个人和企业在快速变化的时代抓住本质，制定符合趋势的行动方案。</p>','2024-12-18 11:04:07.494','2024-12-26 00:00:00.016',NULL,'f','2024-12-26 00:00:00.015','2024-12-26 00:00:00.015',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('98a3a413-698c-4e4a-b474-4fded2c1abc4','b7f220f7-db3d-4b69-8e36-a54da9d035b1','550d0df0-c244-418c-8fd4-915e9faffda1','<p>系统思维 vs 产品思维。</p>
<p>系统思维 - 认定行业的流程，决定生意模式的关键赢点，使我们在竞争中找到突破的重点。</p>
<p>产品思维 - 关注提升产品的质量是重要，但是如果我们忽视了表象里的本质，看不到系统中的交易结构变化，我们就不能及时认清当下的处境，挽救自己于困境之中。</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p>就变成Nokia了。</p>','2024-12-25 10:12:00.734','2024-12-26 00:00:00.016',NULL,'f','2024-12-26 00:00:00.015','2024-12-26 00:00:00.015',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('33fd8e5c-9628-4f7d-9c0f-e5dbd90d0782','b7f220f7-db3d-4b69-8e36-a54da9d035b1','446acaf6-9b4a-451d-8e08-ca51f1003c48','<p>26/12/2024 - 系统思维（page145-150）</p>
<p>这世界上的所有事物，都被规律作用着，以一种叫作「系统」的方式存在着。只有理解了关系和关系背后的规律，才能在复杂的系统中理解现在。</p>
<p>想要理解「系统思考」，得先从商业模式开始了解起。商业模式就是利益相关者的交易结构。在看不清交易结构的变化时，再完美的产品思维都白费。只有戴上系统思维的眼镜，才能透过表象看本质，及时认清当下的处境。系统思维时一种救命的大智慧。</p>
<p>方向不对，努力白费，在错误的赛道上一路狂奔，越努力，毁灭的速度越快。有时候不是不努力，而是这件事本身就错了。</p>','2024-12-25 11:34:41.921','2024-12-26 00:00:00.016',NULL,'f','2024-12-26 00:00:00.015','2024-12-26 00:00:00.015',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('3d06a604-dce9-42b7-b793-c24b67f1a4a4','b7f220f7-db3d-4b69-8e36-a54da9d035b1','724f2776-0f89-4693-96ac-067e7121c40c','<p>用<strong>底层逻辑</strong>挖掘问题本质，以<strong>系统思维</strong>从整体、动态的视角分析问题，找出关键杠杆点并设计全面解决方案。</p>','2024-12-25 13:08:25.421','2024-12-26 00:00:00.016',NULL,'f','2024-12-26 00:00:00.015','2024-12-26 00:00:00.015',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('53386645-d90c-44a8-ac89-33ad4a110316','b7f220f7-db3d-4b69-8e36-a54da9d035b1','4d60a8e6-8829-45d3-add6-e61449282094','<p>这世界上的所有事物，都被规律作用着，以一种叫作&ldquo;系统&rdquo;的方式存在着。</p>
<p>所有的战略，都是站在未来看今天。</p>','2024-12-25 12:55:03.113','2024-12-26 00:00:00.016',NULL,'f','2024-12-26 00:00:00.015','2024-12-26 00:00:00.015',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('d81eb6c4-dfe2-4fd8-a579-471020cff02d','b7f220f7-db3d-4b69-8e36-a54da9d035b1','85df4a9d-433c-4009-bf28-8921ba3c5b68','<p>理解了关系和关系背后的规律，你不但能在复杂的系统中理解现在，甚至还能一定程度上预测未来</p>','2024-12-25 14:07:05.617','2024-12-26 00:00:00.016',NULL,'f','2024-12-26 00:00:00.015','2024-12-26 00:00:00.015',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('0f3bf33f-ee06-43c1-a2f4-df251f34da63','b7f220f7-db3d-4b69-8e36-a54da9d035b1','042e3658-0d45-45d8-92b1-3d973b328b46','<p>了解关系和关系背后的规律，交易结构变化，才能在复杂的系统中了解当下，也更好的预见未来！</p>','2024-12-25 14:14:11.014','2024-12-26 00:00:00.016',NULL,'f','2024-12-26 00:00:00.015','2024-12-26 00:00:00.015',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('44befb9e-c55f-4bb5-9e93-226579e538ba','b7f220f7-db3d-4b69-8e36-a54da9d035b1','6949d955-832d-47f1-870b-95a01be61ff8','<p>戴上系统思维的眼镜才能透过表象看清本质，方向不对，努力白费</p>
<p>及时认清当下的处境，挽救自己于困境之中。</p>
<p>所有的战略，都是站在未来看今天。</p>','2024-12-25 15:22:11.26','2024-12-26 00:00:00.016',NULL,'f','2024-12-26 00:00:00.015','2024-12-26 00:00:00.015',NULL,NULL);
INSERT INTO "study_group_task_comments" ("id","studyGroupTaskId","memberId","comment","createdAt","updatedAt","deletedAt","prePlanned","prePlannedDate","commentDate","parent_id","staffId") VALUES ('b2b61cdd-a4ff-41d5-bf04-e57467e15d2c','b7f220f7-db3d-4b69-8e36-a54da9d035b1','576d96d0-dcd8-47c0-8ecc-c9881174d6fa','<p>关系是系统中看不见的、要素之间相互作用规律，更要看到这些关系背后的规律。</p>
<p>所有的战略，都是站在未看看今天!</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>','2024-12-25 15:36:50.023','2024-12-26 00:00:00.016',NULL,'f','2024-12-26 00:00:00.015','2024-12-26 00:00:00.015',NULL,NULL);
